Bodog.com has released prop bet odds for players the league over, and obviously we'll keep a close eye on the landmarks projected for our Dallas Cowboys. After each of their Over/Under lines are drawn, I'll venture where I think the Cowboys players will fall, and give a short reason behind my thinking.
Given the explosive nature of the Cowboys offense, my initial reaction was that some of these numbers are considerably low, but you know Vegas. They place their lines in an effort to have an equal amount of wagering on both sides of the line. There are more than a few that I would stay away from if I was a betting man, but I'll give my opinion on them anyway.
Dallas Cowboys Player Props
Tony Romo - Total Passing Yards in the 2011 Regular Season
In reality, this question is, do you think Tony Romo plays at least 15 games? If yes, then the over is the norm, if not, then it's extremely hard (but not impossible) to accomplish. Unfortunately, I think it's too much of a risk to think we won't see Kitna this season. I'd stay away from the bet, but if pressed to make a choice, Under wins.
Tony Romo - Total Passing Touchdowns in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 25 ½
In his three seasons with more than 10 starts, Romo has had at least 26 touchdowns. Take the Over.
Felix Jones - Total Rushing Yards in the 2011 Regular Season
Over. Way Over. Felix has 800 yards by Week 11. This is the year, it's got to be the year. Felix, baby. Bet the house.
Tony Romo - Total Interceptions thrown in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 14 ½
Romo throws picks, it's just how things have been. Is this the year things change? Possibly, but I wouldn't bet on it. Stay away, but if pressed I'd let the fan in me take the Under/
Felix Jones - Total Rushing Touchdowns in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 4 ½
A bit trickier than the yardage total. Based on my FF projections I'm taking the over, but in reality this is a stay away because of all of the weapons Dallas has, I can't trust RB scores with my money.
Dez Bryant - Total Receiving Yards in the 2011 Regular Season
Again, I have to stick with my predictions that Dez is a 1000 yard receiver, although I am a bit worried about him making it the entire 16 games. There will be a couple games of frustration, and a couple ohemgee games, that will put Dez right around the 900-1100 yard threshold.
Dez Bryant - Total Receiving Touchdowns in the 2011 Regular Season
I have a feeling that Dez is drawing a lot of red zone attention this season, so I'm shaky on this. Stay away, but if pressed I'll give him 6 TDs and take the under.
Miles Austin - Total Receiving Yards in the 2011 Regular Season
Over. Book it.
Miles Austin - Total Receiving Touchdowns in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 7 ½
Did I say book it? BOOK IT.
Jason Witten - Total Receiving Yards in the 2011 Regular Season
Way overvalued here. I can't see him getting the targets of the last two years. I'm thinking more along the line of 800 yards.
Jason Witten - Total Receiving Touchdowns in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 7 ½
Overvalued again. Witten has only had over 7 TDs once, last year, when he was Kitna's security blanket. Take the under and take the money.
Jason Witten - Total Receptions in the 2011 Regular Season
I see Jason Witten is the easy money bet of the year for the team. No way he approaches that total with two receiving threats out of the backfield and two elite level receivers.
DeMarcus Ware - Total Sacks in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 15 ½
Hmmm... do I think that Rob Ryan placing Ware all over the field help his total, or the totals of the rest of the team? I don't think Ware can be stopped and notches 17-18 sacks this season, including 2 of Mark Sanchez on opening night.
Anthony Spencer - Total Sacks in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 4 ½
How depressing is that projection? Probably not as much as me taking the under. In realitiy I'd stay away, but BW's astute observation that he is being used as a run anchor at both OLB and DE lead me to believe the under is more likely than the over.