Cowboys vs. Steelers: A To-do List
Some matchups the Cowboys must win and some assignments they need to fulfill in order to win Sunday:
1. Keep both of Flozell Adams' arms in play. He injured his left shoulder some time in October and speed rushers began beating him. Arizona's Travis LaBoy embarrassed him in the Cardinals loss. He later injured a finger on his right hand that caused it to swell to an enormous size.
When Dallas was flailing, Adams was the no-armed man. He's been clean since the bye, but we missed a chance to see how healthy he is when Seattle's Patrick Kearney missed the Thanksgiving Day game. Kearney is a pure, blow-and-go DE, a speed rusher who tries to beat you around the corner every time. This is the type of player who was getting by Flo with ease mid-season.
In training camp, Demarcus Ware could not beat Adams -- ever. In September, he was sound. In October Adams fell apart. In November, he started to look like the old Flozell.
Sunday, he faces James Harrison, he of the 14.5 sacks. If the old Flo is ready, Tony Romo's job will be much easier.
2. Throw to Tashard Choice. It's a lot to ask a rookie making his first start to dent the Steelers front seven on the ground. I'll be happy if he can get 65-70 yards and post a respectable yards-per-attempt average. Choice can be a weapon as a receiver. Harrison and fellow OLB Lamarr Woodley go forward much better than they cover, though Harrison is the better of the two. The Patriots had success throwing to Kevin Faulk on wide, shallow routes. Get Choice in space and let the OLBs chase him.
3. Get Terrell Owens in the intermediate middle. Randy Moss ruined a great Sunday with two huge drops. In the late 1st quarter Matt Cassell ducked under a blitz, stepped up in the pocket and found Moss alone 25 yards downfield. Moss dropped the ball.
Just before halftime, Moss got open along the back line of the end zone and dropped a second easy Cassell toss. The Pats blew a short field goal two plays later and went into halftime even at ten rather than up 17-10.
Moss regularly got open running deep ins, diagonals and intermediate crosses. These are the type of routes Terrell Owens runs best. The Steelers run a lot of man-to-man, because they blitz so much. For this reason, Owens will probably get less double-coverage than he has in weeks. He'll get open. Whether Romo can find him remains to be seen.
4. Keep Martellus Bennett busy: Jason Witten will see a lot of Troy Polamalu. He might get some attention from linebackers as well. Bennett is getting more throws every week and is beating linebackers with his height. He should get matchps with ILBs and will offer Romo a legit target.
5. Attack the middle of Pittsburgh's o-line. When the Steelers went 15-1 in '04 and won a Super Bowl in '05, they had a big, bruising trio anchoring their o-line. Jeff Hartings was a multiple Pro Bowler at C, as was Alan Faneca at LG. RG Kendall Simmons was almost as good.
The Steelers' rushing attack ranked 5th in '05 and 10th in '06. Hartings retired after that campaign, but Faneca and Simmons helped the Steelers ramble to a 3rd overall rush ranking last year.
Faneca joined the Jets in free agency this past spring and Simmons went down for the season after four games. Their backups have not measured up. They rank 22nd in rushing and 27th in sacks allowed. They're the only winning team besides New England to rank in the bottom quarter in the latter stat.
Bradie James is having a career year with 5.0 sacks. Dallas is sending him a ton, either off the corner from the "Bum" package or on delayed blitzes inside. Look for him to team with Jay Ratliff on lots of inside twists.
6. Protect Montrae Holland: The Cowboys had a lot of trouble with twists early this year, when Adams was playing hurt and Cory Proctor was subbing for Kyle Kosier. The Seahawks broke the Cowboys' pocket in the 2nd half last week, when they started running games at Dallas' left side. Marion Barber missed some assignments but Holland did too. Holland is a much better scrapper than Proctor, but the Steelers will run games at him to see if he can keep a level head.
Overall: The Dallas offense will face its toughest test. Conversely, the Steelers will face their toughest rush. The Chargers rank 9th in sacks and they dropped Roethlisberger four times. The Giants rank 4th and they got Roethlisberger five times and grabbed four picks. The Eagles rank 3rd in sacks and they bagged Roethlisberger and Byron Leftwich nine times. Big Ben was knocked out of the game in the second half.
The Cowboys rank 2nd in sacks.
