Pac is Back: Will Dallas Reprise the Green Bay Game Plan?
Adam Jones' return gives the Cowboys cornerback corps its deepest, healthiest hand since week three, when Jones, Anthony Henry, Terence Newman, Orlando Scandrick and Mike Jenkins played against Green Bay.
Jenkins is out with a hamstring injury but the other four will be available. What's more, Newman should be much healthier than he was earlier in the year, when he was trying to grit his teeth and play with a hernia.
That Packers game was the defense's best, before Newman broke down the following week against Washington and the defensive line followed suit. The Steelers offensive philosophy resembles Green Bay's quite a bit, so it won't be a coincidence if we see Wade Phillips use several features from that game.
The Steelers have a reputation for being a ground-based, grind it out team. Against New England last week, Pittsburgh ran variations of a three WR, one TE, one RB set about 90% of the time. The Steelers swapped a WR for a second TE when they were in short yardage situations, but in almost all other situations the personnel package was:
- QB -- Ben Roethlisberger;
- RB -- Mewelde Moore or Willie Parker;
- TE -- Heath Miller;
- WR -- Santonio Holmes;
- WR -- Hines Ward;
- WR -- Nate Washington
Pittsburgh used this personnel group in two basic formations. One is a spread set, with Holmes alone on one side and Ward slotted inside Washington on the other. Miller lines up next to one of the OTs and the running back is set in the shotgun to one side of Roethlisberger.
The other is a bunch set, run from the shotgun or with Roethlisberger under center. In this set Holmes, their deep threat, is again split alone, with Miller, Ward and Washington in a trident just wide of the OT opposite side.
Ward usually plays on the point of the bunch, with Miller flanking him inside and Washington flanking him wide. Miller's inside set lets him help the OT when the Steelers max protect or to motion into the backfield as a FB on running plays. Ward works much of the time in the middle of the field against linebackers, safeties and third CBs and does a lot of damage here. Washington, like Holmes, is more of a deep threat and has the team's best YPR average.
The three wide set suggests the Cowboys should deploy in a nickel, but doing that would leave only six men in the box, and the Steelers are not a pass-happy team. Their run-to-pass ratio is 49:51. They will pound the ball inside as much as the opposition will let them.
For this reason, I don't think we'll see Dallas deploy in it's 4-2-5 nickel, with Anthony Henry joining Kevin Burnett as linebackers -- at least not on first and second downs. Henry is 207 lbs. and Burnett is the runt of the linebacking corps at 237 lbs. They don't have the muscle to take on guards one-on-one. Dallas twice made the mistake of using this set against the Packers on first down. The Packers ran at it for ten yards each time. Dallas will use this set and has matchups that work in it, but we'll only see the "Henry nickel" on 3rd and longs. More on this later.
The Steelers, in terms of personnel, resemble Green Bay and Washington, in that they like to spread you out to run. What's more, the Steelers two biggest receiving threats, Ward and Miller, work the center of the field. Dallas needs to find a package that keeps linebackers on the field, to defense the run, and yet offer the best matchups against Ward.
I think Wade Phillips will take a page from his Packers game plan and go with a tweaked 3-4-4 set. In that game, Phillips made Ken Hamlin the lone safety and matched Henry, Newman and Jones up with the three Packers' wideouts. I would not be at all surprised if the Cowboys did the same thing Sunday, with Jones and Henry manning the corners and Newman shadowing Ward in the slots.
Dallas would then keep seven men on the line. This would not only help them slow the run, but would give them the maximum flexibility with blitz packages. They could rush the the base set, run inside twists with Bradie James, a tactic that has worked very well against the Steelers interior line, or to walk James next to one of the OLBs and play the "Bum," Dallas' version of the old Bears 46 defense.
The one vulnerability in this scheme will be Miller against the Cowboys' linebackers. Miller is the best overall TE in the AFC, and the Steelers use him the same way Dallas uses Jason Witten, flexing him into the backfield, setting him up in the traditional TE position and splitting him out wide on sure passing downs. They don't throw to him as often as Dallas does to Witten, but Miller's YPC is similar -- 11.9 to Witten's 12.2.
The Cowboys may be willing to surrender throws to Miller in order to corral the running game and Ward. The Seahawks' John Carlson had a huge game last week, but the rest of his team didn't do much. The coaches may also feel that the linebackers are no worse in coverage than Keith Davis and that their rushing skills and size make them better bets against runs.
