FanPost

KD's 10-for-10 - 2012 Week #9 Update

~sigh~ Deja vu, again.

The order was slightly different, but the tease was the same. There were elements of brilliance, stupidity, futility, hope, and disappointment. For the third time, and the first time this year, I have another 9-for-10, spoiled only by another Cowboys' loss.

There are four new members of the 10-for-10 Hall of Fame. They got their other nine picks right, and picked the Falcons to beat the Cowboys. Twenty-five more of us got our other nine right but picked the Cowboys. ~sigh~

Contest creator and owner KD Drummond was that close to an unprecedented 30-for-30 trifecta (three perfect 10-for-10s in a row). He was perfect in week #7 (included a Cowboys win) but 9-for-10 the past two weeks (Cowboys losses). He now shares the record for best three-week run at 28-for-30 with jstaubach (back in 2010).

I have another hectic day today, part of which is preparation for an out-of state trip tomorrow. I will be out of pocket and mostly offline from Thursday morning through Monday night. So, I will need help from KD, Bishop West, Travlr, mdlusk, and all the others who have served as volunteer "10-for-10 police".

I will not be there to notify people when KD's new contest page is up, and to migrate their picks to his page. If people make Thursday night picks after kickoff, I will not be there to call them on it. I will be able to record and tabulate picks. I just won't be monitoring the page and making timely responses to comments, questions, or pick issues.

I made a lot of comments already on KD's most recent contest page, so I will have little more to add today. Let this week's report begin.

After leveling off last week, our season-long trend is continuing of fewer participants each week. We had 130 play a full 10-for-10 slate of games, and one who posted late and only played the final five late/night games. We also continued our season-long trend of adding at least one new player each week. Who will join us this week for the first time?

Participation
Week Played This Week Missed This Week Total
1 222 0 222
2 199 44 243
3 177 69 246
4 168 83 251
5 149 104 253
6 147 108 255
7 137 119 256
8 137 120 257
9 131 127 258

I stayed away from this week's Thursday night game after getting burned last week. Those who were more brave got off to a good 10-for-10 start. This was another one of "those weeks" with most of the games having a clear favorite. We jumped on them, and by-and-large were able to avoid "trap games"

Other than the Cowboys game, our biggest stumbling block for the second week in a row, most everyone else lost by picking our division rivals who were playing at home. I began this FanPost reporting that twenty-five of us scored 9-for-10, missing only the Cowboys. There were actually thirty-five 9-for-10s this week. The other ten all picked Atlanta. Their only misses were Washington (picked by seven) and New York Giants (picked by the other three).

We had two unanimous picks this week, as everyone who played Buffalo-Houston chose Houston and everyone who played Arizona-Green Bay chose Green Bay. The Houston pick was also unanimous in that all 130 who played 10-for-10 included this game. Not a single one of us passed on this game. Yes, 131 made picks on the Cowboys game, but that extra pick came from someone who didn't get in in time to make early game picks. Only two avoided the Packers.

Here's how we did as a consensus picking each game:

Week #9 Results (Home in CAPS)
Win Winners (we're great) Lose
130 HOUSTON Buffalo 0
128 GREEN BAY Arizona 0
113 Denver CINCINNATI 3
112 Chicago TENNESSEE 3
103 Baltimore CLEVELAND 6
96 SEATTLE Minnesota 3
86 Detroit JACKSONVILLE 1
70 NEW ORLEANS Philadelphia 7
56 SAN DIEGO Kansas City 2
47 Tampa Bay OAKLAND 15
Win Losers (we're bleep) Lose
29 ATLANTA Dallas 102
13 Carolina WASHINGTON 67
26 Pittsburgh NEW YORK GIANTS 35
Win Pretty Even (we're indifferent) Lose
26 INDIANAPOLIS Miami 25

We gained a game on the Front Page Writers by the slimmest of margins. Our majorities won eleven games and only lost three (Cowboys, Redskins, and Giants). The Front Page Writers consensus also missed Miami-Indianapolis, picking the Dolphins. By one pick (26-25), we favored the Colts. So, we gained a game on them for the first time since week #3, and cut our deficit to only two games.

2012 10-for-10 Consensus vs. Front Page Writers
Week 10-for-10 Wins 10-for-10 Losses Front Page Wins Front Page Losses
1 11 5 11 5
2 8 8 10 6
3 8 8 5 11
4 10 5 10 5
5 10 4 10 4
6 4 10 6 8
7 12 1 12 1
8 8 6 10 4
9 11 3 10 4
Total 82 50 84 48

I have had positive feedback on this new table, so I am continuing to update and include it each week. For those who haven't seen it before, the first letter signifies how we picked each team each week. The second letter signifies the actual result. WW is good for us, as we picked a team to win and it won. LL is also good for us as we picked a team to lose and it lost. The other two hurt our scores, as the majority of us pick a team to win (and it loses) or to lose (and it wins). Since each game has a winner and a loser, these W-L numbers at the end will add up to double our score in the above table.

