Week 10 NFL Picks: Too Close To Call?

ARLINGTON, TX - NOVEMBER 6: Cheerleader of the Dallas Cowboys performs during a game against the Seattle Seahawks at Cowboys Stadium on November 6, 2011 in Arlington, Texas. The Cowboys defeated the Seahawks 23 to 13. (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)

NFL games continued to be thisclose this past weekend, as the last seven games of week 9 were all decided in the final minutes of the fourth quarter or overtime. So far in 2011, 66.2 percent of games played (86 of 130) have been within seven points in the fourth quarter, which is tied for the fourth-most of any season in NFL history through week 9. Remarkably, all three seasons with a higher percentage of close games have come in the last decade (2010, 2007, 2004).

And here's some good news for teams like the Cowboys with a .500 record: Since 2000, 28 teams have reached the halfway point of the season with a .500 or lower winning percentage and still made the playoffs. In four of the past five seasons, at least three teams started 4-4 or worse and rebounded to make the playoffs. And that includes the 2006 Cowboys, who were 4-4 after eight games and garnered a wild-card spot with a 9-7 record for the season.

There’s a lot of football left to be played, and if the second half is anything like the first, expect close games, comeback wins and exciting finishes. Entering week 10, there are 20 teams with a .500+ record. That’s two shy of the most in NFL history through the first nine weeks (22 in 1997).

Lots of teams still have realistic playoff chances. After the break, we pick the winners and losers for week 10, and maybe whittle down that list of playoff contenders a little bit more.

Week nine was a great week for away teams, as they went 10-4. This week, Vegas only likes four out of sixteen away teams. Kegbearer (9 away teams picked to win) and KD (8) are hoping Vegas is waaaay off and believe the away teams will come through again this week. We'll see soon how that turns out.

Here are our week 10, 2011 picks:

Profile_medium Head_shot1_medium Ollogo3_copy_medium Kegbearer_medium Captain_medium Emmittintro_medium Dr_fate_medium Bloggingtheboys_medium
Brandon Dave KD
Kegbearer OCC rabblerousr Tom Consensus
Season Record
84 - 46 82 - 48 76 - 54 81 - 49 88 - 42 85 - 45 79 - 51 87 - 43
Percentage 65% 63% 58% 62% 68% 65% 61% 67%
Week 9 Results
8 - 6 7 - 7 8 - 6 8 - 6 8 - 6 8 - 6 7 - 7 8 - 6

OAK @ SD (-7)
Sdc_medium Sdc_medium Sdc_medium Oak_medium Sdc_medium Sdc_medium Sdc_medium Sdc_medium
ARI @ PHI (-14)
Phi_medium Phi_medium Phi_medium Phi_medium Phi_medium Phi_medium Phi_medium Phi_medium
JAC (-3) @ IND
Jac_medium Ind_medium Jac_medium Jac_medium Jac_medium Ind_medium Jac_medium Jac_medium
BUF @ DAL (-5.5)
Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium
DEN @ KC (-3)
Kan_medium Kan_medium Den_medium Kan_medium Den_medium Kan_medium Den_medium Kan_medium
TEN @ CAR (-3.5)
Car_medium Car_medium Car_medium Car_medium Car_medium Car_medium Car_medium Car_medium
WAS @ MIA (-4)
Mia_medium Mia_medium Was_medium Mia_medium Mia_medium Was_medium Mia_medium Mia_medium
PIT (-3) @ CIN
Cin_medium Pit_medium Pit_medium Pit_medium Pit_medium Cin_medium Pit_medium Pit_medium
NO @ ATL
Nos_medium Atl_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium
STL @ CLE (-2.5)
Cle_medium Cle_medium Cle_medium Stl_medium Cle_medium Stl_medium Cle_medium Cle_medium
HOU (-3) @ TB  Hou_medium Hou_medium Tam_medium Hou_medium Hou_medium Hou_medium Hou_medium Hou_medium
BAL (-6.5) @ SEA  Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium
DET @ CHI (-3)
Det_medium Chi_medium Det_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium
NYG @ SF (-3.5)
Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium
NE @ NYJ (-1.5)
Nyj_medium Nyj_medium Nep_medium Nep_medium Nyj_medium Nyj_medium Nep_medium Nyj_medium
MIN @ GB (-13.5)
Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium
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