5
On Tebow and close games
Link
advancednflstats.com
Now consider the alternative. If Tebow doesn't win close games any more than Starr, Montana, and Bradshaw did, then what's left of the Tebow story? The entire Tim Tebow tale is "he makes the team win, he just does what it takes". But if he doesn't, the whole story evaporates and there's nothing left - he's just another young project at QB with very bad numbers so far. Starr, Montana, and Bradshaw put up great numbers. That's how they won.
In this story Tebow is winning like Dick Jauron did. The Broncos - all 53 players, not just Tebow - have played five generally weak teams (combined record of 23-37, 38%) evenly ... and won five coin flips.
I'm with the author. I really enjoy Tebow because I enjoy innovation.
there's a cautionary note in this though. As a friend of mine who hates Denver said 'I love it ... in a QB rich draft, every Tebow win moves Denver further down the draft priority'.
Just assume that the author is correct. That winning close games isn't a skill, that its luck (not that Denver could change their draft position). If that's right then this run by Tebow is probably cementing Denver to years in the desert. That's why its important to be able to distinguish between what's skill and what's luck.