Pittsburgh hasn't handled a good rush all year. Dallas is applying its best pressure of the season right now. Romo is a Wisconsin boy. He'll feel right at home in the cold.
Dallas 21, Pittsburgh 17
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36 comments
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Comments
1st
Vela, this might be the game where the courtesy pick Romo throws my cost us.
by elharpo on Dec 5, 2008 7:33 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Also might be the game
where Romo throws 4 TD passes (and I’m still on my 1st beer this evening).
by Benthere on Dec 5, 2008 8:34 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Martellus Bennett
Raf – I agree that keeping Bennett busy will be big – very big if Barber is not ready to go. Give Romo time and we win – simple as that.
Dallas – 24
Pitts – 20
by tyler2 on Dec 5, 2008 8:36 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Not a chance
There’s no way their O scores 20 points on our D. I see them with 9, if that much. If our O can squeeze 10 out of their D and not give up any off of turnovers, we’re going to be just fine.
by wasmarcus on Dec 6, 2008 8:19 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Not a chance
There’s no way their O scores 20 points on our D. I see them with 9, if that much. If our O can squeeze 10 out of their D and not give up any off of turnovers, we’re going to be just fine.
by wasmarcus on Dec 6, 2008 8:19 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Raf, amazing analysis as usual. You are the best writer covering the Boys I read on the net.
I agree with your final paragraph about the Dallas rush being the difference in this game. I am amazed at the laziness of national sports writers, and formerly good sportswriters like Mosley, who ignore this vital statistic.
by vinyltoupee on Dec 5, 2008 8:40 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Will Weather Effect the Outcome
I like the prediction if we were playing in Dallas. I just hope that the cold and harsher weather conditions don’t effect this team. This team lives and dies by the arm of Romo and his ability to accurately throw down field. They need a win.
by staubachfan on Dec 5, 2008 9:14 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Rafa Christmas present
Rafa,
Looks like you are starting to get more admires. Its been about 2 years since I opened by first Rafa Christmas present.
Yes his analysis and breakdown of Cowboys football is the best on the web. Some of you have just got a taste of his abilities.
But, if you think this stuff is good go to the old BSR and find some of the old post. This post is nothing compared to when Rafa really breaks it down.
Sorry man I had to do it.
Now back to the football!!!
I disagree with the score.
Cowboys 31
Steelers 13
The Dallas Defense will be the story of this game.
by I'm a Cowboy Babe on Dec 5, 2008 9:19 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Yep, it's defense
The Dallas Defense will be the story of this game.
Agree. This will be the defining game for the Dallas Defense, and I like our chances.
Agree, also, that Raf has been doing a great job of breaking it down for a long while. Some of us have been admiring his work on the old B&S site, and are delighted that he has come over to join the best Cowboys blog on the web, BTB!
Keep doing what you been doing, keep getting what you been getting.
by OskieOskie on Dec 6, 2008 9:51 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Why in the hell does everyone in the media think
that once the temperature drops below 40 we’re just gonna pack our s@#! and go home?
I’m tired of hearin about this team being soft. I dont buy that.
Channeling my inner Pacman.
by Carl Shelton (GloryDayz88) on Dec 5, 2008 9:28 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
I agree
Like I said before we play in the NFC East, so we play in Philly, NY, and DC in the winter..
Romo a Wisc. guy
TO played in Philly so, he knows the cold
Roy played in the NFC North- GB, Chi outside
Holland played in Denver
I am just saying don’t act like our guys have never played in the cold before..
I am just hoping the wind is calm.. Choice has a great chance to come out of this game as the MVP of the game.
"If you see me up in the mountains with a lion, I ain't lyin
don't help me, help the mountain lion"
by Wmillion on Dec 6, 2008 10:30 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
It's the one week window
How many of the same guys predicting a Pittsburgh stomping this week were predicting the Pats would beat them last week?
The Pats have given up 40 sacks themselves, 4th worst in football. I think a lot of people had misguided views of the Pats. I know I did, with Cassell’s back to back 400 yard games against the Dolphins and Jets.
What’s clear, however is that N.E. couldn’t stop either of those teams from scoring. Throw in wet weather and it’s a game made for a snowball effect. It went against New England.
