According to his projections, the Cowboys will win the NFC East with a 10-6 record, finishing ahead of the Eagles (8-8), Washington (5-11), and the Giants (2-14). That’s 25 combined wins for the NFC East, the lowest of any division in the NFL, at least in this projection.
Here’s how Davis explains his projection for the Cowboys:
They’re under new (middle) management with coach Mike McCarthy returning to the NFL after a one-season sabbatical. But the retention of coordinator Kellen Moore, who oversaw 2019’s top-ranked offense, should provide a dose of continuity for a club that appears to have a significant talent gap – veteran DE Everson Griffen joins first-round WR CeeDee Lamb as major additions – on the rest of this division. And if you’re a fan of trivial trends, the last time Dallas didn’t finish in first place in an even-numbered year … was 2012. A hot start seems reasonable given they’ll face just two 2019 playoff teams prior to their Week 10 bye.
So the Cowboys may have a leg up on a weak NFC East, but apparently their talent won’t take them far in the playoffs; Davis has the Cowboys losing to the Bucs at home in the wildcard round.
Offseason projections and rankings mean very little when teams haven’t played a single snap of competitive football and the nation has a pandemic to deal with. Still, it’s nice to see a projection that has the Cowboys comfortably taking the NFC East. But an early playoff exit ... really?!