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Loose Redskins Can Make for a Tight Cowboys Game

Dallas must beware of special teams tricks, like this TD pass which was thrown by Redskins punter Hunter Smith. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)

More photos » Nick Wass - AP

Dallas must beware of special teams tricks, like this TD pass which was thrown by Redskins punter Hunter Smith. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)

"I'm free, to do what I want, any old time..."

You see it in baseball all the time.  A team stresses, falls out of the pennant race mid-season, and then relaxes and plays much better once the pressure is off. 

Right now, the Redskins are playing the baseball role, singing like Mick Jagger and making their opponents feel a bit restrained.  Owner Daniel Snyder takes ample heat for treating his team like the world's most expensive fantasy team, but he took one for his team recently, expressing regret to frustrated fans for a promising season gone sour.  The backhanded mea-culpa has set his players and coaches free.  HC Jim Zorn, DC Greg Blache and the rest of the assistants know they're auditioning for their next jobs, and they have brought a more relaxed, free-wheeling approach since the team's bye.  They played their standard tight game against Atlanta two weeks ago and stunned the Broncos last week, stomping the Denver D for a season high 27 points and a ten point win.

The looseness and unpredictability gives Dallas cause to feel their Green Bay frustration won't be easily overcome.

Star-divide

When Washington Has the Ball

The season looked lost early because this piece of the Redskins' game broke down because of injury and inexperience.  The offense line was  a strength in '08, offering strong running to the left, behind LT Chris Samuels and LG Pete Kendall.  Kendall, however, left in free agency and was replaced by former Redskin Derrick Dockery, signed back after a tour in Buffalo.  Dockery played poorly early on, as did fellow Longhorn and Bill Mike Williams, lured out of retirement and given a shot on Washington's left side. 

The line eroded further when RG Randy Thomas was lost to injury.  Samuels joined him after suffering a neck injury which produced numbness in his legs.  Scans found Samuels had stenosis, a narrowing of the spine, and Samuels career may be done.  If the line injuries were not enough, Clinton Portis broke down and has not played in recent games.

OL coach Joe Bugel stabilized the tackle situation and jump started an already respectable Redskins rushing attack by settling former Bengal Levi Jones at left tackle.  Washington used a three man rotation of Ladell Betts, Rock Cartwright and rookie Quinton Ganther to gash Denver for 181 rushing yards last week.  Washington has 310 rushing yards since their bye two games ago. 

Much of Washington's yards come to the edges, on off-tackle runs, tosses and stretch plays.  Washington wants to establish run, because they do not pass protect as well as they run block (8 sacks allowed in those same two games) and their passing attack continues to be erratic.

Watch Washington's tackles Jones and Stephon Heyer against the Dallas ends Igor Olshansky and Marcus Spears.  Olshansky and Spears have been stout against the run and if they can hold their ground, they'll put the game on Jason Campbell's shoulders.  The maligned QB has improved his down the field looks this year, after gaining a reputation as an overly cautious, check-down-first tosser.   The poor pass protection and lack of size has limited those opportunities; Washington's tight ends have almost as many receptions as the Redskins' receivers.

Santana Moss remains the deep threat, but his numbers are much lower than in year's past.  He has 31 catches for just over 500 yards.  Miles Austin, by comparison, has the same number of catches and over 100 yards more in yardage with four fewer starts. 

Washington wants to play ball control, running and throwing to secon- year TE Fred Davis, who has begun to produce in recent games as Chris Cooley is rehabbing an injury.  Davis had four catches for 50 yards last week, leading all Redskins' receivers. 

The task will be simple in concept -- win first down and put Washington into long downs, where Campbell cannot move the chains with short tosses to his tight ends and backs.  As always, Dallas will have to watch for gadget plays, from a team which has used more and more of them this year.  WR Antwaan Randle-El played QB at Indiana and could be motioned into a passing position at any time.  This team has nothing to lose and will reach deep in its playbook.  (More on this later.)

When Dallas Has the Ball

Blache's defense plays a simple scheme, and does it well.  Only one team has pushed the yardage totals past 351 yards Washington this year.  Surprisingly, it was Detroit, in their lone win at Ford Field.  Only two of the last six Redskins opponents have topped 300 total yards. 

Washington ranks at the top of passing yards allowed, though its pass rush ranks mid-pack.  Washington has a lot of speed in its back seven and creates small windows for opponents, though they are not invulnerable.  Brandon Marshall was destroying them last week.  His 75 yard first quarter bomb put starting RCB Carlos Rogers on the bench.  Rogers will probably play this week, though the Redskins have been coy all week about his status. 

