Priorities, priorities, priorities
There is a lot the Cowboys need to do this offseason to be contenders next year. We have holes in the interior of the offensive line, a pass rush that is not good enough to threaten Eli Manning or other passers who can carve up our defense, and serious weaknesses in the secondary. We also have other issues: interior linebacking, third wide receiver, backup QB, third tight end, fullback, and punter. How do you go about filling all these holes?
The first thing you need to do is prioritize.
LOOKING BACK AT 2011 -- Was Offense or Defense the primary culprit in our 8 losses?
Game 1, lost 24-27 @ NY Jets - late turnovers (including blocked punt). Better offense closes this game out.
Game 2, won 27-24 @ San Francisco in OT
Game 3, won 18-16 over Washington - better offense makes this an easier win.
Game 4, lost 30-34 to Detroit - turnovers cost us. Offense looked great in first half, disappeared in second half.
Game 5, lost 16-20 @ New England - better offense wins this game by getting into the end zone or getting a late first down. Don't focus on failed last minute stop.
Game 6, won 34-7 over St. Louis. Easy game.
Game 7, lost 7-34 @ Philadelphia. Defense was shredded. Offense couldn't stay with Eagles.
Game 8, won 23-13 over Seattle. Offense should have put the game away earlier. Missed goal line opptys.
Game 9, won 44-7 over Buffalo. Easiest game of the year.
Game 10, won 27-24 @ Washington. Offense should have put this one away earlier. Defense couldn't stop Rex.
Game 11, won 20-19 over Miami. Offense was outplayed by Miami.
Game 12, lost 13-19 @ Arizona. Offense could have put this away before last second missed FG. Romo sacked too many times.
Game 13, lost 34-37 to Giants. Put this on both the offense and defense. Offense couldn't do anything at the end, allowing the Giants the possessions they needed to take the lead; defense couldn't stop them. Still, a blocked field goal was the difference at the end.
Game 14, won 31-15 @ Tampa Bay. Offense did great in first half, nothing in second half.
Game 15, lost 7-20 against Philly. Game meant nothing and Romo sat after hurting hand. Offense had no chance after that.
Game 16, lost 14-31 @ NY Giants. Romo sacked heavily again. Offense couldn't keep up.
Why do I go through this exercise? Because it's my view that weaknesses in the Cowboys offense, more than its defense, was the reason we lost games. In the 8 losses, better offense wins the Jets, Detroit, NE and Arizona games. In the two games against the Giants, better offense or defense could have won the first game, and better offense might have made the second competitive. Nothing would have mattered in the first or second Philly games. First was a blowout, and second was of no consequence.
So, if I am priortizing to improve the Cowboys in 2012, where am I looking first? On the offensive side. And specifically on the offensive line.
PRIORITY #1 -- Offensive line
If the Cowboys do nothing else this offseason, what I would like to see them do is develop a dominant offensive line. A great line would give Romo more time to throw, and it would open running lanes more consistently for Murray and Jones. The line is needed to allow the skill players to maximize their potential. A better Oline wins the Jets game by allowing us to control more 4th quarter clock and finish the win. Same thing for the Lions game. When we needed one first down against NE, a better line could have gotten it for us, or put the ball into the end zone instead of settling for FGs. Same thing at the end of the first Giants game. Same for Arizona. A better line would also have made the two Washington and Miami wins much easier.
How do we get a dominant offensive line? First off, we need to keep getting younger. Montrae Holland fought gamely, but got injured at the end of the year. Derrick Dockery played one game and got hurt. Kyle Kosier had a bad foot all year, and missed time in recent years with foot injuries. None of these guys could stop rushers in December, when Tony Romo got killed.
My highest priority would be to sign Carl Nicks to whatever contract is needed to get him. He's a big, mid-20s guy who could be expected to perform for 5 years at a top level. I'd say he'd be worth every penny needed to sign him.
My second priority would be to sign a FA center, and I would target Chris Myers. Even though he's older, he would be the only guy cracking 30 in the new line. This is viable for a center. Jeff Saturday is still doing pretty well at 37.
I would fill the 3rd interior slot with David DeCastro, presuming he falls to #14 in the draft.
