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Around SBN: On Hazards And Hulks And Tigers, Oh My!

Did the 2011 Cowboys secondary have too many turkeys?

It has been interesting listening to representatives of the Cowboys reveal the team’s off season needs. Stephen declared that the Cowboys needed to address the interior of the offensive line and the secondary. Rob Ryan echoed Stephen’s sentiments regarding the secondary.

Most Cowboys fans witnessed the debacle that cost Dave Campo his job as a long-time Dallas assistant coach. Quarterbacks such as Grossman, Moore, and Kolb carved the secondary to accumulate ratings of 95.2, 99.5, and 109.9 respectively over a three game span.

Star-divide

What was truly amazing was how an above average unit to begin the season completely fell apart around the 10th week of the season. According to Pro Football Focus, the Cowboys secondary had a combined rating of approximately +5.4 through the first nine games of the 2011 season.

Newman Scandrick Jenkins Sensabaugh Elam Ball Church McCray Walker
Position RCB SCB LCB SS FS LCB SS SS SS
Games 1-9 5.0 -3.4 1.7 3.9 -1.1 -3.4 2.1 1.5 -0.9

Following the game versus Buffalo, Terence Newman boasted the highest grade in the secondary according to Pro Football Focus. Gerald Sensabaugh looked like a solid safety, while young Barry Church was making the most of the limited opportunities presented to him, outplaying the starter, Abram Elam.

Note that Scandrick and Ball already had a negative cumulative score through the first nine weeks of the season. The fact that the last seven games led to a drop of -2.2, and -2.1 respectively, is not surprising. That Dallas resigned Scandrick may speak more to the dire situation at cornerback, than the quality of Orlando as a cornerback.

Abram Elam’s drop of -4.2 over the final seven games of the season is alarming, but nothing when compared to what happened with Terence Newman. Newman dropped from +5 to -9.1: a loss of 14.1 points over the final seven games of the season.

Newman Scandrick Elam Ball Walker
Position RCB SCB FS LCB CB
Games 10-16 -9.1 -5.6 -5.3 -5.5 -5.1

The defensive backfield began the season banged-up, and it showed against the Jets. But after the opener in the New Meadowlands, the defensive secondary began to steadily improve week by week, playing well against New England (5th game) and receiving their highest score the following week against the Rams (dude…). The game at Philadelphia reversed that trend, and the Cowboys’ secondary strung together average performances against teams like Seattle, Buffalo, and Washington.

Graph_1_medium

Considering that Grossman posted a 95.2 passer rating the week before, the game at Washington was truly a preview of things to come. The bottom obviously fell out on Thanksgiving against Miami and Matt Moore. The secondary only had one more good game (against a Tampa Bay team that had packed it in for the season). The defensive backfield was a detriment to the Cowboys against Arizona, New York (twice), and Philadelphia.

The play of the secondary may be the biggest reason that Dallas finished 1-4 down the stretch of the season.

When compared to other positions on the team, it is apparent that the Dallas defensive backs were the weakest unit. It is no surprise that Rob Ryan voiced that he is only looking at defensive backs during this offseason. Regardless of the defensive pressure Ryan dialed up, the play of the defensive backs would render any rush futile.

Examining the other units on defense, only starters Marcus Spears (-3.6) and the combination of Bradie James (-4.1) and Keith Brooking (-7.9) had negative season grades. As would be expected, DeMarcus Ware had the highest score among the linebackers (and the entire team), while Jay Ratliff led the defensive line. Sean Lee finished with a strong season score, with Anthony Spencer finishing just behind him. Sean Lissemore also had an impressive grade on limited snaps.

Graph_2_medium

(1: Ware, 2: Lee, 3: Spencer, 4: James, 5: Brooking)

That five defensive players on the front seven finished with good cumulative season scores lends credence to Jerry Jones’ statement that the front seven is a relative strength on this Cowboys’ team. There is a significant drop-off, however, to the mediocrity of the rest of the defenders with regular playing time on the defensive line and at linebacker. As noted, several players were liabilities this past season (Brooking, James, and Spears).

Graph_3_medium

(1: Ratliff, 2: Lissemore, 3: Hatcher, 4: Coleman, 5: Brent, 6: Spears)

Compare that with the drop off from the two top players in the secondary and the problems become augmented. Only starters Gerald Sensabaugh and Mike Jenkins finished the year with a cumulative positive season score. Neither defensive back graded as highly as the leaders on the defensive line and at linebacker. Coupled with the fact that every other starter and player that received extended playing time in the defensive backfield had a negative cumulative season score, the need for obtaining an upgrade in the secondary is obvious.

