History proves: A guard WILL be available for the Cowboys at 18

The consensus on the Mocks and on the site is that the two guards won't be available when the Cowboys pick at 18. For that to be the case, more than 20 years of drafting history will have to be overturned.

So far this century, no G has been drafted before the 15th pick. In those 13 drafts, only 4 guards have been picked before pick 18 (picks 15-17). In each of those cases, the next guard was not taken till the 2nd round or later. See below for table.

Bottom line, there have not been two Guards drafted inside the 18th pick since 1988 - 25 drafts ago! (Dave Cadigan at 8 and Eric Moore at 10, by NYJ and NYG respectively. Ironically the best guard that year was taken at 19 - Randall McDaniel - so who is the next best guard after Warmack & Cooper?....)

Year Rnd Pick Player Tm G GS
2012 1 24 David DeCastro PIT 4 3
2011 1 23 Danny Watkins PHI 23 18
2010 1 17 Mike Iupati SFO 48 48
2010 2 45 Zane Beadles DEN 48 46
2009 2 51 Andy Levitre BUF 64 64
2008 1 15 Branden Albert KAN 73 71
2008 2 39 Chilo Rachal SFO 64 46
2007 1 29 Ben Grubbs BAL 90 86
2006 1 23 Davin Joseph TAM 84 83
2005 1 32 Logan Mankins NWE 114 114
2004 1 16 Shawn Andrews PHI 63 57
2004 2 34 Chris Snee NYG 138 138
2003 2 33 Eric Steinbach CIN 125 124
2002 1 30 Kendall Simmons PIT 84 83
2001 1 17 Steve Hutchinson SEA 169 169
2000 2 37 Travis Claridge ATL 52 49

That is a lot of history to overturn. Many Guards have been touted as top 10 picks only to fall on draft day. David DeCastro being Exhibit A. Furthermore, the Guards have proven to be pretty safe picks with the vast majority proven to be very solid players starting a number of games for their teams (with DeCastro being an apparent exception at this early stage)

Maybe history will be defeated this year. It is a very strange draft with an almost total absence of high quality offensive skill position players (QB, WR, RB).

But count me as among those hoping we do get one of those Guards at 18. History suggests at least one of them will be there - Question is, will the Cowboys take them if they are there?

Another user-created commentary provided by a BTB reader.

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