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2012 projected NFL draft position (or inverse power ranking) with absolutely no homerism...well, maybe a little

 

 

Instead of completing a power ranking, I decided to make a draft order for 2012.  I based the ranking on strength of schedule, anticipated quarterback play versus pass defense, but mostly through observation during the preseason.

 

I am sure that there will be changes after a few weeks have passed, but this is a ranking to show where teams will end up at the conclusion of the 2012 season.  Please feel free to share your thoughts, as I will probably revise some teams based on good points that posters make.

 

So, with the first pick in the 2012 NFL draft the...

 

  1. 1. Carolina Panthers (3-13): The Panthers have more needs than any other team in the league.  They lack playmakers everywhere.  I could see them auctioning off this draft position to gain more picks to fill their many holes.

 

  1. 2. San Francisco 49ers (3-13): The Niners have some talent on defense and offense, but have a horrible situation at quarterback.  If Andrew Luck comes out, I wonder if they move up one spot to get him and reunite him with Harbaugh.

 

  1. 3. Cincinnati Bengals (4-12): The Bengals have very good young talent on the offensive side of the ball.  The defense and offensive line, however, need a huge infusion of talent: specifically a pass rusher and another cornerback.

 

  1. 4. Washington Redskins (5-11): I actually think the Redskins will be a decent 5-11 team, if that makes sense (turnovers will doom their season).  They really need a quarterback, however, as neither Beck nor Grossman look like winners.

 

  1. 5. Tennessee Titans (5-11): Jake Locker will be starting fairly early in the season.  Tennessee’s defense needs some more talent to combat the offenses in their division and the AFC.  Chris Johnson's holdout will also affect this team negatively.

 

  1. 6. Kansas City Chiefs (5-11): Kansas City needs a quarterback badly: Cassel is this generation’s Scott Mitchell (Dan Marino’s back-up that was traded to Detroit and flopped).  The Chiefs may also look to upgrade the cornerback position.

 

  1. 7. Miami Dolphins (5-11): Another team needing a quarterback.  New head coach, Rob Ryan will look to build up the defense in order to compete with Belichick and his brother.  Mike Nolan will be in Dallas after Ryan takes this job.

 

  1. 8. Buffalo Bills (6-10): While the Bills could use a quarterback, I expect that Chan Gailey will focus on building up the defense.  Buffalo could also use playmakers at wide receiver (he used 5 WR sets as an offensive coordinator in Pittsburgh).

 

  1. 9. Seattle Seahawks (6-10): Pete Carroll really did a great job last season with limited talent.  Seattle needs upgrades in talent everywhere.  The fact that they play well at home and play the 49ers twice keeps them drafting here.

 

  1. 10. Jacksonville Jaguars (6-10): Jack Del Rio also did a nice job coaching this team up last season.  Garrard will be replaced around the middle of the season, however, and the Jaguars need upgrades everywhere.

 

  1. 11. Oakland Raiders (6-10): The Raiders defense took a huge hit with the loss of Nnamdi this offseason.  Oakland needs better talent, not faster players, on both sides of the ball.  A new quarterback not named Pryor would also help.

 

  1. 12. Chicago Bears (7-9): While Cutler makes plays, he also throws a lot of interceptions, which will haunt the Bears in 2011.  The offensive line needs a lot more talent, and the defense could use some new faces.

 

  1. 13. Minnesota Vikings (7-9): The Vikings have some talented players on both sides of the ball, but lack playmakers in the secondary, and are a step slow in coverage at linebacker.  McNabb will run his normal dink-dunk, and throw deep offense.

 

  1. 14. New York Giants (7-9): Injuries and poor offensive line play will derail the Giants season in 2011.  The Giants need some improvements on defense, but the offensive line will hold this team back.

 

  1. 15. Denver Broncos (8-8): The Broncos are actually headed back in the right direction.  Denver will run the ball more, but the defensive front seven needs a few more playmakers (Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil excluded).

 

  1. 16. Indianapolis Colts (8-8): Even if Peyton Manning does return for the first game, it is obvious that the Colts have done a poor job of surrounding perhaps the greatest player in the game with talent.  It reminds me of the Cowboys of the late 90’s.

