Vegas Likes The Cowboys To Win The NFC East
by One.Cool.Customer on May 28, 2010 8:00 AM CDT
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PrintI don't usually pay a lot of attention to the Vegas odds. I'm not a betting man, and 'getting some action' has a very different meaning in my world. Nevertheless, I find it interesting to occasionally look at the odds, and what better time to indulge in this nonsense than in the offseason?
Earlier in the week I ran across an article on Betvega.com that has the Cowboys as the odds-on favorite to win the NFC East. Here are the odds as Vegas currently sees them for winning the NFC East:
Less than 24 hours after the Saints won the 2010 Super Bowl, online sportsbook broburysports.com published their Super Bowl odds. In the table below we compare those odds with the odds published on their site on May 27th, 2010.
Odds to Win 2011 Super Bowl XLV - Arlington, Texas, Feb 06, 2011
| Team | Odds Feb. 8th, 2010 | Odds May 27th, 2010 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
Colts | 16.7% (6/1) | 14.3% (7/1) | -2.4% |
 |
Chargers | 12.5% (8/1) | 12.5% (8/1) | - - |
 |
Saints | 12.5% (8/1) | 11.1% (9/1) | -1.4% |
 |
Ravens | 6.7% (15/1) | 11.1% (9/1) | +4.4% |
 |
Cowboys | 8.3% (12/1) | 10.0% (10/1) | +1.7% |
 |
Packers | 8.3% (12/1) | 10.0% (10/1) | +1.7% |
 |
Vikings | 8.3% (12/1) | 10.0% (10/1) | +1.7% |
 |
Patriots | 10.0% (10/1) | 8.3% (12/1) | -1.7% |
 |
Steelers | 10.0% (10/1) | 8.3% (12/1) | -1.7% |
 |
Jets | 6.7% (15/1) | 8.3% (12/1) | +1.7% |
 |
Eagles | 8.3% (12/1) | 5.0% (20/1) | -3.3% |
 |
Giants | 3.3% (30/1) | 5.0% (20/1) | +1.7% |
 |
49ers | 2.5% (40/1) | 5.0% (20/1) | +2.5% |
 |
Falcons | 3.3% (30/1) | 4.0% (25/1) | +0.7 |
 |
Bears | 2.5% (40/1) | 4.0% (25/1) | +1.5% |
 |
Dolphins | 2.5% (40/1) | 4.0% (25/1) | +1.5% |
 |
Titans | 3.3% (30/1) | 3.3% (30/1) | - - |
 |
Texans | 2.5% (40/1) | 3.3% (30/1) | +0.8% |
 |
Bengals | 3.3% (30/1) | 2.5% (40/1) | -0.8% |
 |
Seahawks | 2.0% (50/1) | 2.0% (50/1) | - - |
 |
Redskins | 2.0% (50/1) | 2.0% (50/1) | - - |
 |
Cardinals | 3.3% (30/1) | 1.7% (60/1) | -1.7% |
 |
Panthers | 2.5% (40/1) | 1.7% (60/1) | -0.8% |
 |
Broncos | 2.0% (50/1) | 1.7% (60/1) | -0.3% |
 |
Jaguars | 2.0% (50/1) | 1.0% (100/1) | -1.0% |
 |
Bills | 1.0% (100/1) | 1.0% (100/1) | - - |
 |
Browns | 1.0% (100/1) | 1.0% (100/1) | - - |
 |
Lions | 1.0% (100/1) | 1.0% (100/1) | - - |
 |
Chiefs | 1.0% (100/1) | 1.0% (100/1) | - - |
 |
Raiders | 1.0% (100/1) | 1.0% (100/1) | - - |
 |
Rams | 1.0% (100/1) | 1.0% (100/1) | - - |
 |
Buccaneers | 1.0% (100/1) | 1.0% (100/1) | - - |
Vegas did not take kindly to the Eagles' offseason moves. The loss of Donovan McNabb and Brian Westbrook, still no replacement for Brian Dawkins in sight and a leaky secondary did not inspire the Vegas folks, and they drop the Eagles further than any other team.
The Colts and Saints stay on top of the pile but both lose a little - not a big surprise given that the initial odds were published amid all the Super Bowl hype.
