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2014 NFL Projected Over/Under Win Totals For All 32 Teams

NFL season win totals for the 2014 season are in and they have the Cowboys in a tight race for last place in the NFC East.

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The preseason gives football fans endless opportunity to speculate on what each team's W/L record will be at the end of the regular season. And while football fans speculate, the Vegas odds makers have already made up their mind what those win totals will look like, and will take your money, thank you very much, if you think their win total projections are either too low or too high.

Online sportsbook Bovada have recently updated their over/under for the 2014 regular season win totals for every NFL team, and they have the Denver Broncos as the best team in the league with an over/under of 11.5 wins. The Broncos are followed by the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks with an over/under of 11 wins. Rounding out the teams with double-digit over/under totals are the San Francisco 49ers with 11.0.

We know of course that Vegas’ favorite team are Uncle Sam's Greenbacks. If the sportsbooks over- or undervalue a team, they run the risk of losing money. So with their over/unders, the sportsbooks are really just trying to play against the bettors. They want the betting to be even on both sides so their "win projections" are essentially an educated guess at where they think bettors are going to bet.

The sportsbooks have put the over/under for the Cowboys at 7.5 wins this year, which is down from their 8.5 over/under wins for the Cowboys they projected at the start of last season. But before you put too much faith in these projections, consider that the 2013 Falcons and 2013 Texans were projected to win their divisions last year with  10 and 10.5 over/under wins respectively. The Texans finished 2-14, the Falcons finished 4-12 last year.

In the NFC East, the Eagles are projected to take the division (9.0) wins, narrowly beating out the Giants (8.5 wins), while the Cowboys and Redskins battle for last place in the division (both with 7.5 wins).

You will find the over/under totals for all 32 teams in the table below, conveniently arranged in a league standings table. Note that where teams have the same odds in a division, the teams are arranged alphabetically.

National Football Conference
NFC East Proj. Wins
Philadelphia Eagles 9.0
New York Giants 8.5
Dallas Cowboys 7.5
Washington Redskins 7.5
NFC North Proj. Wins
Chicago Bears 8.5
Detroit Lions 8.5
Green Bay Packers 8.5
Minnesota Vikings 6.0
NFC South Proj. Wins
Atlanta Falcons 8.5
Carolina Panthers 8.5
New Orleans Saints 8.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8.5
NFC West Proj. Wins
Seattle Seahawks 11.0
San Francisco 49ers 10.5
St. Louis Rams 8.5
Arizona Cardinals 7.5
American Football Conference
AFC East Proj. Wins
New England Patriots 11.0
Miami Dolphins 7.5
New York Jets 7.0
Buffalo Bills 6.5
AFC North Proj. Wins
Cincinnati Bengals 9
Baltimore Ravens 8.5
Pittsburgh Steelers 8.5
Cleveland Browns 6.5
AFC South Proj. Wins
Indianapolis Colts 9.5
Houston Texans 7.5
Tennessee Titans 7.0
Jacksonville Jaguars 5.0
AFC West Proj. Wins
Denver Broncos 11.5
Kansas City Chiefs 8.0
San Diego Chargers 8.0
Oakland Raiders 5.0

We know that every year, the NFL churns about half of its 12 playoff participants. Yet this fairly conservative projection seems to be content to maintain the status quo, as the odds look remarkably like the final standings of last season, with only minor changes here or there.

So what will it be for you, the over or the under on the Cowboys' 7.5 win projection?

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