 

  1. 17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-8): This is an up and coming team, although I think Freeman is another version of Jason Campbell (Oakland).  This is a fairly solid roster, but a few more playmakers on both sides are needed to be a playoff team.

 

  1. 18. Philadelphia Eagles (9-7): Poor offensive line play and linebacker inexperience will prove too much for the Eagles to overcome.  Vick has struggled with turnovers in the preseason: expect that trend to continue throughout 2011.

 

  1. 19. Baltimore Ravens (9-7): Joe Flacco runs hot and cold: the Ravens offensive line also looks inconsistent.  The Baltimore defense could use an infusion of youth at several positions, and another pass rusher opposite Suggs.

 

  1. 20. Arizona Cardinals (10-6): Kolb really does make a difference, and the defense has some playmakers.  The Cardinals are not that far removed from the playoffs, and some more pressure players on defense will make them better in 2012.

 

  1. 21. Houston Texans (10-6): The legend of Wade the defensive genius is perpetuated.  In reality, the Texans have an extremely talented offensive team with many playmakers.  With a good match-up, the Texans could advance in the playoffs.

 

  1. 22. Cleveland Browns (10-6): This is a team built around a solid defense and a tough running game.  That will be enough to get into the playoffs, but Colt McCoy needs more weapons around him to make any type of deep run.

 

  1. 23. New Orleans Saints (10-6): The Saints have a great quarterback and the interior of the offensive line is solid: the tackles, however, are questionable.  The defense still gives up too much yardage and will only succeed if they get takeaways.

 

  1. 24. Detroit Lions (10-6): The Lions are a tough match-up for any team.  An explosive offense with a rock-solid defensive front four.  Some more linebackers and secondary talent will make this team a Super Bowl contender.

 

  1. 25. St. Louis Rams (10-6): The Rams have a good offensive line, a young, quality quarterback, a great running back, and a good defensive line.  Some better secondary play and some offensive weapons would have the Rams contending for a Super Bowl.

 

  1. 26. Atlanta Falcons (11-5): This team is loaded at the offensive skill positions.  The secondary has a future star in Grimes, but needs a few more pressure players.  The offensive line also needs some more talent, and will limit their playoff success.

 

  1. 27. San Diego Chargers (11-5): The Chargers defense is the weak point on this team (if the special teams are fixed).  San Diego’s offense will carry them into the playoffs, but such a one-sided team may go one-and-done.

 

  1. 28. New York Jets (11-5): At first I thought this team got worse during the offseason, but I think they are actually about the same.  Rob Ryan’s brother really needs a DeMarcus Ware type pass rusher that can just get pressure without all the tricks.

 

  1. 29. Green Bay Packers (11-5): The Packers are very good on both sides of the ball, but a lack of a running game will catch-up to them.  The defensive and offensive lines are the weakest spots on this good young team.

 

  1. 30. New England Patriots (11-5): New England needs more talent on the offensive line (as the Lions showed).  The Patriots defense is not the intelligent, flexible, playmaking unit that helped Brady win three Super Bowls.

 

  1. 31. Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4): Offensive line problems will limit this team, but the Steelers are so strong on defense and the offensive skill positions that they are the front-runners to the Super Bowl in the AFC.

 

  1. 32. Dallas Cowboys (12-4): The Cowboys offensive line will no longer limit the offense.  Playmakers like Felix, Dez, and Miles will be unstoppable at the end of the season.  As the offensive line and defense improves throughout the season, with young players improving weekly, new playmakers will emerge: Demarco Murray, Sean Lee, and Bruce Carter.  Veterans will also emerge as playmakers as the team peaks in December, January, and February: Mike Jenkins, Anthony Spencer, and Orlando Scandrick.  Witten, Ratliff, and Ware will continue to be All-Pro players, while Romo will raise his game behind a well-balanced offense with solid protection.  Superior coaching will unlock the potential this team has been wasting since 2007.

 

I could see Denver getting a few breaks and actually finishing 9-7 or 10-6 and threatening for a playoff spot.  The Redskins are another team that could do better than 5-11, as are the Buffalo Bills (could do better than 6-10).

