Cowboys vs. 49ers Preview: Little Things That Could Pay Big Dividends
Some minute events in the Cowboys-Redskins game, which could mushroom into bigger factors tomorrow against San Francisco:
-- Demarcus Finds His Hands
Demarcus Ware is one of the most talented NFL defenders. His effort is unquestioned. His productivity is steady, and high. Yet he still has more room to grow than possibly any other All-Pro level player in the league.
If you've watched Ware for long stretches you know he relies almost exclusively on his speed. He's an edge rusher -- period. He's worked on improving hand usage. Greg Ellis and Paul Pasqualoni schooled him every day in San Antonio during Camp '07. Yet for some reason, the lessons have been slow to take. When the games start, Ware seems to fall back on the familiar, which is to let it rip around the outside. By coincidence, KC Joyner posted a piece in the New York Times today demonstrating how one-dimensional Ware's game has been.
That's why last week's sack may be a turning point in Ware's career. In the 3rd quarter, Ware started an outside move against Chris Samuels, who slid wide and cut Ware off. At the edge of his rush, Ware planted, grabbed Samuels with both hands and used the OT's momentum to throw him aside. Ware cut under the stumbling Samuels and sacked Jason Campbell.
This is the type of move Charles Haley perfected, the out-and-under counter rush. Yet this was the first time in four years that I've seen Ware use such a move to get a sack. If Ware can make this move part of his repertoire, 20+ sack seasons will be realistic goals. He could move from being one of the best defensive players in football to being THE guy.
Ware is going against Joe Staley this week. Staley, a top pick for the 49ers in '07, has been rushed into the lineup and has struggled, to put things politely. He gave up 6.5 sacks last year as a right tackle. (By contract, the Cowboys starters gave up 11 as a group last year.)
This year, Staley is playing left tackle and he's been worse. Joyner told me today that he's graded nine of the 'Niners' ten games and that Staley has allowed at least one sack in all but one of those games. He described Staley as a "revolving door." Dallas will undoubtedly match Ware against Staley as often as they can. Watch Ware to see if he tosses the counter move at Staley. If he does, he should add a couple of sacks to his already-gaudy total.
Kosier and Gurode Grade NTs
Kyle Kosier's return bolstered the Cowboys' pass protection. Washington didn't sack Tony Romo after bagging him three times in October. Kosier also added much-needed punch to the Cowboys' inside running game. Washington played a lot of fronts that shaded a DT on C Andre Gurode's left shoulder. Dallas repeatedly ran zone blocking plays that called for Kosier and Gurode to initially double-team the NT, before one of them scraped off and blocked the MLB.
Kosier and Gurode rolled their tackle several times, showing him four to five yards upfield before one of them pancaked the guy. Gurode seemed like a different player with his best mate beside him. What's more, Marion Barber looked like a different back, since he had consistent room to run up the middle
Add a season-best blocking performance by FB Deon Anderson and we saw the type of rushing muscle the Cowboys have lacked all year.
San Francisco has a decent 3-4 scheme that has just two lineman over 300 lbs. -- their NTs Aubrayo Franklin and Isaac Sopoaga. Watch how Kosier and Gurode attack these guys. If they can get another strong and regular push the Cowboys running game will purr.
Overall
The Cowboys have several key matchups in their favor. When the 49ers have the ball, look for Dallas to continue blitzing and tight coverage, whether Terence Newman plays or not. Mike Martz calls the 49ers plays, but he does not have a deep threat in his arsenal to make the Cowboys secondary back off. Isaac Bruce is steady, but aged and Bryant Johnson is the same middling player he was in Arizona.
What's more, Mike Jenkins is coming on. His season YPA has dropped to the high 5s, very low-6 range and he's still improving. The Giants threw away from him and if he's on the field in Newman's place, I look for the 'Niners to attack Anthony Henry, as the Giants did three weeks ago.