If the Cowboys can get Pittsburgh into 3rd-and-long on a consistent basis, the Henry Nickel offers the ideal personnel to stop the Steelers. I'll repeat, the Steelers don't change their personnel when they have long distances to cover. They simply flex Miller out in space, to give a four WR look, with Miller as the second slot receiver. They'll occasionally motion the RB out wide to give an empty look.
In these situations the Henry package looks strong: Jones will remain on the left corner. Newman will move to RCB and Orlando Scandrick will play in the slot. They will each take a Steelers' WR man-to-man, with two safeties behind them. Henry will match up with Miller and Burnett will have coverage responsibilty for the RB.
If Dallas does use this package, look for Henry or Scandrick to blitz from the slot. Henry turned the Packers game with two sacks coming from the edge. I expect Dallas to use every varation of blitz they can muster. Steelers' QBs have been sacked 36 times this year, a nice, round 3.0 a game.
Adam Jones' return and Terence Newman's return to better health mean the Cowboys can press in the secondary and pressure up front. They way the Cowboys have been rushing lately, Pac's return could well bring the Packers-game plan back.
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71 comments
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Comments
Thirst.
A Pacman pick six could very well be the only TD scored in the game.
by MadMick on Dec 4, 2008 7:11 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Great Article
I truly believe Dallas has the edge in this game. That edge wll definitely change if Barber doesn’t play or is only at 50%.
Pittsburgh will surely have their hands full with the weapons Dallas has. Indy just as offensively talented as Dallas gave Pittsburgh’s D fits.
~Texas Massacre 08~
by TheHeat on Dec 4, 2008 7:12 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Indy got lucky with two huge plays off of Ryan Clark tips.
by Mandmeisterx on Dec 4, 2008 7:13 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Football...
Has more to do with luck than with skill sometimes.
~Texas Massacre 08~
by TheHeat on Dec 4, 2008 11:29 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Great writeup
I think you’re right about Miller. I think he is going to create some match-up problems for us, but I think we can get away with letting him have a good game. Shutting down the running game (which we’ve been doing), controlling Ward, and keeping Holmes in front of us have to be our biggest priorities defensively. I’d like to see us play some press with inside leverage to try and take away some of the quick throws to allow us to get to Ben. I think they will turn the ball over, but we have to make them pay for it when they do.
by Mandmeisterx on Dec 4, 2008 7:12 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Great stuff
One of the best pre-game write-ups I’ve seen in a while. Excellent work, even by Raf’s high standard.
Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.
by Tim Wilson on Dec 4, 2008 7:32 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Miller worries me
I think he can hurt us as much as Witten will hurt them.
In Romo we Trust
by Terry on Dec 4, 2008 7:33 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
no way
Miller
29 Catches 344 yards and 2 TD’s
Witten
58 catches 709 yards and 3 TD’s
Witten will get double the oppurtunities.. Especially if Demarcus is healthy..
"If you see me up in the mountains with a lion, I ain't lyin
don't help me, help the mountain lion"
by Wmillion on Dec 4, 2008 7:44 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
What is Emmitt Talking about?
Does he not realize 2 of our losses came while Romo was out?
[I’m] disappointed because I saw this team being a lot better than it is," Smith said. "Chemistry has a lot to do with it. And for some reason, the chemistry of the Cowboys this year has been thrown off a little bit.
Or could this be his way of motivating the team?
"If you see me up in the mountains with a lion, I ain't lyin
don't help me, help the mountain lion"
by Wmillion on Dec 4, 2008 7:37 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
I love the Double Duece.......
But him and Dexter Manley in a spelling contest would be an even match.
by MadMick on Dec 4, 2008 7:44 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
LOL
Nice
T-New, shutting down WR's for Dallas since 2003
by APerfectStar on Dec 5, 2008 6:28 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
He's right.
We’ve all been saying it for weeks, but they do appear to have turned it around since Romo came back. With or without Romo, what happened with the Rams should never have happened to a team this talented. A lot of people felt like they gave up a little bit against the Giants as well.
by Baked Potato Soup on Dec 4, 2008 8:09 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I think at some point in the Giants game,
I couldn’t say I blame the defense for giving up. They played a super hard first half, and every time they made a big play, Brad would just give it right back to him. Owens’ fumble was huge too. I think at some point the ’85 Bears would have packed it in as well.
by Mandmeisterx on Dec 4, 2008 8:13 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Superb work
as usual, Raf. Always a pleasure to get your insights.
I like the matchup, both personnel and scheme, for this one. Cowboys will need fire in the gut, and they should have it.
Liked what Wade said about his defense:
“We’re not Pittsburgh, but we’re a purdy good country defense.”
