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Conference Championship Predictions

An NFL season usually unravels a narrative in front of us, if we're capable enough to pick it out.

I think and I stress think, that the 2005 season represents the high water mark of parity. The Pats have dropped down to the rest of the pack, but nobody in the pack has jumped above everyone else. A new mini-dynasty might be on the horizon, but it will start in 2006. This is another 1970, 1980, 1987 or 2000, a transitional year between a dynasty or dynasties, when a strong but limited team outlasts other strong limited teams to win it all.

This explains, I believe, why road teams are 5-3 in the playoffs so far. The unfolding story, so far, has two road warriors vying to emerge from the homogenized "greatness" and play in a Super Bowl. Only twice before have both road teams won their conference title games to meet in a Super Bowl. In 1966 the Packers won in Dallas and the Chiefs won in Buffalo. In 1992, Buffalo went to Miami and spanked the Dolphins. Later that day, our beloved Cowboys beat the 49ers in Candlestick Park.

This year, the Panthers and Steelers could do those four teams one better. The '92 Cowboys played one home playoff game on their title run. So did Buffalo, beating Houston in the biggest comeback game. Green Bay and Kansas City only had one playoff matchup before their Super Bowl.

Carolina and Pittsburgh have each won two road playoff games already. They could be the first pair to reach the title game without playing a single home postseason match. That would be impressive.

Pittsburgh probably had the best game of all the winners last week, executing a superb gameplan on both sides of the ball to eliminate Indianapolis. Carolina took the honors the week before, pitching a shutout in the Meadowlands. Their opponents this week had so-so wins. Seattle struggled against the Redskins defense. The Broncos benefitted from a gaggle of Patriots turnovers. They were as unimpressive winning as the Steelers were impressive.

I'm going with the streaks. The Steelers meet a team that wants to play physical, ground-based football. That's their game, and I think they're slightly better at it than Denver. In the NFC, I've regained my appreciation for my Panthers. (Hey, I picked them to win it all, so what can I say?)

It will be Steelers - Panthers in Super Bowl 40. If home field was going to matter, these teams would have been eliminated already.

Your picks?

Star-divide

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Rafael, I agree on the AFC,but i dont know if the steelers can generate again after such an emotional win.
In the NFC, if the rusty seahawks can score on the skins, they can score on the panthers. If they can control steve smith, they can control the panther’s O. I was 1 and 3 last week but i’ll take a shot:
broncos and seahawks.

by jarhead on Jan 20, 2006 9:31 PM CST reply actions  

i believe it will be the bronco and seahawks.my reason is, the broncos played in a much stronger division with the likes of the chiefs and the chargers and are more battle tested and they beat the pats. i pick the seahawks because to many key panthers are either hurt or out.

by manster65 on Jan 20, 2006 9:32 PM CST reply actions  

make me 3rd man in - bronco / seahawks in the big one I just can’t go against home field AND Steelers had their Superbowl beating Colts — Seahawks will find way to stop Smith

by linus on Jan 20, 2006 10:05 PM CST reply actions  

Broncos over Steelers
Seahawks over Panthers

The Steelers were impressive last week, and the Broncos were the opposite, but some of the overweight Steelers could be limited at Mile High. And I think the Broncos can play better than they did last week.

I agree with manster65 that Peppers(questionable) and Foster(out) sounds bad for the Panthers, and Smith running wild again seems unlikely.

by Lee on Jan 20, 2006 11:07 PM CST reply actions  

Rafael, I agree this year’s champion will be a one hit wonder. This is a transition year from the Pats’ field goal victory margin “Dynasty”.

Broncos are hard to beat at home. Cowher seems like he’s coached more Pro Bowls than anyone in AFC history. I just can’t help but think that Jake the Snake is the X-Factor in this game. Until he proves he can get it done I have to believe he can’t, given his history of blowing it. I can’t stand the Steelers for what they did to us in the 70’s, but they are playing downright mean and nasty right now. I am going to get physically ill if I have to watch highlights of Steelers 70’s games all week, although SB30 will get shown too hopefully. I hate to say it, but I think the Steelers will beat the Broncos.

