Best Draft in a Generation or Best Hyped?
I had an e-mail chat with a trusted source today and asked him to comment on claims that this draft could be one of the deepest, at least at the top, since the ballyhooed '83 Draft.
He said,
"those guys don't know because the scouts don't know. I do believe the first round number this year is going to be 21."
Discuss.
almost 2 years ago
Rafael Vela
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Is that first round grades?
If so, that’s a solid 4-6 1st rounders less than some people said.
Michael Irvin to Keyshawn Johnson "I know where me and Rice belong on the top ten receivers of all time list, but who do you have in the bottom 8?"
by markdamack on Mar 3, 2010 11:18 PM CST via mobile reply actions
1ST
to ponder who the top 21 are… I think (hope) I have a feel for how you present your inside info Raf, so that’s a pretty low number compared to recent drafts.
Does your trusted source feel there is a large 2nd round group?
to me this indicates unless we target and chase a specific first round grade, we are going to trade back
2009 BTB Part Deux Fantasy League Champion. 'Kill Everybody 13-2'. KDP knows football.
I don't think a trade back is in the cards
for these reasons:
many teams in the top 6 are apparently trying to trade down. They’re gonna want a high 2 for their high 1.
If they’re looking to pick up extra 2s, they’re not gonna move up for a player at 27 who likely has a 2nd grade.
Plus, futures picks have no value right now. Say Dallas sees a guy drop to 23 and they want to move up. They’re gonna think twice, cause they’re already short a 5th rounder. They can’t trade ’11 picks, cause there may be no draft in ’11.
then i guess
that puts us in a position of taking the BPA, but preparing for a reaction that we ‘reached’ for whatever player we choose.
saving grace is a run on OT’s and a player sliding to us. I’d love to get a glimpse at your source’s board.
How soon will you post your draft board?
2009 BTB Part Deux Fantasy League Champion. 'Kill Everybody 13-2'. KDP knows football.
not draft in 2011?
Now, I realize there could be a work stoppage, but I’d think teams would still be slicing up the incoming talent pool
by AustonianAggie on Mar 4, 2010 9:25 AM CST up reply actions
i'm having trouble finding a definitive answer on this
all I find are fan blogs discussing, and many mention there would still be a draft, but with a lockout looming, no junior prospects would declare for the draft
2009 BTB Part Deux Fantasy League Champion. 'Kill Everybody 13-2'. KDP knows football.
incorrect....there is a draft in 2011 no matter what happens with the CBA....
The only thing that could be different is the draft could be held earlier than April…
"Austin made the play, Austin saved the day" Brad Sham
isn't the draft tied to the CBA?
Number of rounds, rookie pools, these things are all bargained over. They’re not imposed on the players.
The only reason I know is because Pat Kirwin was talking about this a couple of weeks on Sirus Radio when the question was brought up
He said we could see the draft earlier than April, say Janruary if the teams were locked out. For whatever reason the Draft would take place regardless…
"Austin made the play, Austin saved the day" Brad Sham
Hmmm, okay
I’m trying to see how that would work. I guess the teams could select the players and get their rights, but no agent is going to negotiate a contract for said player if he doesn’t know when his client becomes an RFA, or a UFA, if there’s a rookie wage scale, etc.
But I see that the actual selecting part could go on.
I just don’t see it.
QB’s are weak.
RB’s are okay but not great and you can find RB’s late anyway.
WR’s are okay but outside of Bryant their mostly 2’s and 3’s.
O-lineman are pretty strong but I don’t think it’s as good as last year or even 2008.
D-line is good but no better than past draft’s.
Linebackers, there’s only 3 that I see as 1st round picks.
Secondary is decent. Berry and Thomas will be 1st round picks, but Haden is the only lock 1st round corner.
What that means is that I don’t see the top level talent but there’s a lot of guys who will fall into the 3rd or 4th round who could or should be 2nd or 3rd round picks. Most positions don’t fall off much.
As far as the comparison to 1983. I think that’s dumb. The ‘83 draft is remembered for its QB’s, Elway, Blackledge, Kelly, Eason, O’Brien, and Marino. Three of those guys are HOFer’s. There was only 28 1st round picks but the 32nd guy taken was Henry Ellard. I just don’t think a draft class will rival that one until it can produce the QB’s that that class did.
don't you remember the glor of 1999?
1999? Tim Couch, Donovan McNabb, Akili Smith, Daunte Culpepper, Cade McNown
I actually thought Cade McNown would be a star.
by AustonianAggie on Mar 4, 2010 9:29 AM CST up reply actions
The state of Ohio...
has had some of the worst QB’s ever.
