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Cowboys making their first Pro Bowl in 2009

During my daily swim through PFT, I saw an article in which writers in the Minnesota paper identified five Vikings who could make their first Pro Bowl appearance this season.  It was an interesting feature, and wanted to duplicate the experiment for the Cowboys.  Mind you, this is not an easy task as 14 current Cowboys have played in a Pro Bowl.  That's 63% of our Offensive starters, 45% of our Defensive starters, and 50% of our Special Teams starters.  So, here's my analysis of players who could, under the right circumstances, make the Pro Bowl for the very first time this season.  I've put them in order of likeliness, as I see it.

 

1.  Bradie James.  This is the easy pick.  He should have made the Pro Bowl last season, based on his performance.  The problem is that he plays in the same conference as Patrick Willis and Jon Beason.  Both those guys were former first round picks from big time college programs.  Because the Pro Bowl is essentially a popularity contest, it will be hard for James to unseat either of those guys.  You could compare their stats all day long.  Essentially you will find that Beason and Willis outperformed James in their more conservative defensive scheme with better stats related to tackles, interceptions and passes defended, whereas James outperformed the other two in the Cowboys more aggressive scheme, having many more sacks and forced fumbles. 

To me, all-pro voting by the Associated Press is the best measure of a player's performance.  Unlike the Pro Bowl, the AP team is made up of the best players per position, regardless of conference.  Obviously, this makes it more difficult (and a greater honor) to make the Associated Press All-Pro team.  When you look at the voting from last year at inside linebacker the first team was comprised of Ray Lewis-AFC (39 votes) and Jon Beason (18).  The second team was Patrick Willis (17) and James Farrior-AFC (12).  Also receiving votes from the NFC were London Fletcher (8), Barrett Ruud (1) and (what?!?!?) Stewart Bradley (1).  Bradie James was shutout.

The Pro Bowl utilizes a 4-3 defensive scheme, and therefore only has two ILBs on the roster, a starter and a reserve.  This will make it extremely difficult for Bradie as he not only has to outperform Beason and Willis (which didn't help him last year) but also London Fletcher, Barrett Ruud, and someone named Stewart Bradley.  According to London Fletcher (couldn't find anything online confirming this) he was the NFC's Pro Bowl alternate at ILB last season.

Odds of making the Pro Bowl in 2009: 3 to 1

2.  Felix Jones.  This one is also a possibility, but not all that likely.  He could put up wonderful numbers and still lose out on the Pro Bowl and all the best RBs in the NFL are in the NFC.  All four players who got All-Pro votes (Peterson, Turner, DeAngelo and Portis) all play in the NFC.  That's pretty tough competition.  Compare that to the AFC who had Thomas Jones start the Pro Bowl for them.  Jones is a nice back, but he's not Pro Bowl starter nice.  I would think Felix would be able to compete with the backs in that conference (Chris Johnson, Ronnie Brown and Marshawn Lynch also made it.)

The other aspect working against him is the running back by committee approach Dallas will certainly utilize.  Felix might have to rely on a few kickoff returns to make the Pro Bowl as a return man.

Odds of making the Pro Bowl in 2009: 8 to 1

3. Igor Olshansky.  Here is where the longshots start.  The easiest reason to dismiss this argument would be competition.  Again, the best DEs in the NFL are in the NFC.  The top four All-Pro vote getters (Justin Tuck, Jared Allen, Julius Peppers, and John Abraham) all reside in the NFC.  As does up-and-comer Trent Cole.  Olshansky making the Pro Bowl would require a huge season.  The one reason I think its possible is this: consider who he is playing next to.  Igor will most likely be playing Right End.  He will be flanked to his left by Pro Bowl NT Jay Ratliff.  Now that Ratliff has established himself as a force in the middle, he will draw more double teams.  This should leave Igor with many one-on-one situations.  If a team did want to double Olshansky, they might want to look over his right shoulder and peer into the eyes of best defensive player in the NFL.  Standard Pro Set offenses typically run their TE on the right side of the offensive line more often than not.  That will mean DeMarcus Ware will usually be lined up on the right side of the Defensive Line (the weak side.)  Because teams would be foolish to ask a back to block Ware, they will probably have the Tackle take him.  This will allow Olshansky to be one-on-one with a Guard.  Not a bad match-up for the 300+ lb Defensive End.  Let's hope he's able to parlay these match-ups into production.

Odds of making the Pro Bowl in 2009: 20 to 1

4.  Anthony SpencerOk, I'm really getting ahead of myself here.  The kid hasn't even started in the league for a season, and I've got him going to the Pro Bowl.  The hope here is that, similar to Olshansky) he will not get a lot of attention from opposing offenses in 2009 with Ware on the other side of the line.  It worked for Greg Ellis two years ago.  Ellis had his best and only Pro Bowl season playing opposite Ware and offenses said let's max protect against number 94, don't worry about that old codger on the other side of the line.'  Ellis turned that into 12.5 sacks in only 13 games.