 

One quick point I took away from the Cowboys game that gave me great hope for this season: the players listen and respond to Garrett.  After losing to San Diego last week, Jason had one clear, defining message: turnovers without takeaways lead to losses.  This week, Dallas did not turn the ball over and got an interception.

 

It seems to me that Garrett is trying to teach this team how to win.  Scandrick came out after the game and noted that yards do not lead to wins or losses.  Orlando even noted that San Diego had the best offense and defense last season in terms of yardage, but missed the playoffs.

 

For too long, this team was consumed by individual statistics. Michael Strahan even alluded to that by stating that the Pro Bowl was "Dallas’ Super Bowl".  Bradie James has finally admitted what most fans already suspected: this team was bogged down by a sense of entitlement. 

 

I believe that all of the cries for leadership were really misplaced opinions that were picking up on the lack of focus on this team.  A lack of focus towards a common goal: winning the Super Bowl.

Another user-created commentary provided by a BTB reader.

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That mantra

was another product of Wade’s coaching. During tons of pressers, he would cite any sort of middling statistic as a defense to a tough question by the media…

"There are no traffic jams along the extra mile."- Roger Staubach
Pet Cat of 2011- Barry Church!

by Rat-Pack on Aug 29, 2011 1:40 PM CDT reply actions  

Purple Drank

Someone has been mixing codeine with their Kool-Aid

by ThrillRob on Aug 29, 2011 1:56 PM CDT via mobile reply actions  

JaMarcus? Is that you??

Semper Fi Do or Die

Thanks a lot Nnamdi for wasting a whole day of productivity at work and stressing me out. Now we get to destroy you twice a year and I'll call us even.

"LOL. U lost by not reading the link. KA-POW" - football mensa / clarifying to me how to maturely win a debate

by Jeremiah_24 on Aug 29, 2011 4:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

The mistake by the lake?

Nope.

From Dayton, Ohio originally: birthplace of aviation (Wilbur and Orville Wright were born just a few miles from my home). Dayton is actually closer to Cincinnati, but the Bengals have been unwatchable for years…

by ScarletO on Aug 29, 2011 5:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

well, for what it’s worth, at least I got the state right.

by One.Cool.Customer on Aug 29, 2011 5:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

I really hope we don't get a Steeler - Cowboy SB

My heart probably wouldn’t be able to take the extreme emotions I would experience in such an event. I was only 23 years old that last time, so I could handle it. That was many years ago.

"Confidence doesn't come out of nowhere. It's a result of something... hours and days and weeks and years of constant work and dedication." --Roger Staubach

by dave33 on Aug 29, 2011 5:09 PM CDT reply actions  

I dunno how the Giants offensive line will be a fail but the Cowboy offensive line

is no longer a weakness.

Team Intervention:

Greg Jones
Tyler Sash
Jason Pierre-Paul
Will Beatty
Justin Trattou

by BigBlueIntervention on Aug 29, 2011 5:25 PM CDT reply actions  

Three big reasons.

First, Romo is able to move around and make plays much better than Eli. Manning was under pressure most of last season, and had a career high in interceptions.

Second, Dallas has relied on its passing game in the recent past, while the Giants are a running team first. Poor offensive line play will affect the running game more than the passing game (with a mobile QB, such as Romo): just look at the Cowboys for proof.

Finally, Doug Free is a better left tackle than Will Beatty. Left tackle is the most important pass protector, which means it is the most important offensive line position.

I also have watched several Giants game and have been unimpressed with their offensive line to date. But remember that I am posting on a Dallas Cowboys site for a reason.

by ScarletO on Aug 29, 2011 6:51 PM CDT up reply actions  

fair points.

And of course, I’m not trying to argue…just wanted your reasoning is all. Obviously, being a Giants fan, I disagree, but hey, only way we find out is by seeing.

Given that I disagree, might as well tell you why:

Giants have 3 returning starters to the line. David Diehl was as bad at LT as Marc Columbo was at RT last year. He moves to LG where he was a probowler. David Baas was the best C in the market aside from Ryan Kalil. Snee is an all-pro and a top 5 guard in the NFL. Kareem McKenzie was rated by ProFootballFocus as the best RT in the country. He’s more than solid.

