I read Bob Sturm's blog entry on the game today, in which he picks Minnesota to win. http://www.sturminator.blogspot.com/
I don't agree with it. And one of the biggest factors is because I think the Vikings have fattened up on a much weaker schedule than Dallas has had.
Here's the Vikes' schedule.
1. Win at Cleveland. 2. Win at Detroit. 3. Beat SF on miracle last play at home. 4. Beat GB at home. 5. Win at Rams. 6. Beat Ravens at home b/c Ravens miss 44-yard FG at the end. 7. Lose at Pitt. 8. Win at GB. 9. Beat Detroit at home. 10. Beat Seattle at home. 11. Beat Bears at home. 12. Lose at Arizona. 13. Beat Cincy at home. 14. Lose at Carolina. 15. Lose at Bears. 16. Crush Giants at home.
In this list, I consider the wins against GB to be the only two quality wins. The win over Cincy is a maybe, only because they ran the ball well against a normally stout run defense.
But there were also two miracle home wins that should have been losses -- to SF and the Ravens.
I think the Vikings are far more dangerous in the dome than they would have been on the road. Even so, they haven't faced a single team all year that can play a complete game like the Cowboys can and will -- running, passing, defense, and special teams. Which means they need all the breaks to go their way.
If the Cowboys protect the ball, and stay committed to the run even if Minny stuffs it early off an adrenaline rush, I believe we will win the game by more than 7 points.