FanPost

Pick 256 - 2015 Week #8 Report

The thrill of victory, and the agony of defeat. Anyone my age remembers those famous words, part of the open for ABC's Wide World of Sports. That sports variety show was a staple of the 1960s and into the 1970s.

I relived those words watching this weekend's NFL action through the eyes of Pick 256 participants. From the Thursday night and Sunday (London) one-sided contests to the flow and outcome of the early games, we were on an unprecedented roll. Our consensus kept racking up wins, and got all the way to 8-0, with many maintaining the same pace.

The late games were kicking off, so most of us turned attention to the Cowboys, but others - by choice, or by what the local station(s) chose to show - watched the drama of the final two early games. Somehow, Tampa Bay came from behind and forced overtime in Atlanta. Then, they marched down the field and kicked a field goal. Most of us were surprised, because 96% of us had ATL, and expected Matty Ice to lead the Falcons right down the field, score a touchdown, and keep our record intact.

Others watched the seesaw passing exhibition between the Giants and Saints. It behooved the Cowboys for the Saints to win, because 1) Cowboys had already lost to the Saints, and 2) it would keep the Giants within striking distance. After leading most of the game, the Saints had fallen behind. But, a late touchdown from the Saints tied the game. Then, the Saints were the recipient of one of the stranger twists of fate, allowing them to receive a punt, return it to midfield, fumble, recover (different player) and advance the recovery (not permitted in the final two minutes), get a penalty for a facemask during the advancement, and have time to line up and kick a game-winning field goal.

That allowed our consensus to escape and continue perfection at 9-0. But, the Falcons failed us. So, we finished the early games 9-1, with several Pick 256 players matching that score.

Then came the agony - three losses, by our Cowboys and by two other teams that 72% or more of us had favored. What looked so great earlier in the day (our record plus the door open for the Cowboys to regain control of their destiny) turned into Cinderella at midnight.

We were that close to closing the weekend with four consecutive losses before CAR rallied to hold off IND in a rain-soaked overtime game.

But, through it all, we had some excel, and finish the weekend with 12-2 marks. Not me.

I picked some upsets. All made sense. Through the first half, two looked very good (CLE and PIT). Both faded in the end, and my only successful "upset" was DEN over GB. I was THAT close to pulling the trigger on TB and OAK (then, I would have looked more like a genius), but I didn't want too many underdogs in my picks, so I picked "safe" picks in those games.

Oh, well, on to the tables.

After a bump up last week, we were back to "normal" - reduced participation and a few new players.

Here is the Participation Table, tracking the first eight weeks:

Participation
Week Total This Week New This Week 2015 Total
1 557 557 557
2 463 83 640
3 392 27 667
4 346 43 710
5 293 13 723
6 245 7 730
7 281 29 759
8 221 9 768

I'm not sure if you noticed, but if you try to post picks after the Thursday game has kicked off and you find the contest closed, you may not be completely out of luck. Yes, I know that's the rule that One.Cool.Customer has made for this contest, but he is allowing greater flexibility this year. If you slam into that STOP sign, and have a great reason, email O.C.C (in his profile) and explain your circumstances. He might permit you to post picks for the other games (not the one that is in progress).

We had one do that this week, giving us 221. Now, being a veteran of our previous contest, he only submitted ten picks. So, you will notice that four of our games had 220 picks, and others had 221. That was not an error in tabulation, but that player's failure to make picks in all the games. I cannot criticize him, because he scored higher on his ten picks (8) than I did on my fourteen picks (7).

We broke away from our herd mentality a little this week. All but two of our games had 70% or more of us favoring one team. But, those two were statistical tossups, as we were 52-48% in those two games.

All our losses were big this week. Our "best" loss was SEA over DAL (72% had DAL). Our worst loss was TB over ATL (96% had ATL). Only eight people picked the Bucs.

Here are our consensus picks for week #8:

Week #8 Results
Win Consensus Winners Lose
212 Arizona @ Cleveland 9
209 @ St. Louis San Francisco 12
206 @ Carolina Indianapolis 15
191 @ New Orleans New York Giants 30
189 @ New England Miami 31
174 Minnesota @ Chicago 47
164 Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh 57
160 @ Kansas City Detroit 60
116 @ Baltimore San Diego 105
115 @ Houston Tennessee 106
Win Consensus Losers Lose
61 Seattle @ Dallas 160
59 @ Oakland New York Jets 162
54 @ Denver Green Bay 166
8 Tampa Bay @ Atlanta 212

Through the first two weeks, our Pick 256 consensus has lined up with the Front Page Writers' consensus in every single game. In week #3, we finally had one discrepancy (we favored BUF and they favored MIA). We won that one, and established a lead of one game.