Another good example of this is Shaun Phillips in San Diego.  He's done some great work while playing opposite Merriman.  Only Phillips has yet to make it to a Pro Bowl after four straight solid seasons.  Considering the NFC Pro Bowlers at OLB last year (besides Ware) are all getting a little long in the tooth (Derrick Brooks was released by Tampa and might retire; Julian Peterson is on the wrong side of 30 and his play is starting to slip; Lance Briggs still seams to be playing at high level but will be 29 this season) maybe its time for this position to turn over.  It shouldn't surprise anyone if two or even three new players make the Pro Bowl at OLB in 2009.  Why not Spencer?

Odds of making the Pro Bowl in 2009: 20 to 1

5. Stephen HodgeI wasn't going to make this list without throwing at least one curveball at you.  Obviously he won't make the Pro Bowl at Linebacker or Safety or any other position on the defense.  But, I could see him making the Pro Bowl (assuming he makes the Cowboys 53 man roster first) as the Special Teams ace.  As you probably know, this slot on the pro bowl team was created for a Cowboy (Bill Bates) and we've had many ST aces in the past in Kenny Gant and Keith Davis.  So, I think it's time Dallas establishes another one in Hodge.  Our draft was centered around special teams, so I'm going to assume we got some good ones.  Of the highlights I've see on YouTube, Hodge may have the most potential as a gunner.  By the way, can you name the ST representative from the NFC last year?  Or maybe, I should ask the question a different way: 'Who the he!! is Sean Morey?'

Odds of making the Pro Bowl in 2009: 50 to 1

Another user-created commentary provided by a BTB reader.

3 recs  |  Comment 29 comments

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+1

He and Bradie and that is it.

Bradie because he should bring the big tackle numbers again, and Sensebaugh because he’ll have the OPPORTUNITY to get some big INT #’s if the sack numbers stay high.

"Well, we didn't block real good but we made up for it by not tackling."

- John McKay, the first coach of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

by 5Blings on Jun 26, 2009 6:25 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bradie James a lot more than a 3-1 shot...

You mentioned Patrick Willis and Jon Beason, but there are others he’ll have to climb over…

- Brian Urlacher – Bigger name (and that’s what really matters with the Pro Bowl, unfortunately), and despite the down year last year, he can still play.

- London Fletcher – He’s bound to eventually get a lifetime achievement trip to Hawaii. It’s actually absurd that he’s never been there.

- Lofa Tatupu – See Urlacher.

And some more guys that are on Bradie James’ level…

- Barrett Ruud – Monster year last year. Will be expected to do more with the release of Derrick Brooks.

- Stewart Bradley – Not sure what the “what?!?” was for? Have you seen him play?

- Antonio Pierce – On the decline, but he’s in a position to put up big numbers behind that ridiculous D Line.

by Bye, Dawk :( on Jun 26, 2009 7:02 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

You mentioned Patrick Willis and Jon Beason, but there are others he’ll have to climb over…

Actually, I did mention Fletcher, Ruud and Bradley in the article. Regarding Urlacher, I didnt mention him for a reason. We both know the Pro Bowl is a popularity contest, and it seems as though people are over Urlacher. He hasnt made the last 2 Pro Bowls and he’s 31 years old. Unless he puts up monster numbers (which, statistically speaking, he never really has) he’s out of the running. You have a point on Lofa. He’s probably a better player than James, but Bradie has the advantage of playing for the Dallas Cowboys.

Stewart Bradley – Not sure what the "what?!?" was for? Have you seen him play?

I’ve seen him play many times and he’s average. Maybe slightly above average. I wouldnt be surprised that he got some Pro Bowl recognition. But what the “what?!?” was for is that someone voted for him for All-Pro. That means someone gave one of his two votes to Stewart Bradley over Ray Lewis, Jon Beason, Patrick Willis, James Farrior, London Fletcher, etc. Even you have to admit, that’s pretty shocking.

I dont think you’re giving James enough credit. He led the NFL in sacks (8) from the inside LB position. Those are decent numbers for a DE. And he still had 80 tackles. Compare that to Bradley’s 86 tackles and then consider James plays in a 3-4 where ILB tackles will be lower that traditional 4-3 MLB tackles. He’s definitely on a higher level than Stewart Bradley.

by TCBinNYC on Jun 29, 2009 9:08 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

did you see bradie play at the end of last year?

he did more than most of those guys last year. He made tons of gamechanging plays in the second half of last year.

Peirce is crap. He played behind a really good dline last year and didn’t impress me too much. Bradly is still young, and as you said, big names get more credit. Frankly, I think at his point in their careers, bradie is flat out better. Urlacher, as you said, had a down year last year. Rudd and Tatupu are real good players who should be in the discussion, i agree with that.

by foyesboys on Jun 29, 2009 7:33 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would have to disagree with you on pierce, bradley, and Tatupu

In the case of Bradley he is a developing player so he may have an even better year next year, but as of now James gets more tackles and sacks. Bradie James must lead ILB’s and MLB’s in sacks one would think.

by quincyyyyy on Jun 30, 2009 12:52 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I actually think the list should include a few others, most notably Sensabaugh and Marc Columbo. Neither may be exactly huge names but if Sensabaugh is all he is cracked up to be and Columbo can have just a slightly improved year at RT, I could see both getting the invite.