Baltimore and the 49ers are the biggest gainers. The 49ers not only had a very strong draft, but they look like early favorites for the Kurt-Warner-free NFC West. Now wouldn't that be a nice déjà vu if we were to beat them in the NFC championship game ...
The Ravens arguably profit more from Ben Roethlisberger's 6-game suspension than from their own off-season moves. Somewhat surprisingly, the same suspension increases the odds for the Steelers less than may have been expected.
The Cowboys' odds improve slightly. Vegas must have heard that Roy Williams is "sinking his hips, bending his knees a little more, getting down in some of his routes" en route to a monster season with the Cowboys.
In an interesting side note, the odds for all teams who picked in the top 10 in the draft remain unchanged, with the exception of the Jaguars, whose odds doubled. I guess this means that Vegas does not believe in the first year impact of a top 10 draft pick.
Finally, the Giants and Steelers are the only teams in the top 12 that did not make the playoffs last year. If the trend of 'six new teams making the playoffs each year' continues this season, then these odds are seriously off.
Winners: Ravens, 49ers, Cowboys, Packers, Vikings, Giants, Jets
Losers: Eagles, Colts, Steelers, Patriots, Cardinals, Saints, Jaguars
Who are your winners and losers of the offseason so far?
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Comments
Vegas wasn't impressed with the Skins either
Washington with McNabb isn’t any better than Washington without McNabb.
My NFC East prediction is that the Giants will be back with a vengeance next year. They will be the ’Boys biggest obstacle to winning the NFC East.
Although I think the Skins will be better
I don’t know that they will be a LOT better. But I agree completely on the Giants. They had Dallas’ number last year and I think they’ll be better team this year. The Iggles are a question mark. If Kolb is decent, they’ll be pretty good. If he struggles a little, they’ll regress for a while. Overall I think the East will be a more challenging place to live in next year.
FREE THE OGLETREE!!!
I agree with you.
I think last year Giants were alot like the 08 Cowboys.
Anything said above is purely the opinion of AFB unless said otherwise.
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on May 28, 2010 10:10 AM CDT up reply actions
The back-to-back Road games @ GB and NY
will establish early critical position for the Conference and division races/seedings. Win both, we’re in the driver’s seat. Win either and we know we can compete(obviously, winning at NY is more meaningful). Lose both, and we have a steep hill to climb.
The schedule s full of brutal 2 game stretches – those Week 9-10 games; @ MIN and home against NY Week 6-7; then NO and @ IND Week 12-13. Throw in a home game vs PHL in Week 14 and we’ve got a Tri-Fecta.
I am tempering my enthusiasm against this reality – tough schedule overall, especially so on the road. Nevertheless, ‘To whom much is given, much is expected.’
I'm not losing my memory, I'm living in the now
I give the NFC East to the Cowboys
and the Giants as a wildcard. The PhonyNiners as NFC West, but Alex Smith could be the weak link. The Pack as NFC North, with the Vikes as wildcard, and the Falcons as NFC South.
It’s a two team race between the Cowboys and the Pack for the Super Bowl. Even if Favre comes back I don’t see him having another year like last year. Although I would love me some payback in the palace.
When I die I want to go peacefully in my sleep like my Grandfather -- not screaming like the passengers in his car.
I agree that the Saints will come back to earth this season
They had so many fortunate breaks go their way last year, no way lightning can strike twice with a defense that average.
In Romo we Trust
Yeah
Unfortunatly, they still have a pretty easy schedule.
I think they win their division again pretty easily.
Anything said above is purely the opinion of AFB unless said otherwise.
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on May 28, 2010 10:11 AM CDT up reply actions
well, nobody really knows how difficult or easy any team's schedule will be yet
until the season starts playing out. Teams like Atlanta and Carolina could be much better in their division and they do place some first place teams in the NFC like us.
The biggest joke in the league is the rating schedules in May.
In Romo we Trust
I understand that for sure.
But the NFC West… is the NFC West.
On paper, it looks pretty easy, wouldn’t you agree?
Anything said above is purely the opinion of AFB unless said otherwise.
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on May 28, 2010 11:06 AM CDT up reply actions
I think SF is going to be tougher than normal
and even without Warner, the Cards won’t suck. Seattle could play well under Carrol, never know. Rams are the only really easy win in that division IMO.