In week #4, our picks were again identical in all fifteen games, so we maintained that lead. In week #5, we actually had discrepancies in two games. One went our way (way to go, guys, picking NE over DAL), and the other went their way (PHI over NO). So, our one-game lead was maintained for the third consecutive week.

For the third week in a row, we reverted back to the same pattern of following the herd (at least, the FPWs). Once again, our consensus mirrored theirs in all fourteen games. So, by matching them - again - we maintain - for the sixth week - our one-game lead.

Here's the table tracking the weekly consensus scores of Pick 256 participants and the Front Page Writers:

2015 Pick 256 Consensus / Front Page Writers
Week Games Pick 256 Wins FPW Wins
1 16 11 11
2 16 7 7
3 16 13 12
4 15 10 10
5 14 9 9
6 14 9 9
7 14 9 9
8 14 10 10
Total 119 78 77

For the fourth time in five weeks, our top weekly score was 12. And, we had four players achieve that score. To achieve that score, they had to get two right out of the three in a row that our consensus missed (both late games and Sunday night), plus score the 9-1 record earlier.

Well done, Canadian Cowboy_74, dallasdave1966, Nova84, and YumaCactus. You navigated this week's mine field better than anyone else and need to be commended. Actually, I recognize the first three and only commend YumaCactus. Why? He is the only one of the four who picked DAL, and was one of the eight to pick TB (his other miss was CHI). The other three all picked SEA, missed ATL, and one other different game each (NYJ, NYG, and GB).

Here are the week #8 scores of all 221 participants:

Week #8 Scores
Entrant This Week Entrant This Week Entrant This Week Entrant This Week
Canadian Cowboy_74 12 momtiller 10 NCstar 9 Thinkman 8
dallasdave1966 12 muskokacowboy 10 Normrock 9 Tigercowboy 8
Nova84 12 newwallOD 10 NutriaBoudin 9 Truebluedcfan 8
YumaCactus 12 Oldeschool 10 Pnut Gallery 9 Witten mittens 8
bartman 11 OldStray2-Dog 10 Rajohnnn 9 33lmitch 7
c.matson18 11 Pagrebo 10 Realist Larry 9 camrin55 7
chappycav 11 Papa Hendu 10 ROYALFLUSH 9 cOUboy12 7
JayRosser27 11 ptp39 10 Sandmann 9 dcfansinceiwasababy 7
lucke 11 RoSHa 10 Sir Robin 9 DezBrogden88 7
Millard Fillmore 11 scottysd 10 stanthecowboyfan 9 Disciple027 7
MUTTS 11 Sean N 10 Tallgrass Prairie 9 dtwmm 7
oldboysfan 11 since '66 10 The Tower 9 dWhisper 7
revellyre 11 Slaxok 10 tmaeus 9 Effinefferseffeneffed 7
Ride Together, Die Together 11 tbar1 10 Trent Schoneweis 9 FloridaBoys 7
SicLaw 11 timani 10 Uriahchase 9 hookerhome 7
sixrings09 11 Timmy G 10 Vancity Cowboy 9 Howleyesque 7
Smax17177 11 TNCowbyfan 10 yushay bohra 9 Lajitas Lava 7
snipeb41 11 TRAVLR 10 1Bullseye 8 Mark Barrington 7
Starheel42 11 Troy 10 banananas 8 Paul Schork 7
Stevefromerrick 11 UTcowboy 10 Bud 8 qcisco 7
Terry 11 1MissouriCowboysFan 9 carguy102 8 quinduno 7
thesirknight 11 50yrcowboy 9 Chad Loveland 8 ROWDY GARCIA 7
WilliamC 11 AnderJ86 9 cjs.93 8 Ryan Keeling 7
4evercowboy 10 AzDbackfanInDc 9 CowboyInLA 8 scotscowboyfan 7
aaa61aaa 10 Benthere 9 CowboyOcelot 8 Shadowcat 7
Aggie Man 10 BWaj22 9 CowboysFan_Nepal 8 starmesh23 7
angie'sdad 10 cap2vator 9 daboyz21 8 TCullen88 7
ansky23 10 cow2boys 9 Dithanial 8 The Sethnicity 7
APerfectStar 10 CowboysNation 9 Dr Carl 8 Wfldude@gmail.com 7
apprentice_curmudgeon 10 damnarab2 9 duffer33 8 Windmill 7
BayouCowboys 10 dandeogden 9 EFtheGiants 8 wittenfan 7
bellaspoppy2012@gmail. Com 10 DandyDanny 9 Flowerman1dallas 8 adamjamessaul 6
CapitalT 10 D-Bomb 9 Funoldman 8 Blue & silver 6
Cowboys Win 10 Dcowboy8 9 Glenstorm68 8 burrito electrico 6
cowtownNcowboysfan 10 Densa 9 Gregory_Regularly 8 calmadhd 6
CTCowboy 10 DoomsDay Dub 9 Hoss98271 8 Dealataunt 6
cwby4lf 10 enogueras 9 IcyVeins 8 goddard55 6
DarthGrumpa 10 Frank Stanford 9 I'm_people_too 8 lenboy 6
dentltek 10 Fred G Samford 9 Jackson Smith 8 Mikhaili 6
doubleleg 10 GalTex 9 jamiebeers11 8 notquiterite 6
earl 10 hbtc 9 JJ for President 8 shooter09 6
gwzahn7 10 holyroof 9 JJ's evolution 8 Silverblue 6
HowleyAtTheMoon 10 ICanSeeJerryWorldFromHere 9 JonnyDanger 8 slowmotion80 6
ibleedcowboyblue 10 indus_creed 9 k@s! 8 Spaceball 6
JDobermans 10 Jebediah Flibberbrush 9 MidKnightDreary 8 Speedy1211 6
jhcrouch3 10 Jessy S 9 oddsbettor 8 StarJohn 6
Johnny Cleanpants 10 jimmy.marshall2 9 PAPAGDAVIS69 8 switters023 6
just-the-facts 10 j-man 9 PrfBrain 8 thorns 6
Katana 10 jwdge 9 Reno Cowboy 8 Tr1v1al 6
kethry1313 10 Kwikwetlam Texan 9 ringking 8 AKCOWBOYFAN 5
klkmainiac 10 LoboTX 9 Roun2It 8 Lcdano24 5
mahenza 10 makeit6 9 SoCalCowboysFan12 8 Rdbull1 5
maragath 10 Max2 9 Starfire6 8 T Zig 5
Markythearky 10 milehightexan 9 TazJr89 8 upfrunt 5
Marquis00 10 MinasIthil92 9 Tennessee_Jed 8 Yellowbeard 5
meisternance 10

