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Forget Romo, The Run Defense Will Decide the Game

Light a candle for Ken Hamlin's ankle. 

Say a prayer for Keith Davis' knee.

Their health, more than Tony Romo's mental state, or the Wheaties in Cory Proctor's diet, will decide Sunday night's matchup against the Giants.

Let's go back to the first meeting between these teams on November 2nd, because it has marked a turning point in Dallas' season.  On that day the Giants, with major help from the Dallas QBs, broke the game open in a five minute span between the 3:00 minute mark of the second quarter and the 13:00 minute mark of the 3rd.  That's when two awful picks, one by Brad Johnson and the second by Brooks Bollinger, gave the Giants two very short fields that their offense traversed for two TDs.

 

Star-divide

The Dallas defense had come in with an aggressive game plan, stacking the line, sending linebackers into the New York backfield, blitzing Eli Manning heavily and pressing his receivers. 

The plan had kept the game under control.  New York led 14-7 at the 3:22 mark, and Dallas had the ball.  The Cowboys D had forced three punts.  It had two takeaways, one a Mike Jenkins pick six for Dallas' only score.  It had pressured Manning and forced several risky passes.

Marion Barber had just run a toss right for 24 yards to give Dallas a 1st down near midfield.  The Cowboys were hanging around, and were at worst a first down from keeping the score 14-7 at the half. Then came the picks and two minutes into the second half, Dallas was down 28-7.

The defense collapsed at that point.  The Giants runners went off, finishing with 200 rushing yards.  This, just two weeks after Stephen Jackson ripped Dallas for 160 yards and four scores.

The spine of the Dallas run defense was gelatinous.  All the defensive ends were missing.  The linebackers were slow to fill running lanes and even slower to shed blocks.  The safeties were missing tackles. 

All that changed over the bye.  Whatever adjustments the coaches made have worked.  The defense, which let New York rush for 200 yards has only allowed 210 yards on the ground in the subsequent four games.  Clinton Portis gained 121 yards in the first Cowboys/Redskins game but gained just 68 the second time. 

Frank Gore could muster just 26 yards against the Cowboys front.  The Seahawks trio of Julius Jones, T.J. Duckett and Maurice Morris gained 67.  Last week, Willie Parker and Mewelde Moore could only push for 47 yards. 

The Cowboys look ready to throw a bigger roadblock before the Giants' rushers.  And Brandon Jacobs is nursing a knee injury that took him from the Eagles game one play into the second half.  He has not practiced this week and will likely be a game-time decision. 

It will not matter if Davis and or Hamlin are kept out of the game.  I expect Dallas to pressure every bit as much this time around, and with Romo back at the controls, the Cowboys offense will have far more down-the-field firepower than it had last month. 

If the safeties can't play, the odds of another big New York rushing day go up -- way up.  This game can be won if the defense can put it on Eli Manning's shoulders.  The Eagles showed how to slow Manning down last week, when they doubled Dominik Hixon, the Giants lone deep threat, and forced Manning to rely on short tosses.  Manning never got a rhythm and didn't tally a single point until the final minute of the game. 

If Dallas can slow the run, they can play Jim Johnson's game.  Today, that plan is in the trainers' hands. 

0 recs  |  Comment 34 comments |

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FIRST!

"I got a fever. And the only prescription is more cowbell." -- Bruce Dickinson

www.brainfriednetwork.com [NEWS/SPORTS/FOOTBALL]

by silverblue5 on Dec 10, 2008 11:59 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Now WHY can't the MSM write more detailed analyses like this?!?!

Thanks for taking the time to break down the rush defense numbers from the first Giants meeting to now, Raf.

You really put things into perspective.

"I got a fever. And the only prescription is more cowbell." -- Bruce Dickinson

www.brainfriednetwork.com [NEWS/SPORTS/FOOTBALL]

by silverblue5 on Dec 11, 2008 12:01 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

IT'S SIMPLE!!!

Keep the D from having to protect a short field and we win!!!!

"No room for toe dippers....."

by Lowdaddy on Dec 11, 2008 12:51 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

he'd be

hanging onto an ankle being drug around the field.

I commented. You're welcome.

another transplant from The Blue & Silver Report

by bulldog jeeper on Dec 11, 2008 5:30 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

He can bring him down

If you hit him early, he gets two steps it is over..

