Quick Take: Bears @ Cowboys By The Numbers
A quick look at the Cowboys' loss to the Bears, by the numbers:
1: The Cowboys sacked Jay Cutler on the Bear's first offensive play, seemingly a glorious portent of the pressure that he was to be subjected to all afternoon. Instead, it ended up being Dallas' only sack as Cutler, operating behind a banged-up Bears O-line (they lost starting tackle Chris Williams on the first series of the game), steadily gained confidence as the game wore on. In the fourth quarter, the Cowboys were able to put only negligible pressure on Cutler; he responded by making numerous plays in the passing game
3: The number of Cowboys' turnovers. Coincidentally, this is also the turnover margin for the game. As The Ticket's Bob Sturm is always pointing out in his masterful "Live from Lewisville" blog, its very difficult to win in the NFL with a negative turnover differential, and nearly impossible when its at -3. Going in to the game, I assumed that it would be Cutler and the Bears who would have trouble with ball security. Instead, the Bears defense made plays; they forced three changes of possession with pressure, big hits, or ball awareness (are you watching, Cowboys secondary?).
9: The Bears offense was able to convert only one of eleven third down attempts, giving them a 9% conversion rate. That is, frankly, an awesome number, a championship number. Unfortunately, Wade Phillips' defense has proven on several occasions that they are capable of being a break but don't bend bunch. Indeed, the Bears couldn't sustain any drives--but they didn't need to: their scoring drives averaged less than 5 plays per drive.
35: Because they were playing a Tampa-2 defense, it was of paramount import that the Cowboys be able to run effectively. This is because, in the Tampa-2, the middle linebacker has coverage responsibilities in the deep middle of the field. If Brian Urlacher is concerned enough about the running game that he has to creep up and/ or honor play action, then that deep middle opens up for passes to Witten and slot receivers. Instead, Dallas managed to collect a grand total of 36 yards on 20 carries, a (drum roll, please) whopping 1.8 yards per carry.
56: The play of the game, in my estimation, happened during the Bears' first possession of the second quarter, at the end of a stretch in which the Cowboys defense had been giving Cutler and Co. fits: the Bears couldn't run the ball, they were finding themselves in 2nd and 3rd and longs, and Cutler was under constant pressure. Somehow, on a 3rd and 15, he was able to stay on his feet enough to find Johnny Knox downfield (on a pass that, had it not been underthrown, would have been a touchdown). From that point on, Wade Phillips called off the dogs, the Cowboys' defense played scared, and Culter and Martz had their way with them.
88: The Dez Bryant era has begun with a bang. Although the Cowboys made plays throughout the game, the only BIG play they made was Bryant's electrifying 64-yard punt return. On the lay, he displayed the combination of skills that makes him so dangerous: strength, speed, acceleration, and an innate knowledge of where he is in relation to other bodies on the field. Get used to it, folks, we're going to see a lot of broken field runs from this kid.
790: In the first two weeks of the season, the Cowboys have amassed a lot of yards from scrimmage yet have only three touchdowns and a pair of field goals to show for it. Clearly, last year's woeful yards per point problems were not an aberration. There are numerous explanations of this phenomenon, and all were in play today: because the defense never forces turnovers, the offense repeatedly has to drive the length of the field; they are prone to drive killers; they have difficulty converting third downs.
3,000: The number of Steelers fans that were in the sports bar where I watched the game. And, no, I'm not in Pittsburgh. I have to get Direct TV. Now.
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The problems with the last 2 games have been well chronicled. So I guess what I’ll say is that I’ve found two reasons to avoid despair, at least for the moment:
First, no one in the division is better than 1-1, and everyone in the division had a similarly tough schedule to the Cowboys.
And second, the character and execution of a team CAN change during a season.
It’s a mistake we make every year to forget after Week 1 and Week 2 and even Week 4 or 5 how long this NFL season really is. Remember the 6-0 Broncos last year, remember the 6-1 Giants last year.
