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Good things happen to teams that advance to 4-1. Since realignment in 2002, 45 of the 63 teams (71.4%) that started the season 4-1 made the playoffs.
The Cowboys are currently sitting at 3-1, and the historic playoff odds of 3-1 teams over the last 12 years were 57.9% (55 of 95). In case of a win on Sunday, their odds climb to 71.4%. In case of a loss, the odds drop to 47.6%, as the table below illustrates:
That's quite a significant drop, and one reason why it's better to be 4-1 than 3-2. It's also one reason why our entire panel today is pulling for a Cowboys win. Below is a look at all our picks for the Week 5 action. Let us know what you think about the picks, and don't forget to enter our Pick 256 challenge this week - if you haven't already done so.
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| Dave | Dawn | Gary | Joey | Keg- bearer | Neithan | OCC | rabble | Tom | BTB Users | Con- sensus | |
| 2014 Record |
34-27 | 33-28 | 37-24 | 38-23 | 37-24 | 34-27 | 38-23 | 37-24 | 33-28 | 38-23 | 38-23 |
| 2014 Percentage | .557 | .541 | .607 | .623 | 607 | .557 | .623 | .607 | .541 | 623 | .623 |
| Record Week 3 |
7-6 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 8-5 | 8-5 | 8-5 |
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| MIN @ GB (-8) |  |
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GB: 97% | |
| CHI @ CAR (-2.5) |  |
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CHI: 65% | |
| CLE @ TEN (-2) |  |
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CLE: 82% | |
| STL @ PHI (-7) |  |
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PHI: 79% | |
| ATL @ NYG (-4) |  |
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ATL: 57% | |
| TB @ NO (-10) |  |
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NO: 97% | |
| HOU @ DAL (-6) |  |
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DAL: 98% |
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| BUF @ DET (-7) |  |
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DET: 93% | |
| BAL @ IND (-3.5) |  |
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IND: 63% | |
| PIT (-6.5) @ JAC |  |
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PIT: 96% | |
| ARI @ DEN (-7) |  |
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DEN: 86% | |
| KC @ SF (-6) |
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SF: 54% | |
| NYJ @ SD (-6.5) |
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SD: 99% | |
| CIN (-1) @ NE |
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CIN: 80% | |
| SEA (-7) @ WAS |  |
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SEA: 99% | |
Don't forget to submit your picks for the BTB Pick 256 Challenge
Pick 256 is a season-long contest in which BTB members and readers get to pick the straight-up winners for all games each week. If you haven't yet submitted your picks, now would be a good time, here's the link to the entry form.
If the link above doesn't work for whatever reason, use the following alternative, which does not autopopulate your BTB user name into the entry form.
Alternative Pick 256 Entry Form
Good luck.