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Guessing at Parcells' adjustments

There were a few interesting things in today's press conference that kind of slipped right by with all the back-and-forth between Parcells and the reporters. While the debate raged over whether to call the hearse now or just place a reservation for later, and between the hilarious moment of a reporter asking Parcells about being a "Pollyanna" - that had to be a first - Parcells dropped some tantalizing hints about changes.

First, he said something about changes on defense that may be necessary and that would be obvious at the game. This was after he was questioned about Jay Ratliff and what would happen if he didn't play. So that led me to think changes on the defensive line might be coming, since that was the subject of the question. For the record, Stephen Bowen is going to get some reps for Ratliff this week.

Next, Parcells mentioned possibly dressing more defensive linemen for the game. Then he finished up by saying they weren't getting a very good pass rush and that he was doing something about that this week.

So that led to my theory, which is built on absolutely nothing but the few clues from the press conference, and it's flimsy at best. But what the heck, might as well have some fun while waiting for the Cowboys to turn the season around.

If Parcells is going to change up something on the defensive line and try to get more pass rush and he is going to dress more defensive linemen, might he be thinking about playing some traditional 4-3 defense? That would be obvious enough for anyone to see at the game and it could create more pass rush because you could get Jason Hatcher in on a more consistent basis and not just in the nickel. I could imagine a front four of Hatcher and Ware on the outside, with Canty (or Spears) and Ferguson at defensive tackle. At linebacker, you keep Bradie James in the middle, move Akin Ayodele outside to Ware's side and let Singleton and Carpenter handle the other side. This way, you get your two best pass rushers in the game and rushing the passer on a regular basis. Coach said in earlier press conference that they had practiced Ayodele as a backup to Ware at various points this season.

To be clear, I'm not suggesting they are going ditch the 3-4 during the last game of the season, but might they augment with some 4-3 sets? Parcells mentioned that the Lions don't rely on the run very much, so running some 4-3 would allow him to rush 4 guys with no read/react responsibilities for coverage, and it would get Hatcher out there, who is the next best pressure player to Ware.

And before anybody says they already run a 4-3 on 3rd downs and Hatcher and Ware play the ends, that's not a 4-3. It's a nickel, a 4-2-5 alignment. I'm talking about running some traditional 4-3-4 alignments on 1st and 2nd down.

Am I crazy or do I have a case?

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You have a case
It makes perfect sense. Early in training camp BP made a few comments about doing a little of both. We haven't seen it though. Losing Ellis hurt the way BP wants to run the 3-4.

I think it makes sense to use both schemes if the personnel can take advantage of some matchups, some teams struggle against the 3-4. The Mannings hate it, so it works against them, Peyton more than Eli actually.

The 4-3 is more effective in my very amateur opinion, against the "West Coast" offense. The WCO was borne to take advantage of the short passing game and exploit the gaps of the 3-4 scheme. The 4-3 was a counter to that I believe.

Would have been nice to mix it up sooner when Ellis went down but hey if it works - now is better than never.

by Doomsday on Dec 27, 2006 9:54 PM CST reply actions  

I think you are right
The 3-4 has traditionally been the run-stopping defense. It's survived into the passing era by incorporating things like zone blitzes. Since we don't do much of that, we don't have quite the same effectiveness as say Pittsburgh.

Given our dilution/absence of talent, I think Grizz is onto something... overcome Ellis' injury, overcome mental errors, put our number one playmakers (Ware, Fergie and Newman) in a better position to make plays, take pressure off some of our weaker (at least mentally) players... Williams, James, Spears, Canty...

by dunkman on Dec 28, 2006 6:53 AM CST up reply actions  

I have no idea...
...but I'm fired up after that press conference! :) He made me feel better. :)

by Rob Zuber on Dec 27, 2006 10:38 PM CST reply actions  

Excellent!!!!

I really think you make a very compelling case, well done. The combo of "I have some ideas..." in reference to the pass rush (or lack thereof) with the "you will see right away" comment really do add up.

And that press conference made me feel better also.

It just shocks me how the same people who not that long ago were in love with his coaching now want him fired. Crazy. But, as they say, "The NFL is a week-to-week business.

Btw, did anyone think the game "passed him by" while they were in the midst of their run a month ago? Or, did the game just catch up to him in the past 3 weeks?

by TD on Dec 28, 2006 12:44 AM CST reply actions  

Parcells is big on having
the right assistant coaches. I think that has been the biggest difference for him this time around... having really talented offensive and defensive coordinators. For example, Sean Payton wasn't even someone he had coached with when he brought him in, just someone he had run across.

by dunkman on Dec 28, 2006 6:55 AM CST up reply actions  

3-4 defense
is only effective if you have OLBs who can get after the qb, which we don't except for Ware. Now that Ellis is lost, going to the 4-3 makes sense given the personnel we have on our front 7.
In Romo we Trust

by Terry on Dec 28, 2006 9:35 AM CST reply actions  

Not crazy
Makes perfect sense. I say go for it Bill. We aren't getting the job done in the 3-4 alignment right now, so what do we have to lose? We can't do any worse than we already are.....

by Philosopher on Dec 28, 2006 9:49 AM CST reply actions  

Could be good for Carp
From what I've seen of him on the field, I think Carp could be a factor - with his ability to pursue and track people down being better than his ability to shed blocks - as a WLB in the 4-3. It's worth a shot.

And maybe he'll give Parrish some time in the secondary on Sunday, too.

by BlueStarDude on Dec 28, 2006 9:58 AM CST reply actions  

Sounds like a good guess.
Parcells did say that the change would be obvious to the observer.

by dunkman on Dec 28, 2006 10:19 AM CST reply actions  

good points grizz
think about this too.  If we run the 4-3 as a base against detroit, and do well, that will leave the teams in the play-offs guessing.  "Are they going to run the 4-3 or 3-4 on us?"  Not too mention, we need a little more game time experience in the 4-3 so we can mix it up in the play-offs.

Think about it, what did NE do to philly in the SB.  They ran the 4-3 and really confused the eagles.  They didn't expect it.

I would love to see the 4-3 with Ferg and Spears on the inside and Hatcher and Ware on the outside.  Thow some Canty in there to releive Ferg and Spears.  If they do this, and it works, could be hard to stop!

Cowboy fan since I was conceived!

by airtyme on Dec 28, 2006 11:17 AM CST reply actions  

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