That would give the Cowboys 2 linemen in their very early 20s -- Smith and DeCastro, 2 in their mid-20s -- Free and Nicks, and 1 at 30 -- Myers. This line could play together for 4-5 years. The other guys we already have can be groomed as backups. They are cheap and have some playing experience.
With a dominant offensive line, the Cowboys could protect Tony Romo for the remainder of his career, and maximize the value of the Cowboys skill players, who need blocking to open running lanes, or time for Romo to get them the ball. I would go ALL IN here.
We all remember the Triplets. But would those Cowboys teams have won titles without the best offensive line in football? It would have been much harder.
The other thing to consider is how offense now dominates the NFL. New Orleans, with the best O, was probably the best team at the end of the season. Had the Giants been forced to go there, NO, not NY, would be Super Bowl champs. Green Bay lost only 1 game in the regular season despite a terrible defense. New England was within a drive of winning the Super Bowl despite a very weak D.
Plus, the Cowboys are only a few players from being able to build a great offense. It is attainable THIS YEAR. We have skill positions filled. We mostly need linemen. That's doable. So let's do it.
PRIORITY #2 -- Pass rush
Even though I believe our lack of offense is what cost us most of our games, I'm not blind to our defensive challenges. I would try to do as much as possible to fix the D, but not to the point where it keeps us from building a dominant offense.
When it comes to the defense, we had holes at pass rush, linebacking, and secondary. Which should have the highest priority? I would vote for pass rush, for a couple of reasons. First, how has Eli Manning beaten us the last few years? It's because we apply no pressure at all to him. Second, great pass rushes can cover for weak secondaries more easily than the other way around.
There may be more than one way to improve our pass rush. My view is that we should go after the biggest impact player in free agency, who is Mario Williams. You may say that Williams doesn't fit the 3-4. I say he fits perfectly. Under Wade, he was playing OLB and had 5 sacks in 5 games until he got hurt. Yet Williams is also big enough to slide inside and play anything other than nose tackle. This would allow us to play Victor Butler more on passing downs without taking Mario off the field. There is no one else likely to be available who could have a greater impact. (Calais Campbell and Cliff Avril are likely staying put.) With a rushing front of Ware, Williams, Ratliff, Hatcher, and Butler, we would have 5 guys who could bring some pressure, making it difficult for the offense to win every protection battle. I would also look to spend a 2nd or 3rd round pick here, depending on value, to give us better depth and youth on the line. One or two guys could make a huge difference here.
As a backup plan, if Williams doesn't want to sign with us or is prohibitively expensive, I think we should resign Anthony Spencer and focus on shoring up the interior rush. One reason to keep Spencer over trying to replace him with a draft pick is that we can't count on a draft pick to even be up to Spencer's speed in year one. Spencer didn't take over for Greg Ellis until year 3. Victor Butler would likely be the starter, and he would be okay, but not likely an improvement. One poster recommended signing Jason Jones of Tennessee, which could make sense if Spencer is brought back. And we could still draft here for youth and depth. That would be Plan B.
As with the offensive line, I would try to add IMPACT players because we've seen what a strong pass rush can do.
PRIORITY #3 -- Secondary
Our secondary needs a starting left CB, and starting FS, and better depth. I would try to fill the first two holes with reasonably priced free agents. Good suggestions have been made on this board. Then I would draft in this area starting in either the 2nd or 3rd rounds, depending on value, and come back to these positions again later in the draft. Clearly, Newman will be cut.
PRIORITY #4 -- Other offensive pieces
The offense will not be complete with just a new offensive line. Laurent Robinson also needs to be brought back. He has great chemistry with Romo, can sub for both Austin and Bryant, and scores TDs. Plus, he can go deep, unlike Patrick Crayton, our last good 3rd receiver. And he wants to stay in Dallas. With lots of other FA WRs for other teams to target, it's not likely the bidding for Robinson will get too high. Given health issues for both Austin and Bryant, I consider this a must sign.
