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Ducks in a Row RANKING for week 7

Ducks in a row week 7

This was a bye week for Dallas. Byes and ties will affect the number of wins, but as the number of games played increases the curve will become apparent.  Yet this will not change in a linear manner.  The shape of the curve will be skewed by byes until all teams have the same number of games.

You can only play the teams on your schedule.  Some divisions are better than others, and your placement last year determines who you play.

To keep the league divided into five groups, each week I adjust the number of wins for each column.  Over time the distribution will look more like a typical bell curve.

NUMBER OF TEAMS WITH WINS TER BEL AVE ABO GREAT AVE AVE

WINS Wk 4 0 1 2 3 4 Wk 5 0 1 2,3 4 5 Wk 6 0 1 2,3,4 5 6 Wk 7 0 1 2,3,4,5 6 7 # TEAMS Wk 4 2 10 7 12 1 Wk 5 2 5 17 7 1 Wk 6 1 5 20 5 1 Wk 7 1 4 23 3 1 5,10,3,5 RANKING THE BEST TEAMS One simple way to look at the top teams is to look at who the team played and their records. I note each team’s record and the combined record for all the opponents and team played. We can break ties by better records of the opponents and then the best teams they lost to. RK LST TM REC OPP # WINS for the REC Teams they lost to 1 1 AZI 7-0 20-24 N/A 2 3 TB 6-1 23-23 6 3 2 LAR 6-1 22-25 7 4 6 GB 6-1 19-26 4 5 4 DAL 5-1 20-20 6 6 5 BAL 5-2 23-24 10 7 8 LV 5-2 21-26 7 8 9 TEN 5-2 20-24 8 9 10 CIN 5-2 20-24 8 10 7 LAC 4-2 23-16 10 11 11 BUF 4-2 15-25 8 12 19 NO 4-2 16-24 4 13 12 PIT 3-3 24-16 15 14 16 MIN 3-3 20-22 15 15 26 ATL 3-3 14-26 10 16 13 CHI 3-4 30-17 21 17 15 KC 3-4 25-22 18 18 14 CLV 3-4 25-21 18 19 22 IND 3-4 21-24 17 20 18 DEN 3-4 20-26 13 21 24 NE 3-4 18-24 15 22 17 CAR 3-4 18-27 15 23 25 SF 2-4 19-21 17 24 20 PHI 2-5 26-17 21 25 27 NYG 2-5 26-20 19 26 21 SEA 2-5 25-19 21 27 23 WTF 2-5 25-19 21 28 28 JAX 1-5 21-18 20 29 31 NYJ 1-5 19-21 14 30 29 MIA 1-6 25-21 22 31 30 HOU 1-6 24-23 23 32 32 DET 0-7 29-16 28 The teams on the extremes are pretty stable. The best teams are in about the same position as are the worst teams. The teams in the middle will move around a lot more. The big blob of the middle is about the same. The average teams will win against bad teams and lose to better teams. This does NOT eliminate the other teams who can still improve over the season. Nor does this simplistic ranking account for routs vs close games or other indicators, but it is interesting. NUMBER OF TEAMS WITH WINS PIT MIN ATL CHI KC SF CLV DAL JAX PHI IND BAL NYJ NYG DEN LAC LV TB MIA SEA NE BUF TEN LAR DET HOU WTF CAR NO CIN GB ARI 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 TRENDS for NFC East Week DAL WTF PHI NYG 4 2 NR NR NR 5 3 NR NR NR 6 4 23 20 27 7 4 27 24 25

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