John McClain: Welcome to the party, pal!
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on Mar 4, 2010 10:23 AM CST up reply actions
+1 Jack....
I think this draft pool maybe better in the later rounds…but it’s weak at QB, RBs and TEs….we may not see a RB taken before the 15 pick, TE may not get drafted before the 3rd round, the top LB’s are so-so……it is very deep at OL, CB, DT.. All the top QB’s have more questions than answers…I just dont see how this draft class is very deep, expecially near the top. I think the value is in the later rounds, 2nd and 3rd the reason I think Jerry is trading down or will at least try.
"Austin made the play, Austin saved the day" Brad Sham
"TE may not get drafted before the 3rd round."
Ummm Jermaine Gresham.
John McClain: Welcome to the party, pal!
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on Mar 4, 2010 10:20 AM CST up reply actions
Later first or second round he is projected to go
I wouldnt take him in the first..IMO
"Austin made the play, Austin saved the day" Brad Sham
Which is...
way before the 3rd round, and I don’t know why you wouldn’t.
That dude is a beast, if he slides to the second round, someone is going to get a great TE for good value.
John McClain: Welcome to the party, pal!
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on Mar 4, 2010 10:26 AM CST up reply actions
he is good, but just from what I was hearing he is a second round pick...
Still, the TE class isn’t very good. Not too many first round grades this year on TE’s.
"Austin made the play, Austin saved the day" Brad Sham
I think all TEs are 2nd Round picks
by nature of their position. We’ll see if Vernon Davis’ career changes my perspective
by AustonianAggie on Mar 4, 2010 10:33 AM CST up reply actions
I will be surpised Gresham goes before the second round...im thinking low second early third for him
"Austin made the play, Austin saved the day" Brad Sham
His speed is the only thing that might make him a second round pick.
All I know is that if you look at game film of him, there is no way he falls out of the first round.
John McClain: Welcome to the party, pal!
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on Mar 4, 2010 10:34 AM CST up reply actions
Not everyone can be a first round pick....Not too many TE's go in the first anymore..
I think Bennett in the second might have been too high….Would you say Gresham is better than Bennett?
"Austin made the play, Austin saved the day" Brad Sham
Yeah...
ALOT better.
Not as good of a blocker, but a better pass catcher and not as much of a goofball.
John McClain: Welcome to the party, pal!
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on Mar 4, 2010 10:42 AM CST up reply actions
for as little as he’s produced, he might yet emerge as a serious pass catcher.
I think most Dallas fans would agree that all the TEs were under utilized last year – just look at Witten with only one TD.
Witten was a 3rd rounder btw, and is the best or on the short list of the best TE in the NFL
by AustonianAggie on Mar 4, 2010 10:46 AM CST up reply actions
I'm not hating on Bennett...
nothing is for sure on TE’s.
I just think coming out of college Greshem played in a system that makes him more NFL ready and he has just as much upside.
John McClain: Welcome to the party, pal!
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on Mar 4, 2010 10:49 AM CST up reply actions
More the reason not to pick a TE before the 3rd round
The Eagles Brent Celeck was a fifth round pick and he is pretty good…Just saying, Im not sure drafting TE’s early is the way to go..We will see how it plays out but neither of these tops two TE’s may go before the 3rd..
"Austin made the play, Austin saved the day" Brad Sham
Oh I agree...
What you should do and what teams WILL do is different.
I’d be shocked if a TE didn’t go before the second round.
John McClain: Welcome to the party, pal!
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on Mar 4, 2010 11:01 AM CST up reply actions
Uh, Witten was not a 3rd round grade
He’s proof that TEs slide.
I think he had a very high or late 1st grade his year. The Cowboys almost picked him at the top of the 2nd but chose Al Johnson because Parcells didn’t have a center and felt that was a bigger need than TE. They were pleasantly surprised to see him there one round later.
Same with Bennett. A very high 2nd round grade, lasts to the end of the 2nd round proper.
TEs fall. Unless you have Vernon Davis-like insane measureables, TEs usually start in the late 2nd, like guards.
thats part of my claim though – TEs are less essential to a teams wins or losses (classically considered); and the measurables of an elite TE are easier to come by than that of an elite WR or Tackle.
by AustonianAggie on Mar 4, 2010 11:49 AM CST up reply actions
Guy is coming off an ACL tear
didn’t look very explosive at the combine.
I know I talk about not overhyping speed at Indy, but teams sure make note of a guy who runs below expectations. He doesn’t have a great reputation as a blocker I wonder if he’ll be the 2nd TE off the board now, behind the kid from Florida?
