It was the best of times; it was the worst of times. I entered week #14 hoping (and picking) for a four-way tie in the NFC East - Cowboys win and the other three losing. With all four teams at 5-8, it would bring back some memories from my first "I Did the Math", written in 2010 and showing how those Romo-less 5-8 Cowboys were mathematically alive for a playoff spot.
Bleep! Not only did the Cowboys lose, but the other three teams ALL won! Now, they're in a three-way tie and the Cowboys are two games back with only three games to go. This year's I Did the Math will be a little more challenging, but I'm not ready for mock drafts and looks to next season. I'm also not ready to turn my attention solely to my Spurs. I don't give them undivided attention until football season is over. It's not over.
This was a catastrophic week for most of us. There were some fabulous scores, including a pair of 13s. There was also ineptitude on the part of our consensus, as we floundered to a 6-10 record and gave up our season-long lead over the Front Page Writers consensus. Now what?
Who gets this week's Football Mensa award? Does it go to this week's top pickers, who navigated the mine fields and posted 13s? Does it go to this week's worst picker, who went 1-15 (I mean, how do you miss fifteen games and only get one right?)? I don't think I could miss fifteen games if I deliberately tried to pick losers. How about jhcrouch3, who is literally running away with the Pick Accuracy crown? He played the first nine weeks and has vanished. His accuracy back then, 0.6667, was a decent score, and had him in the top twenty. By avoiding these past tough weeks when scores plummeted, his score is starting to put some distance between himself and everyone else.
We had three games where 95% missed (DEN losing at home to OAK), 85% missed (CHI losing at home to WAS), and 85% more missed (BUF losing at PHI). Only one person hit the trifecta - getting all three of our worst losses right (WAS-PHI-OAK).
Congratulations to this week's Football Mensa - jalifia
Now, for this week's report:
After dipping below 200 last week for the first time ever, Pick 256 weekly participation rebounded some, finishing with 213 entrants. As always, we welcomed new players - thirty-three more this week - and now have 865 individual players who have joined us at least once.
Here is the Participation Table, tracking the first fourteen weeks:
Participation | |||
Week | Total This Week | New This Week | 2015 Total |
1 | 557 | 557 | 557 |
2 | 463 | 83 | 640 |
3 | 392 | 27 | 667 |
4 | 346 | 43 | 710 |
5 | 293 | 13 | 723 |
6 | 245 | 7 | 730 |
7 | 281 | 29 | 759 |
8 | 221 | 9 | 768 |
9 | 206 | 9 | 777 |
10 | 203 | 10 | 787 |
11 | 215 | 18 | 805 |
12 | 211 | 14 | 819 |
13 | 199 | 13 | 832 |
14 | 213 | 33 | 865 |
After a splendid week last week, with only one player beating our consensus, the total opposite happened this week - only seven people did worse than our consensus, and 178 beat our consensus. What happened?
We had six solid wins, all with at least 80% support. We had four consensus losses where a third or more actually got those games right. So, our individual scores were better than our consensus. But, the other six losses had between 70-90% missing them. Those were killers, and many were impossible to anticipate.
Here are the results of our consensus preferences for each game in week #14:
Week #14 Results | |||
Win | Consensus Winners | Lose | |
206 | @ Kansas City | San Diego | 7 |
204 | Seattle | @ Baltimore | 9 |
197 | @ New York Jets | Tennessee | 16 |
195 | @ Arizona | Minnesota | 18 |
189 | @ Carolina | Atlanta | 24 |
178 | New England | @ Houston | 35 |
Win | Consensus Losers | Lose | |
90 | @ Green Bay | Dallas | 123 |
79 | @ Jacksonville | Indianapolis | 134 |
76 | Pittsburgh | @ Cincinnati | 137 |
72 | @ Cleveland | San Francisco | 141 |
67 | New Orleans | @ Tampa Bay | 146 |
62 | New York Giants | @ Miami | 151 |
51 | @ St. Louis | Detroit | 162 |
33 | Washington | @ Chicago | 180 |
32 | @ Philadelphia | Buffalo | 181 |
11 | Oakland | @ Denver | 202 |
As I mentioned in the open, our Pick 256 consensus is looking up at the Front Page Writers consensus for the first time this year. After splitting every game the first two weeks, we opened up a one-game lead, and have led by one to three games every week since. I warned in a comment on my last FanPost that we had two discrepancies this past week (the other fourteen picks were identical). We could either triple our lead, maintain our lead, or lose our lead. It came down to the final game Monday night. We had already lost the earlier discrepancy (we favored IND while the FPWs preferred JAC), and we had MIA on Monday night while the FPWs had NYG.
Last year, we trailed most of the season before rallying late and winning the head-to-head consensus contest. Can we again rally and take back "our" lead in the remaining games?
Here's the table tracking the weekly consensus scores of Pick 256 participants and the Front Page Writers:
2015 Pick 256 Consensus / Front Page Writers | |||
Week | Games | Pick 256 Wins | FPW Wins |
1 | 16 | 11 | 11 |
2 | 16 | 7 | 7 |
3 | 16 | 13 | 12 |
4 | 15 | 10 | 9 |
5 | 14 | 9 | 9 |
6 | 14 | 9 | 9 |
7 | 14 | 9 | 9 |
8 | 14 | 10 | 10 |
9 | 13 | 7 | 6 |
10 | 14 | 4 | 4 |
11 | 14 | 7 | 9 |
12 | 16 | 10 | 10 |
13 | 16 | 13 | 13 |
14 | 16 | 6 | 8 |
Total | 208 | 125 | 126 |
I'm having a tough enough time scoring without missing weeks. I've been caught again this week by someone who missed the first two weeks. I have started naming names of those who had played every week, and have now missed their first, second, or third week. Many are near the top of the overall scoreboard, so missing a week pretty much eliminates them from any shot at the overall title. They can still remain near the top of the Pick Accuracy chart.
