It is hard to not get excited about the Cowboys passing attack this upcoming season. Kellen Moore is back in the fold, Mike McCarthy gets to put his fingerprints on the offense, and there is a ton of talent on that side of the football for the Dallas Cowboys.
With Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, and CeeDee Lamb out wide, Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard in the backfield, and Blake Jarwin now free from Jason Witten’s shadow at the tight end position, it might be challenging for Dak Prescott to feed everybody with equal targets.
Cooper has been the number one option since arriving in Dallas, while Gallup is ascending player that is scratching the surface of his potential. There is a ton of hype surrounding the talented Lamb, but it might actually be Jarwin that is in store for a big, breakout season in 2020.
Blake Jarwin is Dak Prescott’s second most efficient target since 2016.
Prescott has thrown to many different players since entering the league in 2016. Dez Bryant, Cole Beasley, Terrence Williams, and Jason Witten headlined his rookie campaign. Then there was the receiver-by-committee experiment with Allen Hurns, Deionte Thompson, and Tavon Austin. Now, Prescott is surrounded by his best supporting cast yet.
To no surprise, Dak Prescott is most efficient when throwing the ball Amari Cooper’s way. Cooper has emerged as one of the best receivers in the game while catching passes from Prescott. A little more surprising, though, is who Prescott is second most efficient when throwing to.
Marcus Mosher tweeted out a graphic on Friday that gives us a look at when Prescott is most efficent throwing the football. Second on the list is Blake Jarwin. The tight end is listed above the likes of Gallup, Beasley, and Randall Cobb.
Furthermore, when just looking at last season alone, the efficiency rises from 9.55 to 10.37 when Prescott is targeting the former undrafted tight end:
This was Dak Prescott's efficiency last season by target.— Marcus Mosher (@Marcus_Mosher) July 3, 2020
Whenever Prescott wasn't throwing to Witten or Elliott, he was unstoppable. pic.twitter.com/1qDlhdwBkG
As Mosher notes, Prescott was really good throwing the football to just about everybody on the offense, but it is still interesting how efficient the Cowboys quarterback is when looking for Jarwin. Prescott and Jarwin have had some big games — the two that jump to mind are the Giants game to end the 2018 regular season and the Giants game to open the 2019 campaign.
The two connected 10 times for 158 yards — good for an average of nearly 16 yards per reception — and four touchdowns combined in those two outings. Jarwin also added a 42-yard score against New York in last November’s meeting.
The Cowboys should pay Dak ASAP so the Blake Jarwin breakout season can take full effect pic.twitter.com/ATflgCJKEU— Billy M (@BillyM_91) May 9, 2020
This is not to say that Jarwin is going to blossom into an elite tight end in 2019, but it is interesting that the Oklahoma State product has provided Prescott with an efficient option in the passing game. Jarwin has the opportunity to really make a name for himself in 2020 as defenses are occupied attempting to slow down the three-headed monster at wide receiver.
In a piece written for the Dallas Morning News, John Owning looked at the film to see if 2020 could be a breakout season for Jarwin. Owning pointed out Jarwin’s athletic profile as a reason why he could make a jump with more opportunities.
Listed at 6-5 and 250 pounds, Jarwin is an explosive athlete who possesses exceptional ball skills — showing reliable hands on passes above his eyes, below his hips and in traffic — and yards-after-catch (YAC) ability.
Jarwin’s YAC ability isn’t due to magical creativity and elusiveness in the open field. Instead, Jarwin uses the George Kittle method in that he attacks north-south immediately, builds momentum and challenges much smaller defensive backs to stop him.
Jarwin is an ever-improving route runner who has the speed and change-of-direction ability to separate from linebackers along with the size, strength and know-how to box out defensive backs at the catch point. For a 250-pound man, Jarwin does a good job of getting in-and-out of his breaks to create or maintain separation.
The Cowboys signed Jarwin to a three-year extension back in March. NFL writer Nate Tice believes the fourth-year player “is poised for a breakout 2020”.
The #Cowboys signed TE Blake Jarwin to a 3 year extension this off-season and that money is going to be well spent. Even as a role player, Jarwin stands out in the passing game as a big, athletic target with flashes of a developed route tree. He is poised for a breakout in 2020. pic.twitter.com/jsXfVQRPzw— Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) March 30, 2020
If you’re looking for a player on the Cowboys that could take a big leap in year-one of the Mike McCarthy era, look no further than Blake Jarwin.