My Mock - Day One
After weeks of delivering rumors, news and draft silliness, it's time to put my money where my mouth is, or in this case, my mock where my blog is.
I'm operating on several premises here:
1.) I am assuming, after grinding the boards over and over again, that Dallas' top priority is to beef up its defensive front seven, literally and figuratively. Dallas needs playmakers, especially ones who can rush the passer and produce turnovers. But it also needs depth, especially on the line.
2.) I am also assuming no trades. While the rumors abound and Jerry is teasing us every day, I think this is so much hokem to try to drum up interest in his picks. Trade downs are possible, but until somebody blows the doors off the Valley Ranch war room with an offer, I'm going to assume the 'Pokes will stay put.
3.) You can't have everything. Rome wasn't built in a day and the Cowboys won't be rebuilt in one afternoon. The key is to get quality players with your first picks. This may mean leaving some needs unmet. So be it.
Pick 11: Shawne Merriman, DE/OLB, Maryland Who's the biggest campaigner for Marcus Spears? Me, that's who. So here's why I'm abandoning him for my mock. I've been trying for the past few days to find a way to get Spears and one of the big rushing 'tweeners, be it Merriman, Demarcus Ware, Erasmus James or David Pollack to 20.
It just can't be done. I'm convinced that the teams between 12 and 18 will snap them up. And if they do, Dallas has to hit with this pick. One chance.
And once you treat this pick as a solitary one, rather than tie it to 20, Merriman makes the most sense. Ware is the fastest guy. Spears is the biggest guy and most technically sound. But Dallas needs a guy who is big, flexible and can rush. Merriman is 20 pounds heavier than Ware, and is thus more able to put his hand down and play end in a 4-3. That's key in my mind, because this will probably be the base scheme the Cowboys play in 2005. Merriman is also a better edge rusher than Spears. And if you get one shot, this is the point that tips the scale in Merriman's favor. Dallas HAS to find somebody who can hit the quarterback. It's been easy to find players other than Merriman to promote, because he's been the consensus pick for so long, but that does not mean he's the wrong pick.
Pick 20: Travis Johnson, DT, Florida St. If Dallas goes with the fast edge rusher at 11, it will want a thumper at pick 20. Spears is the dream pick here, but he is more likely to go to San Diego at 12. There are only two other players who fill Bill Parcells' planet theory at this pick -- Johnson and Northwestern NT/DT Juan Castillo, who the Dallas Morning News' Rick Gosselin awards to Dallas in his final mock draft.
Gosselin admits that Castillo is a reach, but he also assumes that Dallas is trapped at pick 20, not receiving a satisfactory package to trade down. Castillo would not be as surprising as you might think. He's been cited in several mock drafts as high as Green Bay's pick 24. He's also a player that could fill a need for the Falcons, Colts and Eagles at the bottom of round one.
I'm picking Johnson because he's a higher rated player than Castillo and he fits the Parcells profile. He's a big, speedy tackle who is often compared to fellow Seminole Corey Simon, a guy the Cowboys coveted before Philadelphia franchised him and froze him out of the free agent market. He's from a big school in a big conference, which is where Parcells goes to find his players. He's not as big a reach as Castillo. In fact, I'd argue he's not a reach at all. Many mock drafts the past month had Johnson going to the Bengals at pick 17. Now, you generally see him going to Baltimore at pick 22, Green Bay at pick 24 or the Colts at pick 29. In every instance, the mocks say these picks are "steals." Johnson was also a guest at the Cowboys' prospect banquet last week, so you know the team likes him. He's the top-rated DT this year, and he would give Dallas a nasty three man rotation inside with LaRoi Glover and Jason Ferguson.
Pick 42: Terrence Murphy, WR, Texas A&M The biggest need at this point is for a free safety. But OU's Brodney Pool will be long gone and the next tier of FSs, Nebraska's Josh Bullocks and Iowa's Sean Considine, are rated in the late-2nd to mid-3rd range. There could be value at CB if someone like Michigan's Marlon Jackson falls, but he's likely to go in a mini-run in the late first, along with Clemson's Justin Miller and Pool. There are other CBs with mid-2nd round grades, guys like Bryant McFadden of Florida State, Eric Green of Virginia Tech or Stanford Routt of Houston. But all of these guys are risks.
The reason Parcells has succeeded in year-three-and-four drafts at New England and New York is because he minimizes risk. Murphy is straight-off-the-board value. He's big, fast, smart and blocks like a demon. He's already a polished route runner. His skill as a kick returner could seal this pick if nobody exceptional falls through the cracks for Dallas.