Here are the thirteen-week players who missed week #14:
4evercowboy, daboyz21, HowleyAtTheMoon, milehightexan, and Smax17177
Four of last week's first-time missers returned this week. However, four did not. These have missed two weeks after playing the first twelve:
chappycav, EFtheGiants, ptp39, and Ryan Kelling
We have one eleven-week player who missed the past three weeks. Dcowboy8, we miss you.
The same goes for our one ten-week player who missed the past four weeks. FloridaBoys, it isn't the same without you.
As mentioned up above, jhcrouch3 has missed the past five weeks after playing the first nine. I wonder if all is well with him, or if there is an issue - family, job, finances, etc. - that is preventing his participation. He is milking it, however, in the Pick Accuracy table. His absence has caused him to jump out of the pack, posting the highest pick accuracy by not playing and not dropping when everyone else's scores are falling like rocks.
I point these out because I don't like to see regular participants suddenly disappearing.
Buoyed by a host of new players, we reversed our steady decline, and had 213 participants. Despite our lousy consensus score (only 6 right all week), and a poor average score (8.178), we had some great scores at the top this week.
Our top scorers this week put up 13. Both missed TB and DEN, one missed IND (lost at JAC) and TB (lost at home to NO). Congratulations to CTCowboy and goddard55. Six more doubled our consensus with their gain-ground-on-the-field scores of 12.
I normally don't call out the week's worst scorers, but this week, the usernames demanded it. Look at the last two scores in this week's table. Take a look at the last two names. I would say that notquiterite is not quite right. And, gonfishin is, if memory serves correctly, the first to ever miss 15 games and only get one right. Which one did he get right? KC, who almost lost at home to SD. That's the only game he got right.
Here are the week #14 scores of all 213 participants:
Week #14 Scores | |||||||
Entrant | This Week | Entrant | This Week | Entrant | This Week | Entrant | This Week |
CTCowboy | 13 | delta quad man | 9 | JB | 8 | Holyroof | 7 |
goddard55 | 13 | dentltek | 9 | JDobermans | 8 | ibleedcowboublue | 7 |
Dallasdave1966 | 12 | I'm_people_too | 9 | Jebediah Flibberbrush | 8 | karenborts@gmail.com | 7 |
erasmo634 | 12 | jimmy.marshall2 | 9 | klkmainiac | 8 | lyraleo | 7 |
frank stanford | 12 | john lucio | 9 | makeit6 | 8 | MAEGA | 7 |
HeelCairo | 12 | jwdge | 9 | maragath | 8 | mahenza | 7 |
jalifia | 12 | Lajitas Lava | 9 | Millard Fillmore | 8 | Mikhaili | 7 |
Powers93 | 12 | Lcdano24 | 9 | momtiller | 8 | muskokacowboy | 7 |
Aggie Man | 11 | LoboTX | 9 | MontyMoose | 8 | NutriaBoudin | 7 |
AzDbackfanInDc | 11 | lucke | 9 | MS Cowboys Fan | 8 | since '66 | 7 |
benray53 | 11 | Markythearky | 9 | MUTTS | 8 | Starfire6 | 7 |
Blue & silver | 11 | newwallOD | 9 | nreyesjr02 | 8 | tbar1 | 7 |
carguy102 | 11 | oddsbettor | 9 | OldStray2-Dog | 8 | Tennessee_Jed | 7 |
Jessy S | 11 | Oldeschool | 9 | Pagrebo | 8 | thesirknight | 7 |
just-the-facts | 11 | PrfBrain | 9 | PAPAGDAVIS69 | 8 | Thinkman | 7 |
Katana | 11 | Reno Cowboy | 9 | qazx | 8 | TNCowbyfan | 7 |
ounceler | 11 | Ride Together, Die Together | 9 | qcisco | 8 | tyriq654 | 7 |
Truebluedcfan | 11 | RoSHa | 9 | rainmaker411195 | 8 | wildtigger2 | 7 |
westmodelmarket | 11 | scottysd | 9 | Rajohnnn | 8 | adamjamessaul | 6 |
APerfectStar | 10 | Shadowcat | 9 | revellyre | 8 | apprentice_curmudgeon | 6 |
BaylorBrianL | 10 | shooter09 | 9 | Roun2It | 8 | Chad Loveland | 6 |
claybridge | 10 | Sir Robin | 9 | scotscowboyfan | 8 | Charitylee@gmail.com | 6 |
Eswara20 | 10 | slowmotion80 | 9 | Sean N | 8 | CowboyInLA | 6 |