Some at the top of the chart are there because we pick them the same way each week (we pick Houston to win each week; they have won all but one; we pick Jacksonville and Kansas City to lose each week; they have each lost all but one). Others take more skill - all but once, we have picked Chicago, Denver, and San Diego right, both to win and lose.

Picks/Results for Each Team/Each Week
Team Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 Wk 5 Wk 6 Wk 7 Wk 8 Wk 9 Wk 10 Wk 11 Wk 12 Wk 13 Wk 14 Wk 15 Wk 16 Wk 17 W L
Chicago WW LL WW LW WW Bye WW WW WW 7 1
Denver WW WL LL WW LL WW Bye WW WW 7 1
Houston WW WW WW WW WW WL WW Bye WW 7 1
Jacksonville LL LL LW LL LL Bye LL LL LL 7 1
Kansas City LL LL LW LL LL LL Bye LL LL 7 1
San Diego WW WW LL WW LL LL Bye WL WW 7 1
Cleveland LL LL LL LL LL LW LL LW LL 7 2
Atlanta WW LW WW WW WW WW Bye WW LW 6 2
Baltimore WW WL WW WW WW LW LL Bye WW 6 2
New England WW WL LL WW WW WL WW WW Bye 6 2
Oakland LL WL LW LL Bye LL WW WW LL 6 2
Buffalo WL WW WW LL LL LW WL Bye LL 5 3
Cincinnati LL WW LW WW WL WL LL Bye LL 5 3
Miami LL LW LL LL LW WW Bye LW LL 5 3
New Orleans WL WL WL LL WW Bye WW LL WW 5 3
New York Jets LW LL WW LL LL LW LL WL Bye 5 3
Philadelphia WW LW LL LW LL WL Bye LL LL 5 3
Pittsburgh LL WW WL Bye WW WL WW WW LW 5 3
San Francisco LW WW WL WW WW WL WW WW Bye 5 3
St Louis LL LW LL LW LW LL LL LL Bye 5 3
Tampa Bay LW LL LL WL Bye WW LL LW WW 5 3
Arizona LW LW WW WW WL WL LL LL LL 5 4
Green Bay WL WW WL WW WL LW WW WW WW 5 4
Tennessee LL LL LW LL LL LW LW WL LL 5 4
Detroit WW LL WL WL Bye LW LL LW WW 4 4
Minnesota WW WL LW LW WW WL WW WL LL 4 5
New York Giants LL WW LW WL WW LW WW LW WL 4 5
Carolina WL LW WL LL WL Bye LL LL LW 3 5
Dallas WW WL WW WL Bye WL WW WL WL 3 5
Indianapolis LL LW WL Bye LW WL WW LW WW 3 5
Washington LW WL WL LW LL LW LL LL WL 3 6
Seattle WL LW LW WL LW LW LL WL WW 2 7

As mentioned above, we had four perfect 10-for-10s this week. I normally like to mute my congratulations and add an asterisk when there is a perfect 10-for-10 on a week that the Cowboys lose, but this week really has one.

Here are congratulations to those traitors who scored 10-for-10 this week: alfanti, behind.enemylines, ChrisMan, and Rex Pfister. Each has achieved perfection for the first time. Rex really qualifies for an asterisk because he submitted his picks without completely previewing them. As soon as he submitted, he realized that he had accidentally submitted "Dallas at ATLANTA" instead of his intended "Dallas at ATLANTA". He tried to correct his pick, but KD's rule #5 is clear ("...once submitted, there's no going back..."). So, poor Rex was stuck with his error - all the way to the Hall of Fame. Maybe KD will give him an asterisk; I don't have the heart.

D_Carter is still on top, but he has company this week. He scored 8-for-10 this week. We had four 10-for-10s, thirty-five 9-for-10s, and fifty-one 8-for-10s. So, most of us either gained a little or stayed even. However, BishopWest and CowboyBaby caught him and are in a three-way tie at the top.

Look who is right behind him! With 28-for-30 the past three weeks, KD Drummond has vaulted to heights previously unknown to him, and is only one out of the lead. If I do the math, that means he scored 36 in the first six weeks and 28 the past three. That's one serious run. Let's see how that continues this week.

The overall championship is still very much up for grabs. There are forty-four within five of the lead.