In Romo we Trust
Seattle has a long way to go to be respectable
They have major talent gaps on both offense and defense.
Here’s mine, for what it’s worth …
I think it’s a three-horse race: Cowboys, Pack and Saints. You just can’t ignore that Saints offense, and no reason to believe they’ll suddenly digress all that much.
I think the Cardinals might surprise their doubters this year. I’ll take them to win the West by default. Two wild cards go to Vikings and Falcons. Not sure if it’s my hate for Eli Manning’s pout or that I just like the Falcons.
Original Pet-Cats: Duane Thomas, Roger Staubach, Walt Garrison, Charlie Waters, Bob Lilly
I don't doubt the Saints defense
I just think their defense isn’t good at all and got lucky a lot last season.
I’m definitely pulling for the Cards, I have a friend who plays for them and I always watch them play when the Cowboys aren’t playing.
In Romo we Trust
Yeah.
I think the Saints defense will or should be a little better though.
Gregg Williams is a good coordinator, but I understand what you’re saying.
Anything said above is purely the opinion of AFB unless said otherwise.
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on May 28, 2010 2:13 PM CDT up reply actions
Gregg Williams is
a huge reason they have a ring. Now I see why Sean paid him from his own pocket.
Semper Fi Do or Die
totally agree on the Gregg Williams theory
Sean Peyton is a stud of a head coach. No surprise he and Tomlin – two rising stars in the coaching ranks – have already won a SB. I didn’t know Sean took some of his own $$ to get Williams. Looking very smart right now :)
Original Pet-Cats: Duane Thomas, Roger Staubach, Walt Garrison, Charlie Waters, Bob Lilly
I think Atlanta
will fare a lot better this year. I THINK this will be the year Matt Ryan matures, and they win the NFC South.
If they don't win the South
I think they’ll give it a much better fight this year.
FREE THE OGLETREE!!!
Schedules matter when it comes to looking at separate divisions
ie no way the Saints start off 13-0 in our division. Its not happening.
But looking at schedules as a way of comparing teams in your division is stupid. 14/16 games are the same. Its a total waste of time. The Eagles and Giants have little to no advantage over us when it comes to schedules.
Completely agree with you about the saints
Think they’ll be knocked of a peg also
Not that it takes anything away from their superbowl victory because luck is probably the most important attribute to have on your side.
Against all odds, against all circumstance were you don't have a shot, you succeed
-Michael Strahan
All you hear about is the past, the past... the past is the !@#$ing past, this is the present.
THIS IS TEMPORARY! A CHAMPIONSHIP IS PERMANENT
-Same as above
Porter playing Manning for a fool didn't have anything to do with luck.
Now their NFC Title Game win over the Vikings was a different story. Bottom line: they aren’t going to cause all those turnovers again this year which is what got them by despite having a pretty mediocre defense.
The Panthers surely will still be able to run all over them and all they’ll need Moore to do is not screw the pooch to give the Saints all they can handle.
Vegas odds
are always based on where they think they can get an even number of bets across the board. The cowboys odds are always going to be skewed because there are so many fans of the Boys. I don’t put much stock into this and would rather have us flying under the radar. It seems like we go out and prove people wrong when they doubt us and fall flat on our face when everyone jumps on the bandwagon.
Vegas odds are always based on where they think they can get an even number of bets across the board.
Yes, that… But also, how people are betting will move the lines/odds up or down. For example, if the Cowboys line at 12/1 is getting a lot of action, they’ll move those odds down (to something like 10/1 or 8/1, for example), regardless of what Vegas actually thinks about their actual chances of winning. Conversely, if a team isn’t getting any action, Vegas will make that bet more appealing.
Formerly Bye, Dawk :(
Vegas baby, VEGAS!
Trust them...they know what they're doing.
by Aaron Novinger on May 28, 2010 10:22 AM CDT reply actions
simply awesome city
If you can’t have the time of your life there, you’re simply not alive.
In Romo we Trust
I used to go 3-4 times a year when I lived in Cali.
No casinos here in Texas. Lame, but I guess a good thing.
Trust them...they know what they're doing.
by Aaron Novinger on May 28, 2010 12:32 PM CDT up reply actions
You are so money and you don't even know it.