Miles Austin will have a chance for big plays if Washington plays its stardard coverages.  They will likely matchup up Rogers on Austin and let him go.  Watch what Jason Garrett does in matchups;  Rogers seems vulnerable to deep speed and fellow CB DeAngelo Hall has some issues with power. 

In last year's 14-10 win in Washington, Dallas attacked Hall with Terrell Owens;  T.O. ran a lot of inside slants, where he could use size to box out the smaller Hall.  Owens was open repeatedly, but Tony Romo's splint made the slant a guessing game;  Romo could not get a good grip on quick timing throws and frequently double-clutched his throws.  Romo was also consistently behind, leading to two picks; one into Hall's arms, and a second which was batted into LB Rocky McIntosh's hands. 

Roy Williams, despite his drops, has found his repertoire the last two games.  He's a one-cut-and-go guy;  he excels at slants, posts and deep ins, the inside half of the Michael Irvin repertoire.  Look for Dallas to match Williams against him and run the same routes that worked for Owens last year. 

Watch where Austin lines up and what matchups Garrett creates for him.   Dallas may flop him to the right side against Hall and try double moves.  Hall is a ball-hawk, who attacks the first routes.  He has four of Washington's five picks this year.  He plays the same way Sheldon Brown does in Philly, and Dallas set him up two weeks ago for a big strike.  What's more likely is we'll see some three receiver looks where Austin is motioned into the middle of the field.  Washington plays a combination of two deep zone and man coverages.  They had good coverage safeties in Chris Horton and LaRon Landry, but Horton is out, replaced by Reed Doughty, making seams to the receiver and TEs a more inviting target.  Martellus Bennett won last year's rematch beating Horton this way and he's a far better coverage option.

Owens had a huge day in '07 when Garrett motioned him into the middle and sent him deep against the cover two sets.  T.O. got matched with the middle linebacker in those situations and easily got open deep.  In last year's rematch, he made a huge catch on Dallas' first scoring drive when he motioned into the slot and ran away from Landry. 

They key for Dallas' offense, as it is for Washington's will be winning first down.  The Redskins don't blitz much, relying on their four man front to generate pressure.  End Andre Carter (8) and rookie Brian Orakpo (7) have combined for 15 of Washington's 24 sacks.  Big-ticket newbie Albert Haynesworth has three and nobody has added more than one.  Washington uses Orakpo the same way New York has used Mathias Kiwanuka in recent seasons; he's the strong-side OLB and moves to end in passing situations.

He's been a godsend for their previously anemic pass rush (just 24 sacks in all of '08) but he's a liability against the run.  Denver had a lot of success running to the edges of Washington's front last week, particularly to their right.  This presents a bit of a problem for Garrett.  I expect a run:pass mix to skew much higher to the run this week, in order to run at Orakpo while he's off the line of scrimmage.  At the same time, Dallas has entered the Doug Free era.  How much confidence does Dallas have in his run blocking?  Probably a little more than they do in his pass blocking at this point. 

Special Teams

The let-'er-rip philosophy was here on opening day, when the Redskins surprised the Giants with a fake field goal for a touchdown. Last week punter Hunter Smith tossed a score to blocking back Mike Sellars.  ST coach Danny Smith gamble turned the game permanently in Washington's favor.  The Redskins are 3-6.  They have nothing to lose.  Joe DeCamillis' guys will have to anticipate onside kicks and fakes on every return situation.  If the Cowboys exhale on 4th down, the Redskins will try to catch them off guard too. 

Overall

This looks like a home game version of the Packers matchup.  An opponent with a good defense and a struggling offense.  I think the defense can play its part.  They kept the Packers in check last week and have not played a fair game since Kansas City and have not played poorly since the Giants loss in week two.  Nobody has run over them since Tampa did in week one. 

The game will come down to the offense's performance.  Garrett's run balance has been ripped all week, but to me it's the flavor-of-the week, which will be quickly forgotten along with his goal line play calling, Romo's play, Terence Newman's struggles and Roy Williams' lack of sync if the execution returns.  Dallas had at least four big pass plays go for nothing because or drops, fumbles and errant throws.  Garrett will likely dial up more runs, but given Washington's character and Haynesworth's iffy status, this was likely to be the case anyway. 

Romo has slowly dialed in Williams the last two weeks while losing his focus with Austin.  If the Cowboys connect on their passes, they will move the ball and they will score. 

