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The Epicness Of The Cowboys 2010 Meltdown

Most of the time when I look at Cowboys stats I am unashamedly predisposed to finding a positive nugget lurking here, a sign of good things to come hidden over there, or a lovely little number struggling to get noticed in a huge Excel file.

Today I have instead decided to revel in the badness of the Cowboys, but not just badness of the ho-humm, boy-are-they-bad variety. No. I'm talking epic badness here. So bad we could make it into the NFL record books. Badness you'll feel so ashamed about, you might not even tell your priest or your preferred person of piousness.

If the Cowboys continue along the course they've established in their first seven games, they'll end up with a 2-14 record, score 352 points and allow 427. Coming off an 11-5 season with 361 points scored and 250 points allowed, that is quite an impressive meltdown. Yet there is a lesson in all of this.

Star-divide

If the Cowboys play the rest of the season the way they started it, that would be a swing of -9 wins and -177 points allowed on defense versus last year, a feat that only very few teams have managed since 1978, when the league moved to a 16-game regular season.

Only one team since 1978 has had a bigger swing in wins: The 1994 Houston Oilers ended up 2-14 after going 12-4 the year before. Of course, Warren Moon moving to the Vikings that year didn't help any. After a 1-9 start, then defensive coordinator Jeff Fisher was promoted to head coach and hasn't moved since.

Two other teams have managed a swing of -9 wins since 1978: The 1999 Falcons fell to 5-11 after a 14-2 record and a trip to the Super Bowl the previous season. The 2002 Bears compiled a 4-12 record after going 13-3 the year before.

The -177 point swing on points given up is the fifth worst swing since 1978. The 2000 Rams lead the table here with a swing of -229 points allowed versus the 1999 season. Somewhat surprisingly, their record only dropped from 13-3 and a Super Bowl ring to 10-6 and a wildcard exit. Of course, an offense that scored the third most points in league history helps mask a defense that gave up 471 points that year.

Other teams with a bigger swing in points allowed from year to year: The 1990 Browns (-208), the 2001 Titans (-197) and the 2007 Ravens (-183).

The only other team team in the 'top five' in both lists apart from the Cowboys: The 2007 Ravens, who had a -8 swing in wins and dropped to 5-11 from 13-3 the year before. But in 2008, they bounced back to an 11-5 record.

Here are the highlights of the Ravens' turnaround, and a potential lesson as well:

  • 2007 spelled the end of Brian Billick's head coaching career (to date), and he was replaced by the Eagles' then special teams and defensive backs coach John Harbaugh.
  • Initially, the entire coaching staff was fired after the 2007 season. Rex Ryan was re-engaged as defensive coordinator and promoted to assistant head coach by Harbaugh, who had previously coached with Ryan.
  • In 2008 the Ravens picked Joe Flacco with their number one pick (No, I'm not comparing Kyle Boller to Tony Romo, just stating what happened) and Ray Rice with their second pick. Wise choices, both.
  • In 2008 the Ravens returned only two starters from their 2007 O-Line to their starting line-up and acquired a right tackle in free agency.
  • The Ravens acquired a starting safety and starting corner via free agency in 2008.

Any of this sound even remotely familiar? Now these may be superficial similarities and they don't tell the entire story, but regardless, if I were Jerry Jones, I'd be on the phone with Ozzie Newsome right now trying to get as much advice as possible from a man who's already successfully managed a somewhat similar situation. This time, there will be no Hershel Walker trade to bail Jerry out.

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And the lesson in all of this as you ask?

probably best put by these words- don’t ever be satisfied with what you have.

"Amongst the enemy's Lair, there will always be a DallasPalace!"

by DallasPalace on Nov 1, 2010 8:10 PM CDT reply actions  

2009 Giants

Last years Giants surrendered 427 pts and had quit playing at the end of the season. Yet they seem to have righted the ship this year. So there may be hope for our Boys.

by jdiamjr on Nov 1, 2010 8:19 PM CDT reply actions  

That's true.