We have been grooming Will Beatty for the LT position for 3 years now. He had played in 6 games last season and allowed ZERO sacks before breaking his foot and going on IR.

As far as Eli’s interceptions, most were due either to his bad decisions or the balls tipping off the WRs hands. There were a few that were caused by pressure, but not as many as one thinks. Eli was sacked a LEAGUE LOW 16 times. Shaun O’hara didnt even play at all last year and Rich Seubert played mostly C, and Baas is an improvement over him.

The Cowboys have a rookie at G and at RT. And an unproven player at C. Way more question marks than the Giants.

Anyways, just my reasoning. ::shrugs:: I can agree with your rankings though. They are definitely viable, if somewhat different. Just wanted to clear up that if the Giants do that badly, it probably wouldn’t be because of the OL…most likely turnovers or injuries.

Team Intervention:

Greg Jones
Tyler Sash
Jason Pierre-Paul
Will Beatty
Justin Trattou

by BigBlueIntervention on Aug 29, 2011 11:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

I watched the Giants last night, and had some thoughts.

Eli Manning threw two horrendous passes that were intercepted. On each interception the Jets had pressure on Eli. When Eli had time to throw, however, he threw a few inaccurate passes.

The offensive line looked good when the Giants ran, except in a goal line situation. The stuff that occurred at the goal line on 4th down looked eerily similar to the catastrophic goal line runs that Dallas tried to execute with their old offensive line.

Despite playing what appeared to be a generic defense, the Jets managed to generate pressure on Eli in the passing game several times. I think it made Eli a bit jittery because he threw several bad balls after the initial drive.

Upon reading your post this morning, I realized that Eli’s decision making had a great deal to do with the two interceptions, but I think that pressure influenced that. In addition, I believe that Eli’s first interception was tipped by the receiver, but was still high across the middle.

I am sure that the Giants will be a tough team to play despite the injuries, but they have a killer stretch of games from Nov 6th to Dec 24th that include games (I know you know the schedule, this is more for other Cowboys fans):

Nov 6th @ New England
Nov 20th v Philadelphia (Sun night)
Nov 28th @ New Orleans (Mon night)
Dec 4th v Green Bay
Dec 11th @ Dallas (Sun night)
Dec 24th @ NY Jets

In addition, the Giants start off @ Washington, when Shanahan generally gets his team up for the opener. Unfortunately, as Cowboys fans we experienced this last season.

As I noted above, I also think that St. Louis will be much improved, and the Giants host them on Monday night Sept 19th (the second weekend). If the Giants lose to the Redskins, the Rams game will be huge, for New York visits Philadelphia on a short week after playing “the Rams, dude.” (Ghosts of Pacman past…)

After Philadelphia, the Giants travel to Arizona, another tough team to play in their home stadium. That is a killer schedule to start and in the middle of the season.

Anyhow, its been a pleasure. Look forward to September 8th, and of course September 11th. Have a great day.

by ScarletO on Aug 30, 2011 8:45 AM CDT up reply actions  

The pleasure was all mine

Eli played like arse last night, and I thought for them most part the OL did fine. They allowed some pressures, but as a QB, you have to handle them…any OL will give up pressures.

And hey, I have no problem with where you have the Giants ranked. We have to prove that we’re better than that anyways. Don’t know if I’d put the Cowboys 32nd, but if I were doing this at BigBlueView, I’d make the Giants 32 so I can’t blame you!

Team Intervention:

Greg Jones
Tyler Sash
Jason Pierre-Paul
Will Beatty
Justin Trattou

by BigBlueIntervention on Aug 30, 2011 9:29 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

rec'd

for truthful Homerism….