They key as I see it, will be Dallas' red zone production.  Dallas moved the ball very effectively in their Washington win last year but twice turned the ball over to end long drives.  Dallas needs to hold on to the football when it gets into Washington's half and it need Nick Folk to convert his kicks.  We may see a lot of field goal attempts this week and Folk looks like a guy with the yips at the moment. 

In any case, hunker down and get ready for a 60 minute contest.  The Redskins are very good at yoking opponents to their level of play.  Nothing will likely come easily tomorrow.

1 recs  |  Comment 44 comments |

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Fiiirrrssstttt!!!

KICK ASS every day!!!

by squidlo97 on Nov 21, 2009 12:10 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

2 good cover safeties???

Actually, Chris Horton is out for the season and Laron Landry has no INTs and all he cares about is going for the big hit.

by SWITZBEATS88 on Nov 21, 2009 12:14 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

oh, that's right.

they have what’s his name, Reed Doughty at SS now. Even more reason to pick the middle.

by Rafael Vela on Nov 21, 2009 12:20 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Not to nit pick but isnt Cooley out as well.

I think this is where Fred Davis has seen his increase in production. I have not seen Davis play much. He was highly touted coming out of USC but has that shown up in the pros yet.
Raf, is Devin or that guy(WR) from Oklahoma showing anything we should fear the next several years. I hear and see more from Phillys guys(WRs). Didnt know if they were struggling or overshawdowed.

KICK ASS every day!!!

by squidlo97 on Nov 21, 2009 12:21 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

they're doing a little bit

but still not much. They have 18 catches between them last year and have 18 combined so far this year.

This is the downside of drafting WRs high. They can burn you.

by Rafael Vela on Nov 21, 2009 12:29 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

there's no comparison between Washington's guys and Philly's guys

Kelly and Thomas were drafted before Jackson but he had more production last year than both Washington guys have had in their two years combined. But they’re still kids. Jackson is more the anomaly than those two. Young WRs take time, ordinarily.

by Rafael Vela on Nov 21, 2009 12:31 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah and they doubled up in the 2nd.

If I remember right they are WRs that fit the west coast scheme. If Zorn goes it could also set them back.

KICK ASS every day!!!

by squidlo97 on Nov 21, 2009 12:33 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

yeah

cooley was ruled out

by Dr. Cowboy on Nov 21, 2009 12:25 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

If the Cowboys don't turn the ball over, they get a win

In the GB game they turned the ball over, over and over. Washington will try to get to Romo with disguising blitzes like GB did last week. If Dallas can pick up the blitz and start running the ball well they cruise. Doug Free in at RT is a worry of sorts.

Where the h3ll is our running game anyway? Barber is still not 100%, Felix went from the cat to a pot belly pig. If these guys can’t do better, start Choice!

by torchindefenses on Nov 21, 2009 1:06 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

+1 on the RB point

Tashard is just clearly the healthiest back right now, and the one least likely to make runs for negative yards. Part of the reason we haven’t been able to run as much lately is that when we do run, we’re getting stuffed or losing yards, putting us in 2nd and long or 3rd and long.

Choice seems by far to be the RB least likely to lose yardage on a run, and thus less likely to handicap us. Marion has always danced a bit in the backfield and gone laterally a lot— and when he’s not 100% and doesn’t have his typical break-tackle ability, that can lead to a lot of stuffs. Felix’s problems have been well-documented— the burst is not there, clearly the knee brace is handicapping him a bit. He is not hitting the hole like he did prior to the knee injury.

Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.

by Tim Wilson on Nov 21, 2009 2:11 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't see why people always assume the running game is tied to the backs

I think the line is not run blocking as well as it did earlier in the year.

by Rafael Vela on Nov 21, 2009 2:23 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

i wonder why tho

I think you’re right, but at least prior to Columbo’s loss, what changed that this massive, talented line that was opening up huge holes early on isn’t able to as much any more?

by scottmaui on Nov 21, 2009 3:45 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I hear you...

….but many running plays are designed on a number of blocks occurring, and then the back being able to break 1 tackle or make 1 guy miss.

Marion does not seem to be able to do that as well as Tashard right now.

Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.

by Tim Wilson on Nov 21, 2009 4:05 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Some truth in there, but...

… I charted the RB carries in the past couple of games and the results are pretty even for both of the healthier RBs…

Good carries: over 5 yards.
Average carries: from 3 to 5 yards
Poor: from negative to 2 yards.