After jesting each week about the new leader having to wear the special shirt from Target with the bullseye on the back, revellyre responded and threw down some smack. He actually wanted one of those shirts and welcomed the challenge. He pledged to not be a one-week wonder.

He kept his word, and is still on top. He and oldboysfan maintained their positions at the top, but all the others at the top faded a bit, opening up a little bit of daylight at the top. Note the two-game gap between second and the third-place tie, and two more games before the fifth-place tie. Tenth place is six games behind after eight weeks with only nine weeks remaining.

Here are the scores from all 768 who have participated at least once this season:

2015 Pick 256 Full Scoreboard
Entrant Overall Entrant Overall Entrant Overall Entrant Overall
revellyre 85 holyroof 60 eightball 21 BigDaddyB 10
oldboysfan 84 indus_creed 60 iv 21 Bignate 1911 10
Normrock 82 MontyMoose 60 kaevando 21 BradyTucker 10
Nova84 82 notquiterite 59 MidKnightDreary 21 burmoodisland 10
1Missouricowboysfan 80 quinduno 59 oaktree1992 21 Carpet Farmer 10
jhcrouch3 80 rptril 59 smashmouth9473 21 Corona38 10
Millard Fillmore 80 toke08 59 tattooed cowboy 21 cowboy of the north 10
ptp39 80 burrito electrico 58 BrooklynSpur 20 Cowboymark 10
Timmy G 80 Dobanion 58 DEL1SLE 20 CSteez903 10
1Bullseye 79 momtiller 58 Evil.Dr.Porkchop 20 Cutlermatt 10
Aggie Man 79 Nord15 58 jrmysell 20 DallasStarTk 10
timani 79 Pnut Gallery 58 Waterfall88 20 DavidGtripleD 10
aaa61aaa 78 Silverblue 58 austin.j.5 19 DC4Lyfe 10
cwby4lf 78 Supherbyus 58 badboyz 19 Dcuff 10
I'm_people_too 78 tenkin 58 DocOcho 19 DefenselessNUN 10
MinasIthil92 78 Truck2015 58 Farrah's daddy 19 DemigodH 10
PAPAGDAVIS69 78 Wfldude@gmail.com 58 gabrielau23 19 dirtycallahan 10
Rdbull1 78 BC3 57 jockmeister 19 Double T 10
Ride Together, Die Together 78 cjs.93 57 LovecraftMan 19 dougm 10
Roun2It 78 Funoldman 57 makeit6 19 dpyburn 10
Troy 78 Hav157 57 NorthStar99 19 Dre0023 10
Cowboys Win 77 Jesse-GA 57 pb1976 19 fubanger 10
cowtownNcowboysfan 77 The Tower 57 Robsa 19 geneb 10
Starheel42 77 FullMetalAg 56 StarloverinWNC 19 Grizzy C 10
Trent Schoneweis 77 JonnyDanger 56 Str8outtaAk 19 Halconegro 10
Truebluedcfan 77 Thinkman 56 The_Ineluctable_Kruppe 19 Hejbr 10
cap2vator 76 33lmitch 55 TheYoungin_DT 19 Hobsoncherry 10
DarthGrumpa 76 AnderJ86 55 Zmen 19 Howabouttheboys 10
EFtheGiants 76 DallasCowboys1960 55 Bobboluga 18 illcowboy 10
HowleyAtTheMoon 76 DandyDanny 55 codydoser 18 Jedamac 10
JJ for President 76 Goody4 55 cow2boys 18 JJQB12 10
j-man 76 viciousphilpy 55 Divinelysilver 18 Johnmckee9002@gmail.com 10
mahenza 76 ArgentinaJr 54 LET300ZX 18 jsrdc 10
MUTTS 76 BigHat in NewTexas 54 Loren L Smith 18 KAYCEEWIN 10
Realist Larry 76 DemBoyz88 54 tkena 18 kcwjr1973 10
RoSHa 76 Dithanial 54 ToddJ 18 kvonkoe 10