Gregory_Regularly | 10 | Starheel42 | 9 | sixrings09 | 8 | DalaiLuke | 6 |
hbtc | 10 | TRAVLR | 9 | Soso | 8 | Dithanial | 6 |
HTTR | 10 | Troy | 9 | Speedy1211 | 8 | Dr Carl | 6 |
k@s! | 10 | Uriahchase | 9 | stanthecowboyfan | 8 | earl | 6 |
lenboy | 10 | UTcowboy | 9 | Stevefromerrick | 8 | Erock908 | 6 |
Max2 | 10 | waltont23 | 9 | Supherbyus | 8 | Hammeron1 | 6 |
MinasIthil92 | 10 | WilmurToya | 9 | Tallgrass Prairie | 8 | Jeffkuhn1@hotmail.com | 6 |
Mordregard | 10 | 33lmitch | 8 | The Sethnicity | 8 | j-man | 6 |
NCstar | 10 | 4thdownhero | 8 | Tigercowboy | 8 | kethry1313 | 6 |
oldboysfan | 10 | 50yrcowboy | 8 | tmaeus | 8 | Mark Barrington | 6 |
Rdbull1 | 10 | aaa61aaa | 8 | Vancity Cowboy | 8 | Normrock | 6 |
Realist Larry | 10 | AKCOWBOYFAN | 8 | vavavance | 8 | Nova84 | 6 |
rrm1954 | 10 | ansky23 | 8 | vmorano | 8 | Sabrina | 6 |
SICLAW | 10 | banananas | 8 | yushay bohra | 8 | Sandmann | 6 |
starmesh23 | 10 | Benthere | 8 | 1Bullseye | 7 | Smitty14 | 6 |
switters023 | 10 | bigoljimbo | 8 | 1MissouriCowboysFan | 7 | snipeb41 | 6 |
Terry | 10 | BOWAC1 | 8 | Az_dave | 7 | TazJr89 | 6 |
The Tower | 10 | Bud | 8 | BWaj22 | 7 | tenkin | 6 |
Tr1v1al | 10 | Canadian Cowboy_74 | 8 | camrin55 | 7 | Timmy G | 6 |
Yellowbeard | 10 | chadrow | 8 | cap2vator | 7 | Trent Schoneweis | 6 |
YumaCactus | 10 | Densa | 8 | cow2boys | 7 | vectorspace | 6 |
bartman | 9 | DJ Mad | 8 | CowboyOcelot | 7 | webbyradio69 | 6 |
BayouCowboys | 9 | dtwmm | 8 | CowboysNation | 7 | Witten mittens | 6 |
boys.camncrew | 9 | enogueras | 8 | cowtownNcowboysfan | 7 | ac_services@live.com | 5 |
burrito electrico | 9 | FrankyC07 | 8 | damnarab2 | 7 | beastbois22 | 5 |
c.matson18 | 9 | Fred G Samford | 8 | DarthGrumpa | 7 | nulfo | 5 |
CapitalT | 9 | GalTex | 8 | dcfansinceiwasababy | 7 | Paul Schork | 5 |
Cowboy Joe | 9 | Glenstorm68 | 8 | duffer33 | 7 | JayY006 | 3 |
CowboysFan_Nepal | 9 | gwzahn7 | 8 | dw.criswell@yahoo.com | 7 | notquiterite | 3 |
cwby4lf | 9 | hookerhome | 8 | dWhisper | 7 | gonfishin | 1 |
DandyDanny | 9 |
Our scoreboard has been dominated by two players for half of the season. Either oldboysfan has been on top, revellyre has been on top, or they have been tied. No one else can get within two games of either of them.
That changed this week, as oldboysfan pulled away, revellyre faded, and Aggie Man rode his fourth straight double-digit win to catch revellyre and tie for second place. Unfortunately, the rest of the field is slowly dropping back. There are three more games separating the second place tie and fourth place. Sixteen players have now surpassed our consensus (125), and are fewer than ten games out of first place.
Here are the scores of all 865 who have played at least once this season:
2015 Pick 256 Full Scoreboard | |||||||
Entrant | Overall | Entrant | Overall | Entrant | Overall | Entrant | Overall |
oldboysfan | 135 | cradily55 | 67 | Bobboluga | 18 | MFFLWhoWontEverPullADeandre | 10 |
Aggie Man | 132 | ICanSeeJerryWorldFromHere | 67 | codydoser | 18 | ModernDayCowboy | 10 |
revellyre | 132 | SHDad | 67 | Divinelysilver | 18 | Momoney8822 | 10 |
1Missouricowboysfan | 129 | Hobbes42 | 66 | LET300ZX | 18 | MVaughn93 | 10 |
Katana | 128 | ArgentinaJr | 65 | tkena | 18 | Nicolás | 10 |
Millard Fillmore | 128 | BishopWest | 65 | ToddJ | 18 | nomad555 | 10 |
Normrock | 128 | Disciple027 | 65 | ahillaker | 17 | nvme4evr | 10 |
gwzahn7 | 127 | JonnyDanger | 65 | bigcheez01 | 17 | Pokes4ever | 10 |
I'm_people_too | 127 | viciousphilpy | 64 | Blackwulff | 17 | rick.croissette | 10 |
MinasIthil92 | 127 | bdub91 | 62 | Colonel Duke Lacross | 17 | rrm1954 | 10 |
Rdbull1 | 127 | oddgood | 61 | dashington | 17 | Specific | 10 |
Starheel42 | 127 | RobP S.A.T. | 61 | Enja | 17 | suddendeath88 | 10 |