Graph_4_medium

(1: Jenkins, 2: Sensabaugh, 3: Elam, 4: Scandrick, 5: Ball, 6: Newman)

Notice the extreme difference in performance between the top two defensive backs (Jenkins and Sensabaugh) and the rest of the secondary. It is a miracle that Rob Ryan kept the unit protected through the first 10 weeks of the season. While upgrades along the defensive line and at the linebacker position would undoubtedly improve the Cowboys defense, the Dallas defensive backfield is in dire need of an infusion of talent.

Drafting an average cornerback to take the place of Newman would actually be a significant upgrade over Terence’s level of performance over the final seven games of the season. From Elam’s grades, it is also easy to surmise that a new safety will be starting in 2012. While Barry Church would be the favorite at this point, a rookie with greater upside, like George Iloka (6’ 3", 216 lbs., SS Boise State), may be a better way to proceed.

Unfortunately, one of the few constants in the play of a rookie, is their relative inconsistency. Perhaps signing a mid-level cornerback through free agency would lead to better overall play from the defensive backfield. A solid, albeit average cornerback, could add a dimension of consistency that was sorely lacking from the secondary in 2011.

Regardless, the defensive secondary will likely be a problem until the Cowboys improve the talent at almost every position. Judging from the grades Pro Football Focus produced for the Cowboys secondary in 2011, once Thanksgiving day came around, the Dallas defensive backfield had two capable players that could no longer overcome the poor performance of the other five.

Another user-created commentary provided by a BTB reader.

Comment 38 comments  |  6 recs  | 

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Thanks OCC.

It finally worked. Could not have done it without your help.

by ScarletO on Feb 6, 2012 6:56 PM CST reply actions  

OCC, did you edit my visual aids?

Thank you. Much better. They are so much more clear and interpretable (if that is a word).

by ScarletO on Feb 7, 2012 8:01 AM CST up reply actions  

Marcus Spears should be upgraded

Aint done nothin. Pretty much at his peak. And not gonna get any better. Could actually be replaced by Ratliff and then draft or sign a nose tackle.

Wouldn’t shy away from calling him a huge 1st round disappointment.

Favorite Prospects: Martin, Burfict, Rainey, Curry

by bitterlyhonest on Feb 6, 2012 7:15 PM CST reply actions  

Sorry, Spears isn't going anywhere.

He signed a long-term deal last season.

7/29/2011: Signed a five-year, $19.2 million contract. The deal contains $4.2 million guaranteed, including a $3.5 million signing bonus. 2012-2013: $2 million, 2014: $3 million, 2014: $4 million, 2015: Free Agent

by StarloverinWNC on Feb 7, 2012 12:47 AM CST up reply actions  

hope to see Lissemore start along with Hatcher next season

unless we get someone new. Coleman regressed badly towards the end of the season, I hope we don’t resign him

by somebodyquiet on Feb 7, 2012 2:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Rec'd

Great post Scarlet! I knew the secondary was a major weakness this year but good grief! I also think with a solid addition to FS/SS (Sens can play both) Jenkins’ play will improve even more! I hope we take Janoris Jenkins in the 1st, Markell Martin in the 2nd, and Josh Robinson or in the 3rd, and BPA for the rest. Sign a solid CB, NT, ILB, Spencer, L. Robinson, and a mid tier G/C in FA.

"Fear the Star" -A WISE Man!

by mho on Feb 6, 2012 8:08 PM CST via iPhone app reply actions  

Barry Church!

Whoo!

"There are no traffic jams along the extra mile."- Roger Staubach
Pet Cat of 2011- Barry Church!
I STILL believe in Tony Romo.- 10/2/11

by Rat-Pack on Feb 6, 2012 8:25 PM CST reply actions  

Way to call it!

I thought maybe you were family or something. Then I read your sig.

by ScarletO on Feb 6, 2012 9:00 PM CST up reply actions  

he looked pretty good McCray too but him more.

I’ve been in his corner for awhile just hope he can become a starter someday.

