Alright, here it goes........
1. Houston Texans - Jadeveon Clowney, DE, South Carolina
If Houston doesn't trade out of this pick, I think they take Clowney. Now, they may try to do a Manning/Rivers type trade and trade Clowney to whatever team takes Mack (who's a better fit for their 3-4) and a few draft picks, but as far as the draft goes, I think Clowney comes off the board with the first pick. Who knows though...
Prior pick for HOU - Blake Bortles (6th overall)
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M
The Bucs could surprise many and pull off a trade to move up for Johnny Football. They made it clear a few days ago that Glennon can be had for a 2nd round pick (and I'm guessing they'll settle for a third). The "interest" that St. Louis has said they have in Manziel makes the Bucs jumpy and not wait for someone else to take him.
Prior pick for TB - Greg Robinson (7th overall)
3. Detroit Lions (from Jacksonville Jaguars) - Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson
Megatron is mega-expensive and he's getting close to the big three-O. He's also been banged up the last few years. There have been rumblings that the Lions are thinking this is the year to push for a Super Bowl. They have Calvin Johnson and they have Golden Tate for the slot, but they need a #2 (and heir #1). They have focused a great deal of their offseason researching Watkins and at I think they'll surprise people and end up going all-in on him. Hey, not all draft picks make sense and I wouldn't agree with this move considering the state of their defense, but if they are infatuated with Watkins, I can see this happening....and boy would this offense become scary good!
Prior pick for DET - Sammy Watkins (4th overall)
4. Cleveland Browns - Mike Evans, WR, Texas A&M
The Browns would have loved getting Watkins here, but with the move from Detroit, they lost out on him. They'll still be in the market for a playmaker to line up next to Josh Gordon so they take Mike Evans, who isn't far behind Watkins on most boards. With these two on the outside, Cameron Jordan in the middle of the field and Ben Tate coming out of the backfield, the Browns have a ready made, high-octane offense for whatever QB they end up getting.
Prior pick for CLE - Derek Carr (10th overall)
5. Oakland Raiders - Khalil Mack, OLB, Buffalo
The Raiders are in a win now mode and that mindset will push them to take one of the few elite edge rushers available. They have to do something to slow down division rivals like Manning and Rivers.
Prior pick for OAK - Khalil Mack
6. Atlanta Falcons - Greg Robinson, OT, Auburn
Atlanta would be thrilled if the draft went like this as they'd end up getting the prospect with perhaps the highest upside on anyone in this draft.
Prior pick for ATL - Jadeveon Clowney (1st overall)
7. St. Louis Rams - Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M
The Rams will once again try to land a mega-deal that nets them multiple picks in this draft and in future drafts. They won't get the king's ransom they got from Washington, but they pull off the trade with Tampa Bay. They move down and Fisher still gets the player he wanted at two. There's something to be said for a coaches comfort with certain players. Jeff Fisher was a teammate of Bruce Matthews at USC and also coached him for a time in the NFL. That familiarity will lead Fisher to select Matthews.
Prior pick for STL - Jake Matthews (2nd overall)
8. New York Jets - Odell Beckham Jr., WR, LSU
The Jets have worked hard in the offseason to upgrade their offense. The additions of Eric Decker and Chris Johnson should really help, but they need another quality wide receiver. They have a lot of ammo in this draft (12 picks) and after missing out on Tavon Austin last year, they do what they give up what they have to in order to draft Beckham.
Prior pick for NYJ - Odell Beckham Jr. (18th overall)
9. Buffalo Bills - Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan
The Bills are reportedly interested in moving up to #1 overall, but with the Texans looking for three first round picks, the price is just too steep. Staying at nine and taking Lewan will allow them to move Glenn to the right side which his natural position and give young E.J. Manuel a safe pocket to work out of.
Prior pick for BUF - Taylor Lewan
10. Jacksonville Jaguars - Blake Bortles, QB, UCF
The Jaguars take the trade down and find the top three wideouts, top three tackles and top two pass rushers are gone. So, they decide to take the local product at QB. They simply can't go into the 2014 season with Chad Henne at the helm and I don't know that they'll take the chance on being able to move up for a QB they like. Bortles has the biggest upside of any QB in the draft and although he may not be pro ready, his ability is so beyond Henne, he may still be the best choice.
Prior pick for JAC - Johnny Manziel (3rd overall)
11. Tennessee Titans - Anthony Barr, OLB, UCLA
The Titans have several pass rushers, but none can match Barr's athleticism and playmaking ability. Considering he's only been play OLB for two seasons, his upside is tremendous.