snipeb41 76 jayrosser27 54 bigcheez01 17 liquidblake 10
Stevefromerrick 76 Rohpuri 54 Blackwulff 17 Lo2ken 10
thesirknight 76 StarJohn 54 Colonel Duke Lacross 17 LOCALPRES 10
UTcowboy 76 T Zig 54 dashington 17 Mercury55@gmail.com 10
bartman 75 wildtigger2 54 Enja 17 MFFLWhoWontEverPullADeandre 10
Benthere 75 delete6673 53 GeeManne 17 ModernDayCowboy 10
c.matson18 75 ICanSeeJerryWorldFromHere 53 Glory Daze 17 Momoney8822 10
dtwmm 75 jtiddahr 53 hophead929 17 MVaughn93 10
duffer33 75 marcelookobe 53 kartmanj 17 Nicolás 10
earl 75 ReaperMadness 53 Ludawg70 17 nomad555 10
GalTex 75 Speedy1211 52 MAESTASJ5798 17 nvme4evr 10
gwzahn7 75 Mattattack 51 OmahaCowboy 17 Pokes4ever 10
JDobermans 75 ROD 51 SpanishHarlem 17 rick.croissette 10
Jebediah Flibberbrush 75 BigAl86 50 tabennett5438 17 Specific 10
Katana 75 DeAndre is a Pussy 50 thepainster 17 suddendeath88 10
Max2 75 Jim Vance 50 tjack321 17 Tex-Mex 10
OldStray2-Dog 75 qcisco 50 2doubledrops 16 TheIronCowboy09 10
Shadowcat 75 westmodelmarket 50 Bvanzanman 16 TMoney_1674 10
Sir Robin 75 GunsUp 49 cardsandguitars 16 Trbingbc 10
SoCalCowboysFan12 75 mik888 49 ctwhynot 16 USMarineVet 10
TazJr89 75 Nap 49 Dankdabe 16 Wojo 10
Terry 75 Niland76 49 Doc_J 16 AzDbackfanInDc 9
Vancity Cowboy 75 nreyesjr02 49 DorieStreet 16 Bigttech 9
ansky23 74 oddsbettor 49 Gary Morris 16 Bradford216 9
Blue & silver 74 tman9476 49 Jeff Landrith 16 coffeesodabeer 9
Frank Stanford 74 DalaiLuke 48 jetpoker1 16 Cold Beer 9
Glenstorm68 74 Gregory_Regularly 48 MCross212 16 Craigthomas5747@gmail.com 9
ibleedcowboyblue 74 Old Frog 48 mfoster 16 dapiercy70 9
lenboy 74 rhbgsherb 48 papichulo 16 Deztiny84 9
maragath 74 shooter0909 48 Rick322 16 fear_the_star 9
Ncstar 74 ginge159 47 rt1691rt 16 Flyeaglesfly 9
Reno Cowboy 74 pugbuddy 47 DeMarcoFan29 15 freightgod 9
since '66 74 Big_Country 46 DGxl86 15 HappyGilmour 9
Smax17177 74 Hobbes42 46 MontysCowboys 15 hellonwheels 9
yushay bohra 74 San Antonio Al 46 Omar Little 15 huds5321 9
apprentice_curmudgeon 73 vectorspace 46 slspf2 15 i\nb7 9
D-Bomb 73 cahbro32 45 thorns 15 Jackie23 9
Dcowboy8 73 DoubleAgent008 45 tk1011971 15 Lako 9
Densa 73 Haribo 45 WichapiOyate! 15 LandryWazzaHornToo 9
FloridaBoys 73 Jfinch027 45 Zak 15 Lawham83 9
JJ's evolution 73 JollyRancher 45 1youngwiz 14 ledick 9
LoboTX 73 RReed43 45 Bigspoon 14 Loab 9
newwallOD 73 amkaam051203 44 cowboykid 14 MeatPopsicle 9
Rajohnnn 73 BlueFlash 44 ELDS 14 Modernjosh 9
Sandmann 73 Starfire6 44 Mr.Amazing 14 Oldtexasguy 9
Sean N 73 transmogrifier 44 Raymon945 14 Pantera 9
Spaceball 73 HonorTheStar 43 Roro Brown 14 Pkenny1046@yahoo.com 9
stanthecowboyfan 73 bigoljimbo 42 wheelz909 14 poppaskeeter 9
starmesh23 73 Brasher 42 AndyJ53583 13 PuckFilly 9
tbar1 73 chrisvegas 42 BigD_83 13 Rayman2434@@aol.com 9
tmaeus 73 aat2326 41 Byrdie 13 ROYALFLUSH 9
WilliamC 73 damnarab2 41 CoCo 13 Scott McDowell 9
