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Cowboys Draft 2009: Safest Bets

When it comes to the NFL Draft, there is no such thing as a safe pick. Each year teams weigh production versus potential. At the top of last year’s draft the Miami Dolphins opted for the "safe pick", taking Michigan offensive tackle Jake Long with the draft’s first overall selection. The year before, the Oakland Raiders chose LSU quarterback Jamarcus Russell’s huge arm and potential over a supposedly more safe and "NFL-ready" Brady Quinn (Notre Dame).

The Cowboys’ free agent moves have put them in position to roll the dice a bit for the sake of upside. However, depth is limited up and down this roster, so the Cowboys could do themselves a favor by bringing in guys who can be solid contributors right away. Another draft class like last year’s ought to suffice.

Here is a look at a few of this draft’s safer bets who may draw the Cowboys interest:

Star-divide

Juaquin Iglesias, WR, Oklahoma - Iglesias looks and plays a lot like another former Oklahoma wideout who once wore the same #9 jersey, Baltimore Raven Mark Clayton. Like Clayton, Iglesias enters the draft as a fairly polished prospect. While his explosive abilities are somewhat limited, you know what you are getting with Iglesias. The guy is going to come in, run good routes, catch everything near him, and contribute as a solid punt returner. Iglesias would be a great value as early as round three.

Brian Robiskie, WR, Ohio State - Son of Atlanta Falcons receivers coach Terry Robiskie, Brian enters the draft well versed in the position’s nuances. Growing up around the NFL, Robiskie has a first-hand perspective on what being a pro is all about. Impute his ideal size, speed (6-3/209, 4.46 forty) and natural hands, and you have yourself a legit NFL wide receiver. Robiskie is by most accounts climbing up draft boards, and may not be available when the Cowboys first make a selection.

Max Unger, C, Oregon - Unger is a safer pick because of his versatility, and because of the fact that first-day centers have had a pretty high success rate in recent years. Unger is a heady player whose size (6-5/309) allows him to provide a team with viable depth at all three interior offensive line positions. Not exactly a position of need for the Cowboys, but he would offer great flexibility along the offensive line.

Ron Brace, DT, Boston College - Ron Brace is a safe pick as long as the team who drafts him has no misconceptions as to what he is. Brace is not the guy for you if you are looking for a nose tackle who will make a lot of plays in the opponents backfield, or hustle to track down a running back 25 yards downfield. What Brace will do is clog the interior gaps and compromise running lanes. His arsenal of pass-rush techniques is pretty much limited to his patented "try to push the center into the quarterback" move. Brace would be a great fit in Dallas because a two-down clogger is all the Cowboys really need behind Jay Ratliff.

Scott McKillop, LB, Pittsburgh - Not huge. Not overly strong. Not exceptionally quick or dynamic. Just real good. McKillop will not wow you physically like a Patrick Willis, but he’s pretty good at knocking down the guy with the ball. Who knows how many highlight reel type of plays he has in him at the next level, but he seems like a pretty safe bet to make 100+ tackles and a minimal number of mistakes.

Patrick Chung, S, Oregon - People seem to be down on Chung for some reason. Maybe it’s hard to shake the images of Chung being stiff-armed to the turf by Marshawn Lynch a few years back. Either way, Chung is a solid (not spectacular) safety. What you see is what you get. Chung has good size (5-11/212) and is a reliable player against both the run and the pass. Chung was not exactly a fixture on the Oregon highlight reel, but you didn’t often see him in chase position on the highlight tapes of any Pac-10 receivers either. After seven years of watching Roy Williams, that is a refreshing thought.

Jerry Jones has had a propensity for rolling the dice in the past, but we have begun to see a different side of Mr. Jones of late. If last year was any indicator of how the combination of Jones and director of college and pro scouting Tom Ciskowski will operate, then we should expect the Cowboys to save the gambling for the later rounds.

