Week 13 NFL Picks: Lots Of Tightly Contested Games Expected

Last week, 13 of 16 games were within seven points sometime in the fourth quarter. In the end, most of the favorites came through though, much to the delight of our BTB pick 'em panel and each panelist's win totals.

This week's games look like they could be nail-biters as well. Our panel is unanimous on only five games this week, one of the lowest figures we've seen all season. In the first 10 games of week 13, the Colts @ Patriots game is the only game where all seven of us have picked the same team to win.

Part of the reason for this is that for the Thursday and 1:00 pm ET Sunday games, there's at least one dissenting opinion among us picking against the trend. Most of the time that dissenting opinion is KD's, who has stubbornly picked the underdog in seven matchups. But even KD's mighty contrarianism isn't enough to pick Indy against the 20-point (!) favorite New England.

Of the remaining six games, our panel has picked four unanimously. See our full week 13 picks - and witness how the panel succumbs to Tebowmania - after the break.

The most tightly contested games according to our panel:

PHI @ SEA: Four of our panelists like the Dream Team over the Seahawks in Seattle, precisely because the Eagles are playing on the road. The Eagles are 1-5 at home, only the dreadful Colts have a worse home record. On the road, the Eagles are a 3-2 team. Three of our panelists believe the Eagles implosion will continue.

TEN @ BUF: Continuing the away-team theme, four of us hope the Titans can sustain their reinvigorated ground game, while three look for Buffalo to rediscover their early-season mojo en route to a home win. Plus, they have Tashard Choice now.

DEN @ MIN: Tebowmania has finally caught up with BTB. The following was found spraypainted across a wall in our virtual offices:

Don't doubt the Tebow.

I have my suspicions about who is responsible, but I'll keep quiet for now.

Five of our writers bow to the power of The Tebow and pick the Broncos over the Vikings. It'll be tough for the Vikings to get anything going without Adrian Peterson. Then again, it'll be even tougher for The Tebow to complete more than half of his passes. Little known fact: the Vikings have the fifth best run defense in the league, allowing only 3.7 yards per carry. Even lesser known fact: Sunday is the day Jared Allen pulls out in front of DeMarcus Ware with a big lead in his sack totals.

CAR @ TB: Three of our panelists believe that in the battle of some of the the worst defenses (CAR: 31st; TB: 29th) the better offense (CAR: 16th, TB: 25th) will come out on top. The other four panelists seem to believe Cam Newton is overrated. Especially on the road.

OAK @ MIA: Over the last five games, the Dolphins have outscored their opponents by 62 points, fourth in the league behind only the Texans, Saints and Packers. Over the same period, the Raiders have been outscored by 24 points and are ranked 23rd in points differential over the last five games. But the Raiders have an awesome kicker, and Michael Bush > Reggie Bush.

Here are the entire week 13, 2011 picks.

Profile_medium Head_shot1_medium Ollogo3_copy_medium Kegbearer_medium Captain_medium Emmittintro_medium Dr_fate_medium Bloggingtheboys_medium
Brandon Dave KD
Kegbearer OCC rabblerousr Tom Consensus
Season Record
113 - 63 110 - 66 107 - 69 113 - 63 123 - 53 117 - 59 114 - 62 119 - 57
Percentage 64% 63% 61% 64% 70% 66% 65% 68%
Week 12 Results
12 - 4 11 - 5 11 - 5 10 - 6 14 - 2 13 - 3 13 - 3 12 - 4

PHI (-3) @ SEA Phi_medium Phi_medium Sea_medium Sea_medium Phi_medium Phi_medium Sea_medium Phi_medium
OAK @ MIA (-3)
Mia_medium Mia_medium Oak_medium Oak_medium Mia_medium Mia_medium Mia_medium Mia_medium
ATL (-2.5) @ HOU Atl_medium Atl_medium Atl_medium Atl_medium Atl_medium Atl_medium Hou_medium Atl_medium
CIN @ PIT (-6.5)
Pit_medium Pit_medium Cin_medium Pit_medium Pit_medium Pit_medium Pit_medium Pit_medium
KC @ CHI (-7)
Chi_medium Chi_medium Kan_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium
DEN @ MIN (-1.5)
Den_medium Min_medium Den_medium Den_medium Min_medium Den_medium Den_medium Den_medium
TEN @ BUF (-2.5)
Buf_medium Buf_medium Ten_medium Ten_medium Buf_medium Ten_medium Ten_medium Ten_medium
NYJ (-3) @ WAS Nyj_medium Nyj_medium Nyj_medium Nyj_medium Was_medium Nyj_medium Nyj_medium Nyj_medium
IND @ NE (-20)
Nep_medium Nep_medium Nep_medium Nep_medium Nep_medium Nep_medium Nep_medium Nep_medium
CAR @ TB (-3.5)
Car_medium Tam_medium Tam_medium Car_medium Car_medium Tam_medium Tam_medium Tam_medium
BAL (-6.5) @ CLE Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium
DAL (-4.5) @ ARI
Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium
GB (-7) @ NYG Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium
STL @ SF (-13)
Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium
DET @ NO (-9)
Nos_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium
SD (-2.5) @ JAC Sdc_medium Sdc_medium Sdc_medium Sdc_medium Sdc_medium Sdc_medium Jac_medium Sdc_medium

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