One matchup that could work for the 'Niners will come in the slot, where rookie Jason Hill has started to produce. He had a quality game against Arizona and he'll draw fellow rookie Orlando Scandrick, who has played well himself, but who shows awful tackling technique.
Look for a similar game plan from the defense -- press the line to stop Frank Gore's rushes and to get pressure on QB Shaun Hill.
When Dallas has the ball, look for more ball control, with deliberate, play-action strikes down the field. The Cowboys offense is vertical by nature and this will likely be the first chance to go deep since Roy Williams was acquired. Weather should not prevent deep throws, as it did in Washington last week.
The Niners don't have a fearsome rush. They're on pace for just 33 this year. Their corners are so-so: Nate Clements' YPA is a Henry-esque 7.8 and Walt Harris is 7.5. That's not terrible, but its not good either. If the Niners are not getting to Romo, he'll have the time to look downfield and he'll have the receivers to get open.
The only nagging question from last week is how much Romo was limited by his healing finger and how much he was held back by the strong winds that swirled in FedEx Field? Dallas did not throw more than ten yards downfield in the first 20 minutes of the game and all of his intermediate throws were between the hash marks.
Jason Garrett did not call any deep out, fades or go patterns. Is Romo's pinky taking the spin off his deep ball, or was it simply a function of the weather?
If Romo has his fastball back, the big plays should return. If he's still healing, a more controlled approach will be in order. Regardless, the Cowboys have the talent and depth to settle the issue.
The 'Niners are 1-3 on the road. The lone win was a 33-30 squeaker over the woeful Seahawks in week two. They're playing harder for Mike Singletary but they're still a good matchup for the Cowboys. Control Gore, hold on to the football and it will be on to Thanksgiving.
Dallas 27, San Francisco 14
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48 comments
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Comments
It's scary to think that Ware could get better
But it is true no doubt. His future has absolutely no limit to what he can accomplish.
by mhuff13 on Nov 22, 2008 3:55 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
It's Up to Him
He worked all last summer on that rip move and shelved it once the game started. He threw a spin move in the Cleveland game and I’ve seen it once since.
If he can translate these moves from the practice field into games he can be as good as he wants to be.
by Rafael Vela on Nov 22, 2008 3:57 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
+1 ... This is a great observation, and bodes well for Ware's future.
I agree with mhuff, it’s scary to think Ware could get even better. If this proves true, and defenses start to scheme EVEN MORE against this threat, it will allow the rest of our guys to shine. Not to mention opening up more success with blitzing packages. This defense seems on the verge of greatness, could it comes at “the hands” of Ware?
Tar Heels football will surprise this year
by DalaiLuke on Nov 22, 2008 4:01 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Raf, I remember ware in
the 1st skins game where he was against samuels, started to rush outside and portis came over to chip him. Ware quickly did a spin move back in side and samuels was unable to recover. I believe that play led to a sack. Do you remember that play, if so is is similar to what you were describing?
Ignore the Mainstream Media, EMBRACE THE HATE!!!!
by cowboy78 on Nov 23, 2008 12:01 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Glad I'm not the only one who has noticed this.
I’ve been ripping Ware all season for his one dimensional pass rush and have heard about it plenty from my fellow BTB’ers. That’s why I think Jarred Allen is the best pass rusher in the game today. He seems like the only guy with a full repertoire of moves.
by Mandmeisterx on Nov 23, 2008 10:55 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Great stuff as always
The weather at FEDEX played a role. The Skins also took very few shots downfield as well. But I also think Garrett is compensating for Flo’s hand problems. He doesn’t seem to be able to punch out and get the rusher moved outside. Since he’s not particularly quick of foot, he’s then getting beat. He looked better in DC, but I think they adjusted the game plan for that, Tony’s hand and the weather.
Never wrestle with a pig. You both get dirty and the pig loves it.
by dunkman on Nov 22, 2008 4:01 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
If Newman's out, I bet we'll see more zone again
I agree with Vela’s take on Mike Jenkins. The problem is that if Newman is out, we have to put Anthony Henry back on the field on the other side. I bet it will push Wade back into a soft zone look most of the time. That should allow SF to move the ball and score.
