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Dallas Cowboys Week 15 Power Rankings: NFC Playoff Race Tightening Up

With the division title up for grabs in the NFC East, and two wildcard spots left, which of the six remaining contenders have the best chance at postseason spots?

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John Grieshop

Just as we thought Week 14 could potentially provide a little more clarity in the NFC playoff race, almost all NFC wildcard contenders won their games. Three teams are at 8-5 (Giants, Seattle and Chicago) three more are right behind them at 7-6 (Dallas, Washington, Minnesota).

How do you rank these teams now? Do you go by which team had the largest marging of victory? By which team disappointed the most? By which team played the toughest game?

Whatever the preferred method, the pigskin prognosticators across the nation have once again thrown out some power rankings for your reading pleasure, and we look at how the Cowboys held up against the five other teams in contention for an NFC wildcard spot.

Opinion-based rankings

Week 15 (previous rankings in parenthesis) 12th (16th). "The emotion of the past few days might sink in soon, so they have to be prepared to move on. Are they good enough?"

ESPN: 13th (16th). "Winning four of five has put the Cowboys on the fringe of playoff contention. Can they weather the injury storm and cash in? (Graziano)"

Pro Football Weekly: 13th (16th). "Rallied for huge win, on the road, following Saturday’s tragedy."

SB Nation: 13th (16th): "Dallas overcame tragedy to beat the Bengals. Avoiding the letdown game will be difficult."

Fox Sports: 13th (18th). "The Cowboys are now one game above .500 and beat their first team that entered the game with a winning record on Sunday, but I'm not sure they can sustain it through the final three games. Losing Dez Bryant for the season would be detrimental." 14th (15th). "Dramatic and emotional comeback win in Cincinnati for the Cowboys, who are still mourning the death of practice squad player Jerry Brown. Tony Romo’s comeback may have saved the season." expert rankings: 14th (15th). Elliott Harrison ranks the Cowboys 15th and provides the blurb: "This defense played most of the second half without its starting nose tackle, defensive end, inside linebacker, other inside linebacker, right cornerback, slot cornerback and strong safety. Yet Rob Ryan's unit held a team averaging 25.2 points per game under 20. Considering everything else this organization was dealing with, you have to tip your cap to the Dallas Cowboys. Unfortunately, there is no respite for this organization. Dez Bryant, who came up a finger long against the Giants two months ago, might be a finger short of finishing the 2012 season." 16th (17th). "In honor of Jerry Brown, Don't Drink and Drive, in any situation."

Stat-based rankings 9th (10th). BeatGraphs provide rankings where if team A has beaten team B [insert some math here] team A will be ranked above B.

Massey-Peabody: 12th (13th). These guys generate their predictions by working up from play-by-play data to calculate a performance figure for rushing, passing, scoring and play success. And today, they provide an interesting divisonal ranking graph to decorate our power rankings:

Divisions_14_medium 13th (22nd). This site measures the relative strength of all teams using team performance, home/away status, margin of victory and other factors.

Oddsshark: 14th (14th). Oddsshark use a multitude of stats to establish an offensive and defensive power ranking, which they then adjust for the strength of schedule.

Sagarin NFL rankings: 14th (15th). These are rankings based on W/L record, points differential and schedule strength.

Advanced NFL Stats: 16th (18th). The Cowboys are ranked 15th on offense and 17th on defense.

WhatIFsports: 23rd (16th). These guys simulate every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and use the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate every team, with updated rosters and depth charts.


The table below summarizes the power rankings for the six teams in contention for the NFC wildcard spots.

Nyg_medium Sea_medium Chi_medium Was_medium Dal_medium Min_medium
Record 8-5 8-5 8-5 7-6 7-6 7-6
Playoff Odds 73% 90% 66% 37% 23% 11% 7 10 11 15 12 17
ProFootballWeekly 5 8 12 11 13 16
Foxsports 7 8 12 11 13 14
SBNation 7 11 15 10 13 14
ESPN 7 10 11 12 13 16
Newsday 6 10 12 11 14 13 5 9 13 11 14 16 7 9 11 12 16 14
Avg.Opinion-based 6.3 9.3 12.1 11.6 13.5 15.0
Beatgraphs 5 8 5 18 9 21
Massey-Peabody 10 6 13 18 12 22
Team Rankings 7 6 15 9 13 17
Oddsshark 12 4 6 9 14 22
Sagarin Ratings 5 6 7 12 14 15
AdvancedNFLStats 7 4 14 9 16 26
Whatifsports 10 9 7 16 23 13
Avg. Stat-based 8.0 6.1 9.5 13.0 14.4 19.4
Total Average 7.1 7.8 10.9 12.2 13.9 17.0

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