Optimissum Prime sees nothing but the best for America's Team!!!

by Cowboys_Attack on Feb 7, 2012 11:40 AM CST up reply actions  

excellent post

Each week, play whoever is standing across the field from you, whenever and wherever. If you match up well, exploit it and win. If you don’t, then get very crafty in your game play and try to "steal" a win anyway. Repeat process until no more games remain, and confetti rains down from a retractable roof and Roger Goodell is handing out hardware. - hookerhome

in aeternum amicus meus vivit sua musica non morietur
A Friend of mine lives forever, his music will never die.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8J1FHzJruAg
RIP Chuck Shuldiner - Father of Death Metal

by Nick Castillo on Feb 6, 2012 9:23 PM CST via Android app reply actions  

Nice little chart thingies there. A little confusing though as to who represents each bar graph. Be better if they had the maggots name associated with their negative bar graph.

Our secondary blows! What really scares me is that Jenkins and Scandrick are probably JAGS as well. Time to burn that whole unit down and start over.

Rec’d!

by StarloverinWNC on Feb 7, 2012 12:52 AM CST reply actions  

Good suggestion regarding the labeling.

I believe that OCC edited the graphs to include the names, and made the numbers in the charts stand out with color (as well as new labels). It looks so professional.

by ScarletO on Feb 7, 2012 8:04 AM CST up reply actions  

I personally wouldnt lump Jenkins in with the rest he played pretty darn well this year.

He defintly isnt just a JAG at all. He was the only CB that graded evenly out all of them all year! Scan couldnt even get a positive grade the first 9 weeks.

Optimissum Prime sees nothing but the best for America's Team!!!

by Cowboys_Attack on Feb 7, 2012 11:55 AM CST up reply actions  

You're definitely entitled to that opinion.

But I’m not convinced. If he does well this upcoming season he will turn around my negative impression of him and support his case for NOT being a JAG.

Until then I’m cautiously pessimistic.

by StarloverinWNC on Feb 7, 2012 12:00 PM CST up reply actions  

part of my reasoning was him playing through all the so many injuries this year.

It took a lot of toughness to do what he did this year. He was the only one out there not giving up huge gains and first downs all year long might’ve missed a few but not many. Also people didnt really throw his way as much either so was that him just being better then the rest or legitamite talent forcing them away from his coverage? I can’t say for sure but I lean towards it being everyone else was that doggone bad!

Optimissum Prime sees nothing but the best for America's Team!!!

by Cowboys_Attack on Feb 7, 2012 1:18 PM CST up reply actions  

The injuries are one of the attributes about him that make me pessimistic. But I hope you are right and he is a good CB. Unfortunately if he proves that this season we are gonna have to shell out big bucks to keep him.

All the more reason to get 3 new CB’s this offseason. Sign a mid-tier FA that can start opposite Jenkins, Draft one in rd 1-3, and then draft another one in rd 4-7.

by StarloverinWNC on Feb 7, 2012 5:19 PM CST up reply actions  

You’ve been working overtime lately. Nice post. I think it’s important to remember that it’s common to think of quality in static terms (Ware is great. Newman is rubbish.), but it’s also lazy thinking. That’s why players make Pro Bowls long after they’ve been great players – once you’re good in the minds of everyone, nothing else matters. The truth is far more static. Players can have good games or bad games. Players can be good at one aspect of the job and bad at another. The truth about performance is multidimensional.

by Nassau Cowboy on Feb 7, 2012 7:48 AM CST reply actions  

Should read...

“the truth is far more dynamic.” No more posting before 2nd cup of coffee.

by Nassau Cowboy on Feb 7, 2012 7:51 AM CST up reply actions  

Good Post!

No stat is perfect, but use of these PFF stats really shines a light on performance in other ways besides the ole’ eyeball test. (Maybe Spencer shouldn’t receive so much vocal hate…not saying he is great, but he is better than average, which makes him our third best LB).

Agreed that Secondary is a huge need and that 3 CBs are a must. Would like another FS to replace Elam and I am all for giving Church and McCray a chance to start. The young guys need to just play at some point.

Getting pressure/push from our NTs and DEs would also really help out our secondary and OLBs. With a good inside push (note: I don’t need sacks, just a push) QBs would not as easily be able to step inside of Ware’s and Spencer’s outside rush nor be able to keep good timing with the receivers. If the QB can be forced to bring down the ball, then he won’t have as easy a time picking apart the secondary. Look at the SB, New England had a rush, but was from the outside and Eli could step-up, while the Giants rush had a lot of inside pressure that forced Brady to the outside (see the INT) or disrupted the timing of his throws.

by Through Thick And Thin on Feb 7, 2012 8:27 AM CST reply actions  

Please

don’t disrespect the noble turkey by comparing them to Dallas’ 2011 secondary.