Keep doing what you been doing, keep getting what you been getting.
by OskieOskie on Dec 4, 2008 7:46 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
This is why Raf ’s blog is the only one I read.
by ym on Dec 4, 2008 8:18 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
One kind of comment is that ? If your not reading blog postings by Grizz, Tuna, and Brandon, then your missing out.
Or is the taxing stress of using your brain just too hard to handle multiple perspectives ?
A true diehard Cowboys fan since 1975.
"If you don’t take him off the field as a coach, he will just about die out there," Jerry Jones said. "That impacted my decision. It’s a Michael Irvin-type work ethic. That’s what we are talking about with Felix Jones."
- Owner/G.M of the Dallas Cowboys , Jerry Jones
by BoyzRback on Dec 4, 2008 11:35 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
btw ...great write up Raf...Totally agree with your assessment.
A true diehard Cowboys fan since 1975.
"If you don’t take him off the field as a coach, he will just about die out there," Jerry Jones said. "That impacted my decision. It’s a Michael Irvin-type work ethic. That’s what we are talking about with Felix Jones."
- Owner/G.M of the Dallas Cowboys , Jerry Jones
by BoyzRback on Dec 4, 2008 11:36 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Hey now....
Remember, no personal attacks here although I do admire the defense and enthusiasm.
Perhaps he’s referring to this blog as a whole as “Raf’s blog”. Either way, there is a better way to defend others here without lowering ourselves a level and making rash comments.
by Brandon Worley on Dec 5, 2008 7:08 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know for sure but he probably meant
that Raf’s old blog WAS the only one he ever read. He’s posted on other threads by others before too.
by kameleon_o on Dec 6, 2008 1:48 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
This game is what I have been waiting for...
At the beganning of the season I thought, because of the depth at corner we would be seeing a lot of corner/safety blitz. Unfortunately the injuries, lack of rookie confindence and suspension we have not been treated to that type of performance since the Fudge-Packer game.
But just like you said Rafa when we were fully loaded (at corner) the blitz were coming hard and heavy from corners and safeties. With the D-line playing as good as they have all year against the run and the corners now all together(healthy, confindent and UNSUSPENDED), this game could be were the defense takes the spot light away from the offense. The hype going into this game will be how will the Dallas offense do against Pittburgh’s defense, in the end it will be our defense that will steal the show.
GO Cowboys!
by I'm a Cowboy Babe on Dec 4, 2008 9:19 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
The B&S crew
have added a lot, no doubt, but still got to have my Grizz fix.
Keep doing what you been doing, keep getting what you been getting.
by OskieOskie on Dec 4, 2008 9:21 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
All one happy family now— I’m enjoying all of the content that we’re seeing, from all contributors.
I get the philosophy of letting one player get his yards and keep the team from beating you as a whole (like Belichik did with Thurman Thomas in the 1990 Super Bowl, or like we did with Carlson last week), but this is going to be a tight game— one or two big plays to Miller could turn it. So I’m hoping, if we go with the strategy that Raf has predicted (which I think is a reasonable one and makes sense), that our linebackers are largely up to the task of containing Miller, and we can at the very least keep him out of the end zone and limit his production on 1st and 2nd down to “harmless” yards between the 20s.
Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.
by Tim Wilson on Dec 4, 2008 10:15 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Raf that may have been your best work ever.
I hope our effort equals yours.I can’t wait for this game.
Don't believe everything you think.
by stoproyce on Dec 4, 2008 10:25 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Emmitt Smith is at it again
why can’t this moron just shutup. This is when i miss roy. Maybe he can coldclock him on his stupid MNF desk.
Jindal - 2012
by Longhorn on Dec 4, 2008 10:43 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
okay, didn't see the above comment on this
still, smith needs to hush.
Jindal - 2012
by Longhorn on Dec 4, 2008 10:46 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
great preview
the only thing I wonder about is if Scandrick would be the #3 back before Pac. They’ve been happy with Scan’s playing and Pac is just coming back from 6 weeks out…
by scottmaui on Dec 5, 2008 1:30 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
I think Wade said in his press conference that Pac's return wasn't going to impact Scandrick's playing time
"When it's third and ten, you can take the milk drinkers and I'll take the whiskey drinkers every time." -Max McGee
by BigDinSC on Dec 5, 2008 1:50 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
A complaint on your preview Raf
You need to get these done in time for Stewart and Phillips to set the game plan!
Nice work as always.
Never wrestle with a pig. You both get dirty and the pig loves it.
by dunkman on Dec 5, 2008 6:38 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
LMAO....