We also need a new backup QB. This is a very important position, and one for which we cannot count on Steven McGee to fill. Indeed, I would trade McGee before the draft if I could get anything for him once I had a veteran signed. (Why don't I like McGee? I don't think he processes his options fast enough to be able to look and throw the ball downfield, and I don't think this is fixable.) I think there are only two names worth considering -- Rex Grossman and Kyle Orton. (Maybe Jason Campbell.) I would go after Grossman, despite his turnovers, on the view that on a good team, this can be cured, as it was for Jon Kitna. Also, Grossman has played in the NFC East, won playoff games, and been the starter on a Super Bowl team.
We also need a third TE. I'm for bringing back Martellus Bennett because he blocks well, knows the offense, would be modestly priced, and there aren't really any better FA alternatives. Plus, I'd rather use a draft pick we might spend trying to replace him on another area of need. But, if we have to do with Phillips as the #2 guy, we will survive.
And we need a FB. Fiammetta can likely be had cheaply. The question here is his health. If we keep him, we need a better backup than Phillips because we all saw how the running game suffered without a good lead FB.
My other concern is third and fourth RB. We have a great backfield in Murray, Jones, and Tanner. But it's only great if it stays healthy. With an extra fourth round pick this year, I wouldn't be surprised if we added some security at this position, who would also give us insurance in 2013 if Felix Jones moves on. The Cowboys have done very well in drafting RBs.
PRIORITY #5 -- Interior linebacking
We all want Bruce Carter to come on like Sean Lee has, but it is too much to depend on in 2012. Clearly, a stop-gap veteran needs to be signed. And we still might draft here, but likely not very high.
PRIORITY #6 -- Special teams
Bring back Matt Briar? I expect we'll be given the chance to test his health after he heals from surgery before we decide whether to bring Briar back. My concern is cost.
We also could use a much better return game. Let's hope one or more of the DBs we draft can revive our punt and KO returns.
SUMMARY
It sounds like a lot, but if you prioritize and break it down, it seems very doable to me.
Impact level 1 -- FA/G Carl Nicks, FA/C Chris Myers, 1st DP/G David DeCastro (DP=Draft Pick)
Impact level 1a - FA/OLB/DE Mario Williams, 2nd DP -- Defensive line/OLB/CB
Impact level 2 - FA/WR Laurent Robinson, FA/ILB To be named, FA/FS To be named, FA/CB To be named
Level 3 -- FA/QB Rex Grossman, FA/P Matt McBriar, 3rd DP -- Defensive line/OLB/CB/S
Level 4 -- FA or DP - 3rd TE (might be Bennett), FA or DP - FB (might be Fiammetta), 4th DPs -- TE, OL, RB, QB, DB
Level 5 -- 5th - 7th round DPs and UDFAs, other FAs.
The wild card here is that we don't know who will sign or how much these contracts will go for. However, with all the dead money in 2012, the Cowboys should be able to structure deals to entice the players with bonuses, yet push most of the contract money into years when the 2012 dead money will be off the books. This should not hamstring the Cowboys at all.
CONCLUSION
I want to end with a few words on why I keep pushing for adding IMPACT players rather than just searching for bargains. I think we need difference makers if we want to win the Super Bowl. When we last won the Super Bowl, our offensive line was Mark Tuinei, Nate Newton, Ray Donaldson/Derreck Kennard, Larry Allen, Eric Williams. The last time we were close was our 13-3 year of 2007, when we had a strong O-line of Flozell, Kosier, Gurode, Bigg, and Columbo, before they got old and broke down. We need that kind of quality if we want to be a Championship team again.
The Cowboys were in nearly every game this year, but only because we have IMPACT players on our roster already -- Tony Romo, DeMarcus Ware, Jason Witten, Sean Lee, DeMarco Murray, Miles Austin, Tyron Smith, Dez Bryant, Jay Ratliff, Mike Jenkins, and others. We just didn't have enough of them.
Another user-created commentary provided by a BTB reader.
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Damn, coming from me this might not mean much but...
That is one hell of a FanPost.
Ochocinco could have saved a ton of money if he didn't buy his team mates "Beats by Dre" because they all ended up getting "Beat by Giants"...FOR FREE!!