cwby4lf | 126 | TheRedWunder | 61 | GeeManne | 17 | Tex-Mex | 10 |
dtwmm | 126 | BigBad Joe | 60 | Glory Daze | 17 | TheIronCowboy09 | 10 |
mahenza | 126 | Cisco79 | 60 | hophead929 | 17 | TMoney_1674 | 10 |
Roun2It | 126 | FBH1636 | 60 | kartmanj | 17 | Trbingbc | 10 |
aaa61aaa | 125 | indus_creed | 60 | Ludawg70 | 17 | USMarineVet | 10 |
bartman | 125 | Mordregard | 59 | MAESTASJ5798 | 17 | Wojo | 10 |
Blue & silver | 125 | rptril | 59 | OmahaCowboy | 17 | 68DOG | 9 |
Max2 | 125 | toke08 | 59 | SpanishHarlem | 17 | Bigttech | 9 |
Reno Cowboy | 125 | Nord15 | 58 | tabennett5438 | 17 | Bradford216 | 9 |
Benthere | 124 | Pnut Gallery | 58 | thepainster | 17 | cdeakins0788 | 9 |
cap2vator | 124 | Truck2015 | 58 | tjack321 | 17 | coffeesodabeer | 9 |
ibleedcowboyblue | 124 | BC3 | 57 | 2doubledrops | 16 | Cold Beer | 9 |
Realist Larry | 124 | Funoldman | 57 | Bvanzanman | 16 | Craigthomas5747@gmail.com | 9 |
Trent Schoneweis | 124 | Jesse-GA | 57 | cardsandguitars | 16 | dapiercy70 | 9 |
Truebluedcfan | 124 | amkaam051203 | 56 | ctwhynot | 16 | delta quad man | 9 |
c.matson18 | 123 | FullMetalAg | 56 | Dankdabe | 16 | Deztiny84 | 9 |
CTCowboy | 123 | DallasCowboys1960 | 55 | Doc_J | 16 | DWDRUMR | 9 |
lenboy | 123 | Goody4 | 55 | Gary Morris | 16 | EJ_FAN50 | 9 |
Ncstar | 123 | BigHat in NewTexas | 54 | Jeff Landrith | 16 | erock | 9 |
PAPAGDAVIS69 | 123 | DalaiLuke | 54 | jetpoker1 | 16 | fear_the_star | 9 |
PrfBrain | 123 | DemBoyz88 | 54 | MCross212 | 16 | fernie c | 9 |
Ride Together, Die Together | 123 | jayrosser27 | 54 | mfoster | 16 | Flyeaglesfly | 9 |
Stevefromerrick | 123 | Rohpuri | 54 | papichulo | 16 | freightgod | 9 |
Terry | 123 | delete6673 | 53 | Rick322 | 16 | HappyGilmour | 9 |
thesirknight | 123 | marcelookobe | 53 | rt1691rt | 16 | hellonwheels | 9 |
jwdge | 122 | ReaperMadness | 53 | Westtp | 16 | huds5321 | 9 |
MUTTS | 122 | Mattattack | 51 | Charitylee@gmail.com | 15 | i\nb7 | 9 |
Pagrebo | 122 | ROD | 51 | DeMarcoFan29 | 15 | Jackie23 | 9 |
Sandmann | 122 | BigAl86 | 50 | DGxl86 | 15 | john lucio | 9 |
Sir Robin | 122 | DeAndre is a Pussy | 50 | MontysCowboys | 15 | Lako | 9 |
UTcowboy | 122 | Jim Vance | 50 | Omar Little | 15 | LandryWazzaHornToo | 9 |
ansky23 | 121 | GunsUp | 49 | thorns | 15 | Lawham83 | 9 |
CapitalT | 121 | mik888 | 49 | tk1011971 | 15 | ledick | 9 |
earl | 121 | Nap | 49 | WichapiOyate! | 15 | Loab | 9 |
Frank Stanford | 121 | Niland76 | 49 | Zak | 15 | MeatPopsicle | 9 |
LoboTX | 121 | tman9476 | 49 | 1youngwiz | 14 | Modernjosh | 9 |
Mark Barrington | 121 | Old Frog | 48 | Bigspoon | 14 | Oldtexasguy | 9 |
starmesh23 | 121 | rhbgsherb | 48 | cowboykid | 14 | Pantera | 9 |
TazJr89 | 121 | shooter0909 | 48 | ELDS | 14 | Pkenny1046@yahoo.com | 9 |
Timmy G | 121 | ginge159 | 47 | Mr.Amazing | 14 | poppaskeeter | 9 |
tmaeus | 121 | pugbuddy | 47 | Raymon945 | 14 | PuckFilly | 9 |
cowtownNcowboysfan | 120 | Big_Country | 46 | Roro Brown | 14 | Rayman2434@@aol.com | 9 |
duffer33 | 120 | San Antonio Al | 46 | wheelz909 | 14 | RipCityBlazin420 | 9 |
Fred G Samford | 120 | cahbro32 | 45 | AndyJ53583 | 13 | rlm92227 | 9 |
goddard55 | 120 | DoubleAgent008 | 45 | BigD_83 | 13 | ROYALFLUSH | 9 |
maragath | 120 | Haribo | 45 | Byrdie | 13 | Scott McDowell | 9 |
Rajohnnn | 120 | Jalifia | 45 | CoCo | 13 | small change | 9 |
scottysd | 120 | Jfinch027 | 45 | Cowboys4lyfe | 13 | StillStorming | 9 |
Shadowcat | 120 | JollyRancher | 45 | CTRealdeal | 13 | streetse | 9 |
since '66 | 120 | RReed43 | 45 | Enzzo Jr | 13 | taa49er2001@yahoo.com | 9 |
Vancity Cowboy | 120 | BlueFlash | 44 | Go rafa | 13 | Tanner Choate | 9 |
camrin55 | 119 | transmogrifier | 44 | Herman | 13 | Tetower | 9 |
carguy102 | 119 | HonorTheStar | 43 | John neiderer | 13 | The_Leftside | 9 |