Dallas is a much better team than New England this year. Much better.
by Rafael Vela on Dec 5, 2008 10:56 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
17-13 Pittsburgh
I really don`t think Dallas will be able to put up that many points. Everyone keeps talking about the snow being a factor, and thats because it will be. I just don`t see an offense based on a high flying air attack being able to throw all over this defense. Any kind of ground game is realistically not an option considering nobody runs the ball on the Steelers (Especially in bad weather). If the Cowboys win the game it will be due to Roethlisberger throwing a few costly int`s. It will be tough to move the ball for both teams, but good defense beats good offense any day.
by SteelerDomination on Dec 5, 2008 11:22 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
I've laughed at this line of argument for a long time
I used to live in Wisconsin and remember Mike Dikta and the Bears fans going on and on about “Bear weather” and how the frou-frou 49ers would freeze their nipples off in it.
The 49ers passed at will. 28-3 was the final.
Good teams will move the ball regardless. And where is this vaunted Steelers offense going to come from? Your O is very pedestrian this year. Your line is nothing special at all.
by Rafael Vela on Dec 5, 2008 11:54 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Romo won a tight road game in a very windy Fed Ex field with three fingers three weeks ago
A little cold won’t stop him.
by Rafael Vela on Dec 5, 2008 11:55 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
+1 These Pitt fans fail to account for our Defense, which is FAR better than their Offense.
Missing their starting LT, does not bode well for Big Ben…I’d be very suprised if they put up more than 13-17 points…
A true diehard Cowboys fan since 1975.
"If you don’t take him off the field as a coach, he will just about die out there," Jerry Jones said. "That impacted my decision. It’s a Michael Irvin-type work ethic. That’s what we are talking about with Felix Jones."
- Owner/G.M of the Dallas Cowboys , Jerry Jones
by BoyzRback on Dec 6, 2008 12:10 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I actually think Tashard Choice wouldn’t do so bad on the ground, either. If given the chance.
Love what I’ve seen from him going all the way back to preseason.
by Cowboys4Life on Dec 6, 2008 12:41 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
I think Choice will surprise many.
I like the way he hits the hole as soon as he sees a little daylight. I know its too early to say what type of running style hes got but that’s the vibe I’ve got so far.
by spongebobstarpants on Dec 6, 2008 2:52 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
I agree....Choice is explosive off the snap, more so than Barber...
I see him having mild to good success against Pitts……I actually look forward to him getting most of the snaps…He just needs to get positive yardage…I have no doubt he can get 4 yards a carry….That’s all we need to open up play action…period….I hope we line up two TE’s and pound the ball down their throats…Our O Line is averaging 330+ across the board…..This weather plays to OUR advantage…Put your heads down, drive forward, and pound the friggin rock !!! They are also missing a starting DE, which only helps matters…
A true diehard Cowboys fan since 1975.
"If you don’t take him off the field as a coach, he will just about die out there," Jerry Jones said. "That impacted my decision. It’s a Michael Irvin-type work ethic. That’s what we are talking about with Felix Jones."
- Owner/G.M of the Dallas Cowboys , Jerry Jones
by BoyzRback on Dec 6, 2008 8:45 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I think 4 ypc is doubtful
Given the field conditions and the defense, I doubt Choice goes for 4 ypc in his first start. However, I do think he may have some decent success in the ground game. My biggest concern with Choice is whether or not he will be able to quickly diagnose and act on the Steelers exotic blitz packages.
"Baseball is like Church. Many Attend; Few Understand." - Leo Durocher
by JD McCubbie on Dec 6, 2008 11:19 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't see all the hububb over field conditions
It won’t be wet. The winds will be mild.
Mid-20s temperatures are cold but nothing like single digits or below zero conditions.
The field has been resodded. So long as conditions are dry, it’s football as normal. It gets into the 20s in Dallas too. A grass field will be far more forgiving of a little precipitation than a rug.
by Rafael Vela on Dec 6, 2008 12:56 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
NONONO
Not according to Pittsburgh fans!! I bet Romo goes out on the first play, gets hit, and his head gets shattered like Wesley Snipes at the end of Demolition Man …..
Get it?? cause it’s going to be really cold?? anyone????