Does Hernandez have a good rep as a blocker?
Just wondering, because he never looked like a great blocker at Florida.
John McClain: Welcome to the party, pal!
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on Mar 4, 2010 10:43 AM CST up reply actions
That's what I was thinking.
I like Hernandez, he runs really really hard too, and I think that he has a good chance of beating Jeremy Shockey for having the most Tattoos of any TE in the NFL.
Just watching film though, Greshem was a much more dominating TE in college.
OU wasn’t as good last year because of the O-line and Bradford, but I’ll say before Bradford went down that Gresham was BY far the biggest loss on that team.
He was giving Florida fits in that national championship game and that was a team with some highly picked LB’s and DB’s.
John McClain: Welcome to the party, pal!
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on Mar 4, 2010 10:52 AM CST up reply actions
Note...
Hope everyone knows I hate OU too, so this is painful for me to say.
John McClain: Welcome to the party, pal!
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on Mar 4, 2010 10:52 AM CST up reply actions
Let's see:
QB: Bradford and Clausen.
OT: Okung and Davis.
DE: JPP and Morgan.
DT: Suh, McCoy and Williams.
LB: McClain and Kindle.
CB: Haden.
S: Berry.
That’s 13 players that seem to be as likely 1st Round picks as possible, there are also some guys that should sneak in if they respond some of the question marks that hovers above them:
Bulaga: Tyroid Condition.
Bryant: Character.
Williams: What is he? Not a LT? A RT? G?
Campbell: Is he all about measurables?
Dunlap: Inconsistency.
Graham: 3-4 OLB?
Price: a bit raw, dominated because he was a man among boys.
Weatherspoon: is he good enough?
Washington: is he good enough?
Spikes: is he good enough?
Wilson: is he good enough?
Thomas: tackling = red flag?
In my uninformed opinion, sign me up for Bulaga, Williams, Graham, Price, Washington, Wilson and Thomas joining the guys above, that’s 20 first rounders.
It’s certainly not that deep of a draft at the top, it’s certainly rich in the middle, though.
Viva México! Go Cowboys!
Oh, I forgot about Spiller
I would add him to the question marks… With all the use of RBBC around the League you have to wonder if you want to invest as much on one… For example, the production of Felix Jones is acceptable for a 1st Round pick after 2 years?
Spiller would face the same questions.
Viva México! Go Cowboys!
Weatherspoon is a first rounder.
Did you watch him light up the senior bowl? In addition to his talent this guy is going to be a leader on defense. You also forgot about Iupati.
I would be stunned if Bryant isn't a 1st round pick.
I would be really surprised if he doesn’t go in the top 15. I don’t think these minor character concerns could keep a talent like him out of the first round. Would love to see him with a star on his helmet.
Ehh...
Suh, McCoy, and Williams are all pretty good DTs. Granted there’s a chance that they can bust in the NFL, but if anyone were to suggest that they aren’t extremely talented players more than worthy of a first round selection, most would suggest that they were out of their mind. When were talking about depth of a draft, I really think the fact that there’s mock drafts done by credible sources that has a guy like Brian Price falling out of the top 15, that says quite a bit.
McClain and Kindle seem like pretty high end talents. Most analysts said that in most years McClain’s a top ten pick, but because there’s so many bad teams that need a quarterback and desperately need pass protection that he’ll fall (probably not past the Dolphins), Sergio Kindle is also a pretty special prospect too, looks like he can be a pretty disruptive passrusher, but there’s questions about his ability to handle the run. There’s also Weatherspoon who is rising quickly.
While Bradford and Claussen are both juniors and the bust rate for junior QBs is awfully high, they’re quite a bit more accurate than the junior QBs who bust and they ran pro-offenses. In most years the debate between quarterbacks typically of the Smith/Rogers and Russell/Quinn type, they pit one quarterback who is very athletic and talented yet has never ran a pro-offense, not at all accurate, and has a delivery that doesn’t exactly translate to the NFL. Those are usually three pretty big marks against a QB, particularly the first two. However, neither of these two demonstrate those afflictions, both are extremely accurate, possess good arm strength and throwing motion, and ran a pro offense.
I’m not high on Pierre Paul, since I dislike DEs that are just passrushers and liabilities against the run…that being said he’s a tremendous pass rusher and probably a perfect rush LB in the 34. Morgan’s a complete player, looks like he could be Trent Cole or Justin Tuck. Again while there’s a chance that they can bust, since one the ACC sucks and Pierre Paul only played one D-I season, they’re both tremendous talents, Morgan is a very complete DE prospect for the NFL and the likelihood of whichever team drafts Pierre Paul gets a good passrusher for a few years is pretty high. Everson Griffen, also looks like a pretty complete defensive end too.