Barber:
Good: 8
Average: 2
Poor: 8

Choice:
Good: 2
Average: 1
Poor: 3

Felix:
Good: 0
Average: 3
Poor: 4

The amount of hitting before the LOS can only be traced to the big uglies in front. They’re big and strong, but they’re having a boat load of problems dealing with speed.

Viva México! Go Cowboys!

by Chandus on Nov 21, 2009 11:57 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

+1

great info..

"No matter where you go, you are what you are playa"-Jay Z
Twitter Account

by Wmillion on Nov 22, 2009 12:55 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

is it possible

Teams expected us to come out pass happy and we didn’t? Caught them off guard, now that teams have focused on stopping our run, we haven’t been as effective? At 1st we were ahead of the curve, now we are behind. Proactive, now we are reactive?

"No matter where you go, you are what you are playa"-Jay Z
Twitter Account

by Wmillion on Nov 21, 2009 5:46 PM CST via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

The Draw

Good step-by-step breakdown of one of the Cowboys’ staple run plays, the draw. As they note, this play has been run most successfully in recent weeks by Tashard. Give him more snaps please!! He’s healthy!

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/sports/redskins/longterm/gameday09/index.html

Also, I think we all know that the blurb at the top (“The Cowboys have struggled with an inconsistent passing game, but they have no issues running the ball”) is not accurate— our run success is skewed towards the first few weeks of the season, and we haven’t been nearly as successful in the last few weeks.

Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.

by Tim Wilson on Nov 21, 2009 2:08 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Ever since that Mark Brunnell game, I fear Santana Moss. He is a streaky, inconsistent player in general, but he has hurt us numerous times. Really don’t care for the guy.

“Only two of the last six Redskins opponents have topped 300 total yards.”

That’s a crazy stat. Looks like the defense hasn’t lost a step, even without Gregg Williams and with the problems at safety. (I’m surprised at Landry’s regression, by the way— he had seemed like quite a player up until this season)

Also, Raf mentions Terence Newman’s struggles in the post. What are those? My impression was that Terence had been playing pretty well lately. Is it because Driver got the better of him on some routes last week?

Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.

by Tim Wilson on Nov 21, 2009 2:20 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

defense overrated based on weak schedule

"Only two of the last six Redskins opponents have topped 300 total yards."

But those last six opponents included Kansas City, Carolina (before they got their run mojo back) and Tampa Bay, not exactly offensive powerhouses lol. Plus the Skins rank 24th in total offense, and managed to lose 2 of those games and win the other one by only 3 points, so it isn’t like teams have needed to put up a lot of offense to beat them. Their defensive stats are skewed by their weak schedule, and I would be very surprised if we didn’t put up well over 300 yards on them.

by scottmaui on Nov 21, 2009 3:39 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I dont know about that. they finished 4th overall for D last year

and added Arakpo and Haynesworth. I think they are pretty stout overall. They have underated LBs as well. Not mentioned we have played all of those teams and we are ranked much lower. Special teams and turnovers have killed them as well.
Eagles had 2 big plays and turnovers against them and didnt really do any else. We will earn every yard we get this week.

KICK ASS every day!!!

by squidlo97 on Nov 21, 2009 3:49 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

good points

altho I’m not saying they aren’t a good defense, just that I don’t think they are the best D in the league as per the pure yardage allowed stat. If you look at DVOA they are 14th.

by scottmaui on Nov 21, 2009 4:49 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

The Cowboys had the top overall D not so long ago

And they weren’t that good.

It’s like saying that one CB is top notch and the another is average, because one rarely got burnt while the other many times… But the crispier one faced many of the best receivers, while the other faced an easier schedule…

Stats try to describe the view, but there’s nothing like seeing it first hand.

Viva México! Go Cowboys!

by Chandus on Nov 21, 2009 11:46 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

If Dallas can score early and often

Washington will throw in the towel and just want to go home. Dallas needs to come out guns a blazing and make big plays on the O. and take it to them on the D. and this game could be over by half. If Dallas lets them hang around it could make for a long day.

How bout dem Frogs!!!!

by DIRE WOLF on Nov 21, 2009 3:30 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Yep

It will take a mighty effort on our part to make the Skins give up on this one. If our boys leave them any daylight, they will bring Brave Heart to Jerryland.

Keep doing what you been doing, keep getting what you been getting.

by OskieOskie on Nov 22, 2009 4:06 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Division games are never easy

and are much less predictable than other games, especially with a team in Washington’s situation where they are playing loose, have little to lose, and are willing to throw in trickery and take chances.