4evercowboy 72 EduardoColon 41 Cowboys4lyfe 13 small change 9
camrin55 72 FanSince_64 41 CTRealdeal 13 StillStorming 9
CapitalT 72 florida dodger 41 Go rafa 13 streetse 9
carguy102 72 King Man 41 Herman 13 taa49er2001@yahoo.com 9
cOUboy12 72 LightningFast67 41 John neiderer 13 Tanner Choate 9
CowboysFan_Nepal 72 adamkacp 40 King of the Eagles 13 The_Leftside 9
CTCowboy 72 Asburystrider 40 Raptizzle 13 thelastpatriot 9
Dealataunt 72 BWaldrep 40 ROWDY GARCIA 13 therealjdj 9
jwdge 72 meangrant 40 Thestarsshinebright 13 Tuan Huynh 9
klkmainiac 72 bullnuke 39 tutx88 13 Wiseattack 9
Marquis00 72 BurntOrangeBenjamins88 39 wizkidbill 13 xboxdre 9
meisternance 72 Disciple027 39 ahillaker 12 Yoshicopter 9
scottysd 72 B1llyP1lgr1m 38 brookln231 12 69DHynes69 8
Tallgrass Prairie 72 CowboysFan_4_Life 38 Castaway42 12 Amold 8
Witten mittens 72 jgoddard8409 38 Clint.Underhill 12 bartoh 8
BayouCowboys 71 jordanch68 38 CoreyAdkison88 12 BartonHsieh 8
BWaj22 71 Junkyard Dog 38 CowboysNJ 12 bigtiny 8
DezBrogden88 71 thelunatic 38 cowgirl22 12 bkeith71 8
enogueras 71 Toast can post 38 crowboy 12 Blue Crew 8
Howleyesque 71 Wildhair 38 Desert Cowboys 12 Call4randy 8
jimmy.marshall2 71 coolmajaka 37 dhenri99 12 cb1214 8
just-the-facts 71 S.Fisher 37 Donilama 12 cgp16 8
kethry1313 71 Splyle 37 dowdj 12 chuck-D 8
Pagrebo 71 BarbarianLou 36 Es 12 coleslaw34 8
Ryan Keeling 71 ScottB1985 36 Fryguy22 12 creelll 8
Upfrunt 71 nealmcb 35 Gabby T 12 crj2012 8
Uriahchase 71 nepacowboy 35 hardhitten82 12 Daddy Cool 8
wittenfan 71 Nikeorlipstick 35 HEpennypacker 12 dallas4life 8
chappycav 70 Rathos 35 irvingcowboy 12 dallasindc 8
Johnny Cleanpants 70 Tigercowboy 35 JayGilly97 12 DkGottiline33 8
shooter09 70 WeDemBois 35 JT1878 12 Dremont 8
sixrings09 70 BR47 34 leo.lara.718 12 gokepo 8
Tennessee_Jed 70 rainmaker411195 34 lonewolfz28 12 GreenMtnCloud 8
Canadian Cowboy_74 69 DarkKnight88 33 lucky.expert 12 Hiles_BigD#09 8
Chad Loveland 69 LRogue 33 MBoehm 12 Hoss98271 8
Dr Carl 69 zad 33 MikeV 12 IcyVeins 8
goddard55 69 Zubius 33 Passthedamnball 12 IrishP1 8
Mark Barrington 69 DayLate$$Short 32 penater 12 Jackson Smith 8
PrfBrain 69 Fighter15 32 p-town cowboy 12 jamiebeers11 8
Vector_41 69 Ispeakredneck 32 Scott_Partridge 12 Jbezie23 8
Yellowbeard 69 neon greon 32 skalathil 12 Jbilskie1 8
50yrcowboy 68 eldofin 31 TCWilly33 12 kloostee 8
dandeogden 68 Luc in Chile 31 Texhorns 12 Lindavaldes 8
hookerhome 68 CDMac24 30 Wreck'emCowboys 12 Ludawg69 8
Kwikwetlam Texan 68 cowboyofthenorth 30 andrew 11 Matthew Hardy 8
NutriaBoudin 68 DemMyBOYS 30 Arigata 11 -Maverick- 8
scotscowboyfan 68 eyelikeaces 30 Backspin.hegone 11 Mordregard 8
az_dave 67 Frammis 30 BigDinTX 11 NineToesBlogging 8
Bud 67 Johnny-Boy 30 bprince81 11 njmiller21 8
CowboysNation 67 ketom1220 30 cart 11 Oh Snap 8
daboyz21 67 KTC1 30 Cartr1dgeBased 11 ringking 8
Markythearky 67 LizardState 30 cd-41 11 scary_cowboy 8
