NFL teams have combined for 4,928 points in 2013, the most points through seven weeks in NFL history. The previous high was 4,803 points last season. That record total equates to 46.10 points per game. If the current average stays at this pace, it would rank as the second-highest of any season in history (1948, 46.48 points per game).
Teams have combined to score 542 touchdowns, the most at this point in NFL history (529 in 2002). Of the 542 touchdowns, 331 have been TD passes, the most through the first seven weeks of any season. The previous high was 314 in 2012.
If you like your football with an Arena League flavor, you'll probably love the NFL matchups this weekend. One of the stats I like to look at the most closely over the season is passer rating differential, the difference between a team's offensive passer rating and its defensive passer rating. Good teams consistently have a positive differential, bad teams consistently have a negative differential. This weekend features an exceptionally high number of games in which there's a significant gap between in the passer rating differential of both teams, as the table below illustrates:
|Passer Rating Differentials (PRD) 2013|
|Game||PRD Away Team||PRD Home Team||Difference|
|SF @ JAC||11.3||-44.3||55.6|
|WAS @ DEN||-18.7||33.4||52.0|
|SEA @ STL||34.7||-13.2||47.9|
|CAR @ TB||16.9||-22.3||39.2|
|GB @ MIN||7.5||-25.5||33.0|
|BUF @ NO||-0.7||25.5||26.2|
|NYJ @ CIN||-13.2||10.6||23.9|
|CLE @ KC||-7.3||14.4||21.7|
|NYG @ PHI||-22.2||-1.6||20.6|
|ATL @ ARI||1.1||-17.7||18.7|
|PIT @ OAK||6.3||-11.7||18.0|
|DAL @ DET||14.2||12.3||1.9|
|MIA @ NE||1.1||3.0||1.9|
Take the second game in the table, Washington @ Denver: The Broncos have an offensive passer rating of 122.7 and a defensive passer rating of 89.4 for a passer rating differential of 33.3, second best in the league behind the Seahawks. The Redskins on the other hand have a fairly low offensive passer rating of 83.4 and one of the highest defensive passer ratings of 102.1. As a result, their passer rating differential of -18.7 ranks 28th in the league. The difference between the two PRDs is 53.9, the second highest such value this weekend.
The difference in PRDs is fairly pronounced in 11 out of 13 games, an indication that we could see some fairly lopsided games this weekend. The only two games that promise to be a little more tightly contested (at least on paper) are the Dolphins @ Patriots and the Cowboys @ Lions. Naturally, you'd expect our panel to be split down the middle in those two games, but is it?
Here are our picks for Week 8, 2013.