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Week 4 NFL Picks: Cowboys, Redskins Picked To Win; Giants, Eagles Not So Much

Over the first three weeks, games in the NFL have been closer than ever before. That makes picking winners and losers difficult. We try anyway.

By One Cool Customer
Christopher Hanewinckel-US PRESSWIRE

If you had money riding on the games last weekend, chances are you are not a happy camper right now. It's been a strange first three weeks for the NFL. Close games have been a staple of the 2012 NFL season:

  • Six of the 16 games in Week 3 were decided by seven points or fewer, bringing the season total to 28. That is the most through Week 3 in NFL history, two games ahead of the previous record from 1988.
  • Also in Week 3, four teams came back from fourth-quarter deficits to win, bringing the total for the season to 18 fourth-quarter comebacks, the second most through Week 3 of any season in NFL history, just one game behind the record set in 2011.

How are you supposed to pick winners in a league where games are this close? We try anyway. Below are all our picks for Week 4, 2014.

Dawn Joey KD Junior Captain_medium Emmittintro_medium Dr_fate_medium BTB Logo

Coty Dave Dawn Joey KD OCC rabble Tom Consensus
Season Record 27-21 36-12 31-17 31-17 27-21 33-15 31-17 33-15 33-15
Percentage .563 .750 .646 .646 .563 .688 .646 .688 .688
Last Week
 10-6 11-5 8-8 8-8 9-7 8-8 7-9 10-6 10-6

SF (-3) @ STL Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Stl_medium Sfx_medium Sfx_medium Stl_medium Sfx_medium
PIT (-2.5) @ MIN Pit_medium Min_medium Pit_medium Min_medium Pit_medium Pit_medium Min_medium Pit_medium Pit_medium
BAL (-3) @ BUF Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium Bal_medium
CIN (-4.5) @ CLE Cin_medium Cin_medium Cin_medium Cin_medium Cin_medium Cin_medium Cin_medium Cin_medium Cin_medium
IND (-8.5) @ JAC Ind_medium Ind_medium Ind_medium Ind_medium Ind_medium Ind_medium Ind_medium Ind_medium Ind_medium
SEA (-2.5) @ HOU Hou_medium Hou_medium Hou_medium Hou_medium Hou_medium Sea_medium Sea_medium Sea_medium Hou_medium
ARI @ TB (-3) Tam_medium Tam_medium Ari_medium Ari_medium Tam_medium Tam_medium Tam_medium Tam_medium Tam_medium
CHI @ DET (-2.5) Chi_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium Det_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium Chi_medium
NYG @ KC (-4.5) Kan_medium Kan_medium Kan_medium Kan_medium Kan_medium Kan_medium Kan_medium Kan_medium Kan_medium
NYJ @ TEN (-3.5) Ten_medium Ten_medium Ten_medium Ten_medium Nyj_medium Ten_medium Ten_medium Ten_medium Ten_medium
DAL (-2) @ SD Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium Dal_medium
WAS (-3) @ OAK Was_medium Oak_medium Was_medium Was_medium Was_medium Oak_medium Was_medium Was_medium Was_medium
PHI @ DEN (-10.5) Den_medium Den_medium Den_medium Den_medium Den_medium Den_medium Den_medium Den_medium Den_medium
NE @ ATL (-2)
 Atl_medium Atl_medium Atl_medium Atl_medium Nep_medium Atl_medium Nep_medium Nep_medium Atl_medium
MIA @ NO (-6.5) Nos_medium Nos_medium Mia_medium Mia_medium Mia_medium Nos_medium Nos_medium Mia_medium Nos_medium

Here's an overview of the different team records possible after Week 4, and the historic chances of making the playoffs with each record. For the Cowboys, a win in San Diego would further improve their playoff odds - and with a likely Eagles loss in Denver, a win would give the Cowboys a nice early cushion in the NFC East.

Playoff odds based on Week 4 W/L records, since 2002
Record after Week 4 4-0 3-1 2-2 1-3 0-4
Total Teams
 34 90 113 77 38
Playoff Teams 28 54 41 9 0
Percentage 82.4% 60.0% 36.3% 11.7% 0.0%

With all of that in mind, how do you like the Cowboys' chances of advancing to 3-1 this weekend?

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