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I totally agree with your theory if their is no trade by the cowboys on how the draft may play out. I think the dream draft for the Cowboys would be Spears, Merriman, Poole, and if that would happen, Jerry and Bill would be doing a jig in the war room, but like you, I dont think that would be realistic.I think Bill will might take Spears first, then pick up a linebacker,some report Merriman falling to 20, but I cant see that happening.Alot of people are in love with Clayton, but from what I’ve seen of him, he is nothing more than a slot reciever, not a number one reciever which is what we need. I like Murphy, I call him a sleeper. Too many quote college stats,Good size, speed, hands and can block downfield Look what he had throwing to him, name that quarterback game!!! I like travis Johnson, we do need another tackle for the rotation, carson is just a backup at best.
by Derrick on Apr 23, 2005 7:24 AM CDT reply actions
im with you but just not with travis johnson.
yes, we COULD use another DT but we NEED a FS. fergy and glover are already top notch guys and johnson probably wouldnt play as much since they are. i would go FS with this pick. and i would pick poole. we need a FS so badly to help out roy and the rst of the secondary. i just dont think a DT is a major PRIORITY at 20. we rarely have 2 1st rounders so why not use them wisely and pick the players we most definitely need!
oh and i just wanted to say that i am all against the howard deal. my theory is this,
we have 2 1st rounders and have an opportunity of a life time to get some GREAT DE’s or tweeners. if we get howard, we wont be able to do this. and in the coming years, we probably wont have a set of 1st rounders again and we may be so late in the round that we wont be able to get a quality DE then. we HAVE the chance NOW to finally get a guy that will be a great rusher, i say just dont waste it on an injury prone and 28 year old guy.
thats just my thoughts though
by Ryan on Apr 23, 2005 8:11 AM CDT reply actions
Ryan,
I like poole, But not at the 20 pick. He wont be there at 42, since green bay,Falcons and the lions are in the market for a free safety. lots of free safeties in this draft. We can get one in the third round if we trade down a little with our 20th pick to pick up a third.
The Defensive line is a need. With Glover,Ellis and ferguson heading into the early to middle 30’s, and no legitimate backup and rotation linemen, its becoming a NEED.With the failure of this team to actually draft a pure pass rushing DE, What DE/LB tweener is the great player in this draft and a cant miss, you know this how???
With Howard available, for our 42nd pick, thats what I would give the Saints for him, and is a proven DE and is not injury prone. He missed 8 games with a dislocated wrist in his career and that was last year. Go look up his stats in the last eight games of the season, I think that you would change your opinion about him.He is only 28 and in his prime.The Saints have four players in the last year of their contracts that they need to sign and they want to get something for him since they wont be able to sign him after this year and they have two younger /cheaper defensive linemen on the roster.
by Derrick on Apr 23, 2005 8:54 AM CDT reply actions
If Dallas doesn’t trade:
11th- Erasmus James
20th- Mark Clayton
42nd- Marcus Johnson
A trade down from the 20th selection is very possible, if so:
11th- Erasmus James
- Marcus Johnson
42nd- Jerome Mathis - Brandon Browner
- 2 choices aquired in a trade down from 20
by Eric on Apr 23, 2005 10:07 AM CDT reply actions
just because ellis ferguson and glover are in their 30s means nothing. they are still good players, and i know we need backups that are good, but we also need a LB that is outstanding. i would go LB with pick 20. thats my opinion i dont care if your with it or not, i repsect yours but thats just what i would do. BP will do the right thing so us bickering doesnt really matter, in the end, im sure we’ll get a great player
by Ryan on Apr 23, 2005 10:12 AM CDT reply actions
i agree but im very scared of the bust factor i do have faith in bill and jerry but i cant forget the past, thats why i would like to see them trade for rice, howard, or abraham….
by mike on Apr 23, 2005 10:40 AM CDT reply actions
I agree with the picks 11 and 42, but why a DT at #20? What would Johnson play? I guess you could move Glover to end, and put Johnson at DT with Furgueson, but that would be very unnessicary. Plus I don’t really think that Johnson is really that good, I’d much rather get Erasmus James or maybe Dan Cody (though they might have to move him to OLB) to use as DE, and then they wouldn’t have to move anyone. And though I’d like a OLB, DE, and WR, I think that maybe the most pressing need is FS, because I don’t have any faith in anyone they have.
by Zach on Apr 23, 2005 12:25 PM CDT reply actions

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