CowboysFan_Nepal | 119 | Brasher | 42 | King of the Eagles | 13 | thelastpatriot | 9 |
DarthGrumpa | 119 | chrisvegas | 42 | Raptizzle | 13 | therealjdj | 9 |
enogueras | 119 | Jackson Smith | 42 | Thestarsshinebright | 13 | Tuan Huynh | 9 |
JDobermans | 119 | rainmaker411195 | 42 | tutx88 | 13 | Vic Stone | 9 |
kethry1313 | 119 | aat2326 | 41 | will03 | 13 | waltont23 | 9 |
stanthecowboyfan | 119 | EduardoColon | 41 | wizkidbill | 13 | WilmurToya | 9 |
1Bullseye | 118 | FanSince_64 | 41 | brookln231 | 12 | Wiseattack | 9 |
Canadian Cowboy_74 | 118 | florida dodger | 41 | Castaway42 | 12 | xboxdre | 9 |
klkmainiac | 118 | King Man | 41 | Clint.Underhill | 12 | Yoshicopter | 9 |
lucke | 118 | LightningFast67 | 41 | CoreyAdkison88 | 12 | 4thdownhero | 8 |
RoSHa | 118 | adamkacp | 40 | CowboysNJ | 12 | 69DHynes69 | 8 |
slowmotion80 | 118 | Asburystrider | 40 | cowgirl22 | 12 | Amold | 8 |
Uriahchase | 118 | BWaldrep | 40 | crowboy | 12 | bartoh | 8 |
Witten mittens | 118 | LizardState | 40 | dhenri99 | 12 | BartonHsieh | 8 |
j-man | 117 | meangrant | 40 | Donald j scott | 12 | bigtiny | 8 |
Sean N | 117 | bullnuke | 39 | Donilama | 12 | bkeith71 | 8 |
apprentice_curmudgeon | 116 | BurntOrangeBenjamins88 | 39 | dowdj | 12 | Blue Crew | 8 |
Densa | 116 | B1llyP1lgr1m | 38 | erasmo634 | 12 | BreezyJBarberino | 8 |
GalTex | 116 | CowboysFan_4_Life | 38 | Es | 12 | Call4randy | 8 |
hbtc | 116 | jgoddard8409 | 38 | Fryguy22 | 12 | cb1214 | 8 |
HowleyAtTheMoon | 116 | jordanch68 | 38 | Gabby T | 12 | cgp16 | 8 |
just-the-facts | 116 | Junkyard Dog | 38 | hardhitten82 | 12 | chadrow | 8 |
shooter09 | 116 | thelunatic | 38 | HeelCairo | 12 | chuck-D | 8 |
tbar1 | 116 | Toast can post | 38 | HEpennypacker | 12 | coleslaw34 | 8 |
Tennessee_Jed | 116 | Wildhair | 38 | irvingcowboy | 12 | creelll | 8 |
Yellowbeard | 116 | benray53 | 37 | JayGilly97 | 12 | crj2012 | 8 |
APerfectStar | 115 | coolmajaka | 37 | JT1878 | 12 | Daddy Cool | 8 |
az_dave | 115 | S.Fisher | 37 | leo.lara.718 | 12 | dallas4life | 8 |
boys.camncrew | 115 | Splyle | 37 | lonewolfz28 | 12 | dallasindc | 8 |
hookerhome | 115 | BarbarianLou | 36 | lucky.expert | 12 | dcsalem14 | 8 |
MS Cowboys Fan | 115 | ROWDY GARCIA | 36 | MBoehm | 12 | DkGottiline33 | 8 |
Tallgrass Prairie | 115 | ScottB1985 | 36 | MikeV | 12 | Dremont | 8 |
Bud | 114 | makeit6 | 35 | Passthedamnball | 12 | FrankyC07 | 8 |
Nova84 | 114 | nealmcb | 35 | penater | 12 | gokepo | 8 |
sixrings09 | 114 | nepacowboy | 35 | p-town cowboy | 12 | Golfjohn | 8 |
The Sethnicity | 114 | Nikeorlipstick | 35 | Robert Gutierrez | 12 | GreenMtnCloud | 8 |
Troy | 114 | Rathos | 35 | Scott_Partridge | 12 | Hiles_BigD#09 | 8 |
dentltek | 113 | WeDemBois | 35 | seadog75240 | 12 | Hoss98271 | 8 |
Dr Carl | 113 | BR47 | 34 | skalathil | 12 | IcyVeins | 8 |
Glenstorm68 | 113 | MidKnightDreary | 34 | TCWilly33 | 12 | IrishP1 | 8 |
Jessy S | 113 | DarkKnight88 | 33 | Texhorns | 12 | jamiebeers11 | 8 |
Lcdano24 | 113 | LRogue | 33 | Wreck'emCowboys | 12 | JB | 8 |
Tr1v1al | 113 | zad | 33 | andrew | 11 | Jbezie23 | 8 |
4evercowboy | 112 | Zubius | 33 | Arigata | 11 | JKolar | 8 |
50yrcowboy | 112 | DayLate$$Short | 32 | Backspin.hegone | 11 | jose | 8 |
NutriaBoudin | 112 | Fighter15 | 32 | BigDinTX | 11 | kloostee | 8 |
Smax17177 | 112 | Ispeakredneck | 32 | bprince81 | 11 | LeCardi Johnson | 8 |
BWaj22 | 111 | neon greon | 32 | cancel99 | 11 | Lindavaldes | 8 |
CowboysNation | 111 | NY-COWBOY | 32 | cart | 11 | Ludawg69 | 8 |
jimmy.marshall2 | 111 | eldofin | 31 | Cartr1dgeBased | 11 | marados | 8 |
Mikhaili | 111 | Luc in Chile | 31 | cd-41 | 11 | Matthew Hardy | 8 |
newwallOD | 111 | ringking | 31 | Chrisman | 11 | -Maverick- | 8 |