I think we’ll still win, but I’m not sure we’re going to cover the 10-point spread.
by VAfan on Nov 22, 2008 5:25 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Will this team ever generate turnovers? Stop turning it over ourselves?
I think turnovers are a huge reason why this team has underachieved. Romo continues to turn the ball over, at least once a game. This is exceedingly damaging to the team.
Plus, our defense is nowhere near as successful as it was last year at picking the ball off. Maybe last year it came because we forced teams into catchup mode, while this year we haven’t had big leads in most games. But Henry had 6 picks, Hamlin had 5, and Newman had 4 I seem to recall. This year, only Newman has a pick, and it’s just one. That’s a huge dropoff.
I’m not sure what we need to do to correct this imbalance, but it would go a long way to making us a more dominant team.
by VAfan on Nov 22, 2008 5:29 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
I posted in another thread that
Turning the ball over once a game isn’t as damaging as you make it sound, I listed 4 QB’s who averaged between 1.4 and 1.8 turnovers per game for their careers. Montana, Bradshaw, Aikman, and Favre. I probably could have found more. Between those 4, that’s 12 Super Bowl’s.
by mhuff13 on Nov 22, 2008 6:18 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Are you sure?
I just looked at their stats on NFL.com, and they don’t reflect what you’re saying for Montana and Aikman. Bradshaw doesn’t really count in my opinion, as it was a much different game in the 70s vs. 80s to now. Aikman played 165 games and had 163 turnovers, and during the Super Bowl winning years, he had 32 turnovers in 46 games. Montana played in 192 games and had 144 turnovers, although maybe a few more as his fumble statistics don’t appear to be accurate. In his 4 Super Bowl seasons, Montana had 40 interceptions in 59 games. Brett Favre does have more turnovers than games played, but he also only won one Super Bowl, and in that season he had 17 turnovers in only 16 games, but a 3:1 TD to INT ratio.
Romo’s career TD to INT ratio is less than 2:1, and has gotten worse each season, so far. I think that’s what alarms people more than the fact that he turns it over, is that he seems to be turning it over more frequently. I think if he had a solid 2-3:1 ratio, people would back off of that charge a little bit, but the argument that you have to accept turnovers to get big plays is less convincing at his current ratio.
by Baked Potato Soup on Nov 22, 2008 7:37 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I found your other post, and...
I think that your numbers are wrong for Aikman and Montana, and that we should be looking at what those guys did in their Super Bowl winning years than their career numbers or years that they didn’t win it all. For example, you cite Peyton Manning, but in the year that the Colts won the Super Bowl, he only had 10 turnovers. So while his career turnovers are more than 1 a game, the year that he actually won it all, he had less than 1 a game.
It’s not really fair to say this guy has these numbers and won a Super Bowl, so it’s okay for Romo to have similar numbers, unless you are using the seasons where they actually won the Super Bowl.
Sorry, I was incorrect about Romo’s TD:INT getting worse each season. It has actually gotten better, 1.46:1, 1.89:1 and so far this year, 2.14:1, so looking good so far this year. Maybe the problems do lie elsewhere this season, like the defense and obviously the injuries. Really, if we were 7-3 instead of 6-4, most people wouldn’t be that worried.
by Baked Potato Soup on Nov 22, 2008 7:54 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm a huge Romo fan,
but the reason it seems like he has more turnovers than his TD:INT ratio indicates is because he had a few early season fumbles as well.
"When it's third and ten, you can take the milk drinkers and I'll take the whiskey drinkers every time." -Max McGee
by BigDinSC on Nov 22, 2008 8:02 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
You're looking at the wrong numbers
I’m going off games started. For example, Montana played in (so it says) 16 games in 1979, and only threw like 30 passes. You think he actually played in 16 games, or the 1 he started? Romo is also listed as playing in 6 games in 2004, and 16 in 2005. Yet he didn’t even throw a pass until 2006.
by mhuff13 on Nov 22, 2008 9:16 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Still, their career numbers don't tell the whole story.
