With all that was going on this weekend, I'm sure that 10-for-10 took a back seat in the eyes of many. But, for those that got their picks in, and persevered to the end, it was an interesting week.
It was not a successful week, as there were no 10-for-10s, and the consensus only got eight games right. However, our large wins (slightly) overcame our large losses, and we averaged almost 6.2 right per ten picks. Our overall leader went 7-for-10, so only the eleven who beat that gained ground on him. Everyone else stayed even or lost ground.
Our participation held relatively steady. We didn't add any new players, for the fifth week in a row, and we - again - had our lowest participation of the year. That trend has continues all year, and it continued this week. Last year, participation dropped off sharply the last three weeks of the season. My hope is that the Holiday Bonus FanPosts will prevent that this year, and we can keep participation high throughout the end of the season.
Notable this week - we had 109 play 10-for-10, and another whose picks were too late. Normally, KD's rule disqualifies that entire entry when the Cowboys kick off early. But, in the spirit of the weekend and the season, he permitted me to count the late picks. So, there were actually 110 total participants this week. Also notable this week - one of our leaders (tied for second coming in) missed getting picks in and fell way back in the overall leaderboard.
Here are our numbers for this week and this season:
|Week||Played This Week||Missed This Week||Total|
We had three unanimous wins this week, and three more that were nearly so. Our combined record in those six games: 514-4. Unfortunately, there were sixteen games this week, and we didn't do as well in the other games. Our losses weren't as bad, and none were unanimous. However, we had three really bad losses (one of which was nearly unanimous) and two other bad losses. And, for the second time this season, we had a tie in our preferences (12 each picked the Jets and Jaguars). We had three games with twenty-five or fewer participants, and six games with ninety or more. When there are no more byes, we tend to cherry-pick the same games, and ignore the same games.
Here are our Week #14 results:
|Week #14 Results (Home in CAPS)|
|Win||Winners (we're great)||Lose|
|Win||Losers (we're bleep)||Lose|
|17||NEW YORK GIANTS||New Orleans||24|
|Win||Pretty Even (we're indifferent)||Lose|
|12||New York Jets||JACKSONVILLE||12|
With that tie, we also dropped another half game to the Front Page Writers. I have been tracking all season our consensus picks, and comparing them to the consensus page that O.C.C publishes each Thursday (each FPW picks each game). We were ahead early in the season, and have been neck-and-neck most of the way. However, we have begun to lag behind a little. They took the lead over us in Week #6, and expanded it to three games in Week #8. We got closer in Weeks #11 and #12, but have lost ground the past two weeks.
With our 8-7-1 consensus record, they gained a half-game with their 9-7 record, and are now three full games ahead of the 10-for-10 consensus with only three weeks remaining.
We actually had the same picks in fourteen of the sixteen games. We gained a half-game with our tie (even number picked NYJ and Jac), while their consensus lost with Jacksonville. We lost with our preference of the Saints, as their consensus favored the Giants.
Here's the full listing for each week:
|2012 10-for-10 Consensus vs. Front Page Writers|
|Week||10-for-10 Wins||10-for-10 Losses||Front Page Wins||Front Page Losses|
I didn't include this table last week, so I have updated it for both Weeks #13 and #14. We are still almost perfect picking Denver and Houston, and have a good pulse on several other teams. This week was only our second miss picking a Chargers game, as they surprised almost everyone by knocking off the Steelers in Pittsburgh.
Here's the updated Picks/Results table:
|Picks/Results for Each Team/Each Week|
|Team||Wk 1||Wk 2||Wk 3||Wk 4||Wk 5||Wk 6||Wk 7||Wk 8||Wk 9||Wk 10||Wk 11||Wk 12||Wk 13||Wk 14||Wk 15||Wk 16||Wk 17||W||L|
|New York Jets||LW||LL||WW||LL||LL||LW||LL||WL||Bye||LL||LW||LL||WW||TW||8.5||4.5|
|New York Giants||LL||WW||LW||WL||WW||LW||WW||LW||WL||WL||Bye||LW||WL||LW||4||9|
Only one person, TheDemolitionDan, was able to navigate the Week #14 minefield and produce a 9-for-10. He avoided four of the major trap games this week (Atl-Car, Chi-Min, Phi-TB, and Bal-Was). The only one that got him was SD-Pit.