Prior pick for TEN - Justin Gilbert
12. New York Giants - Eric Ebron, TE, North Carolina
The typical pick for the Giants is the long, pressure player with versatility to line up inside or out. I just don't see them going after Donald because he doesn't really fit that mold. The highest ranked player that comes close to that profile is probably Ealy, but the won't take him unless they trade down. Zack Martin is a real possibility, but with the loss of Hakeem Nicks and their apparent lack of faith in Reuben Randle, I think they take the best pass catching weapon left on the board.
Prior pick for NYG - Mike Evans
13. San Francisco 49ers (from St. Louis Rams) - Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma State
With Manziel off the board (yes, I think they're seriously interested in him), the Rams find a trade partner and again accumulate more picks. The Niners need serious help in their secondary and with the draft ammo they have (five picks in the top 100, 11 picks total), they won't hesitate to move up and grab the top corner on several boards. Gilbert recorded eight touchdowns in college (2 pick sixes and 6 kick returns) and with the pass rush that the Niners generate, he'll notch some more in the pros.
Prior pick for SF - Anthony Barr (15th overall)
14. Chicago Bears - Aaron Donald, DT, Pittsburgh
The latest word is the Bears are looking at safety here. If that's the case, we could conceiveably see Donald fall to #16. I just don't believe it and I can't see the Bears passing on the top three-tech in the draft. If the Vikings or Giants take Donald, I think you'll see Clinton-Dix go here.
Prior pick for CHI - Aaron Donald
15. Pittsburgh Steelers - Kyle Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech
The Steelers need a replacement for Ike Taylor and Fuller has been on the rise for several weeks. In fact, he's the top rated corner on some boards. He has the talent to play in any scheme. He'll step in immediately as a starter.
Prior pick for PIT - Louis Nix (30th overall)
16. Cleveland Browns (from Dallas Cowboys) - Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State
In a familiar draft day move, the Browns trade with the Cowboys to draft a QB. Much to the disappointment of Cowboys Nation, Dallas again drops back and settles for only an additional third (71st overall) to do so. The Browns jump at the chance to secure the quarterback they've wanted all along. Carr has the arm strength to handle the weather conditions in Cleveland, can make all the throws and is an underrated athlete.
Prior pick for CLE - Jason Verrett (26th overall)
17. Baltimore Ravens - Baltimore Ravens - Calvin Pryor, S, Louisville
Ever since the fall of the great Ed Reed, the Ravens have had a void at centerfield. If the draft fell like this, they'd probably doing cartwheels in the war room. Pryor is considered one of the top two safeties in the draft and is a perfect fit for the Ravens, hard-nosed style of play.
Prior pick for BAL - Cyrus Kouandjio
18. Minnesota Vikings - C.J. Mosley, MLB, Alabama
The Vikings play the odds and it all works out. They want Mosley in the draft and they know there's a good chance he falls to them here. Getting the guy you want and acquire extra picks at the same time, it's a win-win for the Vikings.
Prior pick for MIN - C.J. Mosley (8th overall)
19. Miami Dolphins - Zack Martin, OT, Notre Dame
When the real draft hits, it's entirely possible that Martin is gone. In fact, with how offensive lineman have risen on day one of the draft in recent years, I believe he won't be here. However, in this mock he's available and I would think the Dolphins would run up to the podium with their card. He's exactly what the Dolphins need and probably the highest rated player left on the board.
Prior pick for MIA - Zack Martin
20. Arizona Cardinals - Dee Ford, DE, Auburn
Last year, the Cards brought in John Abraham in free agency and he surprised many with his production. Unfortunately, Arizona didn't see similar production on the other side of the field. They look to rectify that by bringing in Ford, who has a tremendous burst and the athletecism to make the transition from defensive end to OLB.
Prior pick for ARI - Dee Ford
21. Green Bay Packers - Hasean Clinton-Dix, S, Alabama
If the Vikings do take Donald at #8, I think Mosley slips all the way to 21 where the Packers would gladly take him. In this mock, they "settle" for arguably the top safety in the draft.
Prior pick for GB - Calvin Pryor
22. Philadelphia Eagles - Brandin Cooks, WR, Oregon State
The Eagles will throw their hat in to the Beckham trade race, but without the fire power that the Jets can offer, they lose out. However, picking up Brandin Cooks is a very nice consolation prize. Cooks isn't just a burner and is the reigning Biletnikoff Award winner. He brings amazing speed, exceptional route running and help in the return game. Kelly will welcome Cooks and be happy he didn't have to give up additional picks to get him.
