FanPost

KD's 10-for-10 - 2013 Week #4 Update

This is so late this week that I will limit my commentary, as most have already chimed in after the Cowboys' come-from-ahead loss to the Chargers.

There is one table that I almost had to update this week - worst unanimous losses (where a large number picks one team, no one picks the other, and the other wins). We had 198 players this week, and 197 picked the Cowboys. See where that would have ranked on this table if that one had also picked Dallas (or if one hadn't picked Cleveland).

Worst Unanimous 10-for-10 "Non-Wins"
Week Picks Our Pick Winner
2012-03 170 San Francisco Minnesota
2012-10 127 San Francisco St. Louis (tie)
2012-13 98 Baltimore Pittsburgh
2012-15 87 Detroit Arizona
2011-02 79 Baltimore Tennessee
2011-08 77 New Orleans St. Louis
2011-10 75 Baltimore Seattle
2011-07 70 Baltimore Jacksonville
2011-15 64 Green Bay Kansas City
2011-04 61 Buffalo Cincinnati
2011-01 60 Cleveland Cincinnati
2011-03 51 Arizona Seattle
2011-13 50 Chicago Kansas City
2011-14 23 Philadelphia Miami

We added six new players this week, but we lost seven from last week. So, we dropped this week, but only by one. Here is the participation table:

Participation
Week Played This Week Missed This Week Total
1 242 0 242
2 207 49 256
3 199 60 259
4 198 67 265

As a consensus, we got more right this week than wrong. We had a bunch of games that almost everyone played - same games, same winner. The ones we won were great - 809-18 was our score on our five biggest wins. However, led by the Cowboys, Bengals, and Ravens, our three biggest losses were 11-519. Here are our results this week:

Week #4 Results (Home in CAPS)
Win Winners (we're great) Lose
196 DENVER Philadelphia 0
194 Indianapolis JACKSONVILLE 0
162 KANSAS CITY New York Giants 3
148 NEW ORLEANS Miami 4
109 TENNESSEE New York Jets 11
97 Seattle HOUSTON 24
60 Arizona TAMPA BAY 12
58 San Francisco ST. LOUIS 11
53 Washington OAKLAND 26
Win Losers (we're bleep) Lose
1 SAN DIEGO Dallas 197
1 CLEVELAND Cincinnati 171
9 BUFFALO Baltimore 151
29 New England ATLANTA 81
23 DETROIT Chicago 68
Win Pretty Even (we're indifferent) Lose
34 MINNESOTA Pittsburgh 41

For the first time this season, we picked the Dolphins correctly (picked them to lose; they lost). We still have some teams that we have picked perfectly each week, but we no longer have any that we have missed each week.Here's a look at how we have picked each team, each week (first letter - our pick; second letter - actual result):

Picks/Results for Each Team/Each Week
Team Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 Wk 5 Wk 6 Wk 7 Wk 8 Wk 9 Wk 10 Wk 11 Wk 12 Wk 13 Wk 14 Wk 15 Wk 16 Wk 17 W L
Denver WW WW WW WW 4 0
Jacksonville LL LL LL LL 4 0
New Orleans WW WW WW WW 4 0
Oakland LL WW LL LL 4 0
St Louis WW LL LL LL 4 0
Arizona LL LW LL WW 3 1
Houston WW WW WL LL 3 1
Kansas City WW LW WW WW 3 1
New England WW WW WW LW 3 1
New York Giants LL LL WL LL 3 1
Seattle WW LW WW WW 3 1
Tampa Bay WL LL LL LL 3 1
Tennessee LW LL WW WW 3 1
Washington WL LL LL WW 3 1
Carolina LL LL LW Bye 2 1
Green Bay LL WW WL Bye 2 1
Atlanta LL WW WL WL 2 2
Baltimore LL WW LW WL 2 2
Buffalo LL WW WL LW 2 2
Chicago LW WW WW WL 2 2
Dallas WW WL WW WL 2 2
Detroit WW WL WW LW 2 2
Indianapolis WW WL LW WW 2 2
Minnesota LL LL WL LW 2 2
New York Jets LW LL LW LL 2 2
Philadelphia LW WL LL LL 2 2
Pittsburgh WL LL LL WL 2 2
San Diego LL LW LL LW 2 2
San Francisco WW WL WL WW 2 2
Cincinnati WL WW LW WL 1 3
Cleveland WL LL LW LW 1 3
Miami LW LW LW LL 1 3
Total 80 46

As bad as our week was, we did better as a consensus and actually caught the Front Page Writers this week.We entered week #4 two behind them. In thirteen of the games, our consensus matched their consensus. However, they picked Houston and Tampa Bay to win at home, and we picked Seattle and Arizona to win on the road. So, now we're tied.

2013 10-for-10 Consensus vs. Front Page Writers
Week 10-for-10 Wins 10-for-10 Losses Front Page Wins Front Page Losses
1 11 5 11 5
2 11 5 12 4
3 9 7 10 6
4 9 6 7 8
Total 40 23 40 23

We didn't come close to a 10-for-10 this week. Virtually everyone had the Cowboys, so that was one loss for each of us. There were six, that did better than the rest of us this week, and only missed two each (again, all missed the Cowboys; their other misses were spread - three Bengals, two Ravens, and one Bears).