Hayden and Berry are pretty bigh top end talents too. Berry is drawing Ed Reed comparisons, and Hayden looks like a shutdown CB. Taylor Mays is the other safety that people talk about as a first rounder, while he’s sklilled and toolsy he doesn’t seem to be very good in football, but there’s players like those in every draft. I just hope the Cowboys stay away from them in the first.
As to the O-Line, Okung, Davis, and Iupati look to be like they’ll be starters. Trent Williams should find his place somewhere on the line, as should Bulaga and Bruce Campbell if they can stay healthy. Yeah, Tony Mandrich is the guy that people cite for tackles that bust, BUT he was a massive roid user which screws with your ability to stay healthy, hard on your hamstrings (ask Nomar and pro-wrestlers), and tends to produce moodiness (ask Mandrich) that and from what I hear he was kind of a tool before the juice as well. There’s also Robert Gallery, but I keep on hearing that he never had the killer instinct on the field that it takes to play in the NFL. That being said, both of those OTs that busted, were tremendous talents, just things outside of their ability to play football effected their NFL careers. Maurkice Pouncey also looks like a guy who can start, but for whatever reasons starting centers that can produce at a high level aren’t considered first rounders. So it seems to be at least pretty deep in that position.
The only really “skills” guys that I see as first rounders are Bryant, who has questions, Spiller who is another great talent and a really good RB prospect, and Benn…yeah the draft’s weak in that department, but that’s really the only deficiency that I see.
That’s just the first round though. The later rounds are usually where the depth is. There’s quite a few “first round” guys that will slip due to fast risers and workout warriors, but there’s also players like Nate and Reshad Jones, Jordan Shipley, Nate Allen, Brandon Spikes, Myron Rolle, Kyle Calloway Navarro Bowman, Terrance Cody, Demaryius Thomas, and Toby Gerhart that have good chances at becoming successful starters on an NFL roster. So while it may not be the best or deepest draft ever, there’s certainly a lot to like. There’s plenty of reasons to trade down, and plenty of depth to be had.
Raf, you're the first guy I've heard...
who has even questioned this “best draft in a generation” storyline that is being oft-repeated in all draft outlets and basically accepted as fact. Where, why, and how did this all start anyways?
Now that you mention it I seem to recall “best draft in a generation” talk happens every other year, and alternates with “worst draft in a generation”
by AustonianAggie on Mar 4, 2010 9:47 AM CST up reply actions
So true
Seems like it anyway
to make the jump to the next level, Odrick said today he needs to work on one area. "Just being more violent overall,'' Odrick said. "Play the game and play it right, violently.''
I can see that. The elite talent is not there
but I think there are a lot of very good players in this draft, 2nd round types. Although this may be the best draft for a DT in a generation
2009 BTB Fantasy Champ... Deal with it
A draft without Kavika Pittman
Is not an elite draft at all.
Greetings from the Humungus, the Ruler of the Wasteland, the Ayatollah of Rock and Roll-A. I laugh at your puny plans.
I think one of the reasons people think it is deep...
are that if you follow college football, most of these names are recognizable.
Anyone else feel this way?
John McClain: Welcome to the party, pal!
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on Mar 4, 2010 10:22 AM CST reply actions
It could be a deep draft
with quality through the 2nd-4th rounds that lasts longer than in previous drafts.
I think this may be what the hypers refer to. I’m just not sure this is an elite draft at the top. That’s the point my source is making, I think.
The Dez Bryant stuff coming out....
Sounds like a lot of smoke too me by teams wanting him to fall.
I lived in Oklahoma for 5 years and never EVER, heard anything bad about the dude.
The guy was an all academic WR who never took plays off and caught everything thrown his way.
John McClain: Welcome to the party, pal!
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on Mar 4, 2010 11:04 AM CST reply actions
Ditto
Never heard anything bad about him until the Deion situation, which IMO was overblown by the NCAA investigators.
to make the jump to the next level, Odrick said today he needs to work on one area. "Just being more violent overall,'' Odrick said. "Play the game and play it right, violently.''
AFB
so were you stationed at Tinker during those 5 years?
by Demarion Warber on Mar 4, 2010 11:19 AM CST reply actions
I was
John McClain: Welcome to the party, pal!
