Obviously, the best case is if the Cowboys win out. The next simplest route is an ATL loss this weekend, which means that if we beat NYG and Philly, we are in. If Dallas beats those 2 teams and Atlanta loses any of their last 3 games, we have the tie breaker over every other team that can finish 10-6.
Teams that appear to still be in it, and realistic scenarios to get them out:
Redskins: they are in trouble due to injuries; ideally would lose 1 of last 3, but beat Philly. That is a tough scenario because they also play Cincy and the Niners, and the SF game would be week 17 with a playoff spot on the line. If they do lose to Philly, that basically puts them out.
Philly: Lose at least 1 of the next 2, which will probably have to be the Redskins. That's another tough scenario, as I don't see CLE beating them, and WAS is too banged up.
Bears: Lose to either NO or GB.
TB: I would like to see them win out to put pressure on Carolina to play tough against NO in week 17, and also to bump the Falcons down.
ATL: Need to lose 1 of their last 3, with TB and MIN on the the schedule.
NO: Need to lose to either CHI or CAR
MIN: If they finish 10-6, they win their division. Next to Dallas, they might have the toughest schedule, with Arizona, Atlanta, and the Giants. If they lose 2 or more, they are pretty much out, unless they still win their division.
Actually, the toughest part appears to be Dallas beating NYG and Baltimore, as well as Philly losing in the next 2 weeks. If that all happens though, Dallas is in win or lose against Philly. If Philly doesn't lose, we need to beat them too.
I know it stinks, but it looks like the Philly game is going to be a must win.