I couldn't agree more and have been espousing this position since the season ended. Simply stated
make the OL dominant, protect Romo,and have an elite O to get us into playoffs. Improve the D and we have a shot. Work on elite D next season because we set on the OL for a decade.
Wish you were here and comfortably numb.
*we're set on the OL
Wish you were here and comfortably numb.
Yes VAfan
I would love to soon see the day where our offense is a juggernaut game in and game out. I would contend that the Lions game and the 1st Giants game was more in the lap of the defense, but that aside, I would love to see the offense finally fulfill the potential that always seems to be present. To that point….I have a sneaking suspicion about Callahan. For all we know, he will be OC in name only, but I honestly have a feeling we may see a new stamp in offensive approach, at least situationally.
Hey VAfan, that was a good read but...
I honestly just don’t see how this is financially viable in any way whatsoever.
The estimate seems to be that Dallas will have around $20 million in FA. Even with the back-loaded contracts other teams still have more money to spend than Dallas (and some will be able to offer significantly more up front, that’s always appealing for FA’s). The other teams in the league will also be benefiting from the Cap increases coming in 2013 and 2014 and can also increase base salaries in those years. Free Agency is a competition and the other teams are scheming as well.
With $20 million we sign;
1) Mario Williams
2) Carl Nicks
3) Chris Myers
4) Laurent Robinson
5) A Free Agent ILB
6) A Free Agent CB
7) A Free Agent FS
8) Rex Grossman
9) Matt McBriar
and possibly
10) Martellus Bennett
11) Tony Fiammetta
Has Dallas ever, actually has any team ever, had that sort of haul in Free Agency history? I certainly can’t think of one but would be happy to be corrected.
I’d love to be wrong. I’d love to see all those guys you listed in Dallas, man who wouldn’t? Often though if it seems to good to be true it’s because it probably is.
by Luke. on Feb 11, 2012 4:33 AM CST reply actions 1 recs
I hate to say it
because I’d love the All Star lineup proposed, but ditto. It can’t be said any better than this.
by The Trenches on Feb 12, 2012 12:53 PM CST up reply actions
That's why I wrote this as a Priorities post
If you can’t get it all, then you have to make compromises. My point is that you shouldn’t compromise on the O Line. Give me a dominant O Line with Romo, 3 great WRs, Witten, and great RBs in Murray and Jones, and we can contend with anyone.
Once that’s done, allocate the rest of the money in the best way possible. If Mario Williams is beyond reach, which I suggest might be the case, then resign Anthony Spencer and try to improve the interior rush in the draft.
No one else on that list will cost that much. The FA CB is likely the most expensive.
But all of these guys can likley be had in 2012 for vet minimums and signing bonuses. Which means the money will go a lot farther than what it would by taking the total divided by the years of the contract.
For example, let’s take the post below which estimates Carl Nicks contract this way:
“Logan Mankins contract with the Pats last year was $51 million/6years $30 million guaranteed and $20 million signing bonus, and the numbers rumoured for NIcks is $71 million over 6-7 years, you are going to be looking at around $36-37 Million guaranteed, and around $25 million signing bonus. Mankins average yearly salary is around $8.5 million, I would guess Nicks would be up to to $9-9.5 million in the first season or 2 escalating to $10+ million in years 3-4.”
I’m not a cap expert, but if you give Nicks a $20 mil signing bonus on a 7 year deal, that’s just under $3 million pro-rated over the life of the deal. Add the vet minimum of $825 K, and Nicks would get $20,825,000 in year 1, but it would cost less than $4 million against the 2012 cap.
The Cowboys can afford to do this because after 2012, the dead money they carried from cutting Bigg, Colombo, Gurode, etc. last year will be off their cap. That will free up a lot of money so that Nicks’ cap hit, which might jump alot in year 2, will still be affordable.
If you want to tweak the list, think of this:
1. Carl Nicks
2. Chris Myers
3. Anthony Spencer
4. Laurent Robinson
5. FA CB
6. FA ILB
7. Rex Grossman
8. FA Safety
After that, you have Bennett, which I could fill in the draft, Fiammetta, who I could replace in the draft, McBriar, who I might not sign if I can’t afford (I’d love Weatherford, actually).