 

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+1

I’ll take him asap. After him safety then o-line and so on…

God 1st, Family Always & Dallas Cowboys 4 Life!!!!!

by CodeNamedG on Apr 19, 2009 11:28 PM CDT up reply actions  

Safest picks..

Yet you have two WR’s listed.

by JBell523 on Apr 18, 2009 11:00 PM CDT reply actions  

also, in regards to Iglesias

name a solid receiver, that has recently come out of the Big 12, let’s see
Roy Williams, Texas
Wes Welker, Texas Tech

I just don’t think the Big 12 produces many decent wide recievers, and even if they did produce more it’s still not a safe position in general.

by The Triplets on Apr 19, 2009 1:09 AM CDT up reply actions  

The reason he put them in there...

Is Robiskie’s father is in the NFL so he knows the hard work and he will be ready to contribute from day one, and Iglesias runs precise routes which is needed in the NFL. He put guys in there that might not have the highest ceilings but have very high floors.

by nicholas.rodriguez on Apr 19, 2009 3:25 AM CDT up reply actions  

Subtract Robiskie's name

and add Carpenter in the first sentence. Not a sure thing but the point is well taken

by cow_fanatic on Apr 19, 2009 8:48 AM CDT up reply actions  

Exactly.

I don’t care who their daddy is.

by Realist Larry on Apr 19, 2009 2:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

?

Well considering that WR’s come from every school big or small, that’s kind of not really a big deal.

Plus considering the Big 12 has been around less than 20 years and the three best teams in it before that were running wishbone type offenses, that’s really not that big of a deal.

They've done studies, you know. 60% of the time it works, every time.

by AirforceBat on Apr 19, 2009 7:44 PM CDT up reply actions  

Great article

I hope Jerry gets a starter with the first pick. IMO it should be Unger. With the 3 really good running backs we have it would be great to have a real stud center to add to the mix. Romo would be under less pressure, turnovers would go down, the defense would be under less pressure, etc, etc, with a better running game. Jerry needs to pick up solid players each year with the first couple of picks.

by cowboy1966 on Apr 18, 2009 11:27 PM CDT reply actions  

No Gurode is Not A Stud

Gurode can’t snap the ball at a level necessary to be a center on a championship team. He has the yips and fails to pull the trigger on demand. Many of our false starts are the fault of this mental defect. Worse, Gurode snaps the ball when Romo is not ready or snaps the ball over his head. Then there are the snaps that resemble a parabala – think of the arch in one half of the McDonalds sign – that is the trajectory of most of Gurode’s snaps; these are slow to reach Romo. Remember the Giant playoff loss? Gurode was terrible that game. Ever noticed how Romo has to jump so as to be better positioned to catch Gurode’s snaps? Gurode is like an auctioneer who has a stuttering problem.

by Iowacowboy on Apr 19, 2009 7:59 AM CDT up reply actions  

Amen

Gurode has a major problem with the snap. Unger could push him to guard. Then we could have a pro bowl center and guard. We would also have a much better OL.

by cowboy1966 on Apr 19, 2009 10:13 AM CDT up reply actions  

Push him to guard?

Who’s he going to move out, Kosier or LDavis?
I don’t see Gurode beating either one of those out.

I’m not saying don’t draft the guy, he sounds good, but he’ll probably sit/backup this year.

by Realist Larry on Apr 19, 2009 2:44 PM CDT up reply actions  

Gurode or Unger

would beat out Kosier at guard. Since Gurode can’t snap the ball it would be Gurode moving to guard and Unger playing center.

by cowboy1966 on Apr 19, 2009 5:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

Strongly disagree.

When healthy Kosier has been reliable. And can move, something few of our linemen can do.
You need someone to pull sometimes.

by Realist Larry on Apr 20, 2009 12:18 AM CDT up reply actions  

How can you say a rookie...

Can beat anyone out?

He hasn’t played one snap in the NFL.