TNCowbyfan | 111 | CDMac24 | 30 | Dallas Dave 1966 | 11 | NineToesBlogging | 8 |
CowboyInLA | 110 | cowboyofthenorth | 30 | DallasORL | 11 | njmiller21 | 8 |
Markythearky | 110 | DemMyBOYS | 30 | david.sunlin | 11 | NYGForever | 8 |
OldStray2-Dog | 110 | eyelikeaces | 30 | dcfnlv | 11 | Oh Snap | 8 |
snipeb41 | 110 | Frammis | 30 | DECOWBOY | 11 | qazx | 8 |
YumaCactus | 110 | Jbilskie1 | 30 | Demboys46290 | 11 | scary_cowboy | 8 |
BOWAC1 | 109 | Johnny-Boy | 30 | derrick2960 | 11 | Sipe17 | 8 |
Cowboys Win | 109 | ketom1220 | 30 | dexwheeler | 11 | Skillzby3 | 8 |
k@s! | 109 | KTC1 | 30 | Drive47 | 11 | Smummm | 8 |
switters023 | 109 | mtibus | 30 | Dsilli | 11 | Soso | 8 |
TRAVLR | 109 | Nations | 30 | DWombat | 11 | swanhooch | 8 |
Chad Loveland | 108 | NCHeelsBoysFan | 30 | Fletcherbooth@bellsouth.net | 11 | tmillner0682 | 8 |
Paul Schork | 108 | neithan20000 | 30 | Fullhouse | 11 | tom68 | 8 |
Cowboy Joe | 107 | Shaymer | 30 | Gar | 11 | vavavance | 8 |
MontyMoose | 107 | Tony Marez | 30 | Hi5wadey | 11 | vmorano | 8 |
scotscowboyfan | 107 | bcomets | 29 | Joego38.jw@gmail.com | 11 | wgr56 | 8 |
holyroof | 106 | Briley Fuller | 29 | Joey2zs | 11 | WiseGuys | 8 |
muskokacowboy | 106 | Drjaliver | 29 | Jomac | 11 | yobwoc | 8 |
Oldeschool | 106 | E.J. Lucero | 29 | jppalmer1284 | 11 | Z0827 | 8 |
Supherbyus | 106 | radomane | 29 | KenOak | 11 | adrian.arroyo.108 | 7 |
adamjamessaul | 105 | snath | 29 | kevinhaji | 11 | arg | 7 |
CowboyOcelot | 105 | Steve1968 | 29 | kid1856 | 11 | BigDnb | 7 |
Lajitas Lava | 105 | TheTraverse | 29 | latking | 11 | bks316 | 7 |
ptp39 | 105 | Through Thick And Thin | 29 | Llama_from_Dallas | 11 | Canadian Cowboy | 7 |
DandyDanny | 104 | tony_supporter | 29 | LordOrr | 11 | dallaskid917 | 7 |
burrito electrico | 103 | Utmodisette | 29 | louluvball | 11 | Daniel Griffith | 7 |
quinduno | 103 | wayne.tanner.58 | 29 | maxdallasfan | 11 | Dri | 7 |
tenkin | 103 | AzDbackfanInDc | 28 | mikedmartin | 11 | dw.criswell@yahoo.com | 7 |
WilliamC | 103 | BlueFalcon14 | 28 | NickyNineToes | 11 | ffxsnpxn | 7 |
yushay bohra | 103 | Chuck Sisco | 28 | njc003 | 11 | Fm17 | 7 |
Jebediah Flibberbrush | 102 | coachjjr | 28 | oeg76876 | 11 | Fryguy2231 | 7 |
milehightexan | 102 | hfd14c | 28 | Oleysoccer11 | 11 | James197099 | 7 |
banananas | 101 | KRO | 28 | Raven20 | 11 | Jmilt80 | 7 |
chappycav | 101 | TCullen88 | 28 | richte42 | 11 | karenborts@gmail.com | 7 |
Dithanial | 101 | trevorDinc | 28 | rpainterj | 11 | Kathleen jones | 7 |
SicLaw | 101 | Wdcoker1954 | 28 | scraig2015 | 11 | lyraleo | 7 |
daboyz21 | 100 | connery | 27 | splitbtw | 11 | MAEGA | 7 |
D-Bomb | 100 | Cowboys63 | 27 | stevena852@gmail.com | 11 | MSPorscheGirl | 7 |
dcfansinceiwasababy | 100 | Donny84 | 27 | SUMMONE4645 | 11 | redlabel | 7 |
EFtheGiants | 100 | Mathewstcb | 27 | test | 11 | Rswelalien | 7 |
timani | 100 | SlaxOK | 27 | The Final Dez-tination | 11 | sandi | 7 |
calmadhd | 99 | 10centjimmy | 26 | Tmcg00 | 11 | Sean Sullivan | 7 |
The Tower | 99 | Azrakal | 26 | treythaman | 11 | Shoots90 | 7 |
qcisco | 98 | CaliforniaAggie | 26 | Vegas Cowboy | 11 | shortycool500 | 7 |
notquiterite | 97 | clearwall | 26 | winton1963 | 11 | sjshell1 | 7 |
AKCOWBOYFAN | 96 | DJ Mad | 26 | Yannigan | 11 | strobman | 7 |
Thinkman | 96 | mpolino | 26 | Zrb50 | 11 | toolman63164 | 7 |
Gregory_Regularly | 95 | Trufus | 26 | ahug | 10 | Trublu81 | 7 |
momtiller | 95 | cow2boys | 25 | amazingguy | 10 | Truck Driver | 7 |
Ryan Keeling | 95 | jmoody68 | 25 | ambi | 10 | tyriq654 | 7 |
Dcowboy8 | 94 | Merc WithA Mouth | 25 | ashanem | 10 | Windmill | 7 |
westmodelmarket | 94 | True Blue-liever | 25 | bellaspoppy2012@gmail. come | 10 | Winniebini | 7 |
Effinefferseffeneffed | 93 | Dallas Cowboys fan | 24 | BeWareOfDa88Ghost | 10 | Balzac4 | 6 |