I need to commend a few of the 8-for-10s as well. Alpha scored a trifecta at the end of the early games. He had Dallas over Cincinnati. Shortly after that, I flipped over to NFL Red Zone and watched Washington's comeback against Baltimore. He had that one as well. Then, he really hit the jackpot by being the only one to pick San Diego over Pittsburgh. Major props for that one! But, then, the Eagles' last second score stopped him as he was on his way to buy lottery tickets. Hawkeye101 is the only one at the top to gain ground on our leader, and keeping him from building a near-insurmountable lead. He is now alone in second place, a game ahead of those who were in second place last week.
Rex Pfister and k@s! are part of a side-bet contest going on. Rex started it on my Holiday Bonus #1 by picking all three weeks (#12-14) and challenging anyone to compete with him, Several took him on, and then k@s! upped the ante by making picks in all sixteen games for three weeks. Rex took that challenge as well. I'll have more on that below, but I do want to point out that both of them went 8-for-10 this week - better than everyone except TheDemolitionDan - and each made their Week #14 picks before Thanksgiving. Wow! What does that say for you wimps who wait until Sunday morning and then slog through a 6-for-10 or worse weekend?
Finally, congratulations to CowboyBaby, our overall leader for the fifth week in a row. The last time he was not solely in the lead was the weekend we changed from Daylight back to Standard time (Week #9). He and six others have joined the "100" club, and fifty or more of us are poised to join them this week.
Here are the top eighty-one for Week #14 (if I had included all the 5-for-10s, then that would have been everyone but five; so, I didn't) and the overall leaderboard (if you are not here, then look for KD to list you in his next contest page):
|Top Scores This Week|
|Week #14||Score||Week #14||Score||Overall||Score||Overall||Score|
|TheDemolitionDan||9||Against the Wall-24||6||CowboyBaby||104||D_Carter||95|
|Junkyard Dog||8||BigBad Joe||6||ChrisMan||101||Nord15||95|
|pierrelmn||8||Cowboy Joe||6||BigBad Joe||99||Antonio S||94|
|Through Thick And Thin||8||CowboyinExile||6||WA_Cowboy||99||HLCJ69||94|
|WA_Cowboy||8||cproctor6||6||Against the Wall-24||98||Howleyesque||94|
|Lajitas Lava||7||jockmeister||6||Switters023||98||Hookem Up||92|
|LiveNDieBlue||7||KD Drummond||6||Through Thick And Thin||98||Mikellie||92|
|Realist Larry||7||Specific||6||illcowboy||96||Junkyard Dog||90|
|Switters023||7||True Blue-liever||6||revellyre||96||SoCal Cowboys||90|
|Tallgrass Prairie||7||Wardo83||6||TheDemolitionDan||96||TARHEEL PAUL||90|
|TheBlueBaron||7||wittenfan||6||Timmy G||96||4 tied with||89|
|Timmy G||7||Wittenstar82||6||wittenfan||96||5 tied with||88|
|Uncas||7||yellowrose||6||Alpha||95||2 tied with||87|
|ziggy 19||6||beastygaming||95||4 tied with||86|
I have results for the Weeks #12-14 30-for-30 and 48-for-48 contests. Again, Rex issued the 30-for-30 challenge, and k@s! raised it to 48-for-48. There were a total of six 30-for-30 participants and just Rex and k played 48-for-48.
I didn't make tables, but here are the results from Weeks #12-14:
Both have reissued their challenges and have submitted their picks for 30-for-30 and 48-for-48 already for the final three weeks. They have been joined by meisternance, so there are already at least three participants in both 30-for-30 and 48-for-48.
If you wish to participate in their challenges, or if you just want to post your picks for Week #15 before KD's next contest page, go to my new Holiday Bonus #2. I have been taking picks there now for more than a week, and updated it yesterday to respond to the NFL/NBC flex decision to move games during Week #16.
I originally made the Holiday Bonus FanPosts for the convenience of guys' schedules - travel, vacation, school breaks, etc. So, if you will be out of pocket across the Christmas and/or New Year's holidays, please pre-post your 10-for-10 picks so you won't be among the missing at the end of the season.
Shameless commercial plug - I also began my annual I Did the Math series of FanPosts. Part #1 is up now (link), and I'll have Part #2 up before the weekend.
This is the last week for Thursday Night Football. Get your picks in - here, not here on this page, for this week and the final weeks.
Another user-created commentary provided by a BTB reader.