They've done studies, you know. 60% of the time it works, every time.

by AirforceBat on Apr 20, 2009 8:31 AM CDT up reply actions  

well, Unger would certainly be an upgrade over Proctor

you can’t really argue that point.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on Apr 20, 2009 8:42 AM CDT up reply actions  

Well you would definitly hope so.

I mean the odds are that he’s better than Proctor, but then again he could be Winston Justice.

I COULD argue it. I wouldn’t, but I could.

They've done studies, you know. 60% of the time it works, every time.

by AirforceBat on Apr 20, 2009 12:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

He has not played a snap in the NFL

but the scouts would not consider him a 1st or early 2nd round draft choice as a center if he was not a stud.

by cowboy1966 on Apr 20, 2009 3:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

Haha...

well under that thought, then there wouldn’t ever be a guy that is projected as a first or second rounder that couldn’t be a bust.

Mike Williams, Winston Justice anyone?

I’m not saying you’re wrong, but no one is a sure thing.

Generally offensive lineman that are in the first two rounds or are projected there end up being good players, but nothing is a given in the NFL.

They've done studies, you know. 60% of the time it works, every time.

by AirforceBat on Apr 20, 2009 3:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

BTW

I would want to take them too. I’m just playing devils advocate.

Too many times are guys talked about as sure things. All of them are a gamble, just some are waaaaaay less of a gamble.

They've done studies, you know. 60% of the time it works, every time.

by AirforceBat on Apr 20, 2009 4:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

nobody is saying he's a sure thing

only that he is better than Proctor and thats not really saying he’s even going to be good.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on Apr 20, 2009 4:21 PM CDT up reply actions  

He should be better than Proctor

They've done studies, you know. 60% of the time it works, every time.

by AirforceBat on Apr 20, 2009 4:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

The OL

concerns me a lot. With these 3 stud centers out there it appears to be a great chance to upgrade the OL. I agree that potential means “you aint done it yet!” But going with the center seems like the best option.

by cowboy1966 on Apr 20, 2009 6:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

What I have heard

Is that the Cowboys would like to move Gurode to guard if they can come up with a good center to replace him.

Unlike a Cowboys' season, in life, there may not be a next year.

by Reno Cowboy on Apr 19, 2009 5:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

remember

Gurode is the same center that stonewalled the supposed best nose tackle in football

by MdFan24 on Apr 19, 2009 12:15 AM CDT up reply actions  

+1000

But ?S have come up about line calls and if we do get another Center, he has played LG before so it wouldn’t trouble him to move over, and he will still get to manhandle Haynesworth twice a year

by nicholas.rodriguez on Apr 19, 2009 3:26 AM CDT up reply actions  

Sure Gurode is a Beast . . . But Job One is The Snap

Gurode’s number one job is to get the ball to Romo timely, consistently, and with authority. This Gurode is incapable of doing, He is one of the worst centers in the game for handling the ball.

by Iowacowboy on Apr 19, 2009 8:01 AM CDT up reply actions  

Need to snap

If we can reduce the mis-snaps then that would be great. Gurode is a beast and could play one of the guard positions but will Unger or Mack bring the same thing in that or are they just better snappers. Also, what do you do with Kosier if he is no longer starting. Might be a shoppable player if he isn’t starting (paid too much to bench), so you might be able to get a decent OT to back up and possibly be an heir apparent for Weak OT to protect Romo after Flozell is gone.

Tony Romo off in dat hole, Watch roll and watch him throw, Watch him lead dem cowboys to the super bowl, now watch me "yua!" crank dat cowboys, Now watch me "yua!" crank dat cowboys, Now watch me "yua!" crank dat cowboys, Now watch me "yua!" crank dat cowboys!

by ProBowlFactory on Apr 19, 2009 11:07 AM CDT up reply actions  

we need a tackle or a guard, but not a center

plus Unger doesn’t fit the mold of a Dallas Cowboys lineman which is strong and overpowering at the point of attack. He’s not a bad player though.

by The Triplets on Apr 19, 2009 12:55 AM CDT up reply actions  

Agree

Unger is not a good fit for Dallas. I’d take Eric Wood over him if I had to choose between 2 centers.

