Week 5 NFL Picks As Cowboys Enjoy A Bye Week

Matthew Emmons-US PRESSWIRE - Presswire

Close games have been a staple of the 2012 season as 36 games have been decided by eight points or fewer, tied for the third-most such games through the first four weeks of a season in NFL history. Yet here at BTB, we don't fall for that numbers mumbo-jumbo and pick our winners with the utmost confidence.

The first quarter of the NFL season is over and 19 teams are currently either in first place or within a game of the top spot in the division - including the Dallas Cowboys, who sit at 2-2 heading into their bye week.

Since 1990, when the current 12-team playoff format was adopted, 94 teams (35.6 percent of the 264 playoff clubs) have advanced to the postseason after starting the season 2-2 or worse. Three teams made the playoffs last year after starting 2-2 (Falcons, Steelers, Bengals) and the Broncos also made the playoffs after starting 1-3.

In five of the past 11 seasons, a team that has started 2-2 or worse has even advanced to the Super Bowl. So entering Week 5, while it certainly helps to be near the top of the standings, don’t count anyone out, there’s a lot of season left to be played.

And the 2012 NFL season is turning out to be tricky to predict anyway: Close games have been a staple of the 2012 season as 36 games have been decided by eight points or fewer, tied for the third-most such games through the first four weeks of a season in NFL history. In the past two weeks, there have been 10 games in which the game-winning points were scored in the final minute of the fourth quarter or overtime. If 10 games in Week 5 are decided by eight points or fewer, 2012 will feature the most such games through the first five weeks of a season in NFL history.

Yet here at BTB, we continue undeterred and pick winners for the weekend regardless. Our panel did fairly well last week, with KD cleaning up behind a 13-2 weekend and the consensus picks coming in at 10-5, the same as the consensus picks for KDs 10-for-10. For the season, the consensus pick is at 36-27, which translates into 57% forecast accuracy and still leaves lots or room for improvement.

Below are all our picks for Week 5, 2012.

Captain_medium Emmittintro_medium Dr_fate_medium BTB logo
Archie Brandon Coty Dave KD OCC rabble Tom Consensus
Season Record
38-25 30-33 33-30 38-25 39-24 34-29 35-28 37-26 36-27
Percentage 60% 48% 52% 60% 62% 54% 56% 59% 57%
Week 4
10-5 10-5 8-7 10-5 13-2 9-6 11-4 10-5 10-5

ARI (-1.5) @ STL Ari_medium Ari_medium Ari_medium Stl_medium Stl_medium Ari_medium Ari_medium Ari_medium Ari_medium
ATL (-3) @ WAS Atl_medium Atl_medium Atl_medium Atl_medium Atl_medium Was_medium Was_medium Atl_medium Atl_medium
PHI @ PIT (-3.5) Phi_medium Pit_medium Pit_medium Pit_medium Phi_medium Phi_medium Pit_medium Pit_medium Pit_medium
GB (-7) @ IND Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium Gbp_medium
CLE @ NYG (-9) Nyg_medium Nyg_medium Cle_medium Nyg_medium Nyg_medium Nyg_medium Nyg_medium Nyg_medium Nyg_medium
TEN @ MIN (-5.5) Min_medium Min_medium Min_medium Min_medium Min_medium Min_medium Min_medium Min_medium Min_medium
MIA @ CIN (-3.5) Mia_medium Cin_medium Cin_medium Cin_medium Mia_medium Cin_medium Cin_medium Cin_medium Cin_medium
BAL (-6) @ KC Bal_medium Bal_medium Kan_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium
SEA @ CAR (-3) Sea_medium Car_medium Sea_medium Car_medium Car_medium Car_medium Car_medium Sea_medium Car_medium
CHI (-6) @ JAC Chi_medium Chi_medium Jac_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium
DEN @ NE (-6.5) Nep_medium Nep_medium Den_medium Nep_medium Nep_medium Nep_medium Nep_medium Nep_medium Nep_medium
BUF @ SF (-10) Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium
SD @ NO (-3.5) Sdc_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium Sdc_medium Nos_medium
HOU (-8) @ NYJ Hou_medium Hou_medium Nyj_medium Hou_medium Hou_medium Hou_medium Hou_medium Hou_medium Hou_medium

Do you agree or disagree with our picks? Let us know in the comments.

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