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2018 Super Bowl Odds: Cowboys Tied With Falcons For Fifth-Best Odds

The Super Bowl is still over a week away but we already have new Super Bowl odds for all 32 teams next year!

Out with the old and in with the new. Super Bowl LI hasn't even been played yet and we already have new Super Bowl odds! Sure, the Patriots and Falcons are the two teams left standing at the end of this season, but that doesn't mean they are necessarily also the top two teams when it comes to next year's odds. The Falcons for example are tied for just the fifth-best Super Bowl odds next year.

One reason for those odds is that from a historical perspective, the odds are stacked against either of this year's finalists making it back to the Super Bowl next year:

Season Super Bowl Winner Next season Loser Next season
2015 50 Broncos missed playoffs Panthers missed playoffs
2014 XLIX (49) Patriots Conference Championship Seahawks Divisional Round
2013 XLVIII (48) Seahawks Super Bowl loser Broncos Divisional Round
2012 XLVII (47) Ravens missed playoffs 49ers Conference Championship
2011 XLVI (46) NY Giants missed playoffs Patriots Conference Championship
2010 XLV (45) Packers Divisional Round Steelers Wildcard Round
2009 XLIV (44) Saints Wildcard Round Colts Wildcard Round
2008 XLIII (43) Steelers missed playoffs Cardinals Divisional Round
2007 XLII (42) NY Giants Divisional Round Patriots missed playoffs
2006 XLI (41) Colts Divisional Round Bears missed playoffs
2005 XL (40) Steelers missed playoffs Seahawks Divisional Round
2004 XXXIX (39) Patriots Divisional Round Eagles missed playoffs
2003 XXXVIII (38) Patriots Super Bowl winner Panthers missed playoffs
2002 XXXVII (37) Buccaneers missed playoffs Raiders missed playoffs
  • Of the 28 teams participating in the last 14 Super Bowls, 12 missed the playoffs entirely the next season.
  • Only five of those 28 teams made it beyond the Divisional Round the following year.
  • Only twice over the last 14 years since realignment has a Super Bowl participant made it back to the Super Bowl the following year, the Patriots in the 2003 & 2004 seasons, and the Seahawks in 2013 & 2014 seasons.

So let's take look at which teams the Vegas bookmakers see as the favorites for the Super Bowl next year. The Patriots open as the favorites for 2018 on the assumption that Tom Brady (who'll be 40 years old next year) doesn't retire after this season. They are followed by the Packers, Steelers, and Seahawks. The Cowboys open at +1200, which ties them at fifth overall with the Atlanta Falcons, according to the latest odds from

A lot can happen between now and the end of next season. Last year at around this time, the Cowboys were tied for the fifth best Super Bowl odds together with the Cardinals, Panthers, and Bengals. Of those four teams, only the Cowboys even made the playoffs.

Here's how the 32 NFL teams stack up in the early Vegas odds for the 2018 Super Bowl.

Team Odds Team Odds
New England Patriots +500 Baltimore Ravens +4000
Green Bay Packers +1000 Miami Dolphins +4500
Pittsburgh Steelers +1000 Tennessee Titans +5000
Seattle Seahawks +1100 Washington Redskins +5000
Atlanta Falcons +1200 New Orleans Saints +5500
Dallas Cowboys +1200 Cincinnati Bengals +6000
Kansas City Chiefs +1800 Philadelphia Eagles +6000
Oakland Raiders +1800 Jacksonville Jaguars +6500
Carolina Panthers +2000 Los Angeles Chargers +6500
Denver Broncos +2500 Detroit Lions +7500
New York Giants +2500 Buffalo Bills +10000
Houston Texans +3300 Los Angeles Rams +12000
Indianapolis Colts +3300 New York Jets +12000
Minnesota Vikings +3300 Chicago Bears +15000
Arizona Cardinals +3500 San Francisco 49ers +20000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3500 Cleveland Browns +25000

Futures odds for Super Bowl LII show the Cowboys among the early favorites, and as a strong favorite to win the NFC East.

There are lots of things that can change between now and the end of the 2016 season, but these odds are a strong indicator that the betting public believes the window for the Cowboys to be a Super Bowl contender is wide open, and may be for a few more years.

The Cowboys have 21 unrestricted free agents, but the core of their roster will remain intact. All seven Pro Bowlers are still under contract, and the strong 2016 draft class led by Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott will likely play an even bigger role next year. Plus they'll have the draft and free agency to add the pieces that will get them beyond the divisional round of the playoffs next season.

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