If I had a nickel for every Super Bowl the Eagles have won, I would have zero nickels.
by Cowboyfan729 on May 28, 2010 3:25 PM CDT up reply actions
Always double-down on 11.
Trust them...they know what they're doing.
by Aaron Novinger on May 28, 2010 3:47 PM CDT up reply actions
I'll have the pancakes in the age of enlightenment.
If I had a nickel for every Super Bowl the Eagles have won, I would have zero nickels.
by Cowboyfan729 on May 28, 2010 5:29 PM CDT up reply actions
Who's the big winner here? Mikey that's who!
Trust them...they know what they're doing.
by Aaron Novinger on May 28, 2010 9:46 PM CDT up reply actions
I'm going to make Gretzky's head bleed!
If I had a nickel for every Super Bowl the Eagles have won, I would have zero nickels.
by Cowboyfan729 on May 28, 2010 10:32 PM CDT up reply actions
Just remember everything stays in Vegas
Cept Herpes that stuff follows you everywhere.. Gotta love The Hangover.
Someone's always Going to be Hating on Da Boyz
Patrick Crayton will be doing an interview on ESPN 1330
at 11:10.
Should be interesting.
Anything said above is purely the opinion of AFB unless said otherwise.
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on May 28, 2010 10:50 AM CDT reply actions
Yeah...
I didn’t think that interview came off real well.
Anything said above is purely the opinion of AFB unless said otherwise.
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on May 28, 2010 11:46 AM CDT up reply actions
Is there a transcript I can read while "working"?
Semper Fi Do or Die
by Jeremiah_24 on May 28, 2010 12:23 PM CDT up reply actions
I really want to read what he said though,
I’ll watch it later. This building is dead I don’t know why I’m here. Oorah Marine Corps.
Semper Fi Do or Die
I'm guessing you're posted somewhere in the states ...
… but I do kinda like a soldier that complains when he’s bored :)
Original Pet-Cats: Duane Thomas, Roger Staubach, Walt Garrison, Charlie Waters, Bob Lilly
LOL ... and I can swim faster than yo mamma :)
… tell you what, the girls of Patong sure like’em some sailors. The navy fleet made two stops here last year: think maybe some admiral wanted to go back?
Original Pet-Cats: Duane Thomas, Roger Staubach, Walt Garrison, Charlie Waters, Bob Lilly
He thinks Dallas is keeping him as insurance
in case someone gets hurt or doesn’t pan out. He said that Dallas will cut him at the end of training camp if all is good with the other WRs. He said he will not be at the OTAs, but will be there when it’s mandatory.
it's a shame because he's better than RW
but money and economics eventually win out at the end of the day.
In Romo we Trust
I don't see where Jerry needs to push RW
on the field this year if he’s not getting the job done. If Rw doesn’t show up big this year, he’s gone.
I agree, but Jerry and Wade will give RW
the starting job to start the season. That will mean Crayton will probably be the odd man out. Like Crayton said, if it was purely an open competition and the best WR wins out, RW would be cut in camp, but we all know it won’t work that way and thats probably what has Crayton so frustrated.
In Romo we Trust
I didn't like how it seemed like Crayton was sort of throwing his QB/ Offensive coordinator..
Under the bus.
I don’t necessarily disagree with how he feels completely, but I think he’s going about it the wrong way.
Anything said above is purely the opinion of AFB unless said otherwise.
by The Immortal Iron Fist AKA AFB on May 28, 2010 2:42 PM CDT up reply actions
There are not 5 receivers on the team better than Roy Williams.
If I had a nickel for every Super Bowl the Eagles have won, I would have zero nickels.
by Cowboyfan729 on May 28, 2010 3:26 PM CDT up reply actions
That's right...there's 6 if you count Witten!
Trust them...they know what they're doing.
by Aaron Novinger on May 28, 2010 3:47 PM CDT up reply actions
I agree ...