That makes sense, but if you look at the seasons where they actually won the Super Bowl, it is less than a turnover a game, except Favre, who had 1.06/game but threw 39 TDs. Romo probably needs to do better than a turnover per game for his team to win it all, also.
For Montana, I’d say other than his first season, he did start every game that he played in, so that’s 177 games, right? They have him in less than 16 games in a lot of the other seasons, and I’m pretty sure he was the starter for all of his games after season 1. That’s still less than an INT/game, although I don’t have his true fumbles numbers. Granted, the guy’s hallmark was his accuracy.
by Baked Potato Soup on Nov 22, 2008 11:02 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
start fast
I hope the Cowboys can get out to a good lead early. I’ve seen the Niners come to Texas Stadium banged up and ready for a quick and thorough whipping, only to lay a big loss on us. I was there and it hurt bigtime. Score on our opening drive, and don’t give them anything easy.
by CowboyMan on Nov 22, 2008 7:10 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Great post Raf.
Also, Ware is dangerous to any offense because of his run stop abilities. Maybe the defensive scheme of stop the run first dissuades him from trying out that inside move.
by spongebobstarpants on Nov 22, 2008 7:41 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
I don’t feel good about this game at all
The injuries to Newman, Austin and F. Jones are just getting to be too much. Our options continue to get smaller on offense and the defense w/out Newman will mistakenly go back to a more passive approach after executing such a brilliant game plan last Sunday.
Henry is just absolutely awful and I hope we are seeing his last run w/ the Cowboys this year. I cannot remember ever seeing a defense that gives up more 3rd and really longs than this team does.
Certain players can be replaced without too much fall-off but Newman is just not one of them. If he’s not 100% and ready to go this team just cannot (or more correctly will not) play the sort of pressure defense w/ the sort of press coverage we saw last weekend. The 49ers have played in back to back games where their offense has been very productive and if Dallas slips back into that passive zone scheme we saw during Newman’s last absence than the Niners will score at will.
On offense the Cowboys have not scored more than 14 points since October 14th. That’s over a month! It can’t help that a few big plays guys are out and those that are playing are not 100%.
This team is not built to win every game in the way that they did against Washington. The big play and lots of points have just got reemerge in the Dallas attack. Garrett has got to get creative again. He has the types of wide outs to run any number of formations with. Both Owens and Williams give you the whole field and it’s a crime that they still are not being utilized. We should see a lot more motion and crossing routes and lining them on the same side etc.. Barber really needs the passing game early to open those running lanes for him late.
by gee-roj on Nov 22, 2008 8:15 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Ware is a beast, even as a one-trick pony
Maybe he doesn’t make QBs soil themselves like CHaley did, but heck, that included some OLs, coaches and teammates. Ware needs to introduce himself to Shaun Hill early and often. I see this being the first ‘easy’ game for us this year. Yeah, Cleveland turned out to be a walk but I think we hit ’em hard in the mouth early and Mike Singletary has to invent yet another halftime motivation show (pun intended).
Cowboys 31
SF 13
by Keys80 on Nov 22, 2008 8:18 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Why exactly was Haley so feared?
My memory is getting fuzzy, I guess. No doubt the team immediately won 3 Super Bowls in the 4 years he was healthy, but does this correlation imply causation? Sure, Jerry Jones said the team couldn’t even spell “Super Bowl” before Haley arrived, but maybe the arrival of Norv Turner, the maturation of Troy Aikman and continued prime performances of Emmitt Smith and Michael Irvin also helped out. I mean, Haley had 34 sacks as a Cowboy in 63 games, he was injured a lot and as I recall was always claiming to retire and now we read he was constantly walking around with his d*ck in his hand. I dunno, obviously he was a great pickup for what, a 4th round draft choice, but was he really that much better than Ware?
by DavidH22 on Nov 22, 2008 10:58 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Who would you be more scared of?
