Meager, important improvements over 2010
As pointed out by OCC, 7 of the Cowboys losses were very close. Better play here and there can lead to a better season. Of course, Iron Fist has mulled over this point as well. A closer look at why this team ended up 6-10 shows the steps the JG regime is already taking for a more successful 2011. The Cowboys may not have made huge changes this offseason, but a few key changes can make all the difference in individual games and across the entire season.
Replacing Ball with Elam
Here is the difference between an average safety and Alan Ball.
According to StatsPass via ESPN: Abe Elam was targeted 5 more times than Ball (41 vs. 36 respectively), yet gave up 4 less touchdowns (3 to 7). Part of that must be Elam's 10 PBU's to Ball's 4. So, that's a 28 point difference! You think that would have helped in any one of the 7 close games the Cowboys lost last year? Not to mention 33 more tackles.
Coaching out the Rubber Hands
One of the minor themes from last year's campaign was a bad case of the rubber hands. This sort of crept up on the team after Kitna took over. Only one of Romo's 7 INTs bounced off a receivers hands and led to a FG. However, out of Kitna's 12 INTs, 5 of them were deflections off our own receivers' hands. 3 of these in the Jaguars game led to 14 points. One in the Cardinals game also led to 7 points. In both of these cases, you take away the rubba' hands, you take away the loss. Make it happen Jimmy Robinson. We don't want anything like this to crop up in 2011.
Have a better kicking game
It all started week 1. A needlessly close game at Washington, one that came down to two bad plays against the Cowboys. A better kicker could have potentially eliminated both of those plays. David Buehler's first missed FG of the year came in the first half, a paltry 34 yarded. A better kicker makes this FG and the game is now 3-3 approaching halftime. Since the game is tied up, you can bet the Cowboys now have absolutely no reason in the world to risk a play before the half. After the half the Cowboys still make a TD, and the Redskins still make another FG. At the end of the 4th quarter the Cowboys would have been on top 10-6. Alex Barron still could have held on the last play and the Cowboys still would have won. Not to mention Buehler's missed PAT that would have thrown the Cardinals game into OT.
Dan Bailey is currently mopping the floor with Buehler in training camp.
Shake up the OL
There were several games were the atrocious OL play handicapped the offense.
- In the Titans game there were an atrocious 6 sacks. 4 led to 2 stalled drives. One forced a FG, another forced a missed FG.
- In the first Giants game, Kitna is sacked three times, two for a stalled drive each, and once for a lost fumble.
- 2 sacks for two stalled drives against the Jaguars.
- 4 against Green Bay for 3 stalled drives and the game sealer.
- Once against the Saints that led to a stalled drive and McBriar botching the punt.
- Once against the Eagles, forcing a FG.
- Against the Cardinals a sack led to an INT, 2 led to stalled drives each, and 2 more led to Kitna getting injured.
- Nuff said?
Get a FB who can block
Playmakers are no good on the sidelines. Say what you will about Green Bay's ability to overcome injury. They never lost their starting QB for the half the season.
Coach out the Penalties
Bob Sturm pointed out a while back that the ridiculous amount of penalties were all Wade Phillips.
"This penalty issue is starting to get more and more difficult to overcome. In the Minnesota game, the late pass interference on Mike Jenkins pretty much ended any hopes the Cowboys had. But, we should not be surprised, should we?
Just more Dallas Cowboys football under Wade Phillips.
Since the start of 2007, only Oakland has committed more penalties than the Cowboys.
Since the start of 2008, nobody has committed more penalties than the Cowboys.
Since the start of 2009, only Oakland has committed more penalties than the Cowboys.And for those of you who think "this team had a penalty problem under Bill Parcells, too", let me put that to rest.
From 2003-2006, "the Bill Parcells era", the Cowboys ranked 25th in the NFL in penalties during his tenure. 25th! Only 7 teams in the NFL committed FEWER penalties than the Cowboys did under Parcells."
The Wade Phillips run Cowboys in 2010 out-penaltied their opponents 62 for 506 yards to 35 for 271 yards. JGs run team ran a much more even 47 for 357 to 44 for 370. Watch for JG to bring the penalties down even further this season.
These are just a few of the intricacies of the losing ways in 2010. Once you put all of them together, yeah, you'll only get 6 wins instead of 10 or 11. I think we'll see fewer and fewer stupid reasons why they lose. I think JG has already begun the necessary steps to correct the deficiencies in 2011.
