FanPost

WWGD? New England Patriots Edition


Well the Bye Week is Over, so here is the latest installment of What Will Garrett Do(WWGD)? This Week we will be Looking at the New England Patriots, owners of a 4-1 record, and arguably the worst defense in the League. BUt before we Start breaking down the Defense, here is the back story on this series:

 

In this Series of posts I am going to look at the Defenses that Dallas will be facing this year. I will give a Scouting report on each, then based off that I will try to set out what I think the Game plan that I think Garrett will employ. This will be based off my "Air Garrett" posts (Version 1,Version 2) where I set out this statement:

That is what I think "Air Garret" is all about. Attacking the Defense at it's weakest point. Study the opponents carefully. Find out where they are lacking defensively. I bet you will see alot of plays designed to target that area.

So on Sunday, November 2nd, 2011, The Cowboys(2-2) will be on the road at Gillette Stadium forthe New England Patriots(4-1) . Now unlike previous weeks Dallas should be at full Strength, which means that Garrett will have his full array of Weapons.The question for New England is this. Just how Bad is the New England Defense?

It's Bad... I mean Very Bad...they are ranked 30th in yards per pass attempt(8.6), tied for 21st in rushing Average(4.6) and 14th in PPG (23.8). in fact they have allowed 20+ points in every game except the Raiders Game where they Allowed 19 points. And that might have been more if not for a Mistake by Jason Campbell. Now In their Defense they Have Played a couple of Good Offenses, but mostly they haven't had much Success. Who Have they played? Here you go:

 

Performance vs. Patriots
and avg. Team performance
Points Passing Rushing
ATT CMP PCT YDS YPA ATT YDS YPC
Dolphins
Week 1
vs Patriots 24 49 30 61.2% 416 8.5 20 98 4.9
Average/game 17.2 34.5 81.0 58.7% 258.8 7.5 27.0 115.3 4.3
                     
Chargers
Week 2
vs Patriots 21 40 29 72.5% 378 9.5 24 98 4.1
Average/game 24.0 37.2 25.0 67.2% 307.2 8.3 30.4 122.8 4.0
                     
Buffalo
Week 3
vs Patriots 34 40 27 67.5% 369 9.2 20 79 4.0
Average/game 32.8 34.6 22.6 65.3% 246.6 7.1 27.8 138.2 5.0
                     
Oakland
Week 4
vs Patriots 19 39 25 64.1% 344 8.8 27 160 5.9
Average/game 27.2 31.2 18.8 60.3% 223.6 7.2 30.0 161.8 5.4
                     
Jets
Week 5
vs Patriots 21 26 16 61.5% 166 6.4 25 97 3.9
Average/game 24.2 34.6 19.4 56.1% 234.2 6.8 23.4 76.2 3.3

 

So what does this all mean? Well lets look at it step by step.

Scoring: The Average amount of points that the teams that the Patriots have played is 25 points. They have given up just under 24 points(23.8) to those teams. So teams are scoring almost at their standard rate. 

Passing: the Average Completion rate for these teams is 61.52%. The Patriots have Allowed a 65.36% completion rate. So teams are completing almost 4% more passes(3.82%) against the Patriots. Plus they are Allowing teams to get almost 8.5(8.48) yards per attempt(average for the teams is 7.38). That is a 1.1 yard per attempt more than the Teams average.

Rushing; Again Teams are performing above Average against them. The Teams normally Average 4.4 yards a Carry, but against the Patriots they Average 4.6(this is brought down by the Bills performance). So they are giving up almost 5 yards a carry.

But because of their Offense, teams aren't able to simply take advantage of the Rushing Stats. And other than Rivers and Fitzpatrick, the teams haven't had the QB to take advantage of the Passing. Unfortunately for the Patriots Dallas Has the RB's, TE's and WR/QB to truly take advantage of this Defense. Why do I say that? Look at the loss that the Patriots suffered, the Bills. You could say that they are the team that most closely resembles Dallas. Big & Fast WR's, Accurate QB, Fast Shifty RB's. And Bear in mind, Dez Bryant, Miles Austin, Laurent Robinson, Felix Jones and Jason Witten =/> Steve Johnson, Donald Jones, David Nelson, Fred Jackson and Scott Chandler. What proof? here are their game Averages:

Steve Johnson- 6 rec. for 69 yards-  Miles Austin- 7 rec for 116 yards

David Nelson- 5 rec for 51 yards-     Dez Bryant- 3 rec for 57 yards

Donald Jones- 3 rec for 34 yards-    Laurent Robinson- 3 rec for 82 yards

Fred Jackson- 21 tch for 142 yards- Felix Jones- 17 tch for 81 yards

Scott Chandler- 2 rec for 20 yards-- Jason Witten- 7 rec for 91 yards

So while Felix is a slight down grade from Fred Jackson, Our Wr and TE's more than make up for it. and plus Bear in mind that Neither Austin Nor Dez have been on the Field Together fully Healthy since the First Quarter of the Jets Game....and both Felix and Witten have played through injuries the past couple of games. 