This is completely doable, especially when you consider the cap room we can create if we want to.
Here's the outline of a draft to complement 1-8 above
1. David DeCastro – OG
2. DE/CB, depending on value
3. CB/DE, depending on value
4a. TE/RB/S
4b. RB/TE/S
5. S/RB/TE
6. FB
7. Whatever’s left.
In other words, the draft could potentially get us the best OG, and help with the pass rush and secondary in the top three rounds. After that, if we’ve let Bennett go, we could draft a TE. I would also look for a RB so we don’t have another Sammy Morris situation. Then we could get a FB if we can’t afford Fiammetta, or whatever’s left in the last two rounds.
This would leave us without any holes.
Let's compare the 2011 and potential 2012 version of the Cowboys
OFFENSE
2011 QB — Romo, Kitna, McGee
2012 QB — Romo, Grossman, XX
Younger backup has led his team to the Super Bowl. Better safety if Romo gets hurt.
2011 OL — Free, Nagy/Holland/Dockery, Costa/Kowalski, Kosier, Smith
2012 OL — Smith, Nicks, Myers, DeCastro, Free
This is night and day different. Massive upgrade. No broken down old guys, or young pushovers. Free and Smith are on the correct side. Line should still be strong in December. Backups — Arkin, Kowalski, Nagy, Costa, Parnell are all young and teachable, or replaceable if someone better comes along.
2011 WRs — Austin, Bryant, Robinson
2012 WRs — Austin, Bryant, Robinson
Hopefully Austin stays healthy, Bryant breaks out in year 3, and Robinson keeps D’s honest. Our 4th and 5th guys might also be better. No personnel change, but likely to be much more productive because of health, and better protection for Tony Romo.
2011 TEs — Witten, Bennett, Phillips
2012 TEs — Witten, Phillips, XX
Small drop off in blocking with loss of Bennett, Phillips looked good before knee injury, might rebound with better receiving year after another year to heal. XX might surprise. Likely a wash.
2011 RBs — Jones, Murray, Tanner
2012 RBs — Murray, Jones, Tanner/XX
Murray will start the year #1, and XX might be better and more reliiable than Tanner. Think Tashard Choice his first season. Should be much stronger behind better offensive line.
DEFENSE
2011 DL — Coleman, Ratliff, Hatcher (Spears, Brent, Lissemore)
2012 DL — Ratliff, Lissemore, Hatcher (Spears, Brent, XX)
Depending on who we get to bolster the pass rush in the 2nd or 3rd round, we might keep Ratliff on the nose and put XX as a starting DE. Lissemore should also be better. Potential for modest upgrade.
2011 OLBs — Ware, Spencer (Butler, Albright)
2012 OLBs — same
The cost saving move is to keep who we had and try to improve the rush from the inside, as well as to improve the secondary to give rushers a little more time to get to the QB. A wash.
2011 ILBs — Lee, James/Brooking (Carter, Lemon)
2012 ILBs — Lee, XX, Carter
Slow James/Brooking duo will be replaced by younger guys with speed. This will help with pass coverage and side-to-side pursuit. If they blitz, they might be fast enough to get there. Potential huge upgrade.
2011 CBs — Newman, Jenkins, Scandrick, Ball, Walker
2012 CBs — XX, Jenkins, Scandrick, XX
Replacing Newman with a FA CB (Routt??) or a pick in rounds 2-3 is an upgrade. Replacing Ball with anyone is an upgrade. Hopefully Jenkins stays healthier. Another significant overall improvement.
2011 Ss — Elam, Sensabaugh, Church
2012 Ss — Sensabaugh, XX, Church
Depending on who we get as XX, this could also be much better. Potential significant upgrade.
2011 Punter — Mat McBriar
2012 Punter — McBriar?
If McBriar is back it’s because he’s healthy, which will be a significant improvement. If he’s not, replacement isn’t likely be worse than McBriar was in 2011. Either a plus or a wash.
2011 Kicker — Bailey
2012 Kicker — Bailey
Hard to imagine him improving on his accuracy. But maybe he hits those end of game FGs if needed in 2012. A wash.