Here’s a theoretical play from 2010: Snap. Tony takes 7 step drop. Tony looks left at Miles, who is doubled, and looks right to where Roy Williams should be…but instead sees Colombo on his back and a Defensive End foaming at the mouth jumping over Marc’s carcass. Tony proceeds to run like hell and look for Witten
-by CotySaxman on Jul 11, 2011 7:50 AM PDT

Am I the most optimistic Cowboys fan in the World? Yes, due to an "unfortunate accident" to the previous holder of the title.

by I am Ironman!!! on Aug 30, 2011 11:14 AM CDT up reply actions  

I love your projection on Miami’s new HC and Dallas’ new DC . . .

OK, I’ll play your game . . . using your order of finish and straight from my latest Big Board (come see at http://www.drafttek.com), here’s the way your scenario plays out:

1. Andrew Luck, Stanford QB (San Francisco sends 1st, 2nd and Crabtree to Carolina)
2. Justin Blackmon, Oklahoma State WR (Carolina, in case Crabtree pulls another hammy)
3. Dre Kirkpatrick, Alabama CB (Cincinnati)
4. Matt Kalil, USC OT (Washington – Shanahan thinks he can coach up a 2nd round QB)
5. Jerel Worthy, Michigan State DT (Tennessee)
6. Matt Barkley, USC QB (Kansas City)
7. Quinton Coples, North Carolina OLB34 (Miami – Rob wants pass rush)
8. Landry Jones, Oklahoma QB (Buffalo)
9. Alfonzo Dennard, Nebraska CB (Seattle)
10. Donte Paige-Moss, North Carolina DE (Jacksonville)
11. Morris Claiborne, LSU CB (Oakland)
12. Luke Kuechly, Boston College MLB (Chicago – gotta replace Urlacher eventually!)
13. Jonathan Martin, Stanford OT (Minnesota)
14. Vontaze Burfict, Arizona State MLB (New York Giants)
15. Brandon Thompson, Clemson DT (Denver)
16. Chase Minnifield, Virginia CB (Indianapolis)
17. Manti Te’o, Notre Dame MLB (Tampa Bay)
18. Zach Brown, North Carolina OLB (Philadelphia)
19. Levy Adcock, Oklahoma State OT (Baltimore)
20. Trent Richardson, Alabama RB (Arizona)
21. Alameda Ta’amu, Washington NT (Houston)
22. Alshon Jeffery, South Carolina WR (Cleveland)
23. Andrew Datko, Florida State OT (New Orleans)
24. Ray Ray Armstrong, Miami SS (Detroit)
25. Cordy Glenn, Georgia OG (St. Louis)
26. Jared Crick, Nebraska DE (Atlanta)
27. Kheeston Randall, Texas DE (3-4) (San Diego)
28. Brandon Jenkins, Florida State OLB (3-4) (New York Jets)
29. Stephon Gilmore, South Carolina CB (Green Bay)
30. Jeff Fuller, Texas A&M WR (New England)
31. Josh Chapman, Alabama NT (Pittsburgh)
32. T.J. McDonald, USC FS (Dallas)

From the hometown of Bob Lilly,

by Long Ball on Aug 29, 2011 6:13 PM CDT reply actions  

I am going to your site. This is awesome.

Thanks. I love this place when this happens: building upon ideas.

by ScarletO on Aug 29, 2011 6:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

hey LB

is the ODS updated yet? because you know me…HUGE FAN of it…..

Here’s a theoretical play from 2010: Snap. Tony takes 7 step drop. Tony looks left at Miles, who is doubled, and looks right to where Roy Williams should be…but instead sees Colombo on his back and a Defensive End foaming at the mouth jumping over Marc’s carcass. Tony proceeds to run like hell and look for Witten
-by CotySaxman on Jul 11, 2011 7:50 AM PDT

Am I the most optimistic Cowboys fan in the World? Yes, due to an "unfortunate accident" to the previous holder of the title.

by I am Ironman!!! on Aug 29, 2011 7:14 PM CDT up reply actions  

I guess you've heard of the term "kinks" . . .

LOL, because we’re working them out . . . you won’t believe the “gyrations” I went through to produce this (with a little manual manipulation) — I’ll shoot you a line as soon as we have the ODS ready to go.

From the hometown of Bob Lilly,

by Long Ball on Aug 29, 2011 7:21 PM CDT up reply actions  

awesome

Can’t wait….last year had the ODS as a bookmark…..that is how often I was using it….