Remember the Week 2 Cowboys of 2009? A defense that had just been eviscerated by the Giants (no sacks in the Week 2 loss, and a career passing day for Eli, Steve Smith, and Mario Manningham). An offense that had just committed 5 turnovers behind Tony Romo’s careless INT-laden effort. HUGE problems on both sides of the ball.
Those problems got fixed. The defense led the NFL in opponent scoring average from the midseason onward, and Romo put together his best season as a pro, throwing the fewest INTs of any regular starting QB in the league from Week 3 onward.
Last year on Sunday night of Week 2, I don’t know that we would’ve seen any of that coming. I remember thinking, "This team doesn’t have it."
So yes, these two losses have been pretty nauseating in terms of the effort and execution from the team.
It’s a long season, and the book on it has not been written yet.
Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.
Also, in a more specific response to the post:
What was up with our run game? I know it hasn’t always been consistent over the past few years, but I was surprised we couldn’t get anything going against the Bears front 7. I know Urlacher and Briggs had excellent Week 1 games— are they the reasons? Is that front 4 better than I give it credit for? I guess I don’t usually think of the Bears’ Cover 2 as a particularly stout run D.
Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.
I was shocked they had so little success running as well
20 carries is not “not trying”. At 1.8 yards per carry, though, it’s suicide to keep doing it.
I’m not a big “blame it on the coaches” guy, but I think Wade and Garrett had a good game plan coming in, but didn’t make the counter-moves needed when the Bears adjusted.
FREE THE OGLETREE!!!
the lack of adjustments
on our part was a major dissapointment.
we were killing cutler,then martz adjusted his gameplan and bang tds for the bears.
we couldnt change ,therefore we lost again.
Davie Wilson
"how bout them cowboys"!!!
by scotscowboyfan on Sep 20, 2010 11:19 AM CDT up reply actions
: (
so true..
Davie Wilson
"how bout them cowboys"!!!
by scotscowboyfan on Sep 20, 2010 11:50 AM CDT up reply actions
my guess is that its a matchup issue...
…the Bears have a quick, penetrating front four—precisely the type of players that give the Dallas O-line fits. Once they figured out what Dallas was trying to do, the Bears began to get tremendous penetration on running plays.
I'll give you some numbers-2
The number if years we have had the same issues game in and game out.
2-0, the number of consecutive years we have had issues with creating turnovers
42-42, the number of turnovers we have created in 2 years and the number of turnovers the Packers created last year
4, the number of consecutive years Rowdy has pronounced the payers are accountable to themselves so they do not have to be accountable to him.
4, the number of years I have loathed Rowdy being hired as the “head coach”.
You make a good case for the inconsistency and lack of discipline with this team as chronicled last year with the way the defense played early in the year. Do you not see the same issues at the beginning of this year. It’s a broken record Tim.
But I suppose everything we be okay if we somehow beat the Texans. Than we get to listen to Rowdy talk about how they are going to work on things during the bye week and “continue to get better”. That’s not difficult when you start the year ths way.
But wasn't last year a positive outcome?
That was my point. That things looked awful at this point last year and then it ended up being a very good season.
Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.
i disagree....
the win over a fading Eagles team basically saved Phillips’ job and qualified the season as a success regardless of the fact they dropped a steamer on the Metrodome carpet the following week….
basically it set us up for failure in 2010
This is what it is about for me...
18 – 131 – 0
sorry, I posted the same thing under another article, but this is the real deal right here.
is it the penalty total for 2 games?
by I_miss_Switzer on Sep 20, 2010 11:43 AM CDT up reply actions
Number of beers I consumed in the past two games.
I knew I recognized those numbers.
FREE THE OGLETREE!!!
Yes sir...
Number of penalties, yards and that big zero is for turnovers forced
by BK Arsonist on Sep 20, 2010 12:43 PM CDT up reply actions
actually - i thought it might have been penalties, yds and penalties declined
but the number looked too low to me
Hell I thought it was our carries and yards total for the season rushing
But that would be too high of a ypc for us.