Another user-created commentary provided by a BTB reader.
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nice post
I don’t blame Buehler for any loss last year. The AZ game we spotted them 14 points off of returned interceptions. Think that might have had something to do with the loss? We go into OT no guarantee we pull it out there. We lose who is the scapegoat then?
I still feel as tho we keep Beuhler for his kickoffs this year and maybe extra long FG attempts. Bailey is going to compete with the other guy from UCLA if he ever gets healthy enough to kick.
Buehler did average for a NFL kicker for not having handled the kicking duties b4.
And i’m confused about the rubber hands statement. If you go back over Romo’s interceptions that were thrown 5 out of the 7 I believe were deflections off of WR hands, Miles Austin being the main culprit.
Think Miles being a year removed from the KK spotlight will enable him to be a little more focused this year.
keep it up Specific …nice read
Thank you for the response
Through my research I found that Buehler wasn’t that big of a problem. But, there were some critical misses that should have been easy to make. I don’t blame him for the AZ loss entirely. I just think the kicker gives the team the CHANCE to win in OT. Imagine if Buehler had made that long FG against NO? However, I am not entirely sold on him being the kicker. He missed 75% of FGs last year. I think it was give him 2 hits and he would have been 80%. But have him miss 2 more and it would have been 70%. I’m just saying there is the very real possibility he does worse this year. How he’s been doing in camp really does scare me.
I, like you, thought there were way more rubber hands when tony was still passing. I was very surprised to find out, by watching all the interception highlights, that there was only 1 that could be fairly attributed to da rubba’ hands. One of them was a bad throw behind Witten that came too soon, so that wasn’t his fault. Another one against miles he got the ball knocked straight out of his possession in mid air, I think it would have been unfair to call that one rubber hand syndrome.
Somebody has been downloading the gamebooks :-)
This is good stuff, Specific.
I wasn’t even aware that here was a difference in the penalty ratio between Phillips and Garrett. Very interesting.
by One.Cool.Customer on Aug 5, 2011 2:42 AM CDT reply actions
lol yes sir!
and do you know how many highlights i had to go through to determine deflected passes? ugh
The sack numbers are major.
One of the staff writers (OCC?) did a post last year in which I think he pointed out that sacks were the biggest drive killers (loss of yardage and loss of down, plus you get to rattle the quarterback).
Jason Garrett - Lord of Order
Rob Ryan - Lord of Chaos
wade defenses has always fail him...
I think back to SD when they played new england..they had those guys beat then some dumb ass came along and head butted a new England player it allow ne back in the game.. I believe after a while it happen in buffalo too..
only one of Romo's INT's were off a receivers hands? nope
Bruce Carter+Sean Lee=BRUCE LEE!!!!
Follow me at my blog
http://chiacrackscowboysblog.wordpress.com/
Miles Austin, Jason Witten, Matellus Bennett
Bruce Carter+Sean Lee=BRUCE LEE!!!!
Follow me at my blog
http://chiacrackscowboysblog.wordpress.com/
by Archie Barberio on Aug 5, 2011 8:13 AM CDT up reply actions
Go back and watch those INTs
Miles Austin- one time it was knocked out of him in the air, was a good play by the defense. Witten, ball was thrown too soon behind him. Bennet, overthrown into double or triple coverage like he was Dez or something.
A few I saw were bad throws or miscommunication
Otherwise I saw good plays by the opposing defense
"Our guys are gonna be good, and we know it. So that ain't talkin'. That's just the (bleepin') way it is." - Rob Ryan
These are excellent points.
In the Parity-Lame NFL these things can make a difference.
But they haven’t happened yet…..
Pessimists say the cup is half-empty, while optimists say it's half-full. Well, isn't it both? Realist Larry, 2009
a rundown on plus and minus since last year ...
elam v ball = +2
lee v brooking = +1/2
coleman v olshansky = 0
smith v columbo = +1
holland v davis = -1/2
ogletree v rwiliams = -1/2
choice/murray v barber = 0
healthy romo v kitna = +3
coahes new v coaches old = +9
so using some fake metrics, 14.5 pts better applied to 22 starters = 63% better = 4 more wins (rounded): 10-6 season.
the coaches better be good and romo better stay healthy. more FA help would be nice.
nice metrics dude. I like.