Here’s a theoretical play from 2010: Snap. Tony takes 7 step drop. Tony looks left at Miles, who is doubled, and looks right to where Roy Williams should be…but instead sees Colombo on his back and a Defensive End foaming at the mouth jumping over Marc’s carcass. Tony proceeds to run like hell and look for Witten
-by CotySaxman on Jul 11, 2011 7:50 AM PDT

Am I the most optimistic Cowboys fan in the World? Yes, due to an "unfortunate accident" to the previous holder of the title.

by I am Ironman!!! on Aug 29, 2011 7:22 PM CDT up reply actions  

It's a fun toy . . .

And as many times as you’ve used it, you’re probably better at it than I am — but part of what we want to accomplish this year is to make it easier for you to modify the input from our analysts. Team needs were easy enough (once we clarified the priority codes), but some of the Lock/Grab/Multiple Position designations did not clear out like they were supposed to. At any rate, I’ll sure let you know when you can “unwrap your present” — LOL!

From the hometown of Bob Lilly,

by Long Ball on Aug 29, 2011 7:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

well I am fairly proficient at it

though the “Priority codes” thing never really worked for me…..though that might be me just not understanding how they worked…

Here’s a theoretical play from 2010: Snap. Tony takes 7 step drop. Tony looks left at Miles, who is doubled, and looks right to where Roy Williams should be…but instead sees Colombo on his back and a Defensive End foaming at the mouth jumping over Marc’s carcass. Tony proceeds to run like hell and look for Witten
-by CotySaxman on Jul 11, 2011 7:50 AM PDT

Am I the most optimistic Cowboys fan in the World? Yes, due to an "unfortunate accident" to the previous holder of the title.

by I am Ironman!!! on Aug 29, 2011 7:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

Rather than post a lengthy diatribe on priority codes . . .

 . . . not to mention incurring the wrath of the BTB powers that be, I’ll put together some instructions and provide some examples on how I use them in the CMD. Let me know how you would like me to communicate that to you — you can e-mail me at longball@drafttek.com .

From the hometown of Bob Lilly,

by Long Ball on Aug 29, 2011 8:07 PM CDT up reply actions  

might do that...

but it probably won’t be anytime soon…I (hopefully) won’t be in “Draft Mode” till after the Combine….

will definitely add you to my contacts though

Here’s a theoretical play from 2010: Snap. Tony takes 7 step drop. Tony looks left at Miles, who is doubled, and looks right to where Roy Williams should be…but instead sees Colombo on his back and a Defensive End foaming at the mouth jumping over Marc’s carcass. Tony proceeds to run like hell and look for Witten
-by CotySaxman on Jul 11, 2011 7:50 AM PDT

Am I the most optimistic Cowboys fan in the World? Yes, due to an "unfortunate accident" to the previous holder of the title.

by I am Ironman!!! on Aug 29, 2011 10:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

BURFICT!!!!!

Team Intervention:

Greg Jones
Tyler Sash
Jason Pierre-Paul
Will Beatty
Justin Trattou

by BigBlueIntervention on Aug 29, 2011 11:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

yes sir!

You just gave me chill bumps! Hell yes! Go cowboys!

RWilsonII

by rodeocowboy on Aug 29, 2011 6:43 PM CDT reply actions  

What does this mean:
although I think Freeman is another version of Jason Campbell

by RisingSunCowboy on Aug 29, 2011 9:03 PM CDT reply actions  

8-8

finaliy a fair pick on denver

okay i have cerebral palsy arthris and chronic fatigue as well i have a great life and loveing folks some days are better than other days i got a make-a-wish in 2001 and saw my favorite team the broncos it was the trip of a lifetime i wish everyone couild have gotten to enjoy that with me i know some of u hate the broncos and that okay but i bleed organ and bule for my mnr fans but i bleed orange and blue denver will rise again resident broncos fan for every blog resident broncos for stampede bule thanks shvd98z24 real name jeremy woodard nettleton high class of 02 yes i am a raider

by j-man on Sep 3, 2011 8:22 PM CDT reply actions  

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