A lot of factors contribute to that too (one being the health of our D-Line), but there are probably some things that you guys could hope to replicate. For example, a coaching change. At the end of last season we immediately showed Bill Sherridan the door, and hired Perry Fewell. Other than the health of our D-Line, he has probably been the biggest difference between last season and this. In the secondary we added safeties Antrel Rolle, and Deon Grant through free agency. Both have been playing great ball. After seeing the Giants defense last year, compared to this year, it wouldn’t take much to convince me a one year turnaround is plausible. However I do feel like we have a slight advantage with Jerry Reese as our GM…I don’t know how much I would trust JJ to make the personnel changes that were best for the team.

***FREE FreeBradshaw!***

"If I was one of our offensive opponents, I’d be scared shitless"
-Antrel Rolle

"We’re going to hit the quarterback as many times as possible, and if he doesn’t make it through the game, then that’s unfortunate for him."
-Barry Cofield

by tito (eight and oh) on Nov 1, 2010 8:39 PM CDT up reply actions  

I don't trust Jerry to make the right choices either

However, he acknowledged that there is a problem in yesterday’s press conference. Really, that problem extends to training camp where it was mostly camp cupcake this year. The problems then started ballooning from there starting with a loss in our dress game vs Houston in the preseason though we ended up winning in the regular season. Penalties then became a huge problem where Alex Barron should have been cut following his infraction at the end of the Week 1 Washington game. It just ballooned from there where penalties, a weak O-line, and defense led to losses.

by Jessy S on Nov 1, 2010 9:47 PM CDT up reply actions  

if the cowboys defense could play zone the pass rush might stand a chance

but given the safeties abilities to leave the corners out to dry every play makes me wonder if there is a coach that can teach zone….and i’m lookin at you dave campo

by 0k on Nov 1, 2010 9:28 PM CDT reply actions  

No Hershel Walker...

But we do have Jason Witten. I think he’s an amazing player and has been one of my favorites for a while…but among our top skill positions he and Roy are the most expendable. And he has the most value. What say you guys?

by DonMoosavi on Nov 1, 2010 9:31 PM CDT reply actions  

Just an aside....

Watching the MNF Game. Can we copy the Colts offensive and defensive playbook?

by DonMoosavi on Nov 1, 2010 9:47 PM CDT up reply actions  

there's nothing special about their playbook

It’s just that they execute theirs and we don’t.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on Nov 2, 2010 7:38 AM CDT up reply actions  

No one will give more than a third for Witten

Lifetime Cowboys Fan from the Swamps of Jersey
My Beer Blog: http://tiltingsuds.wordpress.com/

by Seanrude on Nov 1, 2010 10:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

There is a bright side

We are not the Minnesota Vikings. Read my latest fanpost for details.

by Jessy S on Nov 1, 2010 9:48 PM CDT reply actions  

What the vikes did

Giving up a third for Moss and then release him 2 weeks later is border line moronic. Why are the vikes always getting screwed with draft picks??

by Antonio S on Nov 1, 2010 9:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

The defense is a huge problem

but there’s a consensus out there that we have two glaring problems. Our O-line, and our defensive backfield. I’d add to that special teams coverage is horrible, and we still don’t have a kick returner. We need to rectify our kicking game as well. With Lissemore and Brent looking like keepers we probably need 2 defensive lineman. So how do we fix all of this in one season?

1. We need to draft a LT high.
2. We need to sign one good FA Guard. ( I don’t think we need a great O-line. Just a good line would be enough with the mobile Romo.)
3. We need to draft a cornerback high.
4. We need AOA and Church to step up at safety.
5. We need Sean Lee to step up.
6. Buehler appears to be fighting through his issues.
7. We need to sign a D-lineman in FA.
8. We need to hit on a D-lineman in the middle rounds.
9. Hold an open competition for kick returner.

We need a whole new coaching staff. We probably shouldn’t keep any of our current coaches. And finally, every position on the team should be an open competition. Still, this just doesn’t sound like enough.