Feb. 27 -- Veteran free agency signing period begins. Trading period begins.
April 25-26 -- NFL Draft

by APerfectStar on Apr 19, 2009 3:51 AM CDT up reply actions  

We Don't Need a Guard

We have guards running out of our butt. We need a tackle but the chances of landing a true left tackle are slim unless we move up into the middle of round at a minimum. However, a center solves our problems at one position and puts another beast into the guard rotation. If Flo goes down, we can move Bigg to Left Tackle, and then we are still capable of inserting an experienced guard (Gurode or Holland) into the lineup.

by Iowacowboy on Apr 19, 2009 8:05 AM CDT up reply actions  

Move Bigg to left tackle?

Ask Arizona how that worked out.

"I see the door, I just get off on running through the wall." - Young Tripp

by Carl Shelton (GloryDayz88) on Apr 19, 2009 8:53 AM CDT up reply actions  

Not Move Bigg to LT

But, what are we going to do in an emergency; what do we do if Flo goes down for the season? My point is that drafting a center covers our bases in the event we have injuries. Bigg at Right Guard is optimal but we have to plan for injuries as we found out last year when the seaon took a nose dive when Kosier went down and when Romo went out for three games. Planning, planning, planning. Drafting a center fixes depth and fixes the Gurode can’t snap the ball problem. Finally, Bigg at LT in Arizona is not a perfect indicator on how Bigg might play LT for Dallas as an emergency stop gap measure and with our running game and our tight end roster, etc.

by Iowacowboy on Apr 19, 2009 11:08 AM CDT up reply actions  

Well, if Free and McQuistan are gonna hang around on this roster

They better get ready to play eventually. What’s the point of having backup tackles if they can’t back up the starter. We shouldn’t have to move a guard.

"I see the door, I just get off on running through the wall." - Young Tripp

by Carl Shelton (GloryDayz88) on Apr 19, 2009 12:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

we agree with this one!

I don’t get why this team never seems to have backups ready to play.
It is a necessity in the NFL. Esp. on the OLine.

One of my frustrations with the Seattle loss, then the loss the next year, is that both of those years were relatively injury-free for the NFL-they were good opportunities.

by Realist Larry on Apr 20, 2009 12:26 AM CDT up reply actions  

Yes to a Center With First Pick

This is my prediction for the Cowboys first pick. Dallas will probably move up slightly and snag one of the top two centers. This move makes sense for several reasons; one there are three top tier centers available this year so the position will sink at draft time and provide value to whomever takes one of these guys. Second, Dallas must have depth at o-line and a center added in this draft provides the most depth compared to taking a tackle or another guard. This is true because Gurode would become available in the guard rotation, freeing up, for example Bigg, to move to left tackle – say, if Flo succumbs to age and knee problems. No other offensive line draft pick in our range would offer Dallas so much additional depth. Lastly, Gurode is a liability snapping the ball. It is fashionable in Cowboy-land to ignore this defect but my view is that Dallas will never reach the Super Bowl with a guy who can’t snap the ball consistently and competently. This defect hurts Romo, as well, because Romo has to divert his brain to Gurode’s snaps instead of to the opposing defense. I would package our two with something from next year or Carpenter and move up to make this selection.

by Iowacowboy on Apr 19, 2009 7:54 AM CDT up reply actions  

Value at center

There will be a lot of value at center this year. We could pick off a 10-12 year starter and pro bowler if we take Unger. A smart guy, captain of the OL, OL depth, best decision.

by cowboy1966 on Apr 19, 2009 10:24 AM CDT up reply actions  

I believe

Unger can play all line positions too. Thats value and safe pick. Dallas needs to keep this team strong from the inside out. Seems thats how the great teams operate. I would sleep better knowing we’re not 1 play away from Procter being put back in

by fretman on Apr 19, 2009 12:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