MS Cowboys Fan 67 mtibus 30 Chrisman 11 Smummm 8
muskokacowboy 67 Nations 30 Dallas Dave 1966 11 tmillner0682 8
Paul Schork 67 NCHeelsBoysFan 30 DallasORL 11 tom68 8
SHDad 67 neithan20000 30 david.sunlin 11 Westtp 8
slowmotion80 67 Shaymer 30 dcfnlv 11 wgr56 8
Tr1v1al 67 Tony Marez 30 DECOWBOY 11 WiseGuys 8
angie'sdad 66 bcomets 29 Demboys46290 11 yobwoc 8
dcfansinceiwasababy 66 Briley Fuller 29 derrick2960 11 Z0827 8
Fred G. Samford 66 Drjaliver 29 dexwheeler 11 adrian.arroyo.108 7
Lcdano24 66 E.J. Lucero 29 Drive47 11 bks316 7
The Sethnicity 66 radomane 29 Dsilli 11 Canadian Cowboy 7
APerfectStar 65 snath 29 DWombat 11 dallaskid917 7
behind.enemylines 65 Steve1968 29 Fletcherbooth@bellsouth.net 11 Daniel Griffith 7
BishopWest 65 TheTraverse 29 Fullhouse 11 Dri 7
boys.camncrew 65 Through Thick And Thin 29 Gar 11 ffxsnpxn 7
CowboyOcelot 65 tony_supporter 29 Hi5wadey 11 Fryguy2231 7
dentltek 65 Utmodisette 29 Joego38.jw@gmail.com 11 James197099 7
Flowerman1dallas 65 wayne.tanner.58 29 Joey2zs 11 Jmilt80 7
Lajitas Lava 65 BlueFalcon14 28 jppalmer1284 11 MSPorscheGirl 7
milehightexan 65 Chuck Sisco 28 KenOak 11 Sean Sullivan 7
YumaCactus 65 hfd14c 28 kevinhaji 11 shortycool500 7
Effinefferseffeneffed 64 KRO 28 kid1856 11 sjshell1 7
adamjamessaul 63 trevorDinc 28 latking 11 strobman 7
calmadhd 63 Wdcoker1954 28 Llama_from_Dallas 11 TCullen88 7
CowboyInLA 63 connery 27 LordOrr 11 toolman63164 7
hbtc 63 Cowboys63 27 louluvball 11 Trublu81 7
k@s! 63 Donny84 27 maxdallasfan 11 Truck Driver 7
lucke 63 Mathewstcb 27 mikedmartin 11 Windmill 7
Mikhaili 63 SlaxOK 27 NickyNineToes 11 Winniebini 7
TNCowbyfan 63 10centjimmy 26 njc003 11 Carlo69 6
YaBoyRyan 63 Azrakal 26 oeg76876 11 cbf4life 6
bdub91 62 CaliforniaAggie 26 Oleysoccer11 11 Champs 6
doubleleg 62 clearwall 26 Raven20 11 dale tisdale 6
Jessy S 62 mpolino 26 richte42 11 dallasmadness 6
switters023 62 Trufus 26 rpainterj 11 DC forever 6
banananas 61 jmoody68 25 scraig2015 11 Fred Ward 6
BOWAC1 61 Merc WithA Mouth 25 splitbtw 11 icebowl68 6
cradily55 61 True Blue-liever 25 stevena852@gmail.com 11 Jgonz5266 6
DoomsDay Dub 61 Dallas Cowboys fan 24 SUMMONE4645 11 Raywhite76 6
dWhisper 61 gcorneli24 24 test 11 Sacatomato Horn 6
oddgood 61 Jcgallagher1 24 The Final Dez-tination 11 saudifan 6
Oldeschool 61 JeffBroChill421 24 treythaman 11 stellarowl12 6
Papa Hendu 61 Roger Williams 24 Vegas Cowboy 11 Thanh Le 6
RobP S.A.T. 61 Whak 24 winton1963 11 tleroy1217 6
SicLaw 61 BoyfromOz 23 Yannigan 11 WILB21 6
TheRedWunder 61 Divinelysilver&blue 23 Zrb50 11 cheez01 5
TRAVLR 61 coachjjr 22 ahug 10 jaz22@att.net 5
AKCOWBOYFAN 60 Jakuando 22 amazingguy 10 SDTrueblue 5
BigBad Joe 60 RAMASON 22 ambi 10 cuzo956 4
Cisco79 60 amorgan641964 21 ashanem 10 Sam 4
Cowboy Joe 60 bigdan 21 bellaspoppy2012@gmail. come 10 wm1990 4
FBH1636 60 Dallasdave1966 21 BeWareOfDa88Ghost 10 maguilar 2