"A successful coach needs a paitient wife, a loyal dog, and a great quarterback. But if you don't have a wife the dog can pull double duty." --Barry Switzer

by Tennessee_Jed on Feb 7, 2012 8:36 AM CST reply actions  

Ben Franklin would agree.

But I am talking about the domesticated bird most eat at Thanksgiving. Not the wild turkey Franklin so admired.

by ScarletO on Feb 7, 2012 11:17 AM CST up reply actions  

LOL!

So glad to see you know your history! ;-)

"A successful coach needs a paitient wife, a loyal dog, and a great quarterback. But if you don't have a wife the dog can pull double duty." --Barry Switzer

by Tennessee_Jed on Feb 7, 2012 11:42 AM CST up reply actions  

How to really draft!!

Since 2004, these are NY’s first day draft selections:
2004- Eli Manning
2005- Corey Webster
2006- Mathias Kiwanuka
2007- Aaron Ross
2008- Kenny Phillips
2009- Hakeem Nicks
2010- Jason Pierre-Paul
2011- Prince Amukamara

There are not misses on that list. Not one. Eli is a franchise quarterback. Webster and Ross are excellent corners. Nicks has played brilliantly since he arrived in NYC, as has Jason Pierre-Paul.

It’s worth noting that, in 2005, the Colts had a chance to draft Webster, but opted instead for Marlin Jackson. In 2009, the Colts were in prime position to take Hakeem Nicks, but opted instead for Donald Brown.

It’s also worth noting that, in several cases, the Giants were drafting late in the first round, but still managed to find good talent. Nicks and Phillips were both late first rounders. Webster was a high second rounder. New York didn’t have a first round pick that year because of the Manning trade the season prior.

Every single person on the NY Giants draft list, with the exception of the rookie Amukamara, is a starter in NY. Not just a starter simply because they were a first rounder. A legit starter.

Factor in other players like Justin Tuck, (fifth rounder 2005), Barry Cofield (fourth rounder, 2006), Steve Smith (second rounder, 2007), Kevin Boss (fifth rounder, 2007), Ahmad Bradshaw (seventh rounder, 2007) Mario Manningham (third rounder, 2008), Terrell Thomas (second rounder, 2008), and Jonathan Goff (fifth rounder, 2008). I mean, look at that draft haul! Tuck and Bradshaw are studs. Manningham was been a big play receiver all throughout the 2011 season, and made THE key catch in Super Bowl XLVI. Thomas is a good corner, while Smith, Boss, and Cofield were all key players for the Giants before moving on to other teams.

Also, there were important rookie free agent acquisitions like Victor Cruz (free agent, 2010), and Jake Ballard (free agent, 2010).

THIS is how your team is supposed to draft Jerry with a REAL GM Jerry Reese . This is why New York has two trophies in five years, and we have a .500 for your tenure as a GM

by lenon on Feb 7, 2012 8:59 AM CST reply actions   2 recs

Really?

Nicks is pretty good
JPP is awesome that is true
And Eli is certainly pretty good as well

Other than that… The list is pretty poor… (all be it no outright flops… Jags mostly)
Honestly the Giants are a 9-7 team that got hot at the right time. (and a bit of luck never hurts) They aren’t particularly talented as far as superbowl teams are concerned.

MacGruber!

by Mojoness on Feb 7, 2012 10:33 AM CST up reply actions  

Ross and Kiwanuka

Are both better than what we have in the secondary and DE, so if those guys are JAGs what does that say about our players?

"A successful coach needs a paitient wife, a loyal dog, and a great quarterback. But if you don't have a wife the dog can pull double duty." --Barry Switzer

by Tennessee_Jed on Feb 7, 2012 11:45 AM CST up reply actions  

Yes we have sub par players

Ross and Kiwi are about par… Par = Jag

MacGruber!

by Mojoness on Feb 7, 2012 1:33 PM CST up reply actions  

Ross has looked good in the games I've seen him play.