And remember-

Jerry said he was going Romo friendly…

by Mojoness on Apr 19, 2009 10:56 AM CDT up reply actions  

Ron Brace

He’s exactly what Dallas needs, but there are a lot of questions about the back injury. Is it just poor conditioning, or something more serious? That would knock him out of the safer pick category. IMO

Feb. 27 -- Veteran free agency signing period begins. Trading period begins.
April 25-26 -- NFL Draft

by APerfectStar on Apr 19, 2009 4:04 AM CDT reply actions  

Good Picks Glory

All of them should be good pros. Unfortunately, I can’t see the first three being there when we pick at 51. Unger is going at the end of the first , early second by all accounts. The two receivers will be grabbed early second if they last that long.

The only way I see getting the last three is if we take Chung at 51, Brace at 69 and McKillop at 101 or 117. Unger would be great ,but we will likely have to trade up to have a shot at him. Good post as always.

by oldboysfan on Apr 19, 2009 6:55 AM CDT reply actions  

So lets trade up

to get Unger. We have the extra picks to do it

by fretman on Apr 19, 2009 12:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

actually Delmas would be the safest bet for the Cowboys

if he is available in the second rd as he has a very high floor. At the absolute worse, Demas will be a very solid starter in this league.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on Apr 19, 2009 9:19 AM CDT reply actions  

I might have said the same

But after recent developments, I believe the cowboys will go a different route than safety with #51 (moste likely trading up for Robiskie if they can or something else) and get Rashad Johnson out of Alabama. “Coach on the field” is what I hear when his name is mentioned in scouting reports and the best coach of course must be a leader and the best leaders lead by example, which he does. A ball hawk not only to make plays on balls in the air but also on the ground. I think the 3rd round will be a safety and #51 possibly a guy like Robiskie if he is available.

Tony Romo off in dat hole, Watch roll and watch him throw, Watch him lead dem cowboys to the super bowl, now watch me "yua!" crank dat cowboys, Now watch me "yua!" crank dat cowboys, Now watch me "yua!" crank dat cowboys, Now watch me "yua!" crank dat cowboys!

by ProBowlFactory on Apr 19, 2009 11:12 AM CDT up reply actions  

Why are people suggesting WR at #51?

Wasn’t it the owner/GM who said his reason for letting T.O. go wasn’t because he was a disruptive force, but rather, because the young receivers on the roster had so much potential and needed more opportunities? Surely, you don’t think Jerry would say something that he didn’t really believe. Do you?

Unlike a Cowboys' season, in life, there may not be a next year.

by Reno Cowboy on Apr 19, 2009 6:04 PM CDT up reply actions  

Drafting a WR wouldn't mean he wasn't being honest

A WR at 51 would still be a project. Drafting a guy with upside who didn’t play much for a year or two would fit. I just think there are more pressing needs for that pick

by StillHateTheGiants on Apr 19, 2009 11:44 PM CDT up reply actions  

More pressing needs indeed...

but if Robiskie was there I’d take him without blinking.

"I see the door, I just get off on running through the wall." - Young Tripp

by Carl Shelton (GloryDayz88) on Apr 19, 2009 11:46 PM CDT up reply actions  

Grizz

I think the draft countdown clock is wrong as the draft starts at 4:00 pm EST, not noon this Saturday.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on Apr 19, 2009 11:59 AM CDT reply actions  

I think

OL is probably the safest pick. Flo will not last much longer so LT is a concern. Anyone know how Doug Free is doing? Is he still looked at as a T? I had high hopes for him when he was drafted but he can’t even play his way onto the field.

Here is a 6 round mock I spotted this morning:

http://thefootballexpert.com/cox2009mockdraft.html

by tyler2 on Apr 19, 2009 1:49 PM CDT reply actions  

good choices, but

i just don’t see the infatuation with Chung, he’s very meh to me…

this is what i do...i guarantee.

by Longhorn on Apr 19, 2009 2:12 PM CDT reply actions  

Agreed

I really liked what I saw of Robiskie, reminds me of a Terry Glenn type player.