Our scores looked like a Bell curve - a few (6) got eight right; a few more (50) got seven right; two-thirds of us got six or five (more than I am naming this week, even though I am one of those); and a few (12) at the bottom with four or fewer.

We have a new overall leader this week. I am Ironman!!! has led the past two weeks, with lsttexas hot on his heels. This week, they switched places, and lsttexas has the one game lead.

Here are the top scores from week #4, and the top overall scores. KD will publish all 265 overall scores in his next contest page.

Top Scores This Week
Week #4 Score Week #4 Score Overall Score Overall Score
DEL1SLE 8 JDobermans 7 lsttexas 32 ChrisMan 28
HonorTheStar 8 jockmeister 7 I am Ironman!!! 31 CowboyBaby 28
jtiddahr 8 k@s! 7 rhodri2112 31 CowboyinExile 28
MUTTS 8 Kire_V 7 Aggie Man 30 CowboysBarry 28
Smax17177 8 lsttexas 7 Baloo. 30 cowboyswin 28
ziggy 19 8 Matt Buresh 7 BigBad Joe 30 cowdog 28
Aggie Man 7 mbraunginn 7 cowboy1966 30 cwby4lf 28
Antonio S 7 meisternance 7 HonorTheStar 30 EchoEcho 28
baller2899 7 Mikhaili 7 hookerhome 30 geof 28
Baloo. 7 mushpuppy 7 JDobermans 30 Hookem Up 28
beastygaming 7 neon greon 7 Realist Larry 30 Howleyesque 28
BigBad Joe 7 nikeorlipstick 7 Seatown7 30 Jebediah Flibberbrush 28
bookiebuster 7 Nord15 7 spur_for_life 30 jockmeister 28
boys.camncrew 7 NorthStar99 7 beastygaming 29 jstaubach 28
CarloRue 7 Pasipple 7 bookiebuster 29 jtiddahr 28
cjbrit 7 Realist Larry 7 CarloRue 29 KD Drummond 28
cowboy1966 7 rhodri2112 7 jamesvb 29 Kire_V 28
CowboyinExile 7 Samuel_L_Bronkowitz 7 Lajitas Lava 29 MUTTS 28
CowboyNeal 7 Sean N 7 Mikhaili 29 neon greon 28
CowboysFan1994 7 Sean Sullivan 7 Rex Pfister 29 nicomachus 28
cowboyswin 7 Shakeepuddn 7 skinny post 29 NorthStar99 28
Cowtoys 7 spur_for_life 7 swanhooch 29 One.Cool.Customer 28
Farrah's Daddy 7 TheRealJG 7 Travlr 29 Panzer84 28
fs65 7 Trevster 7 Useful_Idiot_ 29 Smax17177 28
geof 7 Witten mittens 7 Vector_41 29 Specific 28
Hookem Up 7 wittenfan 7 Witten mittens 29 Tallgrass Prairie 28
iidacii 7 83 tied with 6 9_to_88 all day 28 wittenfan 28
illcowboy 7 47 tied with 5 Antonio S 28 Wreck'emCowboys 28
jakezze01 7 9 tied with 4 BigHat in NewTexas 28 ziggy 19 28
jamesvb 7 3 with other 2 or 3 CDMac24 28 36 tied with 27

This week's schedule is a little goofy, for several reasons:

  • more teams (four) have byes this week, so there are only fourteen games from which we need to pick ten winners
  • because of baseball (Saturday night playoff game in Oakland), the Sunday afternoon Chargers-Raiders game will now be played late Sunday night (after the NBC game) and will be on NFL Network, not CBS.
  • because of the Oakland switch, the Denver-Dallas will be the only CBS doubleheader game shown, so it will be shown - in its entirety - to the whole nation (except Phoenix - Cardinals are at home on FOX during that time slot, so CBS is blacked out in Phoenix)

If you wish to make early picks on here for week #5, I ask you honor these guidelines:

  • Make your winners bold. The easiest way is to use asterisks before and after your selection. For example, *San Diego* at OAKLAND will look like San Diego at OAKLAND; or, San Diego at *OAKLAND* will look like San Diego at OAKLAND.
  • Be sure to pick the Cowboys game. This is mandatory.
  • Once you have made your ten selections, please delete the other four games. That makes my life easier when I am tabulating close to two hundred picks each week.
  • Please don't pick the Thursday night game after it has kicked off (or, worse, include it in picks that you post on Saturday or Sunday morning).
  • When KD puts up his new contest page, please stop posting picks on here and post them on KD's page. It is easier on me if only one page is actively posting picks. I will still monitor both pages and will record your picks, wherever they are posted.

Week #5 (only fourteen games):

Thursday, October 3:

Buffalo at CLEVELAND

Sunday, October 6:

New Orleans at CHICAGO

New England at CINCINNATI

Detroit at GREEN BAY

Seattle at INDIANAPOLIS

Baltimore at MIAMI

Philadelphia at NEW YORK GIANTS

Jacksonville at ST. LOUIS

Kansas City at TENNESSEE

Carolina at ARIZONA

Denver at DALLAS (mandatory; must include)

Houston at SAN FRANCISCO

San Diego at OAKLAND

Monday, October 7:

New York Jets at ATLANTA

We have never had a week where most pick the Cowboys to lose, and I hope that this is not the first. I will do my part. As always, I am picking the Cowboys to win this week. Who is with me?

Another user-created commentary provided by a BTB reader.

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