"If you see me up in the mountains with a lion, I ain't lyin
don't help me, help the mountain lion"

by Wmillion on Dec 11, 2008 2:40 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Honestly, Scott

I’d rather see Kevin Burnett playing SS than Battle. If the Giants are in their base offense, with two WRs, put Burnett there. He’s 227 and can cover RBs and TEs.

by Rafael Vela on Dec 11, 2008 12:58 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

interesting idea

he may have the requisite skills, but does he know the position at all? I mean the reason Henry can’t play FS full time is not knowing the position even though he has played it some before and certainly has the basic skills and build for it. Has Burnett ever played SS? Could he realistically play back there effectively?

by scottmaui on Dec 11, 2008 1:22 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know

but it would only be an issue if both Hamlin and Davis can’t play.

Davis practiced some today. I think Hamlin will play but is being held out to maximize his health on game day. Considering they both played well in the Steelers game, I’d be very surprised if they both missed the game.

by Rafael Vela on Dec 11, 2008 1:27 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

yeah, sounds like one or both will play

but still, Battle was in the game on defense vs. PIT, so the thought of him getting run over by Jacobs going downhill is not appealing…

by scottmaui on Dec 11, 2008 2:04 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree

You play to win the game!

by Simms-McConkey on Dec 11, 2008 10:07 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

The said he is expected to play

I think he might try to go, but it would be dumb to force him out there with 1st place and Homefield locked down..

"If you see me up in the mountains with a lion, I ain't lyin
don't help me, help the mountain lion"

by Wmillion on Dec 11, 2008 2:45 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

After watching your game against the Steelers

I was very impressed with the Dallas defense. They kept Ben from being effective most of the game with a great pass rush and nearly won the game for you.

If we want to avoid the problems Pittsburgh had we need Jacobs to be effective. Our offensive line is significanatly better at pass defense than the Steelers, and because of injuries if Eli has time he should be able to exploit your secondary, but without a viable running threat that could break down.

by giant fan since 57 on Dec 11, 2008 4:34 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Defense

… can and must step up to keep us in this game, but Romo can always give the game away with his stupid picks.

Time for the QB to do his part to win the game.

Keep doing what you been doing, keep getting what you been getting.

by OskieOskie on Dec 11, 2008 7:09 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Heartily agree

“Forget Romo” he says. That’s hogwash. The only way Romo will not have a significant impact on this game will be if he’s on the sidelines. Now whether or not it will be a positive(for the Cowboys) impact or negative impact we’ll just have to wait and see. Given previous performances, I don’t have high hopes for a positive impact.

Otherwise we are filled with what amounts to truisms in this “analysis”: Raf has noticed that run defense is vital for winning games. Wow! As if no one ever thought of that before.

Well, I’ll be a noob that’s never seen a football game if that’s insightful.

by wasmarcus on Dec 11, 2008 2:58 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Forget Romo

because I don’t think he’s going to play poorly, unlike you.

He’s had two really bad games the last two years. out and out awful. The Philly
game last year and last week’s game. He won the Buffalo game. Led a late rally
that overcame his putrid three quarters.

What’s more likely, a guy who has about one bad game for every eight or nine starts
is going to suddenly have four real bad ones or that he’s going to go back to being
a good player.

I stand by my position.

by Rafael Vela on Dec 11, 2008 3:10 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I guess the title could have read, "Romo will not be a negative factor, the focus should be on the run def"

but it is not as snappy as the original.

Ignore the Mainstream Media, EMBRACE THE HATE!!!!

by cowboy78 on Dec 11, 2008 3:15 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Good stat
The defense, which let New York rush for 200 yards has only allowed 210 yards on the ground in the subsequent four games.

That’s impressive.

by eliason on Dec 11, 2008 8:02 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Since this is on topic I wanted to ask you about this article I saw Raf

It was a little nugget of info from a guy named Horton talking about how he noticed a different def scheme from the iggles in last week’s game. Here is the link, let me know if this makes sense:

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/columns/story?columnist=horton_gary&id=3754887

The item is like the 4th paragraph down.

Ignore the Mainstream Media, EMBRACE THE HATE!!!!

by cowboy78 on Dec 11, 2008 8:28 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Refreshing

to see an article with actual analysis!