Prior pick for PHI - Darqueze Dennard (22nd overall)
23. Kansas City Chiefs - Marqise Lee, WR, USC
Contract talks are stalling with Alex Smith. The Chiefs have said they could take a QB here, but they did trade away a lot for Smith so I think that's just a bluff to get Smith to sign for less. If it's not, look for Bridgewater here. A typical Andy Reid draft consists of a first round lineman, whether it's on offense or defense. Looking at the players available, I'm not seeing an offensive lineman worthy of this spot and the only defensive lineman that could be considered really don't fit what KC does on defense. One of the few times Reid didn't take a lineman in the first round, he selected Jeremy Maclin. With the lack of line value, I think he snatches up the 2012 Biletnikoff winner. Lee possesses exceptional playmaking ability with the ball in his hands. He'll bring some needed juice to this offense.
Prior pick for KC - Brandin Cooks
24. Cincinnati Bengals - Darqueze Dennard, CB, Michigan State
The Bengals have their top corner coming back from his second Achilles injury in three years and have two other corners on the wrong side of 30. I can't see them passing up the 2013 Thorpe Award winner.
Prior pick for CIN - Kony Ealy
25. San Diego Chargers - Jason Verrett, CB, TCU
The Chargers need a lot of secondary help. Verrett gets overlooked (pun intended) because of his height, but he plays big and can hold his own against any of the corners in this draft.
Prior pick for SD - Kyle Fuller
26. Dallas Cowboys - Timmy Jernigan, DT, Florida State
The talk from Stephen Jones about not desiring a one-tech player was a little truth, but a lot of smoke. For the Tampa 2 to work, you need quality at all four spots on the defensive line. Marinelli has Melton and possibly Crawford as an effective LDE, but he needs help at the other two spots. Jernigan can be this teams Anthony "Booger" McFarland...a one-tech that played for Marinelli in Tampa...a one-tech drafted in the first round at pick 15.
Prior pick for DAL - Ryan Shazier (29th overall)
27. New Orlean Saints - Demarcus Lawrence, DE, Boise State
Several mocks have a wide receiver going here, as my first one did. But, in looking at what the Saints have at the position (young guys like Joe Morgan, Kenny Stills, Nick Toon and they brought back Robert Meachem) I think they focus on defense. Junior Galette notched double-digit sacks at one OLB spot, but the other side only brought in 3.5. Lawrence would give Rob Ryan another exciting pass rusher to throw in the mix.
Prior pick for NO - Marqise Lee
28. Carolina Panthers - Cyrus Kouandjio, OT, Alabama
As deep as this class is at wide receiver, I think the Panthers focus on protecting their star QB. Kouandjio was considered an elite tackle before issues regarding his knee were brought to light. Reports were he had an excellent pro day and his stock is back on the rise. He'd be a great replacement for Jordan Gross if his knees check out. He's a monster at the position and would give the Panthers some needed punch on offense.
Prior pick for CAR - Morgan Moses
29. New England - Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE, Washington
With Aaron Hernandez behind bars and Gronk in the middle of his annual rehab, the Patriots need serious help at tight end. Seferian-Jenkins was widely considered the top tight end going into the 2013 season. He had a down year for various reasons including a change in offensive scheme and he has fallen out of the first round conversation. Knowing how much the Patriots love to use the tight end position, I think they jump on the chance to take a talent like Seferian Jenkins.
Prior pick for NE - Eric Ebron (16th overall)
30. St. Louis Rams (from San Francisco 49ers) - Jimmy Ward, S, Northern Illinois
The Rams pull off a trade, drop nearly out of the first round, and still land a quality safety. Ward will give defensive coordinator Gregg Williams a centerfielder who's not afraid to rush the line and make a big hit.
Prior pick for STL - Hasean Clinton-Dix (13th overall)
31. Denver Broncos - Ryan Shazier, OLB, Ohio State
The Broncos have made several moves in the offseason to improve the defense, but they could still use some help at middle linebacker. Shazier played both outside and inside during his time at Ohio State and will be an immediate impact player for the Broncos.
Prior pick for DEN - Xavier Su'a-Filo, OG, UCLA
32. Seattle Seahawks - Xavier Su'a-Filo, OG, UCLA
With the recent news of Kam Chancellor's hip surgery, don't be surprised if this pick turns out to be Deone Bucannon. With that being said, I still think they'll go offensive line and Su'a-Filo is a perfect hit for this hard-hitting offense.
Prior pick for SEA - Gabe Jackson
So, a few things...
I'm not sure that the Jags will take a QB, but I just can't see how they don't!
I don't see the Rams trading down from both picks, but maybe I'll hit on one of them...?
I don't know if the Cowboys take Jernigan, but I really hope they do if they trade down and he's still there!
By this time tomorrow, we'll know how off this really was, but it helped pass the time!