Take aways
I am starting my own pet theory… you can’t be effective on takeaways if you don’t tackle well. Two cases in point… a pass to the outside. It deflects off the WR’s hands, and Newman is in position behind the play. But Newman is preparinig to assist in tackling the WR in large part because he knows that Dallas DBs don’t tackle well. If he had confidence in the tackling ability of his fellow player, could he be a ball-focused DB instead?
One rush up the middle, uncharacteristically Forte is holding the ball in traffic with only two points of contact – hand and forearm. But they have so much trouble wrapping him up that no one takes a swipe at the football.
Just a thought…
FREE THE OGLETREE!!!
you know why all the yards
teams are studying tape and they are giving up yards, because they know if they force dallas to drive the field, force them to run 10-15 plays that we will shoot ourselves in the foot. we will make mistakes. so they are giving up those yards, knowing that we will give it away. those yards are meaningless. its by plan, keep the ball in the middle, give up short stuff in the middle of the field when possible, attack the OL and they will cause a penalty.
this started last year and its continuing this year.
add to it that we don’t get turnovers and it makes it worse. we never have a short field.
So all the beautiful yards we're making is part of the master plan?
by every team to defeat us? Wow, that is really hard to take. We must have no talent, no way to win. We are just goofy doofus goofin up here we thought there might be something positive about the Cowboys. Guess we should all just give up on this team, there is nothing to cheer, not even the yards.
Just becuz you put yer boots in the oven don't make it bread
by dcfansinceiwasababy on Sep 20, 2010 10:04 AM CDT up reply actions
Why would you cheer yards?
Cheer touchdowns, you tend to be more successful when you score more than 1/game
by cow_fanatic on Sep 20, 2010 10:08 AM CDT up reply actions
No
It just sounds like we have absolutely nothing whatsoever to hang our hats on. Nothing, yards, nothing. Like it’s all just a big set up, that only a feather is necessary to do it
Just becuz you put yer boots in the oven don't make it bread
by dcfansinceiwasababy on Sep 20, 2010 10:26 AM CDT up reply actions
knock us over with a feather
knock us out with a feather, we have no skills, no smell for the end zone, we just wanna play cow pasture football. Let’s go get Marty Schottenheimer. At least the Chief’s fans were in a near state of ecstasy until the playoffs.
Just becuz you put yer boots in the oven don't make it bread
by dcfansinceiwasababy on Sep 20, 2010 10:30 AM CDT up reply actions
Ugh.
Came over here to hope to have some reasonable discussion about the team today, with a perspective that after Week 2 last year things looked bad too…
…but it seems everyone just wants to gripe with platitudes. Nevermind.
Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.
I thnk the team can still turn things around
but having 2 winnable games on the permanent record is a big ouch.
I was nervous about starting the season with an unproven/unchallenged kicker and it seems like we still have issues heading into the third week.
by I_miss_Switzer on Sep 20, 2010 11:44 AM CDT up reply actions
Agree 100%
Those should’ve been 2 of the most winnable games on our schedule. So that hurts a lot. Only good news is the rest of the division is 1-1 and they all have tough schedules too.
The Buehler thing is a problem, one that was forseeable, as you mention. Guessed he was gonna miss that one yesterday right before he kicked it. Not sure what can be done there, though.
Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.
not a master plan...by design
of course no defense is going in a game saying that we are going to give up yards. they are trying to stop if. offenses will get yards, however how many deep plays have we had this year? how many attempts? how are teams playing us, watch their safties playing deep. on top of that the OC gives up on run plays quickly and there is no denying that.
now, we can’t even run, so they can just drop back and wait. its like the 2 minute defense. its purpose to stop you, but instead of giving up the big play, they give up the short play if they are forced to. read the article on this site about dallas living on big plays last year. you don’t think DC and other teams are catching on that?
so we have almost 800 yards of offense and total of 20 offensive points to show for it!!!!