That also says interesting things about the Giants secondary and their FB…

Based on last week’s game, the Gianst WR’s seemed lost…hopefully we can disrupt Eli (he has only been sacked 15 times this year) enough that he is inaccurate and the WR’s miss.

by Cal in DC on Dec 11, 2008 9:58 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Even in the 35-14 loss

the Cowboys defense sacked Eli four times…and it’s not like he dropped back 40 times either. Not to mention they forced him into 3 turnovers (2 fumbles and an int)

by DavidH22 on Dec 11, 2008 10:18 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I didn't watch the tape or the game,

but that’s almost word for word what the Eagles defenders said they did, right after the game.

by Baked Potato Soup on Dec 11, 2008 10:05 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Sadly if the proctologist is playing we are toast if the D cannot get a bunch of turnovers.

by burmafrd1944 on Dec 11, 2008 9:22 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Score

Early and often and the Giants run game becomes moot. If we let them hang around they will try to pound our defense into submission. If we get them down by 14 Blitz Eli and force him to throw to the outside and we will kill him. If we start defending the outside (leaving the middle open) like we did the last 7 minutes against Pit we will get eaten alive. Time for a gut check Wade. Will you stick with what works the whole game or give it up after getting burned one time?

by GunsUp on Dec 11, 2008 10:13 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Offense

I agree with everything that Raf said above but I will be looking & hoping for our offense to bounce back and score some points. I want to see Roy Williams get involved. Hell, Crayton was more involved when he was starting. Stop the run & score some points!!

by tyler2 on Dec 11, 2008 11:21 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Williams injury might be serious

hope not but its the same thing that knocked Terence Newman down last year. A tear in the heel. We’ll have to see. I don’t think he disappeared last week solely because Romo couldn’t find him.

Miles Austin can’t come back fast enough for me.

by Rafael Vela on Dec 11, 2008 11:35 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Roy's injury may have had a bigger impact than was covered.

Raf did you see my earlier comment, I was hoping for some feedback. Here is the link.

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/columns/story?columnist=horton_gary&id=3754887

Ignore the Mainstream Media, EMBRACE THE HATE!!!!

by cowboy78 on Dec 11, 2008 11:38 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I did

I didn’t see much that Horton said. It makes sense but I didn’t have a widescreen view.

Now understand, what he says is ALWAYS typical of Jim Johnson’s defenses. Watching them and they look very vanilla 4-3 until just before the snap.

It’s what they did afterwards that interested me. They trusted their front seven much of the time to handle the run and they took Hixon away. Smith dropped some passes and Eli tossed up some ducks, which is what he does when you pressure him.

Dallas can do this too. Their corners are just as good as Phillys, even with Pacman out. But they need that run support or they’re going to get gouged.

by Rafael Vela on Dec 11, 2008 11:43 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Thanks for the feedback Raf.

Ignore the Mainstream Media, EMBRACE THE HATE!!!!

by cowboy78 on Dec 11, 2008 11:46 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

This is what Gregg Williams Ds look like too when he's on

they look like they’re playing base and then jump into their schemes. That was always a problem when he was with Washington

by Rafael Vela on Dec 11, 2008 11:45 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Sunday's game

Nice post Raf. I always like your opinions and analysis. However, on this one I respectfully disagree.

I believe the Cowboys fate will ride on the performance of Mr. Romo. If he turns in one of his virtuoso performances, Dallas rides off with a victory. If he turns in one of those clunkers where he is putting the ball on the carpet, throwing into coverage and in general being careless with the football, Dallas loses. Romo usually doesn’t drive the bus down the middle of the road. He is either a Ferrari or he is driving the bus over the cliff. That means the team usually wins or loses based on his performance.

I think Romo’s record after Thanksgiving is about 4-8. To this point, his late season performances have been either average or poor (maybe a few "good" games; it is somewhat subjective). Nobody can argue that he has made a habit of playing great and lifting his team to victory when it counts most. That is how I judge a quarterback: how does he do when the games mean the most. Gaudy statistics and a great record in September and October are all fine and good, but I’ll take a quarterback who finds a way to win in December and January every time.

It will be interesting to see if Romo can get that 4-8 trend headed in the right direction in the three remaining games and perhaps the playoffs. If he does, Sunday will be the first step.

by Cowboy Louie on Dec 11, 2008 8:08 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

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