If I had a nickel for every Super Bowl the Eagles have won, I would have zero nickels.

by Cowboyfan729 on Jun 26, 2009 8:16 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

RTs never get much credit

"We play to win the game" - Herm Edwards

by nicholas.rodriguez on Jun 26, 2009 9:09 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Colombo is a good choice.

What would his odds be? 20-1?

"Grow where you are planted."

by Aaron Novinger on Jun 27, 2009 2:08 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think a Right Tackle has made a Pro Bowl in 10 or 15 years

I could be wrong about that, but its been a while anyway.

by TCBinNYC on Jun 29, 2009 9:12 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I could see Colombo

Except it’s usually LT’s who get the recognition, as the guys above pointed out.

Training Camp '09 = Mega Thunder Dome....80 men enter, 53 men leave.

by APerfectStar on Jun 29, 2009 5:05 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

columbos been deserving

I feel like every time he plays against a bigtime RE, he keeps him off Romos back without a problem.

by foyesboys on Jun 29, 2009 7:29 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Totally agree with that

He’s underrated for sure. And mean as hell. He’s the only guy on the team that comes to mind when I think of a meanstreak. Wish more guys had that fire.

by TCBinNYC on Jun 30, 2009 10:59 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Quite a few more potentials.

Colombo. Meanest tackle in the league.

Roy Williams: I know, he’s already made 1 Pro Bowl (that everyone seems to forget).

Spears: He really showed a lot more last year than Canty.

Jenkins: Yes, it’ll take more than one year, but he’ll be knocking at the door.

+ everyone you mentioined sans Hodge. But a dynamic returner could cut the mustard. Just don’t know who it’ll be.

It's not personal, it's just business

by Fighter15 on Jun 26, 2009 8:58 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I think Hodge could make it as the ST player

I would add Jenkins as well, Sensabaugh
Jenkins will only have a chance if Newman isn’t healthy cuz I doubt they would put both our corners in, well we might dominate so much they have to = )

"We play to win the game" - Herm Edwards

by nicholas.rodriguez on Jun 26, 2009 9:12 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Olshansky and Spears have virtually no chance.

3-4 DEs aren’t appreciated in this league due to the more common 4-3 scheme with produces far better stats at that position.

by Baked Potato Soup on Jun 27, 2009 11:53 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

+1

The only one who ever gets any love is Richard Seymour.

WELCOME HOME SEVEN!!

by Carl Shelton (GloryDayz88) on Jun 27, 2009 6:28 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd love to see our OL play well enough to deserve it

But for first time selections
Bradie James (he does have a lot of competition, Willis and Beason likely get picked)
Felix Jones
Mat McBriar (not sure if he’s gone yet)

Training Camp '09 = Mega Thunder Dome....80 men enter, 53 men leave.

by APerfectStar on Jun 29, 2009 5:14 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

McBriar did in 07

it was weird, I... I mean you probably didn't hear about it because I went under the name of Mike Honcho. But I just wanted you to know that. If you can hear me, if it got into your brain somehow. That I spread my buttcheeks as Mike Honcho.

by AirforceBat on Jun 29, 2009 9:53 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Felix won't get enough touches...

"Well, we didn't block real good but we made up for it by not tackling."

- John McKay, the first coach of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

by 5Blings on Jul 2, 2009 4:00 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm gonna go out on a limb and say one of the corners.

I think Jenkins takes the starting spot on the team. But Scandrick should see enough time and could make enough big plays and highlight hits to go to Hawaii, too.

If healthy, Felix will for sure make it. No doubt about that.

All eyes on Free.

by Aaron Novinger on Jun 30, 2009 8:01 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Jay Ratliff?

Did he make it last year as a backup? I know he wasn’t voted in initially, at least as a starter.

I’d love for Bradie to get in as well, but I actually don’t have problems with Beason and Willis— they’re not just big names, they are excellent on-field MLBs. Bradie is hurt a bit by just being one of two ILBs in a 3-4.

I think Felix’s chances are a little better, actually, since he could make it as a kick returner. As an RB, I don’t think he’s got a chance, for exactly the reasons you mention. RB is stacked.

Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.

by Tim Wilson on Jun 30, 2009 9:53 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

He was voted in as a starter

Ratliff and Kevin Williams were starters and Pat Williams was the reserve DT.

by TCBinNYC on Jun 30, 2009 11:01 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks for the clarification

That’s impressive, the NFC has some good DTs. I guess Tommie Harris’ injuries and down season helped some.

Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.

by Tim Wilson on Jun 30, 2009 12:14 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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