Would you rather get sacked by a nice guy like Ware, or a crazy son of a bitch like Haley? I think one problem with Ware is that he doesn’t seem to generate as much pressure if he doesn’t get a sack, like it’s either all or nothing a lot of the time. Haley was more of a constant threat. Of course, Haley had way better help than Ware does, so that could be part of it.
by Baked Potato Soup on Nov 22, 2008 11:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Ware was the best rated def player
that rated top 3 in sacks, hits and hurries for 07. It was an espn FO article of the top 3 sack leaders, ware was the best all around pass rusher, the other two top sack guys had a big drop off from in the other two categories, he is not a one trick pony.
Ignore the Mainstream Media, EMBRACE THE HATE!!!!
by cowboy78 on Nov 23, 2008 12:07 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
No, he's a One and a Half Trick Pony
It’s a hell of a trick, but do you see Ware regularly use:
— counter moves?
— spin moves?
— swim moves?
— rip moves?
— get to the QB with bull rushes?
No. He gets there with speed. If he had Greg Ellis’ hand usage he would be a guaranteed 20 sack guy.
That’s not a knock. It’s to point out how much better he can still be.
by Rafael Vela on Nov 23, 2008 12:17 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
My point was in the categories of
hurries, hits, and sacks.
Ignore the Mainstream Media, EMBRACE THE HATE!!!!
by cowboy78 on Nov 23, 2008 12:33 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I did not take your artilce as a knock on ware
I was replying to what BPS said about how ware is only a sack man and not much else. I am not critizing your point just repling to his.
Ignore the Mainstream Media, EMBRACE THE HATE!!!!
by cowboy78 on Nov 23, 2008 12:34 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I was being sarcastic with the One-Trick Pony remark....
DavidH22
Ever read any books on Mr. Haley? I have, like Jimmy Johnson’s for instance. Haley was feared both on the field and in the locker room. SF traded him, in his prime, for a reason. As a player, Ware is still not to his level…yet, that day is fast approaching!
by Keys80 on Nov 23, 2008 8:24 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
That's not what I meant.
I think Ware is a great all around linebacker, but when it comes to rushing the passer, it often seems that on plays when he doesn’t get a sack, he doesn’t generate any pressure at all. That’s why he seemingly disappears for huge chunks out of some games. I understand that he contributes a lot more in pass defense than Haley did, as he is a linebacker and not a defensive end. If he doesn’t beat the guy off the line, though, he usually is out of the play when he is rushing, unless the play is extended. I agree that he has the potential to be even more dangerous.
I also meant that I would rather get hit by Ware than Haley, because Haley was such a wildcard. Sociopaths scare me.
by Baked Potato Soup on Nov 23, 2008 3:54 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
They lso ask Ware
to do more in the run game and even in coverage. Although he had a greater menu of skills, Haley also had fewer responsibilities to learn and work on.
Never wrestle with a pig. You both get dirty and the pig loves it.
by dunkman on Nov 23, 2008 8:26 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Haley was stout against the run as well
I am NOT dissing DWare. He is our defensive MVP in all respects but Haley was as well. Haley like DWare had that rare combo of speed, power, and meanness that translated to all O Coordinators game-planning every meeting with Dallas. Without Haley, Dallas does not win 3 of 4 just as without DWare this latest iteration won’t find themselves in the big one.
by Keys80 on Nov 23, 2008 10:41 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
How many Super Bowls
did they win without Haley..? Oh yeah Zero.
by gee-roj on Nov 23, 2008 10:06 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Game on the NorCal, KTXL Ch. 40
This time we can’t be taken off for the local team, because we’re playing the local team. Life is good.
by CowboyMan on Nov 22, 2008 8:56 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
you made it over to the new blog, huh?