by CowboysFanatic on Sep 20, 2010 10:37 AM CDT up reply actions
So that's
.025 Points per Yard, and the Colts have 892 yards on 42 points. Making that .047 points per yard…. maybe I should reverse that
40 yards per point for the boys, and 21 yards per point for the Colts…. hmm I wonder which team is gonna score more
Kindle 3:16
yeah....there are a lot of steeler fans here too...
the ticket is a man’s best friend. They are the worst frontrunners ever. It’s almost like watching a high school game with a bunch of parents who have kids on the team. They celebrate like they won the super bowl after every first down.
our problems are so thorough i really don’t know where to begin. our special teams are horrible. i actually miss pat watkins. we can’t cover kicks, we don’t have touchbacks anymore. we can’t make a field goal. it’s horrendous. we can’t score points. we don’t open up the playbook until we get down. we can’t run the ball. the passes are behind receivers. the receivers drop the passes that are thrown accurately. we can’t get pressure on the QB. we can’t create turnovers. and we have the craziest boneheaded plays at the most inopportune times (pooched kick, failed hail mary play).
I just don’t know where to start. It’s easy to point at Garrett and Wade. But this seems like a system-wide failure. Jerry’s moves you could argue has put behind the eightball. He traded for Barron and decided not to give Buehler much competition. That holding call and those missed FGs were huge. Romo has great numbers but he can play better. Our D has shown flashes but they came up empty against a shaky o-line and turnover prone QB.
I just really don’t know where to start. We have so many problems. There are legion.
"They need security in the world, Craig!"
That about sums it up... Couldn't agree more.
"Confidence doesn't come out of nowhere. It's a result of something... hours and days and weeks and years of constant work and dedication." --Roger Staubach
Pass game should set up the run game
That seems to be the way this team is built. Sling it around, score some points, then run it down their throats in the second half.
The Cowboys look great in the no-huddle offense. Why don’t they just start games that way (in fact, why don’t more teams do that)?
I’m not sure if the problem on offense is a lack of rhythym in the playcalling, or the fact that every good play seems to be followed by a penalty or some other such set back.
Either this team is underachieving with a lot of talent, or they just don’t have as much talent as we think
Do not worry. (Matthew 6:27)
Whose taking responsibilty Wade or the players?
Something I’ve never quite understood, Wade says treat the players like “responsible” adults, yes? But when they fail to execute or play poorly he says its his fault, that he takes responsibility. I don’t mean to be harsh, but that just seems like hog wash!
Just watched the first half frame by frame and focused
on the OL and D lines. My observations from the D line is that Ware and Spencer are fast and evil, rushing from the ends. They get tremendous pressure every time. Rat gets a great initial pop off the ball but gets stone-walled by a guard and center and this either stops his push or they re-direct him away from the ball, but most of the time he’s stopped without a good push. Spears and Igor seem to always get off the snap, extremely slow. There are some plays where they havn’t even made contact with the OL until the QB has already made 2-3 steps back. Really mind boggling how slow they are off the ball.
The OL, Andre looked like he was constantly helping out either Davis or Kosier almost immediately after the snap. Kosier gets his body in front of his man most of the time, problem is, he lacks a push with Gurodes help. Davis, he is horrible moving his feet and really struggles to get in front of his man consistently. At least Kosier gets a body on his guy, Davis, he just looks slow coming off the ball. Free looks mobile and locks on his guy with a push consistently. Columbo did a decent job but looks like he’s not in game shape yet.
If Rat gets stopped by a double team most of the time, I think that's okay
You don’t want him to be totally pushed out of the play, but if he gets stone-walled but holds his position in the middle against a guard/center combo, then that’s fine, that’s a good output for a 3-4 NT. Sometimes Rat will split those double teams, which is awesome, but even just soaking up 2 blockers and clogging the middle is a decent job on some plays.
Larry Allen benched 700 pounds. That is Leonard Davis times two.

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