Welcome to Week Six, NFL bettors.
Week Five was a bounce back week for the projections, as I was able to go 10-3 on the Money Line, the best results from the season. I was able to go 7-6 Against The Spread (ATS), but I misread the trends dealing with the Over/Unders yet again. In Weeks 3 & 4, half of the games went Under, after two weeks of most totals going over. So of course, I went with that trend and got reamed, as nine of the 13 contests went Over.
The moral of the story, I can tell who's gonna win, do an average job of predicting by how much, and have no idea how many points will be scored.
There are quite a few tasty matchups to view this weekend, most notably the 4:15 ET Sunday tilt between our 2-2 Dallas Cowboys and the 4-1 New England Patriots. Also in the late game slot is the suddenly injury-plagued Houston Texans traveling to Maryland to face off against the 3-1 Ravens, who are also coming off a bye like Dallas. The Texans will be without Andre Johnson for at least a couple weeks and Mario Williams for the season. New Orleans (4-1) faces off against NFC South Rival Tampa Bay (3-2) as the Bucs return home to lick their wounds after a 48-3 drubbing at the hands on San Fran.
The early games are highlighted by the 4-1 49ers traveling to the Motor City to take on the undefeated 5-0 Lions. Also on the 1 o'clock slate is a battle between the two best teams in the Empire State, as Buffalo (4-1) travels south to take on the New York Giants (3-2).
That's plenty of day time action for NFL fans to follow, which is a good thing because the two night matchups are a little low on the excitement scale. Minny travels to Chicago for an NFC North battle Sunday evening, and winless Miami tries out Matt Moore while facing the under-performing Jets on Monday night.
Follow the jump to take a look at the lines and the predictions for Week 6.
I'll highlight my featured five, Against the Spread predictions.
|St Louis @ Green Bay||1p||Rams||14||PACKERS||48||Packers||Packers||Over||48-10|
|Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh||1p||Jaguars||12||STEELERS||40.5||Steelers||Jaguars||Over||24-20|
|Philly @ Washington||1p||REDSKINS||1.5||Eagles||47.5||Eagles||Eagles||Under||23-17|
|San Francisco @ Detroit||1p||49ers||4||LIONS||46.5||49ers||49ers||Under||27-24|
|Carolina @ Atlanta||1p||Panthers||4||FALCONS||51||Falcons||Panthers||Over||31-28|
|Indianapolis @ Cincinnati||1p||Colts||7||BENGALS||41||Bengals||Colts||Over||24-20|
|Buffalo @ NY Giants||1p||Bills||3.5||GIANTS||50||Bills||Bills||Under||27-21|
|Houston @ Baltimore||405p||Texans||8||RAVENS||44.5||Ravens||Texans||Under||21-17|
|Cleveland @ Oakland||405p||Browns||6.5||RAIDERS||44.5||Raiders||Browns||Over||27-24|
|Dallas @ New England||415p||Cowboys||7||PATRIOTS||55.5||Cowboys||Cowboys||Over||31-27|
|New Orleans @ Tampa Bay||415p||BUCS||4.5||Saints||49.5||Saints||Saints||Over||31-20|
|Minny @ Chicago||830p||Vikings||3||BEARS||42||Bears||Bears||Under||24-17|
|Miami @ New York Jets||M835p||Dolphins||7||JETS||42.5||Jets||Jets||Under||27-13|