Now New England's LB's, even with Mayo, are similar in Skill set to the Lions, while they have moved to more of a 4-3 DL with Wilfork and Haynesworth in the Middle. However they really don't have a Vanden Bosch type DE. in fact they only have 1 player with more than 3 sacks and that is their 3rd string RDE(Mark Anderson). So they have really struggled to create consistent Pressure. SO lets Look at Vince Wilfork, Devin McCourty and Jerrod MAyo, New England three  premier PLayers on Defense:

Jerrod Mayo:

Combine Invite: Yes
Height: 6012
Weight: 242
40 Yrd Dash: 4.54
20 Yrd Dash: 2.58
10 Yrd Dash: 1.50
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 
Vertical Jump: 32
Broad Jump: 09'06"
20 Yrd Shuttle: 4.29
3-Cone Drill: 7.31
No bench/pec

Dates: 03/11/08 03/12/08 
Height: 6012
Weight: 242
40 Yrd Dash: 
20 Yrd Dash: 
10 Yrd Dash: 
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 22
Vertical Jump: 40 1/2
Broad Jump: 
20 Yrd Shuttle: 
3-Cone Drill: 

 

Devin McCourty;

Combine Invite: Yes
Height: 5106
Weight: 193
40 Yrd Dash: 4.38
20 Yrd Dash: 2.50
10 Yrd Dash: 1.53
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 16
Vertical Jump: 36
Broad Jump: 10'06"
20 Yrd Shuttle: 4.07
3-Cone Drill: 6.70
40 Time Range: 4.38-4.49

Dates: 03/10/10 
Height: 5106
Weight: 193
40 Yrd Dash: 
20 Yrd Dash: 
10 Yrd Dash: 
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 
Vertical Jump: 
Broad Jump: 
20 Yrd Shuttle: 
3-Cone Drill: 

 

Vince Wilfork:

Combine Invite: yes
Height: 6012
Weight: 323
40 Yrd Dash: 
20 Yrd Dash: 
10 Yrd Dash: 
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 36
Vertical Jump: 
Broad Jump: 
20 Yrd Shuttle: 
3-Cone Drill: 
No Combine workout, choice

Dates: 02/28, 03/20 
Height: 6012
Weight: 323
40 Yrd Dash: 5.08
20 Yrd Dash: 
10 Yrd Dash: 
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 36
Vertical Jump: 26 1/2
Broad Jump: 8'5"
20 Yrd Shuttle: 4.50
3-Cone Drill: 7.62

So as you can See Mayo is the Sean Lee of the Patriots, McCourty is a young Terrance Newman, and Wilfork is a big Jay Ratliff. However, Wilfork while Strong, isn't very Explosive, but is very Quick for his size. McCourty is small and quick, but will be Vunerable to the more physical WR that Dallas has, and Mayo might not even Play. But even if he Does I still like JW in that matchup. 

So what will Garrett Do? Look for Dallas to play 3-4 Wide sets alot to take advantage of the MAtchups in the Secondary with Witten and Felix split out wide. Felix is a Nightmare matchup one on one with their LB's along with Witten, and Deez and Austin along with Robinson are big and Fast enough to be a matchup advantage against their CB's. Which Brings me to my "Funky Formation" this Week. This is How I would deal with the Short Yardage issues that Dallas has had. Now Obviously Dallas isn't going to be lining up and running it down NE Defense. However We can Take advantage of the fact that they don't have any LB's or DL's that are extremely fast: Here is how I would do it:

Formation-32 -3 TE's and 2 RB's 0 WR

TE's- Witten, Phillips, Bennett

RB's Murray/Choice, Felix

Now Dallas is one of the Few Teams that can even think about doing this; Assuming it is a short yardage situation, 3 or less yards to go, here is what I would have Happen. as the PLayers Line up, You would have the TE's and Rb's line up in a standard"power Formation. The 3 TE line up on the LOS with Felix and Murray in a I formation. However things aren't what they seem, Witten, Phillips, Murray all motion out with Murray in the Slot. That means that Witten and Phillips are matched up against the Smaller CB's And Murray is against a LB or Safety. which is the Key to the PLay.

If a safety Covers Murray, then you now Have a great chance to run a toss play to the Opposite side where Bennett will be. If he is against a LB then you can go with a Pass play due to the Matchups in the Secondary. You could Also run a reverse with Felix /Murray. 

Another way of going with this would be a little trickier. You could Stay in the "Power Set" and run a dive to Felix or Murray to Set up a Pitch out to Felix later. I would Play action the Dive to Murray then Quickly toss it to Felix, if the Defense has bitten on the Fake, if not then you still have Felix out in the Flat more than likely one on one with a CB or LB.

Well that is all for this Week Let me Know what you think, especially any Patriots Fans that come over. As Always I welcome any Criticism and Critiques that you Guys may Have.

Just Remember:

Ozzy Osbourne - Iron Man (via maniaticoaleman)

Another user-created commentary provided by a BTB reader.

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