Just got finished reading the Cowboy-related content in this year's installment of Football Outsiders Almanac.
For those of you who aren't familiar with FO, they're a football analytics site that uses unconventional and advanced statistics. I highly recommend visiting their site and buying the Almanac ($12.00, PDF download). Even if they are occasionally off-base in their analysis, their publications are gold mines of well-organized statistics.
Here are some of the high points:
- The mean wins projection for the Cowboys this year: 8.0
- Last year's failures can be attributed to injuries and the lack of depth to mitigate them.
- Phillips' assumption of the defensive play-calling duties was at least partially responsible for the defensive improvement after the STL game.
- Brad Johnson was the third worst performing backup QB since 1994.
- Miles Austin is their top "prospect" going into the season (O. Scandrick is #7; T. Choice is #9)
Unfortunately, they also go into a meandering discussion of the threat of Jerry's control over draft choices and other personnel decisions. It's pretty out-of-touch with reality and serves little purpose.
There's also a blurb that reiterates what I've been saying all along about everyone's favorite rapper/comedian, MartyB:
Bennett’s great DVOA is a function of slipping open on plays where the defense simply ran out of guys to cover Cowboys, but hey, he still caught the ball.
But the most interesting thing I read was their projections for Roy Williams:
67 rec, 982 yds, 9 TD
Sounds an awful lot like the numbers that someone else put up last season. I would be thrilledwith those stats from RW. Thrilled. (FWIW, their projections for Owens in BUF: 66/935/7)
There's a lot more information in there. Anyone else here get a chance to read it? Thoughts?