Speedy1211 | 93 | gcorneli24 | 24 | BigDaddyB | 10 | BigEasy | 6 |
BayouCowboys | 92 | Jackie22 | 24 | Bignate 1911 | 10 | Carlo69 | 6 |
Flowerman1dallas | 91 | Jcgallagher1 | 24 | BradyTucker | 10 | cbf4life | 6 |
Starfire6 | 91 | JeffBroChill421 | 24 | burmoodisland | 10 | Champs | 6 |
Dobanion | 90 | Loren L Smith | 24 | Carpet Farmer | 10 | dale tisdale | 6 |
Wfldude@gmail.com | 90 | Roger Williams | 24 | Corona38 | 10 | dallasmadness | 6 |
wildtigger2 | 90 | Whak | 24 | cowboy of the north | 10 | DC forever | 6 |
bigoljimbo | 89 | BoyfromOz | 23 | Cowboymark | 10 | Erock908 | 6 |
doubleleg | 89 | Divinelysilver&blue | 23 | cowboys winu | 10 | Fred Ward | 6 |
oddsbettor | 89 | BaylorBrianL | 22 | CSteez903 | 10 | Hammeron1 | 6 |
vectorspace | 89 | DorieStreet | 22 | Cutlermatt | 10 | icebowl68 | 6 |
dWhisper | 88 | Jakuando | 22 | DallasStarTk | 10 | jawmo | 6 |
jhcrouch3 | 88 | RAMASON | 22 | DavidGtripleD | 10 | Jeffkuhn1@hotmail.com | 6 |
Silverblue | 85 | amorgan641964 | 21 | DC4Lyfe | 10 | Jgonz5266 | 6 |
T Zig | 85 | bigdan | 21 | Dcuff | 10 | jwgordon | 6 |
Upfrunt | 85 | eightball | 21 | DefenselessNUN | 10 | Raywhite76 | 6 |
DoomsDay Dub | 84 | iv | 21 | demaxx1 | 10 | Sabrina | 6 |
FloridaBoys | 84 | kaevando | 21 | DemigodH | 10 | Sacatomato Horn | 6 |
Hav157 | 83 | oaktree1992 | 21 | dirtycallahan | 10 | saudifan | 6 |
Howleyesque | 82 | Powers93 | 21 | Double T | 10 | Smitty14 | 6 |
nreyesjr02 | 80 | smashmouth9473 | 21 | dougm | 10 | stellarowl12 | 6 |
AnderJ86 | 79 | tattooed cowboy | 21 | dpyburn | 10 | Thanh Le | 6 |
Marquis00 | 78 | BrooklynSpur | 20 | Dre0023 | 10 | tleroy1217 | 6 |
behind.enemylines | 77 | claybridge | 20 | Eswara20 | 10 | webbyradio69 | 6 |
JJ for President | 76 | DEL1SLE | 20 | fedecs | 10 | WILB21 | 6 |
Papa Hendu | 76 | Desert Cowboys | 20 | fubanger | 10 | williemel | 6 |
SoCalCowboysFan12 | 75 | Evil.Dr.Porkchop | 20 | geneb | 10 | ac_services@live.com | 5 |
wittenfan | 75 | jrmysell | 20 | Grizzy C | 10 | beastbois22 | 5 |
Tigercowboy | 74 | slspf2 | 20 | Halconegro | 10 | cheez01 | 5 |
angie'sdad | 73 | Waterfall88 | 20 | Hejbr | 10 | Dallasjenny1969 | 5 |
Dallasdave1966 | 73 | austin.j.5 | 19 | Hobsoncherry | 10 | jaz22@att.net | 5 |
JJ's evolution | 73 | badboyz | 19 | Howabouttheboys | 10 | nulfo | 5 |
Spaceball | 73 | DocOcho | 19 | HTTR | 10 | SDTrueblue | 5 |
StarJohn | 73 | Farrah's daddy | 19 | illcowboy | 10 | texasrangerfan | 5 |
YaBoyRyan | 73 | gabrielau23 | 19 | Jedamac | 10 | WO Jefe | 5 |
cOUboy12 | 72 | jockmeister | 19 | JJQB12 | 10 | BrooksN | 4 |
Dealataunt | 72 | LovecraftMan | 19 | Johnmckee9002@gmail.com | 10 | clovehedidthat | 4 |
jtiddahr | 72 | NorthStar99 | 19 | jsrdc | 10 | cuzo956 | 4 |
meisternance | 72 | ounceler | 19 | KAYCEEWIN | 10 | ewturn08 | 4 |
damnarab2 | 71 | pb1976 | 19 | kcwjr1973 | 10 | Sam | 4 |
DezBrogden88 | 71 | Robsa | 19 | kvonkoe | 10 | wm1990 | 4 |
33lmitch | 70 | StarloverinWNC | 19 | liquidblake | 10 | Fubar1911 | 3 |
Johnny Cleanpants | 70 | Str8outtaAk | 19 | Lo2ken | 10 | JayY006 | 3 |
Vector_41 | 69 | The_Ineluctable_Kruppe | 19 | LOCALPRES | 10 | texasboy1967 | 3 |
dandeogden | 68 | TheYoungin_DT | 19 | Mark Porter | 10 | maguilar | 2 |
Kwikwetlam Texan | 68 | Zmen | 19 | Mercury55@gmail.com | 10 | gonfishin | 1 |
cjs.93 | 67 |
My final table each week lists Pick Accuracy. This permits any of you who have missed a week to see how your scores measure up against those who have played each week. I calculate it by dividing your total of correct picks by the number of games you entered picks. If you missed a Thursday night game, and O.C.C administered grace by allowing your other picks to count, that one is blank, and doesn't count as wrong.