We’d better win this one. I think it’s going to be closer than we want, esp. now w/Newman hurt.
by Realist Larry on Nov 22, 2008 9:27 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
yup...
i get to stay at home and get drunk watching the ‘boys instead of going to a bar and getting drunk watching. either way i’ll be drunk but it’ll be in the confines of my own home. did i mention how drunk i’m going to be? lol…..
that’s the worse thing about living in norcal (if you wanna consider sac norcal). either way you go you get horrible sports games: raiders, niners, kings, etc. ugh.
and it’s the first game, so i won’t have to sit through some terrible raiders game before the game comes. man. what a wonderful world we live in…
"They need security in the world, Craig!"
by Tuna Helper on Nov 23, 2008 12:45 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Just play the game already
I haven’t felt this good about a game since the Lambs. I was one of the ones not too worried about Romo not playing. Saying that would be a good game for him to rest up and get healed. We all know how that turned out.
I think this could be a telling game for us. Do we show the desperation team that does what it takes or the one that lets other teams dictate their will. I think we will find out fairly quickly. Still think we cover the spread handily, but…
Btw, first post since ‘the merger’ nice to be back
by shaneshot on Nov 22, 2008 9:02 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
man i've been thinking that for a while...
finally someone verbalized it…..thanks man….
if ware develops an arsenal, watch out world. hide the women and children!
"They need security in the world, Craig!"
by Tuna Helper on Nov 22, 2008 9:13 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Martz has had our number the last 2 years
with Detroit. I couldn’t believe the success they had against us last year especially.
Although we won the game, that was the beginning of the end for the Boys last year.
He has made Kitna and a bunch of unknowns (who was the FB that killed us?)look like all-pros against us.
Let’s hope our coaches studied those tapes and that Burnett is playing a lot, because they killed our LB’s in pass coverage both years.
by Realist Larry on Nov 22, 2008 9:33 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
I'll say it again...
You boys from the Silver & Blue Report are a welcome addition to this here blog.
Nothing against our own Grizz, Brandon and TH, who always bring it. I’m just saying that I really enjoy how this blog is progressing. Nice work boys.
Let’s get them Niners tomorrow!!
by CTBoy on Nov 22, 2008 10:44 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Realist Larry
Great point..
Bradie James was called out by Kitna, 56 doesn’t know what he’s doing.
by CHARB on Nov 23, 2008 10:17 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
NEWMAN IS PLAYING
just reported on NFL network…. HUGE!!!
by DieSlowKeyshawn on Nov 23, 2008 10:57 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
oh, I thought he was going on IR, LOL!!!!!!
In Romo we Trust
by Terry on Nov 23, 2008 11:23 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
lol... should have taken me up on the paypal bet. I was just pulling deek's, "reverse psychology"
hahaha and it paid off here.
by DieSlowKeyshawn on Nov 23, 2008 11:26 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Let's go fellas!!!!
Raf, lets get a game thread up I’m stoked!
Raul, I’m still working on it buddy…keep your fingers crossed
Boys 31
FourtyWhinners 21
by Vegas Cowboy on Nov 23, 2008 11:22 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
i want keyshawn to just go away
most overrated player in history of the sports.
Jindal '12
by Longhorn on Nov 23, 2008 11:22 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
I second that…I was able to stomach him when he was on our team, but after we canned him for TO he just got bitter. Get in line Meshawn…just another boys hater
by Vegas Cowboy on Nov 23, 2008 11:25 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
What the hell... Boys are wearing their thanksgiving throwbacks
Thought they only wore them on Thanksgiving, however I noticed teams have been wearing their throwbacks multiple times per year (i.e. the Jets wore those hideous jerseys twice in three weeks.) It’s a little weird that they are wearing them today and then 4 days later on Thanksgiving.
by DieSlowKeyshawn on Nov 23, 2008 11:30 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Staley v Cowboy's OL
So we gave up an average of 5.5 sacks/tackle? Giving up 0.0625 less sacks per game (1/16) doesn’t seem that significant to me. Did I misread?
by mlibbey on Nov 23, 2008 11:52 AM CST reply actions 0 recs

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