NFL Week 6 betting preview: Cowboys -3.5 point favorites at New England

We’re into Week 6 of the 2021 NFL regular season. Before the games kick off this Sunday, here’s your Week 6 betting preview. (Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Record YTD: 21-4

Biggest Favorite: Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-10)

Highest Over: Kansas City Chiefs at Washington Football Team OVER 54

Lowest Under: Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 42.5

Four Picks Of The Week

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Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens (-2.5)

Winners of four straight, the Baltimore Ravens are red hot. Baltimore has been led by Lamar Jackson, who’s had an MVP-caliber start to the year. Jackson has completed 67.1% of his passes for 1,519 yards and eight touchdowns, to go with 341 rushing yards. Jackson’s total yards from scrimmage (1,860 yards) is more than 18 teams’ total offensive yards on the season. This week, Jackson gets to go up against a Chargers defense that has been awful against the run. Los Angeles has allowed the most rushing yards (788) and rushing Y/A (5.6) in football, and Pro Football Focus ranks them as the fourth-worst rush defense in the league. This is a recipe for disaster when playing against Jackson, who’s going to run over the Los Angeles defense. Baltimore will be able to run the ball at will, keeping the ball out of Justin Herbert’s hands, and help lead them to a five-point victory.

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Cincinnati Bengals at Detroit Lions (+3.5)

The Detroit Lions are one of the worst luck 0-5 teams in NFL history. The Lions have lost two games on 50+ yard field goals as time expires against the Ravens and Vikings. In last week’s game against Minnesota, the Lions scored a touchdown and two-point conversion to go up 17-16 with 37 seconds left, before allowing the Vikings to get in field goal range. Detroit keeps getting so close to their first victory of the season, and they have a great chance to get it at home this Sunday. In eight career road starts, Joe Burrow is 1-6-1 with a 63% completion percentage and an 87.1 quarterback rating. Burrow has thrown half as many interceptions (six) as touchdowns (12) in those eight road starts. Coming off an emotional loss against the Packers, Cincinnati comes out and plays a sloppy game, allowing the Lions to cover the 3.5 points and potentially win the game outright.

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Green Bay Packers (-5.5) at Chicago Bears

Despite getting off to a 3-2 start, the Chicago Bears have shown they don’t have a formula for long-term success this season. Through five games, the Bears are 30th in points scored, and 32nd in total offensive yards, passing yards, passing touchdowns and NY/A. Justin Fields might be a good quarterback in the future, but he isn’t at the moment. Fields has a 64.5 passer rating, the second-lowest among starting quarterbacks, via Pro Football Focus. With a lack of offensive talent surrounding him and a poor offensive line protecting him, it’s going to be a long day for Fields and the Bears on Sunday. Aaron Rodgers has made a career out of beating the division rival Bears. The 37-year-old is 20-5 against Chicago in his career with 55 touchdowns to just 10 interceptions in those 25 games. This Sunday will be no different, as Rodgers and the Packers deliver the Bears a double-digit defeat.

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ML Parlay Kansas City Chiefs/Baltimore Ravens (+124)

This is pretty great value for a Chiefs/Ravens parlay. Yes, the Chiefs have had an extremely disappointing start to the season, but they aren’t losing to the Washington Football Team. Washington has given up 155 points on the season, the second-most in football. Kansas City will drop 30+ on them and get back on track with a win. There is also confidence about Baltimore in their matchup with the Chargers for the reasons above. At +124 this is a solid parlay that could give you a pretty nice payout.

Cowboys Corner

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Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) at New England Patriots

The Pick: UNDER 50.5

The Cowboys will win this game, but take the under. New England’s game plan is going to be to keep the explosive Cowboys offense off the field. The Patriots try to establish the run on this Dallas defense, and try to grind out long drives. New England doesn’t have the ability to really slow down the Cowboys offense, so they will put up points, but Dallas will not have the ball enough to go for 30+ again. This game plays out a lot like the Chargers game did, and we get a final score somewhere around 23-20.

Player Prop Of The Week

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Tony Pollard Anytime TD Scorer (+200)

Take it.

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Disclaimer: Odds/lines subject to change. T&Cs apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for details.