On defense, if we stay at 51 I would love to see Sean Smith, I think he might be one of the better defensive backs to come out in the last couple of years.

by ChrisRichey on Apr 19, 2009 3:28 PM CDT up reply actions  

?

Terry Glenn was a top 10 pick because he had speed to burn.

Robiske is “safe” because he’s a possession guy. Runs good routes. Will get open and
catch balls. But he’s not going to beat people deep.

Sean Smith is going off the board in round one.

by Rafael Vela on Apr 19, 2009 3:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

Robinske has speed

he ran the 4 × 100 relay for Ohio State. Of course football is not track but the potential for deep speed is there. I am not saying he is terry glenn but he could be a TO type of deep threat. Right now you cant say that for him but he has some upside in that regard

by Becho on Apr 19, 2009 4:15 PM CDT up reply actions  

4.4 is good speed.

"No matter where you go, you are what you are playa"-Jay Z

by Wmillion on Apr 19, 2009 7:49 PM CDT up reply actions  

This may surprise some people but I think Chris Baker is a safe bet

I think his character concerns are overblown, and he has a well rounded game and is a playmaker.

by quincyyyyy on Apr 19, 2009 3:17 PM CDT reply actions  

Chung a safe pick?

I guess that depends on where a team wants to select him, and what they want to do with him. Late 3rd/4th round strong safety? Maybe. But there should be much better safeties who can both tackle and cover receivers when the Cowboys pick at #51.

Wes Bunting’s top 100 in the National Football Post has Chung at #79. Bunting says that Chung, “Relies on his instincts and read-and-react ability rather than pure athleticism.” NFL.com’s analysis of Chung’s weaknesses reminds me of all the reasons why Roy (SS) Williams is no longer a part of the Cowboys.

Unlike a Cowboys' season, in life, there may not be a next year.

by Reno Cowboy on Apr 19, 2009 5:28 PM CDT reply actions  

Opinions vary across the board on Chung.

Some people have him in the top 45-50 prospects. I listed Chung as a safer bet because nothing about his game says he will be a failure. There aren’t any signs that point to him being Troy Polamalu, but his bust potential is low.

"I see the door, I just get off on running through the wall." - Young Tripp

by Carl Shelton (GloryDayz88) on Apr 19, 2009 6:47 PM CDT up reply actions  

+1

I watch a lot of pac 10 football since I’m from Oregon, and I’m telling you, you didn’t see him chasing down WR’s who had somehow slipped behind the coverage and Byrd is slow so he had to play over the top some. He’s played both strong and free safety and he’s tough and ultra competitive something i think Roy lost to an extent and when he lost that he lost his edge. imo the reason Roy isn’t around anymore is because he his competitiveness and his destroyer mentality, Chung brings the good qualities of Roy without the bad. Plus, there is no reason to overreact. We had a big SS safety tank, that doesn’t mean all of them are bad, plus I’ll wager Chung is better in coverage than Roy ever was.

by The Triplets on Apr 20, 2009 7:18 PM CDT up reply actions  

PROCTOR

The only thing I would add is Cory Proctor cannot be a part of the O-Line next year. Nice guy, but he is not a very good player. We also need a better Line coach. I am not a fan of Hudson Houck and I remember when he was a coach here last time that the line did not handle blitzes very well and they certainly didn’t handle them well last year. Proctor and Houck are weak links.

Ahab the Arab

by damnarab2 on Apr 19, 2009 8:18 PM CDT reply actions  

I'm with you on Proctor

But I want to see Houck run the line in a year where the entire offense isn’t compromised by injury.

"I see the door, I just get off on running through the wall." - Young Tripp

by Carl Shelton (GloryDayz88) on Apr 19, 2009 10:41 PM CDT up reply actions  

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