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FanPulse: Cowboys and Texans fans are both bad at predicting games, but both predict a win on Sunday

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Who will be right?

NFL: Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

Every week many of you here at BTB are polled on various things concerning the team and matters across the NFL. This is part of SB Nation’s new FanPulse tool. Sign up for the Cowboys FanPulse here to take our weekly surveys.

One of the things each fan base is asked every week has to do with their upcoming game and the confidence surrounding it, from a point-spread perspective. Fans are asked how many points they expect their team to win or lose by. It’s interesting to see which fan bases have the best grip on their team so far this season.


Cowboys fans predicted a loss for the first time this season, thankfully they were wrong

Heading into last week confidence was pretty low for the Cowboys fan base (6%). It was no shocker all things considered when the fans predicted Dallas to lose, but it was the first time through four games that a loss was predicted.

As you know the Cowboys defeated the Lions by a narrow margin which might make their fans all the less confident since they thought Detroit would win the game. Predicting games is a hard thing to do, and it’s not one that Cowboys fans are relatively good at.

  • Week 1: FanPulse predicts Cowboys win by 6 (Panthers), Cowboys lose by 8
  • Week 2: FanPulse predicts Cowboys win by 4 (Giants), Cowboys win by 7
  • Week 3: FanPulse predicts Cowboys win by 6 (Seahawks), Cowboys lose by 11
  • Week 4: FanPulse predicts Cowboys lose by 1 (Lions), Cowboys win by 2

Cowboys FanPulse season record: 1-3


Texans fans had gotten down on themselves, and they were even wrong there

Those that have made the incorrect choice in life in terms of which NFL team to root for in the Lone Star State have had a rough season so far. The Texans started off 0-3 and were staring a fourth loss in a row before Indianapolis Colts head coach Frank Reich got a little risky.

While Houston ended up coming out on top in Indy, Texans fans had had enough before the game even kicked off. They were also winless when it came to predicting games prior to Week 4 because, well, they kept predicting wins.

  • Week 1: FanPulse predicts Texans win by 2 (Patriots), Texans lose by 7
  • Week 2: FanPulse predicts Texans win by 8 (Titans), Texans lose by 3
  • Week 3: FanPulse predicts Texans win by 1 (Giants), Texans lose by 5
  • Week 4: FanPulse predicts Texans lose by 4 (Colts), Texans win by 3

Texans FanPulse season record: 0-4


Both Texas teams are feeling confident coming off of wins

Confidence is up for both the Cowboys and Texans, 29% and 21% respectively, and both fan bases are expecting a win on Sunday night. Barring a tie, which is certainly possible, only one can walk away victorious, so who will it be?

Cowboys fans think Dallas will win by 4, and Texans fans think Houston will win by half of that amount. Maybe rooters of America’s Team are feeling a little bit more confident, but to be fair the Cowboys have twice as many wins as the Texans.

The last time these two teams met the game went to overtime and was ultimately decided by three which is the average of the two predictions. Maybe we’re in store for something of that magnitude this weekend, hopefully we’re on the right end of it if that ultimately does come to be.

While we’re at it as far as wishing for things to repeat, let’s hope something like this happens again as well.