I was thinking the exact same thing. Perhaps we should sit in on Wade’s press conference and give him advice, then when he gets mad says Raf should coach the team……we do it.
by Brandon Worley on Dec 5, 2008 7:09 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Just don't act like those guys in the Coors commercial
Absolutely THE worst beer commercials in television. Ever.
Never wrestle with a pig. You both get dirty and the pig loves it.
by dunkman on Dec 5, 2008 5:40 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry, those Coors Light commercials are great.
You actually think those Miller Lite “taste league” and Bud Light “imaginary drawing” commercials are better? Wrong.
by Cosby Sweater on Dec 7, 2008 2:04 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Secondary blitzers v. big-ass QB
We’ve had some success blitzing our secondary this year, but is anyone else having nightmares of little A. Henry or even littler O. Scandrick bouncing off Big Ben in a futile attempt to sack him, leaving him opportunity to pick our secondary apart. Especially SCandrick, isnt the word on him that he needs to improve his tackling?
by Elberraco on Dec 5, 2008 7:51 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Agreed. Although immobile, Big Ben is tought to bring down.
However, I hope to see him on his back most of Sunday afternoon.
Especially after hearing his comments on ESPN last night. He gave Romo reason to be pissed.
by Prime-Time on Dec 5, 2008 8:02 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know exactly what Prime time is referring to....
But I think they were asking about Romo’s celebrity status despite not winning a SB. Big Ben said that’s just the lifestyle he’s chosen for himself and while he doesn’t necessarily agree with it it seems to be working for Romo, so whatever.
by Brandon Worley on Dec 5, 2008 8:27 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I think he was slighting
Romo’s off the field choices, dating JS, looking hollywood, but it was kinda vague, I doubt Romo is worried about what BB thinks, he hears all about that with the DMN media in his grill.
Ignore the Mainstream Media, EMBRACE THE HATE!!!!
by cowboy78 on Dec 5, 2008 8:28 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Hey, Ben ...
At least Romo hasn’t gone from motorcycle to windshield after stating that he always wears a helmet …
Stop the Madness - Enshrine Bob Hayes
"I played for the world's greatest professional sports team in history. Once a Dallas Cowboy, always a Dallas Cowboy." - Bob Hayes
by Raul Villaronga on Dec 5, 2008 9:19 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
+1
I like Big Ben, but the guy isn’t the sharpest knife in the drawer.
T-New, shutting down WR's for Dallas since 2003
by APerfectStar on Dec 5, 2008 6:31 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Not to mention that Big Ben
has dated his share of famous chicks too. Just consult the Steelers blog. Some guy made a whole post of it.
by Mandmeisterx on Dec 5, 2008 11:17 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Bayless
actually said on First Take today that Romo hasn’t won a playoff game becuase of Simpson because she is such a huge distraction to him.
What a freakin’ moron!
In Romo we Trust
by Terry on Dec 5, 2008 4:52 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
How does he have a job?
Shock Jock Bayless!!
He wasn’t even with Jessica the 1st time. I love the guy that asked him “Skip, What did they do to you in Dallas?You are the biggest Dallas hater”.. I love it..
The guy said Philly is in a better spot then Dallas..
"If you see me up in the mountains with a lion, I ain't lyin
don't help me, help the mountain lion"
by Wmillion on Dec 5, 2008 6:19 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I think he was, in his windeshield adled brain, trying to express
that Romo has brought all of this on himself and only has himself to blame for the crap he gets.
Never wrestle with a pig. You both get dirty and the pig loves it.
by dunkman on Dec 5, 2008 5:41 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Big Ben isn't immobile for the thousands time
In Romo we Trust
by Terry on Dec 5, 2008 10:02 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Definitely something to be aware of, yep
Yeah, it only worries me because I’ve seen our blitzers have trouble bringing down McNabb even after they get some hands on him due to his lower body strength, and Roethlisberger (why does everyone call him Ben? We don’t call Jay Cutler “Jay” or Chad Pennington "Chad") has similar strength. So a successful blitz in this game will probably have to have two separate parts to it— first getting to the QB, and then succeeding in taking him down.
Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.
by Tim Wilson on Dec 5, 2008 9:45 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Because I can spell Pennington and Cutler
"When it's third and ten, you can take the milk drinkers and I'll take the whiskey drinkers every time." -Max McGee
by BigDinSC on Dec 5, 2008 10:57 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Ba-da-bing
Nice
Never wrestle with a pig. You both get dirty and the pig loves it.
by dunkman on Dec 5, 2008 5:42 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Great point Brandon,
BTW, Burnett would be an excellent replacement for K. Davis in our base 3-4-4. He is an excellent cover guy and will give Miller fits. Newman taking out Ward is the key IMO.
by rha on Dec 5, 2008 8:27 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Madden 09 forecast has us dominating the Steelers Sunday
Oh how I hope this is accurate!
http://sports.espn.go.com/videogames/simulation/nfl?id=3745055
by sublimezg on Dec 5, 2008 9:19 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
If Romo puts up those kind of numbers
he’ll win the MVP going away, hands down.