Based on what’s actually happened on the field and in practice in the last year:
1- Miles
2- Witten
3- Crayton
4- Dez
5- Ogletree
6- Hurd
… and THEN Williams! Now, I will say that I think Roy’s capable of moving up that list if he puts his mind to it … Here is my revised list, based on “top ceiling” potential:
1- Dez
2- Austin
3- Bennett
4- Williams
5- Ogletree
6- Witten
7- Hurd
8- Crayton
Original Pet-Cats: Duane Thomas, Roger Staubach, Walt Garrison, Charlie Waters, Bob Lilly
I would think Seattle would move a little at least.
I know they won’t win, but I feel they made pretty decent offseason moves.
Semper Fi Do or Die
I mean it's hard not
to improve when you’re a bottom feeder team, but some people can sure pull it off. lol
Semper Fi Do or Die
by Jeremiah_24 on May 28, 2010 12:25 PM CDT up reply actions
As far as offseason moves go...
I think a lot of people are overlooking the Lions offseason based upon the crappy performance of their last two seasons, but I expect them to bring it a lot harder this season.
They made a lot of good moves picking up a veteran TE in Scheffler to help develop Pettigrew. Stafford showed a lot of smarts and determination before he got injured, and that Cleveland game where he was mic’d up still sends chills down my spine.
That offense is nothing to mess with now that they picked up Best to improve the running game, and their defense was greatly improved by the addition of Van Der Bosch and Suh.
They still need another season of rebuilding, but I think in 2011 they are going to in the playoff talks, and honestly they could surprise a lot of people this year winning 7-9 games.
The only reason they're being overlooked
Is because of the division they play in. If they were in the West, everybody would be talking about them making a push for the division. They WILL be improved this season, but will be competing with Chicago for third in their division.
It’s for that same reason the I don’t see them being in serious playoff talks next season either. The NFC South is getting back on track, so next year’s wild cards probably come from the East and/or South.
Football is an incredible game. Sometimes it's so incredible, it's unbelievable. --
Tom Landry
by Pnut Gallery on May 28, 2010 3:24 PM CDT up reply actions
I'm not sold on Minnesota without Favre...
I think they made a stupid move in giving up Chester Taylor, because AP isn’t looking so hot lately. Without Favre running the offense, the Lions could surpass them, IMO.
Schwartz knows what he is doing and if he can snag Haynesworth from the Lions, then that is going to be a very dominant front 4 (they run the 4-3 that Haynesworth desires) and when you have 4 guys up front dominating, then the LB’s and Secondary look 3x better.
Add Calvin Johnson, Nate Burleson, Schefter, Pettigrew, Best, and even Kevin Smith into the mix and they have a lot of talented skill players. If they remain healthy and Stafford continues to improve and remain healthy, that offense is going to be potent. The only thing holding them back right now is their defense and a questionable offensive line (which is going to be addressed in the next draft).
I see them at 7-9 this season, but next season they could easily be knocking on the playoff door.
(I’m from Detroit, but live in Arlington… love the Cowboys but still follow those loser Lions)
If the Cowboys don't win the SB
I don’t care who wins it as long as it’s not Philly. Not much chance of that happening.
If the Cowboys don't make it, I'm rooting for a Browns vs Rams Super Bowl.
Trust them...they know what they're doing.
by Aaron Novinger on May 28, 2010 3:48 PM CDT up reply actions
That would mean that the apocalypse would be upon us.
Sam and Dean have failed us.
by One.Cool.Customer on May 28, 2010 3:56 PM CDT up reply actions
Actually, Sam & Dean are to blame for the whole thing to begin with.
Trust them...they know what they're doing.
by Aaron Novinger on May 28, 2010 4:00 PM CDT up reply actions
Nice reference
RW is the opposite of WR. Coincidence? I think not.
by aussie_cowboy on May 29, 2010 3:03 AM CDT up reply actions
I think our team looks good on paper again
but the games still have to be played and the ball bounces funny. Not much word about the Giants thus far, Beware of Waking a Sleeping Giant
Boy, I miss football.
Trust them...they know what they're doing.
by Aaron Novinger on May 28, 2010 4:01 PM CDT up reply actions
Ha-LOL! Sarcasm noted:
" Vegas must have heard that Roy Williams is “sinking his hips, bending his knees a little more, getting down in some of his routes” en route to a monster season with the Cowboys."
Pessimists say the cup is half-empty, while optimists say it's half-full. Well, isn't it both? Realist Larry, 2009
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