I like the Panthers and have been thinking they would win it all for quite awhile now. I picked them in NY and in Chicago. I think if Foster was in there and Peppers was 100% this wouldn’t even be close. Unfortunately they got injured at the worst possible time. I don’t consider the Seahawks the best team in the NFC, I still think of them as AFC West. They do have a great ground game though, and they are relatively healthy and playing at home in a loud stadium. I’m afraid at the end of the game the scoreboard is going to show the Seahawks are (somehow) the NFC Champs. Gag.

Steelers/Seahawks Super Bowl. Probably not the big ticket/market matchup the league had been hoping for. Two weeks of hearing about the Steel Curtain from 30 years earlier, and probably very little to nothing mentioned about Ground Chuck, Jim Zorn, or Steve Largent.

by Sterling on Jan 20, 2006 11:32 PM CST reply actions  

I just want the Panthers in there so I can have somebody to root for in the Super Bowl. I can’t see myself ever rooting for Pittsburgh or Denver.

by Rafael Vela on Jan 20, 2006 11:44 PM CST reply actions  

BRONCOS-SEAHAWKS

mark my words

by mrwnt10 on Jan 21, 2006 12:13 AM CST reply actions  

Rafael:

I think I would have to overcome my ambivalence and pull for whichever NFC team makes it, even if they really are AFC West in my mind. I would prefer the Panthers win the SB since we beat them at home late in the season.

by Sterling on Jan 21, 2006 12:32 AM CST reply actions  

I called Pittsburgh like back in week 2 or so. Why get off of them now? .. Pittsburgh vs. Carolina gets my vote.

Raf,

On the dynasty thing: don’t be so sure there isn’t one forming in Carolina. The Panthers were in one Super Bowl 2 years ago, and were malled by injuries last season. If they can win one this year, two SB appearances and one Championship could be a start. They have drafted well, and have a decently young team too.

by Eric R on Jan 21, 2006 1:10 AM CST reply actions  

Steelers vs Seahawks.

by Chandus on Jan 21, 2006 2:03 AM CST reply actions  

Either way, lets just hope for a good game in SB 40. Look at it this way, in the last 2 years, we’ve played right along with or beaten all 4 remaining teams.

by jarhead on Jan 21, 2006 8:34 AM CST reply actions  

And lets not forget a tiny detail,whats cohwers record in big games? I think its 1 & 5 including a loss to our COWBOYS.Like our coach says,you are what you are.So what does that make cohwer?

by manster65 on Jan 21, 2006 11:14 AM CST reply actions  

I say Seahawks and Steelers…..

by sharkz on Jan 21, 2006 5:56 PM CST reply actions  

I agree with you that the Panthers will beat Seattle, but I have to disagree with you in the AFC. I think Denver is just too tough at “Mile High.” If I’m wrong, about Pittsburgh, I wouldn’t be too sad, because it would be nice for “The Bus” to go home to Detroit, perhaps playing and winning his last career game in his hometown.

It will be Denver and Carolina in the Super Bowl.

by onepaniolo on Jan 21, 2006 6:56 PM CST reply actions  

If our ‘Boys ain’t in it, I pull for teams that have never been there.

Pittsburgh vs. Seattle.

by eyeamkurgan on Jan 21, 2006 8:06 PM CST reply actions  

I’m like Rafael. Carolina with one appearance and no wins gets my sentimental favorite tag.

My problem with Pitts & Denver is they are two of the three teams nearest our Boys in appearances. Pittsburgh can tie them on wins.

Denver has 6 appearances, Pittsburgh 5. But having lived in Denver for 5 years, I’m still kinda a homer, so …

Carolina vs. Denver Seattle is still an AFC team in my book.

by Fighter15 on Jan 22, 2006 11:07 AM CST reply actions  

I say Steelers and Seahawks.

Big Ben is on a roll, as is Matt Hasselback. Both games are hard to pick a winner.

I think that the Seahawks will be studying Cowboy tape to see how we stopped Steve Smith. And if I’m not mistaken Foster is on injured reserve.

I’ve been on the Steeler bandwagon since the Cowboys were first mathmatically eliminated from playoff contention. It sounds like a good choice to stick with and I think that the Steelers are a Super Bowl team as Big Ben will be a Hall of Fame QB.

by somejewishdude on Jan 22, 2006 1:43 PM CST reply actions  

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