Phillips might negate the ogletree/williams imbalance.
by StarloverinWNC on Aug 5, 2011 11:28 PM CDT up reply actions
holland v davis is at least 0 diff
davis was benched in favor of holland in the titans game
phillips?
maybe the best #3 te in the nfl? do u think bennett should be traded, since we seem to be stacked at the position?
Healthy Romo v Kitna = +3????
Healthy Romo was 1-5 last year and Kitna outplayed him with fewer weapons (Dez going down, etc.).
Let’s come up with a real rationale for our math if we’re going to quantify things.
"Other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how was the play?"
Kitna was 5-3?
If Romo can get this team to 10-6, would anyone be that unhappy?
I’d say even, at least until he stops throwing pic’s in practice.
"Other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how was the play?"
If it's really even ...
Then he should have been traded. He’s being paid to be a star. Also, are you serious about the picks ??? Geez. Now I’m worried!
It just sounds so much better having Elam over ball.
The teams are so close in the salary cap era , that one or two plays can cost you a game. I hope JG can solve some of the bad that has endured this team for many years.
"A mind focused on doubt and fear cannot focus on the journey to victory."
elam doesn't seem too motivated
to be a champion. i hope im wrong. but at least he should know the angles back there.
watch his highlights on youtube.
to me you can just tell he has very good instincts. I think he wants to get that multiyear deal and is going to be motivated to perform. He knows he’s the QB of that secondary and his ability to get everyone lined up properly is going to pay huge dividends.
by TruBluToTheCore on Aug 6, 2011 2:13 AM CDT up reply actions
Elam can be just avg. out there and be an improvement over Ball though :)
"A mind focused on doubt and fear cannot focus on the journey to victory."
Is Bailey really mopping the floor with Buehler
The reports I have read don’t sound like he is winning the battle that decisively.
by Baked Potato Soup on Aug 6, 2011 1:04 AM CDT reply actions
I think Bailey will win the FG job but Buehler will be retained as a kickoff specialist. Gameday rosters are 46 players now so you don't have to sacrifice depth the way you did before by carrying 3 kickers to games.
by TruBluToTheCore on Aug 6, 2011 2:14 AM CDT up reply actions
personally
I hate the “game day roster” thing…why not just let all 53 players be active? why do you need in effect Two rosters?…just seems like an unnecessary complication to me….
Here’s a theoretical play from last year: Snap. Tony takes 7 step drop. Tony looks left at Miles, who is doubled, and looks right to where Roy Williams should be…but instead sees Colombo on his back and a Defensive End foaming at the mouth jumping over Marc’s carcass. Tony proceeds to run like hell and look for Witten
-by CotySaxman on Jul 11, 2011 7:50 AM PDT
Am I the most optimistic Cowboys fan in the World? Yes, due to an "unfortunate accident" to the previous holder of the title.
by I am Ironman!!! on Aug 6, 2011 5:26 AM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
I haven't heard much on Bailey
where did he come from or what team did he play for last?
"A mind focused on doubt and fear cannot focus on the journey to victory."
He's a rookie from Oklahoma State.
I believe.
"The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." -Niels Bohr
rookie?
I thought I read his bday was 1979. Maybe I was reading on someone else.
"A mind focused on doubt and fear cannot focus on the journey to victory."
This is what I was looking at.
http://espn.go.com/nfl/player/_/id/14322/dan-bailey.
"The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." -Niels Bohr
nice job
Love that you actually went back and watched film to write this, instead of just going off of what you remember about last year (as I usually do). Rec’d.
The only downside to most of what you’ve written is that there’s still a lot of "should"s there, i.e. Garrett’s disciplined approach should decrease the penalties. I love the new coaching staff so far—but what if it turns out that the players are the problem more than the old coaches were? And what if some of the young guys, i.e. OL, FB, and K, need a year or two of seasoning before they can be counted on? I’d say that these are “meager, important changes,” but it remains to be seen if they’ll be improvements just yet…
Thats why i'm saying changes, not necessarily improvements
Fact is this was a good team in ’09. Until we see more problems, I think its too soon to say its the players. Players we already know were crap are gone or not starting. This year will be very telling.
"Our guys are gonna be good, and we know it. So that ain't talkin'. That's just the (bleepin') way it is." - Rob Ryan
to me it was obvious that the kicking game,and safety play really cost this team last year...
More than enough to over come romo poor play and the ol play..
Not saying Dallas would have made the playoffs but at least would have been closer to 500

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