Here are the top ninety this week - both for week #9 and overall:

Top Scores This Week
Week #9 Score Week #9 Score Overall Score Overall Score
alfanti 10 BigBad Joe 8 BishopWest 65 Alpha 59
behind.enemylines 10 boys.camncrew 8 CowboyBaby 65 boys.camncrew 59
ChrisMan 10 CapitalT 8 D_Carter 65 CapitalT 59
Rex Pfister 10 cjbrit 8 KD Drummond 64 cee-los 59
Aggie Man 9 CowboysFan1994 8 ziggy 19 64 Howleyesque 59
Allan Uy 9 cowdog 8 ChrisMan 63 k@s! 59
Alpha 9 cproctor6 8 Hawkeye101 63 nikeorlipstick 59
beastygaming 9 Cuban Cowboy 8 j-man 63 Pasipple 59
Bertangalo 9 cwby4lf 8 Tennessee Jed 63 Switters023 59
BishopWest 9 D_Carter 8 Travlr 63 TheDemolitionDan 59
BoydNation 9 eastbeast 8 Aggie Man 62 True Blue-liever 59
boyman 9 EchoEcho 8 alfanti 62 Tunabomber11 59
cee-los 9 Frankster_1 8 Ben24626 62 wittenfan 59
connor.cmr 9 FuriousDman 8 boyman 62 Wittenstar82 59
Cowboy Joe 9 Gabby 8 hookerhome 62 Antonio S 58
CowboyBaby 9 ginge159 8 IRONRAVEN 62 HLCJ69 58
Fergie3108 9 GordBerl 8 krikaley 62 slowmotion80 58
Hawkeye101 9 Hookem Up 8 mdlusk 62 Specific 58
hookerhome 9 IRONRAVEN 8 milehightexan 62 TARHEEL PAUL 58
ibleedcowboyblue 9 JDobermans 8 Pnut Gallery 62 TheBlueBaron 58
jstaubach 9 Jebediah Flibberbrush 8 revellyre 62 Timmy G 58
k@s! 9 j-man 8 Rohpuri 62 TK19 58
KD Drummond 9 Joe21 8 Against the Wall-24 61 beastygaming 57
mdlusk 9 Junkyard Dog 8 BigBad Joe 61 Benthere 57
milehightexan 9 kethry1313 8 cowboy1966 61 connor.cmr 57
mushpuppy 9 krikaley 8 Fergie3108 61 CowboyinExile 57
NorthStar99 9 letsgtld 8 Frankster_1 61 EchoEcho 57
oldboysfan 9 Max2 8 illcowboy 61 jayrosser27 57
Panzer84 9 meisternance 8 Jebediah Flibberbrush 61 MSM33 57
Pasipple 9 nikeorlipstick 8 jstaubach 61 bcg08 56
Pnut Gallery 9 Oh Hai Doggy 8 mushpuppy 61 HALIFAXPACOWBOY 56
revellyre 9 One.Cool.Customer 8 oldboysfan 61 Hookem Up 56
ryano4184 9 Portland's Cowboy fan 8 Panzer84 61 jakezze01 56
Switters023 9 ROMO4MVP 8 ROMO4MVP 61 jockmeister 56
Tallgrass Prairie 9 Scurrah Jurrah 8 shainyc 61 skinny post 56
Through Thick And Thin 9 shainyc 8 Through Thick And Thin 61 SoCal Cowboys 56
TK19 9 Static 8 WA_Cowboy 61 @Tonekupone 55
Travlr 9 TARHEEL PAUL 8 cowdog 60 Aaron Burtram 55
Tuna Helper 9 Tennessee Jed 8 cproctor6 60 Cowboy Joe 55
Rohpuri 8 TheBlueBaron 8 JDobermans 60 Junkyard Dog 55
@Tonekupone 8 TheDemolitionDan 8 letsgtld 60 lucke 55
1Bullseye 8 Wardo83 8 Nord15 60 meisternance 55
Against the Wall-24 8 Wittenstar82 8 Rex Pfister 60 One.Cool.Customer 55
Antonio S 8 yellowrose 8 Wardo83 60 Static 55
Ben24626 8 ziggy 19 8 Allan Uy 59 Tuna Helper 55

Again, I am taking a shot by posting picks on here since I won't be around to help police it. But, since I need to make my picks early, I will take yours as well.

Here's the lineup for Week #10 (fourteen games, four teams have byes):

Thursday--------------

Indianapolis at JACKSONVILLE

Sunday/Monday-----

Oakland at BALTIMORE
Denver at CAROLINA
New York Giants at CINCINNATI
Tennessee at MIAMI
Detroit at MINNESOTA
Buffalo at NEW ENGLAND
Atlanta at NEW ORLEANS
San Diego at TAMPA BAY
New York Jets at SEATTLE
Dallas at PHILADELPHIA (mandatory; must include)
St. Louis at SAN FRANCISCO
Houston at CHICAGO
Kansas City at PITTSBURGH

Cowboys are part of a split-national doubleheader on FOX this Sunday. Unless you are in an area that gets the Rams and 49ers, or an area with a local team playing at home (like Seattle, playing at home on CBS), you should get the Cowboys this Sunday. Check this link beginning on Thursday to see if you get the Cowboys this Sunday.

Another user-created commentary provided by a BTB reader.

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