I’ve not been noticing him getting beat, but I have noticed him MAKING plays. That doesn’t indicate JAG to me.

by StarloverinWNC on Feb 7, 2012 5:21 PM CST up reply actions  

Ooooh Burn!
THIS is how your team is supposed to draft Jerry with a REAL GM Jerry Reese . This is why New York has two trophies in five years, and we have a .500 for your tenure as a GM

Let him have it. He’s fubar’d this once proud franchise.

by StarloverinWNC on Feb 7, 2012 11:56 AM CST up reply actions  

you know we're still paying

for that year Wade Phillips rolled with only three Corner Backs on the roster. No wonder we have no depth

check out my bands nanoSMASH and Day vs Night

by AustonianAggie on Feb 7, 2012 12:58 PM CST reply actions  

Was that Wade

or Jerry? I have a sneaking suspicion that Wade, as a defensive-minded coach, probably would have had 4-5 CBs on the roster if he had any coaching authority. Just a guess, but I bet Wade knew that was trouble.

"A successful coach needs a paitient wife, a loyal dog, and a great quarterback. But if you don't have a wife the dog can pull double duty." --Barry Switzer

by Tennessee_Jed on Feb 7, 2012 3:15 PM CST up reply actions  

Elam

Think he may end up staying for another season mainly as backup 4th choice, I would say he fights out in Summer Camp with McCray and one other

by LeedsCowboys on Feb 7, 2012 3:45 PM CST reply actions  

The truth can set you free

but Free can set you back with his multitude of penalties.

I hope the shift does him good.

Could someone do a poll as to whether we should improve cornerback 1)through the draft, 2)free agency 3)or by picking up a boatload of undrafted players.

by TCB Orange Dino on Feb 7, 2012 6:30 PM CST reply actions  

excellent post

After reading this, I’m starting to think the first round pick won’t be allocated to CB. We can still come away with 2 or 3 new guys thru FA and Draft without using up the #14. This is a deep draft for CBs

I see the #14 being used to target Coples, DeCastro, Konz, or Nick Perry. Now that Mark Barron might be injured, we could either try to sneak him in the second round, or like you said draft George Iloka in the third round, meaning the Boys target CBs Chase Minnifield or Brandon Boykin in the 2nd round.

"The tone is business," Garrett said. "Let's get to work. The Giants are going to be at the Meadowlands on Sunday at 4:15. They're an awfully good football team. We have to get ready for them."

by Rohpuri on Feb 9, 2012 11:39 AM CST via mobile reply actions  

Another few points in favor of this:

1) With more multiple-WR sets being used, corner depth is so important. It’s not enough to have 2 good ones. 3 is a minimum, and in a perfect world we’d have 4.

2) If you read much KC Joyner, he says that very few cornerbacks post an elite YPA against year after year. Most guys show a lot of variance.

Given all this, a more sensible plan seems to be approaching cornerbacks like relievers in baseball. Bring in a lot of cheaper options in the hope that a few will pan out. Diversify your cornerback portfolio, so to speak.

by Nassau Cowboy on Feb 9, 2012 11:59 AM CST up reply actions  

Agreed

1) Corners are very much like relief pitchers. Unless you have an elite guy, they’res not much difference between the good ones.

2) Just like baseball, in football, your defense must be stout up the middle: DL, LB, Safety. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that nearly every SB Champ since the 1992 Cowboys has had a pro bowl/all-pro caliber safety:
-1992 Cowboys: Thomas Everett
-1993 Cowboys: Thomas Everett
-1994 49ers: Merton Hanks
-1995 Cowboys: Darren Woodson
-1996 Packers: LeRoy Butler
-97&98 Broncos: Steve Atwater
-2000 Ravens: Rod Woodson
-2001 Patriots: Lawyer Malloy
-2002 Bucs: John Lynch
-03&04 Patriots: Rodney Harrison
-2005 Steelers: Troy Polamalu
-2006 Colts: Bob Sanders
-2008 Steelers: Troy Polamalu
-2009 Saints: Darren Sharper
-2010 Packers: Nick Collins
-2011 Giants: Antrel Rolle

I’m not saying that just having a pro-bowl/all-pro calliber safety is all a team needs. I’m saying that having one to go along with our Pro Bowl/All Pro calliber DL (Ratliff) and OLB (Ware) would make a difference. If we can get averge play at CB amd draft a bluechip safety like Mark Barron, I think our defense will be set.

"The tone is business," Garrett said. "Let's get to work. The Giants are going to be at the Meadowlands on Sunday at 4:15. They're an awfully good football team. We have to get ready for them."

by Rohpuri on Feb 9, 2012 1:26 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

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