The Dallas Cowboys are one of the hottest teams in the NFL over the last month. The only thing to mar their sparkling work was a cruel loss to the Philadelphia Eagles because of a botched first-and-goal situation at the end of the game.
And at home, the Cowboys are killers. Over the course of the season, they have won by a combined score of 205 to 60. That’s simply outrageous in the NFL. They are also on a 13-game winning streak at home.
The Seattle Seahawks come limping into the game having lost three of their last four, and lost their status among the NFC upper class. They still sport a winning record, 6-5, but just barely.
Given that this game is at home for Dallas, DraftKings Sportsbook has the Cowboys as 9.5-point favorites over the Seahawks. But that line is expanding, it started at seven points earlier in the week. The money is going on Dallas.
Let’s see what some other sites say about the game.
Taking the Cowboys here would feel like buying too high on them and selling too low on Seattle.
The Cowboys are clearly the better team, and they’ve dominated at home, but getting more than a touchdown seems like too much value to pass up with Seattle. Dallas’ dominance in recent weeks makes me nervous here though.
Pick: Seahawks +7.5
Here we have a pick for Seattle to cover, even at the previous 7.5 line which has now grown. It’s a bold pick given Dallas’ recent home dominance and covering the spread.
Week 13 kicks off Thursday night with two teams who both played on Thanksgiving Day, but had very different outcomes.
Last Thursday, the Cowboys dominated the Commanders from start to finish in a 45-10 victory, while the Seahawks got destroyed at home, 31-13, by the 49ers.
As I mentioned last week about taking Dallas as a double-digit home favorite, taking them here as just over touchdown favorites is another opportunity you can’t pass up.
The Cowboys have arguably been the best team at home in the NFL this season, going 5-0 ATS and straight up, outscoring opponents, 205-60, and averaging 41 points per game at AT&T Stadium.
Seattle is 5-5-1 against the spread this year, but has failed to cover the spread in five of its previous seven contests.
Following their Week 5 bye, the Seahawks are 3-4, but notably have lost all three road games by a combined score of 71-32.
Facing a so-so Seattle defense, lay the points with the Cowboys’ league-best offense at home in this spot.
This is where a lot of the action is at; Dallas covering with their potent offense and opportunistic defense, at home.
The Seahawks and Cowboys clash on Thursday Night Football to open the NFL Week 13 schedule. It isn’t getting any easier for the Seahawks after they were pressed into duty against the 49ers on Thanksgiving.
Geno Smith ultimately started the game after dealing with a shoulder injury all week. However, Smith was under constant pressure and never appeared to be comfortable in the pocket. With a dangerous Cowboys’ pass rush up next, Smith should face similar issues in Arlington, Texas.
A week after blowing out the Commanders, expect the Cowboys to pull away with their defense and assert their dominance.
Another vote for Cowboys dominance.
The Cowboys are rolling , but none of their victories have come against a team that currently has a winning record. That will change with a win over the 6-5 Seahawks this week. Dallas will move to 6-0 at home.
Prediction: Cowboys 27, Seahawks 20
If the Seahawks can keep things this close, they would cover. This feels like betting that Dallas is going to eventually have a down game at home and allow a team to stay close.
Some of the Blogging The Boys staff are making picks this season using Tallysight. Here is what we have for all of the Week 13 games, including the Cowboys game.