If you can't fix it with a hammer, you've got an electrical problem.

by White Wolf on Nov 1, 2010 10:39 PM CDT reply actions  

We need to get a RB as well.

It's only a dream till you write it down, and then it becomes a goal.
-Emmitt Smith

by Rohpuri on Nov 2, 2010 4:01 AM CDT up reply actions  

Yes, Yes, Yes.

Barber, Choice, and Felix are never going to consistently get the job done. I’m sorry, but we need to face reality and accept the facts.

It's only a dream till you write it down, and then it becomes a goal.
-Emmitt Smith

by Rohpuri on Nov 2, 2010 3:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

LOL!

What fact? After QB I would say RB and OLB is the lowest need on this team.

by staubachfan on Nov 2, 2010 4:00 PM CDT up reply actions  

Ware is our only consistent pass rusher at OLB, Spencer is a bust

It's only a dream till you write it down, and then it becomes a goal.
-Emmitt Smith

by Rohpuri on Nov 2, 2010 6:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

2007 spelled the end of Brian Billick’s head coaching career (to date), and he was replaced by the Eagles’ then defensive coordinator John Harbaugh.

Actually, Harbaugh was Philly’s special teams coordinator and defensive backs coach. See,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Harbaugh

Jim Johnson was the thorn in our sides (God Rest His Soul) as he was the blitz crazed old man whose defenses forced our QBs into an abundance of mistakes from 2000-2008.

It's only a dream till you write it down, and then it becomes a goal.
-Emmitt Smith

by Rohpuri on Nov 1, 2010 11:21 PM CDT reply actions  

OCC, I liked the post, however, I disagree with your final thought
Any of this sound even remotely familiar? Now these may be superficial similarities and they don’t tell the entire story, but regardless, if I were Jerry Jones, I’d be on the phone with Ozzie Newsome right now trying to get as much advice as possible from a man who’s already successfully managed a somewhat similar situation. This time, there will be no Hershel Walker trade to bail Jerry out.

Now, let me start off by reiterating that I am (with the exception of Terry, Fernie, et al) a staunch Tony Romo supporter. Aside from the botched fg attempt in the Wild Card loss to Seattle, The Pittsburgh loss in 2008, and the SNF loss to the GMEN last year, I will never blame Romo for a loss. By my friends, I’m often seen as too defensive when it comes to Romo.

However, with that being said, I respectfully disagree with your opinion being that this time Jerry has no Herschel Walker trade to bail him out. I believe the only player on this roster that could net us a modest amount of draft picks would be Tony Romo. Remember, this has become QB league now more than ever. There are teams that still aren’t settled at the QB position beyond this year. And I have a few teams that Jerry might be able to shop him to:

1) Oakland: remember they only used up a 4th Rd pick in the 2010 Draft to acquire Jason Campbell.

2) San Francisco: Their current QBs are Alex Smith, David Carr, and Troy Smith.

3) Arizona: Their two QBs are Max Hall (udfa 2010) and Derek Anderson. Who better for Max Hall to learn from than Tony Romo?

3) Minnesota: You think Brett Favre is coming back next season? Moreover, you think Childress would let Tavaris Jackson regain the starting job? They’ve also demonstrated a tendency to be stupid with draft picks, they gave up a 3rd rd pick for Randy Moss just less than a month ago, and today they waived him.

4) Buffalo: Just saying…

5) Titans: They have to make a decision on Vince Young at the end of the season as to whether or not they bring him back for 2011 and beyond. Additionally, Kerry Collins is up their in age. They have a roster that can win and just needs QB, and another piece or 2.

6) Kansas City: this all depends on how confident they are in Matt Cassell going forward.

7) Jacksonville: Ok, I know David Garrard just had a career day against us, however, I don’t think the guy is a special player who can take that team to the playoffs and beyond. He’s a serviceable steady the ship guy until someone better comes along.

Again, I am not advocating the trading away of Tony Romo, I’m just saying he’s our best asset in bringing back the most draft picks in a trade, and there are teams that do need to solidify their QB position.