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on Mar 4, 2010 11:39 AM CST up reply actions
cards are shopping
Boldin for a 3rd, can’t we just trade roy for him straight up? Just throwin it out there. I really don’t like how boldin is injury prone, and he is 30 so his best years are probably behind him. It just wouldn’t take much to get more production than roy.
by TONYINCC on Mar 4, 2010 11:58 AM CST via mobile reply actions
Tony
Boldin will want a new contract from any team that signs him.
Roy’s contract was terrible. Extending T.O. when they didn’t have to was bad, as Jerry had to eat $9M in dead money.
Giving Boldin a new deal when he’s coming off of two injury-prone years would be strike three, IMO.
i agree
That’s obviously why they are only asking a third, because his value is not too high, due to injury, and age. He also isn’t the fastest guy either. Not to mention that vicious concussion he suffered, could become a recurring problem, at any given point.
by TONYINCC on Mar 4, 2010 2:10 PM CST via mobile up reply actions
What seperates guys like Eric Berry or Earl Thomas, from Nate Allen, FS from USF?
He didn’t run at the combine but is expected to pull a 4.5 40; he’s widely considered a good prospect with long term potential, 9 INTs in 3 years, only OK in man coverage (he’s a safety though, not a CB anyway)
His read out sounds like Gerald Sensabaugh – lots of deep experience, can cover TEs well, will make plays on the ball.
Hey, there are three FS I like in the 2nd
I’m just hoping one of the Allen, Burnett and Major Wright trio lasts to 59. Any one of them would help this team.
best draft ever?
maybe espn is the one hyping the draft so more people will watch?
it's called a satchel and indiana jones wears one.
+1
Although evey Mayock is saying this is one of the deeper talent pools. He didn’t say best, just deep.
John McClain: Welcome to the party, pal!
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on Mar 4, 2010 12:57 PM CST up reply actions
It's been Charlie Casslery who said the 1st was the best he's seen since '83
Of course, if you look at Casserly’s record running the ’Skins and the Texans, you can see why Bill Belichick mocked him recently, and why Charlie now works TV instead of a war room.
Picked Mario Williams over Reggie Bush
That was a win for old Chuck.
Of course, building his expansion franchise around #1 expansion draft pick Tony Boselli did not exactly work out (zero snaps played for the Texans), nor did David Carr.
Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.
He wasn't the only guy that had Williams over Bush...
I remember Bill Parcells had Super Mario over him as well as a few others.
John McClain: Welcome to the party, pal!
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on Mar 4, 2010 2:13 PM CST up reply actions
Was he still there for that pick?
and didn’t he have “consultant” Dan Reeves looking over his shoulder?
When he was in Washington he had four or five consecutive years with top 10 picks and wasted them all.
’92 Desmond Howard — 4th overall
’93 Tom Carter — 17th overall
’94 Heath Shuler — 3rd overall
’95 Michael Westbrook — 4th overall
’96 No 1st in Sean Gilbert deal, moved into the 1st for OT Andre Johnson
This is how you bring a franchise to its knees. You have four potential picks in the top 6 and you don’t land a single quality starter.
Consider that at this same rough time Dallas had four picks in similar situations and got Michael Irvin, Troy Aikman, Russell Maryland and Alvin Harper.
He did get WR Andre Johnson for the Texans, but his down round picks were awful. In ’03, he had his pick of the TE class in the late 2nd and selected Bennie Joppru. The Cowboys said thanks about 20 picks later and took Jason Witten.
He’s a nice guy, from what I understand, but I wouldn’t let him anywhere near my team’s draft board.
I feel like this is a draft that will raise the floor in terms of talent in the NFL, not raise the roof, I think that was the 2008 draft.
Who cares?
based on the reviews of the DTs, it will raise the ceiling at that spot – if one believes that Suh can be a better pro than Kevin Williams
by AustonianAggie on Mar 4, 2010 1:22 PM CST up reply actions
Draft about average
Raf can check me on this, but I believe there was not the rush of juniors in this draft that was expected. That being the case, it might be full of talented guys but there was no rush to get out of college for fear of a rookie salary cap that some expected.
Another year, another draft. It is just ‘a draft’. Not ‘the draft’ to end all drafts. Boys should keep to the plan and not get starry eyed. BPA even if they move around a bit.
Can’t wait!
"Best Draft Ever" and "The Ultimate Game"
In the run up to the Cowboys-Dolphins Super Bowl, Duane Thomas was asked if he was excited about playing in the “ultimate game.” Thomas responded, “If this is the ultimate game, why are we going to play again next season?”
He was an interesting guy.
Lifetime Cowboys Fan from the Swamps of Jersey
yeah, I know it is not really related, I just love that story
Lifetime Cowboys Fan from the Swamps of Jersey




















