clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Packers @ Cowboys expert picks: First team to 30 points wins?

A sampling of picks made for the Packers @ Cowboys game suggests everybody and their uncle expects a shootout in Dallas. We'll see about that.

NFL: NFC Divisional-Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

The Packers offense will have lots of opportunities against the Cowboys defense, just as the Cowboys offense will have lots of opportunities against the Packers defense. Which means we could be in for a high-scoring contest.

Accordingly, the over/under for the game is set at a relatively high 52.5, the highest value of the weekend. Out of the eight experts who predict a score below, six are taking the over, and expect the combined score in Sunday's game to exceed the 52.5.

Of course, all of this just makes it more likely that the exact opposite will happen, and that the game will be a low-scoring nailbiter. Such is the way of expert predictions with regards to the Dallas Cowboys.

Let's take a look at what our panel of prominent pigskin pundits predict for the game:


Miami Herald (Cote): Cowboys 30, Packers 27

These are two of NFL's most storied franchises, and when they last met, in the 2016 playoffs, Green Bay won a thriller, 34-31, in Dallas – the second time in three years the Pack had ousted the 'Boys from the postseason. Revenge time? I think so. As much as I always hesitate to pick against Aaron Rodgers, anywhere, I like Dallas at home behind that stout offensive front, which I see finally paving the way to a breakout game from Ezekiel Elliott, who has disappointed with a pedestrian 3.6 rushing average thus far. And Dak Prescott has 109.6 rating in past seven home games. Cowboys D will miss injured linebacker Sean Lee, but 'Boys bring a bit more desperation here as season makes its turn from first quarter to second.

Pittsburgh Post-Gazette (Dulac): Cowboys 34 - Packers 31

The Packers, who are 3-0 at home, aren’t the same team on the road. At least, they weren’t in Atlanta. But they did beat the Cowboys in Arlington in last season’s divisional playoff game, 34-31. And the Cowboys didn’t look so tough at home against the Rams last week, losing by almost the same margin.

Pro Football Talk (Smith): Cowboys 24, Packers 23

In a rematch of a good playoff game from last year, the Cowboys will get their revenge and win a narrow game over the Packers.

Toronto Sun (Randall the Handle): Cowboys

The Packers travel for only the second time this season with the first trip resulting in a 34-23 pounding at Atlanta. Green Bay has been able to hide its cluster of injury problem against teams like the Bengals and Bears but it’s very likely that the truth gets revealed in this one. First area of concern is the offensive line that has not faced a pass rush like the Cowboys will deploy upon Aaron Rodgers. The Packers don’t have tackles playing their natural position, forcing them to go with a line full of guards. That has had Rodgers on his back 15 times already, good for fourth most overall. Green Bay is also thin at cornerback and at running back. Dallas QB Dak Prescott should be able to take advantage of his opponent’s woes as he has the playmakers in the passing game and is afforded the luxury of having Ezekiel Elliott in his backfield. The ’Boys are revenge minded from last year’s playoff loss and they have next week off, allowing for full focus here.


NFL (Harrison): Packers 30, Cowboys 27

No Sean Lee could mean doom for the Cowboys. The Packers' running game showed a little pep last week with rookie third-stringer Aaron Jones seeing significant action for the first time. The Dallas run defense, which finished first in the league last season, has been gashed by the Broncos and Rams. Imagine if the Cardinals had David Johnson's services when they played Dallas in Week 3. All of this leads to Aaron Rodgers enjoying a few favorable matchups whenever the Cowboys creep into the box. Rodgers' pass rating keeps climbing: 86.5 in Week 1, 90.7, 102.6 and then a healthy 128.0 in last week's blowout of the Bears. He's made big throws in Dallas before.

Pro Football Talk (Florio): Packers 30, Cowboys 24

Last year, a Week Six win over the Packers in Green Bay put everyone on notice that the Cowboys are back. This year, a date with the Packers will put everyone on notice that the Cowboys are back to being not back.

LA Times (Farmer): Packers 30, Cowboys 21

The Cowboys defense isn’t very good and it’s missing a lot of players. Green Bay’s offense is banged up but the Packers will be getting some players back. Go with Aaron Rodgers over Dak Prescott.

CBS (Prisco): Packers 30, Cowboys 24

The Cowboys lost to the Rams at home last week, which showed their defensive flaws. That's not a good thing against Aaron Rodgers. Green Bay has fought through a bunch of injuries, but should get a lot of guys back for this one. They get it done on the road.

Sporting News (Steele): Packers 31, Cowboys 24

Their recent playoff face-offs always make these regular-season games so rich with drama. Who has time to still be salty about whether Dez caught it in Lambeau Field, when now one can be salty about that final Packers march in Arlington last January? Home-field in the playoffs should be at stake … yes, it’s too early to start doubting the Cowboys that drastically. It’s not too early to doubt whether their defense can slow, let alone stop, Aaron Rodgers.

New York Times (Hoffman): Packers

In a Week 4 loss to Los Angeles, the Cowboys (2-2) picked up where they left off in the second half of their Week 3 win over Arizona, scoring touchdowns on three consecutive drives. The second half was a different story, as the Rams tightened and Dallas’s offense disappeared. Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott are talented enough to bounce back and put up points against Green Bay, but short of DeMarcus Lawrence, the Cowboys have relatively few defensive players who can intimidate Aaron Rodgers and the Packers’ offense.


Do you think the Cowboys will be able to score 30+ points on Sunday? And more importantly, do you think that will be enough?

Sign up for the newsletter Sign up for the Blogging The Boys Daily Roundup newsletter!

A daily roundup of all your Dallas Cowboys news from Blogging The Boys