It's only a dream till you write it down, and then it becomes a goal.
-Emmitt Smith

by Rohpuri on Nov 1, 2010 11:46 PM CDT reply actions  

You can add Washington

 McNabb will soon be out at Washington. But no way I want to face Romo playing for Washington 2X a year.

by DCfaninDSM on Nov 2, 2010 12:24 AM CDT up reply actions  

trading away your franchise qb

would definitely be the worst idea in the history of really bad ideas. Those type of qbs don’t grow on trees and there’s no guarantee any college qb will become one either.

qbs have a 50% bust rate…..too risky.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on Nov 2, 2010 7:42 AM CDT up reply actions  

Say we do trade Romo

Just who do you plan on replacing him with? IF we had a someone waiting in the wings then ok sure but the thing is we don’t so there should be no talk of trading Romo even he isn’t perfect once in a while.

by Antonio S on Nov 2, 2010 9:25 AM CDT up reply actions  

I agree that you have to give up value to get value.

But you also have to have the talent on the shelf to replace the value you’re giving up. RB is probably one of the easiest positions to replace with avg. talent. On our team where do we have excessive talent that we can afford to five up someone. Maybe TE or WR.

However, I don’t think we have to blow up the entire team to get us back on track.

My 5 step plan

1. Draft O-line with 2 of the 3 top picks
2. Find a DB in the top 3 rounds
3. Acquire an O-lineman in FA
4. Acquire an ILB in FA
5. Play the young players more Costa, Young, Lee, AOA, Church…and see what you have.

by staubachfan on Nov 2, 2010 11:46 AM CDT up reply actions  

This is probably going to sound asinine

I’m somewhat relieved that the crater took place as early as it did. At least now I won’t be pulling my hair out with every asshat mistake. Now I can just roll my eyes at the lengthy lowlight compilations that are bound to start springing up all over youtube. My emotional investment is at an all time low. Call it a business decision. My sanity is still intact.

I know it looks bleak now, but I’d much prefer a demolition of this current team in hopes of building something stronger than to suffer through another 5 years or more of mediocrity, or worse.

I truly feel this could be the season this franchise needed. Without absolute discontentedness this organization has proven it just wasn’t able to grow. It could only offer excuses, misplaced blame, and false praises to protect a mentally weak team. I think it’s safe to say we’re fresh out of excuses starting with the owner, through the coaches and players, and all the way down to the fans. Absolute discontentedness.

When you plant a tree indoors in order to protect it from the elements (Wade), that trees roots don’t fully develop (2010 Cowboys). It makes for a weak tree, and if it were ever exposed to those elements (a real football team) it simply would not endure for long. It’s time to plant a new seed, outdoors this time, and let it take on the high winds and floods head on so that it can begin building a strong root system.

How bout them 2011 Cowboys!

by Dezstroyer88 on Nov 2, 2010 12:11 AM CDT reply actions   2 recs

Had to Rec that man

I couldn’t have said it better myself.

It's only a dream till you write it down, and then it becomes a goal.
-Emmitt Smith

by Rohpuri on Nov 2, 2010 3:57 AM CDT up reply actions  

um. Harbough never gave me nightmares the night before we played philly for the last 10 years

Jim Johnson did.

And i think you meant rex.

#9 has the most incredible 4 yard gain in the history of the NFL.
Trane UFC for maximum death fighting abilities, brah.

by doubleleg on Nov 2, 2010 1:01 AM CDT reply actions  

you are correct

You, Rohpuri and impatient all caught me on that one. Apologies.

by One.Cool.Customer on Nov 2, 2010 1:51 AM CDT up reply actions  

No worries

It's only a dream till you write it down, and then it becomes a goal.
-Emmitt Smith

by Rohpuri on Nov 2, 2010 3:51 AM CDT up reply actions  

none a'tall

you and the rest of the guys here and still leet

#9 has the most incredible 4 yard gain in the history of the NFL.
Trane UFC for maximum death fighting abilities, brah.

by doubleleg on Nov 3, 2010 9:38 PM CDT up reply actions  

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