Let's face it. This secondary is not going to make it to the Superbowl. Especially when we are playing in the same conference with Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers. Until we fix the secondary (i.e. cutting Newman and drafting a corner), hoping for playoff success is a fools errand. Having a CB corp that includes Mike Jenkins, Orlando Scandrick, and maybe a Janoris Jenkins would get us much closer to the SB than beating the Giants on Sunday.
Furthermore, the best corner available in Free Agency this coming off season is Cortland Finnegan. Not exactly the cream of the NFL crop. And we'll likely have to pay a pretty penny to get him anyhow, since legit starting NFL corners are highly sought after. So to find a suitable replacement for Newman one must look to the draft.
Of the CB's that made it to the pro-bowl this year only one was taken outside the first round: Tillman and he was a second rounder. Moreover, CB is one of the positions where you need to use a first round pick on, and the success rate of doing so is relatively high.
Of the 43 cornerbacks selected in Round One, our research shows 23 have worked out (become solid starters) for a hit rate of 53.5 percent. The 53.5 percent hit rate is one of the highest of any position and certainly the highest amongst the "premium positions." Over the past few years teams have struck gold with the likes of Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, Darrelle Revis, Leon Hall and Nnamdi Asomugha, amongst others. Since 2007, cornerbacks selected in the first round have better than an 81 percent hit rate (9 of 11).
And as your draft pick gets better in the first round the hit rate jumps dramatically from pick to pick, which is why there is such a huge jump on the trade value chart from pick 22 (780) to pick 14 (1100). And that is likely to be the difference between losing and winning next week as we are currently sitting on the 18th pick in the draft. Furthermore, it is a lot easier to trade up into the top ten when you have the 14th pick in the draft as opposed to the 22nd, which is what we may need to do to get an elite CB.
If you want the Cowboys to win another Superbowl then you better hope for a Cowboys loss Sunday night.