Suck it.
by what_the_crap on Dec 6, 2008 4:19 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree too
I’m really looking forward to seeing Choice get some extensive playing time. He hits the hole faster then Barber but not as fast as Jones. And he attacks defenders harder than Jones but not as hard as Barber, an interesting combination. I also think he could have some success on the sweeps and off tackle plays.
by staubachfan on Dec 6, 2008 9:49 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
great stuff
i love the stats on Ben’s sacks. that is their achilles heal. and we are #2 and peaking. i think he is in for a long day. And I don’t see our O putting up points like we did the last two games, but as good as their D is, I think our O is closer to their D than their O is to our D.
20-13 Cowboys
I have confidence in Choice, too. As much as Barber is a uniquely talented back and huge weapon in this offense, and FWP is no MB3, but Pittsburg with MM has shown as much as anyone (but other teams have as well) that a backup/rookie back can come in and be effective (moreso than other positions). I really like what I’ve seen from Choice. He can find a small hole fast and squeeze through it, he “runs downhill” as they say and really leans forward, and kind of slides through the seam for the extra yards. And he’s got a great spirit like MB3, as we’ve seen with his inspiring locker room pep talks, he can help be a spark plug for the team. Whether he spells Barber later in the game or is called on to carry a major load, I think we’ll be pleased with his production.
But you’re right it makes sense throw him the ball, get it to him behind their line and let him find the seam from there rather than trying to run through all their front 7. And make the LBs choose whether to blitz or cover the RB or TEs, with Tellus as a potential serious mismatch, and be prepared to beat them with whatever they leave open, whether it’s the underneath and YAC in the middle, or time to throw the vertical ball.
by scottmaui on Dec 6, 2008 4:40 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Choice of the day
Good observation on Choice’s running style. I to noticed these very same qualities in him. Plus maybe a a little Emmit to, not a lot of speed but very good quickness getting to the next level. Its left to see if he can make the first guy miss like Emmit used to do. If that happens then look out we should see 30 to 40 yard runs before he is caught from behind. Again just like Emmit.
By the way guys can we all lay off Emmit. Yes he says thinks we don’t agree with and his not the most eloquent speaker, but he is still E. SMITH. It takes away from people cred at a Cowboys Blog when you take shots at him. To me its like taking shots at family. Let’s protect this house and our own.
(Just one guy’s opionon)
by I'm a Cowboy Babe on Dec 6, 2008 9:22 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I
can see the game going both ways …. the one thing I do know is that it’s going to be a great game!
Peaches is a tool!!
by what_the_crap on Dec 6, 2008 8:39 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
I watched Super Bowl XIII last night
Benny Barnes pass interference call on Lynn Swann was absolute BS…
Cowboys fan since 1978.. I was 3 years old
by Mullin on Dec 6, 2008 8:59 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
I liked this line
the Steelers will run games at him to see if he can keep a level head.
I think people tend to forget how much line play is mental/psychological. We saw that in the Giants playoff game. Suddenly a solid offensive line looked befuddled and slow.
Never wrestle with a pig. You both get dirty and the pig loves it.
by dunkman on Dec 6, 2008 9:23 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
I don't want to see that happen again.
What was pathetic last year + it cannot happen tomorrow if we are to win this game
by Burt88 on Dec 6, 2008 9:24 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Good write up Raf
I would like to see us start this game very conservative for a few series. We seemed to be slow starters anyway and with the speed of their D. It be nice to get up to their speed but more importantly not do something stupid and get behind the 8-ball early. Double TE to start. Dive, sweep, short pass to Choice or Martellus. Maybe play a little field position until Romo gets a feel of the speed.
by squidlo97 on Dec 6, 2008 1:09 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Tough to play field position
when you have one of the worst, if not THE worst, punters in football. Not to mention our great punt coverage.
by Mandmeisterx on Dec 6, 2008 1:11 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Steelers do not have great ST either.
Ignore the Mainstream Media, EMBRACE THE HATE!!!!
by cowboy78 on Dec 6, 2008 1:39 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
That was going through my mind as I was typing it. Still, you know this crowd is going to be jacked up. This is a heavy weight fight. Im even getting butterflies.
The one play I wouldnt mind is to max protect and send Roy Williams and TO on fly routes and throw to the one the safety doesnt swing to.
by squidlo97 on Dec 6, 2008 1:24 PM CST reply actions 0 recs

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