Finally, and I always close with this, is the Pick Accuracy table. This is designed to recognize and reward players who play most weeks, but miss one or more throughout the season. It is not designed to recognize or reward "one-week wonders", who play once, post a great score, and disappear.

In my opinion, that means that participants need to play most weeks. So, I am generally only going to include scores here of those who have played at least 60-70% of the time. So, to make this week's list, you need to have played five of the eight weeks. That eliminates one of the two part-timers (missed at least one week) who have been outpicking the top of the overall scoreboard.

APerfectStar missed the first two weeks and has played all six since, tracking and pacing the overall leaders. Well done! Big_Country, on the other hand, played the first four weeks and hasn't been back. He would have had to have returned this week and posted a 10 or more to maintain his position. With only those four appearances in eight weeks, he is not included this week.

If you have missed a week or two, look to see your name and percentage. See which eight-week players' scores you fit between. That's where you would rank if you had played every week.

Because of ties and my enjoyment of round numbers (I have previously listed the top ninety and hundred scores), this week my usual cutoff spots had ties. So, I expanded to find a place to make a smooth break.

Here are the top one hundred twenty scores of those who have played at least five weeks:

2015 Pick 256 Top Percentage (minimum four weeks)
Entrant Percent Wins Weeks Entrant Percent Wins Weeks
APerfectStar 0.7471 65 6 thesirknight 0.6387 76 8
revellyre 0.7143 85 8 UTcowboy 0.6387 76 8
oldboysfan 0.7059 84 8 az_dave 0.6381 67 7
klkmainiac 0.6990 72 7 Bud 0.6381 67 7
D-Bomb 0.6952 73 7 Markythearky 0.6381 67 7
Normrock 0.6891 82 8 MS Cowboys Fan 0.6381 67 7
Nova84 0.6891 82 8 muskokacowboy 0.6381 67 7
marcelookobe 0.6883 53 5 SHDad 0.6381 67 7
Marquis00 0.6857 72 7 Nord15 0.6374 58 6
BOWAC1 0.6778 61 6 Truck2015 0.6374 58 6
1Missouricowboysfan 0.6723 80 8 mik888 0.6364 49 5
jhcrouch3 0.6723 80 8 Nap 0.6364 49 5
Millard Fillmore 0.6723 80 8 Niland76 0.6364 49 5
ptp39 0.6723 80 8 nreyesjr02 0.6364 49 5
Timmy G 0.6723 80 8 tman9476 0.6364 49 5
Papa Hendu 0.6703 61 6 JDobermans 0.6356 75 8
RobP S.A.T. 0.6703 61 6 angie'sdad 0.6346 66 7
TheRedWunder 0.6703 61 6 Hav157 0.6333 57 6
Cowboy Joe 0.6667 60 6 Lajitas Lava 0.6311 65 7
1Bullseye 0.6639 79 8 YumaCactus 0.6311 65 7
Aggie Man 0.6639 79 8 bartman 0.6303 75 8
timani 0.6639 79 8 Benthere 0.6303 75 8
Jim Vance 0.6579 50 5 c.matson18 0.6303 75 8
Canadian Cowboy_74 0.6571 69 7 dtwmm 0.6303 75 8
Vector_41 0.6571 69 7 duffer33 0.6303 75 8
aaa61aaa 0.6555 78 8 earl 0.6303 75 8
cwby4lf 0.6555 78 8 GalTex 0.6303 75 8
I'm_people_too 0.6555 78 8 gwzahn7 0.6303 75 8
MinasIthil92 0.6555 78 8 Jebediah Flibberbrush 0.6303 75 8
PAPAGDAVIS69 0.6555 78 8 Katana 0.6303 75 8
Rdbull1 0.6555 78 8 Max2 0.6303 75 8
Ride Together, Die Together 0.6555 78 8 OldStray2-Dog 0.6303 75 8
Roun2It 0.6555 78 8 Shadowcat 0.6303 75 8
Troy 0.6555 78 8 Sir Robin 0.6303 75 8
Cowboys Win 0.6525 77 8 SoCalCowboysFan12 0.6303 75 8
Dobanion 0.6517 58 6 TazJr89 0.6303 75 8
momtiller 0.6517 58 6 Terry 0.6303 75 8
DeAndre is a Pussy 0.6494 50 5 Vancity Cowboy 0.6303 75 8
rptril 0.6484 59 6 BC3 0.6264 57 6
toke08 0.6484 59 6 cjs.93 0.6264 57 6
The Tower 0.6477 57 6 Jesse-GA 0.6264 57 6
dandeogden 0.6476 68 7 Old Frog 0.6234 48 5
cowtownNcowboysfan 0.6471 77 8 rhbgsherb 0.6234 48 5
Starheel42 0.6471 77 8 FullMetalAg 0.6222 56 6
Trent Schoneweis 0.6471 77 8 JonnyDanger 0.6222 56 6
Truebluedcfan 0.6471 77 8 ansky23 0.6218 74 8
Fred G. Samford 0.6408 66 7 Blue & silver 0.6218 74 8
Funoldman 0.6404 57 6 Frank Stanford 0.6218 74 8
cap2vator 0.6387 76 8 Glenstorm68 0.6218 74 8
DarthGrumpa 0.6387 76 8 ibleedcowboyblue 0.6218 74 8
EFtheGiants 0.6387 76 8 lenboy 0.6218 74 8
HowleyAtTheMoon 0.6387 76 8 maragath 0.6218 74 8
JJ for President 0.6387 76 8 Ncstar 0.6218 74 8
j-man 0.6387 76 8 Reno Cowboy 0.6218 74 8
mahenza 0.6387 76 8 since '66 0.6218 74 8
MUTTS 0.6387 76 8 Smax17177 0.6218 74 8
Realist Larry 0.6387 76 8 yushay bohra 0.6218 74 8
RoSHa 0.6387 76 8 Hobbes42 0.6216 46 5
snipeb41 0.6387 76 8 Dithanial 0.6207 54 6
Stevefromerrick 0.6387 76 8 jayrosser27 0.6207 54 6