RECAP
QB — better safety behind Romo
OL — huge upgrade
WR — better health for Austin and exp. for Bryant
TE — a wash
RB — better Oline equals big improvement in yards and consistency
DL — modest upgrade with high pick for line interior
OLB — a wash
ILB — much faster, a significant upgrade
CB — much better
S — likely improved
P — same or better
K — same
Not enough cap room
They could afford Nicks OR Williams plus one, maybe two of Laurent, Myers, Spencer.
If you sign Nicks and Myers and draft DeCastro, I agree you might have the best OLine in the NFL, but you better score 30 every game because not much left to fill those holes on D—remember you need 3 CBs, FS, LOLB …
I just think they need to spread the wealth more evenly.
by DB23 on Feb 11, 2012 8:28 AM CST via mobile reply actions 1 recs
I agree!
However, it has recently come to our attention that the cap is now projected at 124 million. With restructuring a few contacts and triggers Dallas could have 28 million in cap room. Then releasing Newman in June gives us another 6! That’s 34 million.
12.6 cap room right now
11.9 triggers and restructures
6 cutting T-New
4 increase from the original cap __projection
34.3 million Cap room
Stephan is a monster Capologist and I think he could make some major acquisitions this FA period. This makes me think the FO will make a couple of splashes and mid level signings to fill out the roster.
Nicks (G), Myers ©, Griffin (FS), Soliai (NT, Middleton (CB), Robinson (WR), Fiametta (FB), Almost Anthony (OLB), & Mays (ILB).
With some clever contract structures this could be done, but alas it is probably too good to be true.
I started drinking a Gallon of Kool-Aid at the end of this post!
"Fear the Star" -A WISE Man!
by mho on Feb 12, 2012 1:53 AM CST via iPhone app up reply actions
I like that line up mho
Those would be good signings. If we do have $34M, it would be possible, but if not, Soliai and Nicks couldn’t both be brought in. Soliai was my big money acquisition in Part II (posted a few days ago) jand I mentioned Middleton as well.
by The Trenches on Feb 12, 2012 12:57 PM CST up reply actions
This would be wonderful
Except for that little snag known as the salary cap.
by sportsfanatic21 on Feb 11, 2012 9:19 AM CST via mobile reply actions
Offensive Line
I agree completely that the offensive line is priority number 1. You are correct. In my opinion we lost too many games because we could’nt make a critical short yardage gain.
However, I agree with some of the other posters, The way the money works is still a great mystery to me…salary…up front money…prorated money…guaranteed money, etc.
While I like the idea, I don’t see how we can manipulate the $$$ for us to afford this. I do admit though that Iam not a caprophageist..
Go Cowboys!
I dont think we can afford Nicks
Logan Mankins contract with the Pats last year was $51 million/6years $30 million guaranteed and $20 million signing bonus, and the numbers rumoured for NIcks is $71 million over 6-7 years, you are going to be looking at around $36-37 Million guaranteed, and around $25 million signing bonus. Mankins average yearly salary is around $8.5 million, I would guess Nicks would be upto to $9-9.5 million in the first season or 2 escalating to $10+ million in years 3-4
My 2 cents
We lost 4 games by 4 points or less.If you change one field goal drive to a touchdown drive in each game, you win and finish 12-8 Nfc East champ. If you add Nicks and Decastro to the O-line you could easily swing that, if not quite a bit more.
12-8 huh...lol!
"Fear the Star" -A WISE Man!
by mho on Feb 12, 2012 1:19 PM CST via iPhone app up reply actions
we are setting priorities here.........
not saying get “ALL” those players.
I am hopeing that some of those O line players we drafted last year can start.Maybe just one.
So that leaves us with Kowalski or Costa at center.that needs to be changed.
My priority one is a pass rusher.That would make the DBs some better if nothing else.
priority two is a defensive back.Preferably a CB.
I don’t know how we do it but I don’t want to break the bank for a guard.Center is a weak position in this draft.
Resign our own FAs of Robinson and Spencer and go from there.
Hope for 10 – 6.
by TCB Orange Dino on Feb 12, 2012 6:44 PM CST reply actions

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