Early vegas odds

by King Man on Jan 6, 2008 4:22 PM CST

Have the Cowboys giving 7.5. That sounds about right.

I expect the Cowboys to play the TO situation close to the chest, but force the Giants to gameplan for a healthy and healed TO. In fact, I'm sure TO dresses and starts, regardless.

Need a monster effort from the run-D and the pass rush.

FWIW, NFC is generic 16 point dog in the SB.

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Comments

Of course Giants will gameplan for T.O.

they'd be fools not to regardless what the injury reports say.

If the NFC gets 16 in the SB, I'd love that, easy money.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on Jan 6, 2008 4:34 PM CST reply actions

Vegas Odds

Vegas sets the Odds to promote gambling, not on who they necessarily think will win or how close the game will be.

Watch the odds change as the week progresses.

by DeRat on Jan 6, 2008 5:37 PM CST reply actions

apparently you dont know anything about gambling

by HSO on Jan 6, 2008 6:58 PM CST up reply actions

See Cowboy Louie below

He said, so much more eloquently, what I was trying to say.

by DeRat on Jan 6, 2008 7:17 PM CST up reply actions

I don't think

the odds will change that much over the week. 7.5 points will bring in alot of money on the giants,which is what vegas wants!

You'll never get in a traffic jam,while going the extra mile. -Roger staubach

by TrueBlue24 on Jan 6, 2008 6:12 PM CST reply actions

Giants fans are on cloud nine right now. They'll get plenty of takers, the odds will fall more to Dallas's favor, and smart people who aren't quite smart enough to abstain from gambling altogether will profit!

by Or Moyal on Jan 6, 2008 6:26 PM CST up reply actions

Vegas

What Vegas wants is equal money bet on both teams. They are then assured of winning since you must pay for the privledge of gambling - that is why you must put down $110 for a $100 bet. If $10M is collectively bet on the Dallas/NY game, Vegas will collect $11M when the bets are made and then distribute $10M back to the winners.

So, the point spreads do not reflect who Vegas thinks will win the game. They reflect what Vegas thinks the public needs to put equal money on each side. The point spread changes over the course of a week because too much money is being bet on one side - Vegas tweaks the line to encourage money on the opposite side.

by Cowboy Louie on Jan 6, 2008 7:02 PM CST up reply actions

Not exactly true....

More true for moneyline (win/loss) bets, but I would not agree with the statement above in regards to straight-wager bets involving spreads for one game. Any given Sunday there are bets out there that are getting 75% or more of the money, yet the spreads don't change. If it were announced that TO would be inactive this Sunday, there would be drastic change in the spread, but without a big news item, you probably won't see the spread change much more than a point.

Earlier this season the Patriots were minus 4.5 at Indy and 77% of the money was being placed on the Patriots to cover. The spread (set by expert Vegas oddsmakers) didn't move all week and the Patriots ended up winning the game 24 to 20, and not covering the spread. The oddsmakers won on this particular bet, but they might get whipped by the betting public on another game.

Your statement is more true for the big picture. If gamblers are able to win 50% of the time (for all bets) the gaming companies are able to profit from the "juice".

by Fargo Cowboys on Jan 6, 2008 9:43 PM CST up reply actions