Again, I invite you to come back to this page throughout the weekend for my updates (comments) as the other games progress.

Week #9 contest is already open. You do not have to wait for One.Cool.Customer's next contest page to post week #8 picks. Use (and bookmark) the same link you have been provided each week. Please post your picks before Thursday night kicks off.

Closing Word - I was asked by revellyre this week how we were doing compared to last year. I responded that I would have to look it up. The easiest way was to refer to my FanPost reporting on last year's week #8. My suspicion was that we were not doing as well, because our pick accuracy percentage is down (almost no one outside the top of the scoreboard is above 70%).

Here is my FanPost from last year, reporting on week #8 (the Cowboys' upset loss to WAS). We were on perfection watch, as one of our players was 14-0 with only a Cowboys win on Monday night standing in the way of our first-ever perfect score. Alas, DcfansinceIwasababy lost her quest for perfection, as she and the Cowboys fell short that night.

Observations from last season:

  • participation is declining noticeably; we have more total participants this year after week #8 (768-707), but the weekly participation has fallen off. We have been below 300 the past four weeks, and only had 221 this week. Last year, none of the first eight weeks dropped below 300
  • our pick scores are lower this year through eight weeks. Note, however, that because of byes, there were 121 games played through eight weeks last year, and only 119 this week this year. This year, our Pick 256 consensus is on top of the Front Page Writers (78-77). Last year, we trailed (83-81). That implies that the games were tougher to pick correctly this season. Last year's leader, Dcowboy, had a runaway lead (90-86) over second-place Jebediah Flibberbrush (who ended up winning the championship). This year's top scores are "only" 85-84 (again, in two fewer games)
  • pick accuracy is also down this year. Last year, Dcowboy had the top pick accuracy score (just a whisker below APerfectStar this year), and much better than our current overall leader revellyre. Last year I included three and four-week players in the pick accuracy table; this year, only those who have played at least five weeks. Comparing apples to apples, last year, there were five players who had played at least five weeks and had pick accuracy of at least 70%. This year, there are only three. Last year, the bottom score (an eleven-way tie for 79th) had 78 right through the eight weeks, and a percentage of 0.6446. That score would make this week's first column (47th place).

If you ever want to know something like that (how we did back on ...), feel free to review my FanPosts. After the first year (2011), I include the year and the week in all the Pick 256 and 10-for-10 FanPosts. I'll be celebrating a milestone next month. This FanPost is my ninety-sixth. I look forward to sharing cake and ice cream on my hundredth.

Another user-created commentary provided by a BTB reader.