In Romo we Trust
by Terry on Dec 5, 2008 10:05 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Nice Ordering of Cornerbacks
Putting Mike “I don’t like bruises” Jenkins last on the depth chart.
by GhostofGaryHogeboom on Dec 5, 2008 9:26 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
I hope you get over this silly vendetta eventually
He’s going to be a great CB. He’s been making plays since the start of the season — remember that broken up pass against the Iggles that was a sure TD.
I think he’s the only Cowboy to score a defensive TD this year. He’s had a few bad judgement calls on the field, but I’m pretty sure he doesn’t shy away from tough tackles — remember the Bucs game when he laid out his man.
He’s going to be great.
In-YOUR-endo
by accidental innuendo on Dec 5, 2008 10:02 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Scandrick will be better though
In Romo we Trust
by Terry on Dec 5, 2008 10:06 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I disagree
I think Scandrick will be very good, but I see something special in Jenkins.
In-YOUR-endo
by accidental innuendo on Dec 5, 2008 10:57 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Really?
The Giants were throwing away from Jenkins last month because they felt he was the far better cover guy, compared to Henry.
I like Scandrick a lot, but he’s a slight guy. Jenkins has prototype size, which is why he’s starting on the edge.
They’re both going to be good.
by Rafael Vela on Dec 5, 2008 11:08 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Amen brother
I think Scandrick is a prototype slot/nickel guy. Jenkins is still a rookie, and has made a couple dumb plays. Sue him. I worry a lot more about the way Scandrick tackles. I think ankle biting is definitely not the way to go.
by Mandmeisterx on Dec 5, 2008 11:20 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Zackly
Both of these guys are going to be really solid CB for the Cowboys. Loved both picks and still do.
Never wrestle with a pig. You both get dirty and the pig loves it.
by dunkman on Dec 5, 2008 5:43 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Agree 100%
We got 2 very good rookie CB’s. I can’t ever remember saying that before.
T-New, shutting down WR's for Dallas since 2003
by APerfectStar on Dec 5, 2008 6:34 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
That's only because of injury
I’d put him 2nd if he were healthy, ahead of Henry.
The kid can cover. He’s having growing pains, but he can cover.
by Rafael Vela on Dec 5, 2008 9:27 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
+1000
I love what have in Jenkins and Scandrick..
"If you see me up in the mountains with a lion, I ain't lyin
don't help me, help the mountain lion"
by Wmillion on Dec 5, 2008 1:22 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I love we have in Jenkins and Scandrick..
"If you see me up in the mountains with a lion, I ain't lyin
don't help me, help the mountain lion"
by Wmillion on Dec 5, 2008 1:22 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
again
I love what we have in Jenkins and Scandrick
"If you see me up in the mountains with a lion, I ain't lyin
don't help me, help the mountain lion"
by Wmillion on Dec 5, 2008 1:22 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
BUT
Do you love what we have in Jenkins and Scandrick?
In-YOUR-endo
by accidental innuendo on Dec 5, 2008 1:25 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
He's so wishy-washy on this point
Never wrestle with a pig. You both get dirty and the pig loves it.
by dunkman on Dec 5, 2008 5:44 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Zip it Emmitt
Why does he still have a broadcasting job? I love the guy as a player but he is a dumbass. Even though Michael Irvin could get a little over the top, I still thought he was great with the ESPN guys. BRING BACK THE PLAYMAKER!
by Cosby Sweater on Dec 5, 2008 10:13 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Emmitt, sad to say
is a Curvin Richards caliber commentator.
by Rafael Vela on Dec 5, 2008 11:09 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Emmit is suffering from the "I am not a homer" syndrome
it is almost on the level of skipbrainless, just follow the advice on my siganture.
Ignore the Mainstream Media, EMBRACE THE HATE!!!!
by cowboy78 on Dec 5, 2008 11:50 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Great article Rafael
I thought we had an excellent blog even before the merger. But it has really gone to a new level of excellence. This piece is about as good as it gets for die hard Cowboys fans.
T-New, shutting down WR's for Dallas since 2003
by APerfectStar on Dec 5, 2008 6:42 PM CST reply actions 0 recs

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