I don't count picks per week because of byes. One week had thirteen games, one had fifteen games, six had fourteen games, and the other nine (first three, final six) all have sixteen games.
Last year, I included many inactive players, whose infrequent participation allowed for some inflated scores. The more one plays, the more likely he will encounter tough weeks, and not just cherry-pick the "easy" weeks.
This year, I have begun to list everyone who has participated at least 60% of the time and has a pick accuracy of at least 60%. After the rough weeks we just endured, that list has shrunk. We were down to sixty-two and sixty-four the past two weeks. This week, it took nine weeks of participation to meet the 60% threshold for minimal participation. We lost a few eight-week wonders, and a few others whose scores tanked this week. Only forty-two qualified this week.
As mentioned earlier, our leader played the first nine weeks and has disappeared. Congratulations in absentia - again - to jhcrouch3. When he last played, he was in the top ten, but his score has held up as our scores have plummeted. Our former second place, Marquis00, is gone, as he stopped playing after eight weeks. APerfectStar and Cowboy Joe swapped places this week being ahead of and behind oldboysfan.
Our consensus score is 125 after fourteen weeks. That makes the bottom of this table, with just a smidgen over 60% accuracy. Those who have missed time can compare their accuracy and see where they would fit compared to the full-timers.
Here are all forty-two who have played at least 60% of the weeks, and have gotten at least 60% of their picks right.
2015 Pick 256 Top Percentage (minimum nine weeks participation and 60% accuracy) | |||||||
Entrant | Percent | Wins | Weeks | Entrant | Percent | Wins | Weeks |
jhcrouch3 | 0.6667 | 88 | 9 | Markythearky | 0.6111 | 110 | 12 |
APerfectStar | 0.6534 | 115 | 12 | gwzahn7 | 0.6106 | 127 | 14 |
oldboysfan | 0.6490 | 135 | 14 | I'm_people_too | 0.6106 | 127 | 14 |
Cowboy Joe | 0.6485 | 107 | 11 | MinasIthil92 | 0.6106 | 127 | 14 |
Aggie Man | 0.6346 | 132 | 14 | Rdbull1 | 0.6106 | 127 | 14 |
revellyre | 0.6346 | 132 | 14 | Starheel42 | 0.6106 | 127 | 14 |
Ncstar | 0.6340 | 123 | 13 | Hav157 | 0.6103 | 83 | 9 |
Fred G Samford | 0.6250 | 120 | 13 | BOWAC1 | 0.6089 | 109 | 12 |
Cowboys Win | 0.6229 | 109 | 12 | Canadian Cowboy_74 | 0.6082 | 118 | 13 |
1Missouricowboysfan | 0.6202 | 129 | 14 | cwby4lf | 0.6058 | 126 | 14 |
YumaCactus | 0.6180 | 110 | 12 | dtwmm | 0.6058 | 126 | 14 |
D-Bomb | 0.6173 | 100 | 11 | mahenza | 0.6058 | 126 | 14 |
timani | 0.6173 | 100 | 11 | Roun2It | 0.6058 | 126 | 14 |
Dobanion | 0.6164 | 90 | 10 | HowleyAtTheMoon | 0.6042 | 116 | 13 |
Katana | 0.6154 | 128 | 14 | calmadhd | 0.6037 | 99 | 11 |
Millard Fillmore | 0.6154 | 128 | 14 | The Tower | 0.6037 | 99 | 11 |
Normrock | 0.6154 | 128 | 14 | aaa61aaa | 0.6010 | 125 | 14 |
1Bullseye | 0.6146 | 118 | 13 | bartman | 0.6010 | 125 | 14 |
klkmainiac | 0.6146 | 118 | 13 | Blue & silver | 0.6010 | 125 | 14 |
lucke | 0.6146 | 118 | 13 | Max2 | 0.6010 | 125 | 14 |
jimmy.marshall2 | 0.6133 | 111 | 12 | Reno Cowboy | 0.6010 | 125 | 14 |
Again, I invite you to come back to this page throughout the weekend for my updates (comments) as the other games progress.
Week #15 contest is already open. Please post your picks before the Thursday game kicks off, or you will miss out on having your picks count for each game.
Look for I Did the Math sometime this weekend.