Having said that, this falls into the “beat the teams you’re supposed to beat” category and I think it will come down to basic execution, and avoiding beating ourselves with turnovers and drive killing mistakes.

by scottmaui on Nov 21, 2009 3:42 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

awesome post Raf

Ich bin ein Berliner--JFK

by HudBaby on Nov 21, 2009 4:31 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

+1

Apparently Mr Vela and I share some musical and movie tastes. Bonus for me!

by Benthere on Nov 21, 2009 5:50 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

It's a simple formula like it is every week

We win the turnover battle we’ll win fairly easily, if not, it will be a struggle to win and the probability of a loss is great.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on Nov 21, 2009 5:38 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

"At the same time, Dallas has entered the Doug Free era.

How much confidence does Dallas have in his run blocking? Probably a little more than they do in his pass blocking at this point."

I thought that Doug Free looked better in pass protection in training camp and during the preseason, than he did on running plays. He has had difficulty getting a good push in the running game, and has a tendency to get physically dominated from time to time.

In addition, I would expect the Redskins to put Carter over Free to utilize Carter’s strength on Free’s relative weakness. Conversely, Orakpo is more of a speed rusher, the type of pass rusher that has always given Flozell problems.

Dallas needs to get a great pass rush in this game while protecting against the run. With Ball starting at safety, I expect to see at least a few busted coverages on Moss and Randle El. Remember that Ware’s pressure on McNabb saved several potential huge plays a few weeks ago.

And please: NO NEW INJURIES!

by ScarletO on Nov 21, 2009 8:42 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Bt the way...

I thought that Martellus began to assert himself last season as a receiver in the game at Washington last season. Barber III also had a wonderful last drive to put the game on ice.

I would be shocked to not see Bennett and Barber III not have a significant impact in the game tomorrow. Who knows about Felix, since he did not get one offensive touch against the Redskins last season.

by ScarletO on Nov 21, 2009 8:46 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Disagree but wish I didn't

Witten has demanded more touches (aka said he wants to be a weapon) so I think we will see him have a big day, but this could actually free things up for Bennett, so who knows maybe this will be a decent day for him (although we’ve been saying it since day one of training camp).

On another note, I’m not trying to brag, but I said a few weeks ago that our redzone offense had suddenly become inefficient. I think the injuries to Barber and Felix have been far too overlooked. I know Choice has been preaching it, but just because they are in the game doesn’t mean they are healthy. Barber’s power seems close to back, but when he gets away he can’t even get near the edge, he just looks slow, and don’t even get me started with how tentative Felix looks. Oh well, to be honest, I think we win this game goin away late, in the 2 td type range, easily more though.

"I’m ready to go here, all right? It’s like R. Kelly at recess."
"You will come back stronger then ever. Like Lance Armstrong. But with two balls."

-Ari Gold

by Young Wiz on Nov 21, 2009 9:18 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm looking for our unsung heroes of yesterday (those you mentioned: Barber & the TEs) to help out the offense more.

It seems it has been Romo and the WRs for the last few games. It’s time the big guys step up in what should be a very physical game.

I can see for miles and miles and miles and miles and miles...

by Aaron Novinger on Nov 21, 2009 9:40 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I dunno

Looked to me like MBIII had a real spark of his old self. Needless to say his heart is always in it to an extreme I think you can always see how he never lets up his passion to fight through whatever adversity he got going.

I’m really getting the feeling that his legs are just about good to go, it’s his hand that’s now giving him fits and that’s really too darn bad.. If one cannot hold onto the ball with great confidence and security (of us fans:) then one should not be used extensively in the game until it’s really ok to do so. (Don’t fumble tomorrow ’Boys)

Just becuz you put yer boots in the oven don't make it bread

by dcfansinceiwasababy on Nov 22, 2009 12:07 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

broken thumb

didn’t seem to be bothering him in carries (since he uses his right hand mostly) but in pass protection. hard to block well with a broken thumb. that’s what kept him out last week.

it still seems like his quad isn’t quite 100%, but it’s like 98%… good enough to get him through the hole and into the second level, but ends up not being able to get that extra burst at the end that turns a 10 or 15 yard carry into a 20 or 30 yard carry.

by scottmaui on Nov 22, 2009 12:43 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

The Cowboys will have their hands more than full today

They ought to come out and blow these guys out of the stadium

but I’m afraid they’re just going to roll out the same effort as last week and fall on their swords

They don’t let the fan ever gain any confidence in their abilities to win games, because they manage to unfurl some wretched level of play when everyone is expecting them to step on the gas

and I lay that at the coach’s feet

by Urinal Mint on Nov 22, 2009 8:30 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

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